Patreon Post: Top 44 Rookie Ball/DSL Rankings

Rookie Ball and the DSL start next week, and that means there is a whole new group of breakouts ready to get put through the Dynasty Baseball community hype machine. Here is a ranking of the top 44 guys to keep an eye on, discussing their upside, downside, and prime projection (top 5 free here on IBW):

CLICK HERE TO JOIN MY PATREON FOR THE REST OF THESE RANKINGS & TONS OF EXCLUSIVE CONTENT ALL SEASON, INCLUDING:
-UPDATED TOP 314 MAY PROSPECTS RANKINGS
-UPDATED TOP 433 MAY DYNASTY BASEBALL RANKINGS
-TOP DYNASTY BASEBALL TARGETS (5/26/23)
-HALP’S DYNASTY BASEBALL PODCAST: MAILBAG! (5/16/23) 
-TOP 25 PROSPECTS TO STASH FOR 2023 IMPACT ONLY (5/19/23)
TONS OF DYNASTY RUNDOWNS
-PREDICTING THE 2024 TOP 50 PROSPECTS RANKS

1) Yasser Mercedes MIN, OF, 18.6

Upside – Top 5 prospect. Mercedes has the potential for plus production in every category. He looks the part, he got the big signing bonus, and he destroyed the DSL in 2022. If he performs well in stateside rookie ball, his hype will explode very quickly.

Downside – A 19.9% K% in the DSL isn’t bad, but it’s not great either. The downside is that the K% is more in the high 20’s against more advanced competition. There is also a chance the power simply never comes to the level we need to see.

Prime Projection: 77/22/79/.253/.325/.448/19

2) Lazaro Montes SEA, OF, 18.7

Upside – Top 10 prospect. Montas doesn’t have the speed, or the hit tool to likely ever be in consideration for top prospect in the game, but his power is in the elite of the elite, and that alone can get him around top 10 status at peak. He’s also a great athlete, so it’s not like he’s just a lumbering slugger.

Downside – The K% starts getting closer and closer to 40%

Prime Projection: 76/34/84/.238/.320/.502/4

3) Felnin Celesten SEA, SS, 17.9

Upside – Josue De Paula

Midside – Cristhian Vaquero

Downside – Erick Pena

Prime Projection: 83/26/87/.268/.336/.470/18

4) Jaison Chourio CLE, OF, 18.0

Upside – Jackson Chourio

Midside – Luisangel Acuna

Downside – Elijah Tatis

Prime Projection: 84/19/75/.273/.344/.441/16

5) Oswaldo Osorio LAD, SS/3B, 18.2

Upside – Top 20 prospect. If Osorio keeps the K rate in check, he has the type of power/speed combo to get the dynasty community in a tither. Watch that K% like a hawk, and be very quick to jump on him to it looks good.

Downside – He had a .239 BA with a 23.5% K% in the DSL. The downside is that he will always be that high risk, high reward guy

Prime Projection: 75/23/79/.244/.329/.448/11

CLICK HERE TO JOIN MY PATREON FOR THE REST OF THESE RANKINGS & TONS OF EXCLUSIVE CONTENT ALL SEASON, INCLUDING:
-UPDATED TOP 314 MAY PROSPECTS RANKINGS
-UPDATED TOP 433 MAY DYNASTY BASEBALL RANKINGS
-TOP DYNASTY BASEBALL TARGETS (5/26/23)
-HALP’S DYNASTY BASEBALL PODCAST: MAILBAG! (5/16/23) 
-TOP 25 PROSPECTS TO STASH FOR 2023 IMPACT ONLY (5/19/23)
TONS OF DYNASTY RUNDOWNS
-PREDICTING THE 2024 TOP 50 PROSPECTS RANKS

By Michael Halpern (@MichaelCHalpern)
Email: michaelhalpern@imaginarybrickwall.com
Twitter: Imaginary Brick Wall (@DynastyHalp)

Top 9 Memorial Day Dynasty Baseball Trade Tactics

The time has come in the Dynasty Baseball season where continuing to kick the can down the road can have an increasingly deleterious impact on your team. You need to decide if you are pushing your chips in, or if you’re regrouping for future seasons. Before you turn around, all the best win now, and win later pieces will be taken off the board. Now is the time to strike. Here are the Top 9 Memorial Day Dynasty Baseball Trade Tactics:

CLICK HERE TO JOIN MY PATREON FOR TONS OF EXCLUSIVE CONTENT ALL SEASON, INCLUDING:
-UPDATED TOP 314 MAY PROSPECTS RANKINGS
-UPDATED TOP 433 MAY DYNASTY BASEBALL RANKINGS
-TOP DYNASTY BASEBALL TARGETS (5/26/23)
-HALP’S DYNASTY BASEBALL PODCAST: MAILBAG! (5/16/23) 
-TOP 25 PROSPECTS TO STASH FOR 2023 IMPACT ONLY (5/19/23)
TONS OF DYNASTY RUNDOWNS
-PREDICTING THE 2024 TOP 50 PROSPECTS RANKS

Disclaimer

I hope this is taken in a lighthearted way as I both respect the troops (both my grandfathers fought in WWII and my father was in the National Guard) and also don’t want to minimize the very serious nature of war. Sports were basically invented from Warfare, so they’ve always been tied together and you see a lot of war jargon used for sports to this day. This writeup is in honor of Memorial Day

1) The Sniper

Maybe it’s because I just read “American Sniper: The Autobiography of the Most Lethal Sniper in U.S. Military History” by Chris Kyle, or maybe it’s because it’s Memorial Day, but I have military tactics on the mind. I scooped the book for $2 at my local hipster bookstore. Yes, I’m the type of guy to peruse hipster bookstores .., and I’m also the type of guy to buy the book that is about a sniper with over 160 kills. What can I say, I’m multifaceted. One of the other books I bought was “Zen Mind, Beginner’s Mind” by Shunryu Suzuki. Don’t try to put me in a box ha … So on that note, let’s kick things off with the classic Sniper technique. You have only one player in your crosshairs, and there is no need to complicate things by putting players on the league trade block or announcing to the league your general intentions. Get in touch with the owner of your target privately, and take your best shot on closing the deal quickly and quietly.

2) Rapid Deployment 

Maybe you have a pretty good team that just can’t get over the hump and you’ve finally decided to call it. Because you aren’t a bottom dweller, you might be stacked with good pieces to sell. It’s the perfect situation for Rapid Deployment. Put all of your bangers on the trade block at once and announce to the league that you are open for business. It will create a feeding frenzy. A friend in my 12 teamer just did this and he made about 4 deals, involving like 30 players in under 48 hours. He came away with Caminero, Tiedemann, Endy, Soderstrom, Bibee, Skubal, Grissom, Springs, 4 future firsts and more. It took some liquid courage for him to do it as he just emailed the league this morning saying “Hell of a ride, I think I was drunk for 34 of those hours so I’ll have to circle back to see who I even got.” Don’t be afraid to use performance enhancers if you have to!

3) Night Combat

Get em while they are vulnerable and under the cover of darkness. Maybe you can handle your alcohol better than they can (night vision goggles). Or maybe they are more likely to make bad choices when they are tired and exhausted after a long day of work. Don’t talk trade when they are the most alert and discerning in the middle of the day. Hit them with that offer right before they are ready to hit the sheets. Put a little pressure on them to make a decision and tell them it can’t wait until morning. Bleary eyed and with their defenses down, they just might hit the accept button when they normally wouldn’t have.

4) Recon

You don’t want to get ripped off, or have to pay much more than your league mates are paying for similar type deals. It’s important to do your research and look at recently completed deals in your league to see what the going prices are. There also might be multiple similarly valued players who you would be happy to trade for. Make sure to reach out to all of those owners to see what they want for those players in general. You don’t want to pay much more to an owner who won’t budge when you can get a similar player from another owner who might be much more reasonable on price.

5) The False Flag

This is where you create a fake email address using another league member’s name in the email address, and fire off some low ball offers for the player you are targeting. Make sure to tell them that “you” got a new email. This softens the target and lowers expectations for your eventual much better offer. (This one is obviously just a joke. I would never do this or recommend doing this ha)

6) Guerrilla Warfare

This is where you lie in wait and stay patient in order to pick off bargain deals one by one. Maybe you see a guy who has been on the trade block for a little while and still hasn’t been dealt. Or maybe you see someone who has yet to be put the block for whatever reason. That is your opportunity to sneak in there before anyone else even realizes what happened.

7) Shock and Awe

You know your target, and you are going to respond with overwhelming force to close that deal. You know you have the goods to get it done, and you aren’t interested in beating around the bush. Make them an offer they can’t refuse right off the bat and get your guy.

8) The Feigned Retreat

Sometimes you have to prove that you are willing to walk away from the deal. If negotiations aren’t going how you want, it’s time to pretend to back out of the deal to lure your trade partner into a position of vulnerability. Cut off communications for a few days and see if they come back to you ready to renegotiate a more fair deal when they realize you mean business. Even if they don’t get back to you, you can circle back to them after a few cool off days and try to take a different angle to find a deal that works for both. But point being, don’t just capitulate if you don’t like how things are going. Back out of the deal and try to come back to it later with a new strategy.

9) Disinformation

I already wrote up the Disinformation strategy last year in my Top 10 Trade Negotiation Techniques on Patreon which is another super fun write-up. I also used those techniques in my “How to close the deal section” of my Dynasty Baseball Targets write-up that dropped on Friday.

CLICK HERE TO JOIN MY PATREON FOR TONS OF EXCLUSIVE CONTENT ALL SEASON, INCLUDING:
-UPDATED TOP 314 MAY PROSPECTS RANKINGS
-UPDATED TOP 433 MAY DYNASTY BASEBALL RANKINGS
-TOP DYNASTY BASEBALL TARGETS (5/26/23)
-HALP’S DYNASTY BASEBALL PODCAST: MAILBAG! (5/16/23) 
-TOP 25 PROSPECTS TO STASH FOR 2023 IMPACT ONLY (5/19/23)
TONS OF DYNASTY RUNDOWNS
-PREDICTING THE 2024 TOP 50 PROSPECTS RANKS

By Michael Halpern (@MichaelCHalpern)
Email: michaelhalpern@imaginarybrickwall.com
Twitter: Imaginary Brick Wall (@DynastyHalp)

Patreon Post: May 2023 Top 314 Dynasty Baseball Prospects Rankings

I was super strict with my definition of a prospect in this one. Only players currently in the minors and who haven’t exceeded their rookie eligibility were eligible for this list. This was done to really highlight the next wave of talent. Previous rankings from April through the off-season are in parenthesis. Here is the May 2023 Top 314 Dynasty Baseball Prospects Rankings:

CLICK HERE TO JOIN MY PATREON FOR THE UPDATED PROSPECTS RANKINGS & TONS OF EXCLUSIVE CONTENT ALL SEASON, INCLUDING:
-UPDATED TOP 433 MAY DYNASTY BASEBALL RANKINGS
-TOP DYNASTY BASEBALL TARGETS (5/26/23)
-HALP’S DYNASTY BASEBALL PODCAST: MAILBAG! (5/16/23) 
-TOP 25 PROSPECTS TO STASH FOR 2023 IMPACT ONLY (5/19/23)
TONS OF DYNASTY RUNDOWNS
-PREDICTING THE 2024 TOP 50 PROSPECTS RANKS

1) (7) (6) Elly De La Cruz CIN, SS/3B, 21.4 – Slashing .325/.435/.662 with 6 homers, 5 steals, and a 20.4%/15.2% in his last 19 games at Triple-A. The power/speed combo is unmatched, and the improved K rate propels him into the top spot. Proximity gives him the edge over Holliday as Elly also ranked 1st on my Top 25 Prospects to Stash for 2023 Impact Only.

2) (6) (13) Jackson Holliday BAL, SS, 19.5 – Putting up stupid numbers at High-A, slashing .395/.505/.724 with 4 homers, 8 steals, and a 16.1%/18..3% K%/BB% in 21 games. Perfect combo of floor and high ceiling

3) (25) (24) Royce Lewis MIN, SS, 23.11 – From the 5/17/23 Dynasty Baseball Rundown: “Rolls-Royce comes back from ACL tears like he’s going into the shop for upgrades. It’s like an episode of Pimp My Knee.” He’s jacked 3 homers with 3 steals and a .364 BA in 6 games in the upper minors since returning. He ascended to top prospect in the game status before going down with the ACL injury, and he’s picking up right where he left off.

4) (2) (5) Jordan Walker STL, 3B/OF, 21.0 – Hasn’t improved his launch and isn’t performing well at Triple-A with a 67 wRC+ in 21 games

5) (4) (3) Jackson Chourio MIL, OF, 19.2 – Holding his own at Double-A as a 19 year old with 5 homers, 10 steals and a 24.1%/7.2% K%/BB% in 37 games

6) (3) (7) Jordan Lawlar ARI, SS, 20.10 – Hit tool is getting exposed at Double-A with a 31.7% K% and .162 BA, but bad luck is playing a role with a .203 BABIP, and the power/speed combo looks great with 5 homers and 10 steals in 32 games. I would buy low if you can

7) (14) (8) James Wood WAS, OF, 20.8 – There is always going to be some hit tool risk with players this tall, but it’s been improving over his last 8 games with a 19.4% K%. High walk rate (13.9% BB%) also mitigates some of that risk

8) (36) (58) Gavin Williams CLE, RHP, 23.9 – Williams is the new #1 overall pitching prospect still in the minors. 2.10 ERA with a 36.7%/10.2% K%/BB% in 25.2 IP at Triple-A and has the huge stuff to back it up led by an upper 90’s fastball. He has ace written all over him

9) (32) (38) Colton Cowser BAL, OF, 23.1 – Across the board destruction of Triple-A. It can’t be much longer before he gets the call

10) (5) (19) Kyle Manzardo TBR, 1B, 22.10 – Hit tool really hasn’t been all that great with a 20.2% K% and .263 BA in 39 games at Triple-A, and with Tampa’s extreme depth, path to playing time isn’t exactly super clear. On the flip side his power has taken a step forward with 8 homers and he’s one of the safest bats in the minors

11) (47) (92) Junior Caminero TBR, 3B, 19.10 – There isn’t much speed here and the 24.7%/6.2% K%/BB% isn’t that great. I only bring up the negatives because his hype is through the roof and it’s worth mentioning he’s not the perfect prospect. Having said that, the guy is obviously a beast with 11 homers and a 187 wRC+ in 33 games at High-A

12) (18) (21) Andrew Painter PHI, RHP, 19.5 – Continues to ramp up from the elbow injury with no setbacks yet

13) (12) (16) Ricky Tiedemann TOR, LHP, 20.9 – Left his last start with an arm injury, but they are hopeful it isn’t that serious and that he will be back throwing soon

14) (41) (30) Noelvi Marte CIN, SS, 21.6 – From overrated to underrated. 8 homers, 8 steals, and a 17.9%/9.3% K%/BB% in 37 games at Double-A

15) (13) (34) Evan Carter TEX, OF, 20.8 – Power hasn’t taken a step forward yet with only 4 homers in 32 games at Double-A, but he’s still only 20 and he does everything else well

16) (15) (10) Jasson Dominguez NYY, OF, 20.4 – .224 BABIP is still holding down the BA (.197) in 34 games at Double-A, but the 24.7%/20% K%/BB% looks good and he’s been much better of late with a .262 BA in his last 15 games

17) (22) (48) Coby Mayo BAL, 3B, 21.5 – Dominating Double-A, slashing .270/.396/.492 with 5 homers and a 24%/14.3% K%/BB% in 36 games. It’s good for a 145 wRC+. He still doesn’t get the respect he deserves

18) (23) (25) Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC, OF, 21.1 – 3.5% BB% in 25 games at Double-A is extremely low and it’s not an aberration as he had a 4.9% BB% in 63 games at High-A last year. I only bring it up because everything else looks great, but the low walk rate could have him hitting towards the bottom of the lineup

19) (31) (31) Marcelo Mayer BOS, SS, 20.5 – Quietly dominating High-A with a 144 wRC+. He’s a complete hitter

20) (24) (12) Druw Jones ARI, OF, 19.5 – Was starting to find his footing at Single-A with a 16.7%/12.5% K%/BB% in his last 4 games before going down with the quad injury. It feels silly to say this, but definitely don’t panic based on the 10 game sample

CLICK HERE TO JOIN MY PATREON FOR THE UPDATED PROSPECTS RANKINGS & TONS OF EXCLUSIVE CONTENT ALL SEASON, INCLUDING:
-UPDATED TOP 433 MAY DYNASTY BASEBALL RANKINGS
-TOP DYNASTY BASEBALL TARGETS (5/26/23)
-HALP’S DYNASTY BASEBALL PODCAST: MAILBAG! (5/16/23) 
-TOP 25 PROSPECTS TO STASH FOR 2023 IMPACT ONLY (5/19/23)
TONS OF DYNASTY RUNDOWNS
-PREDICTING THE 2024 TOP 50 PROSPECTS RANKS

By Michael Halpern (@MichaelCHalpern)
Email: michaelhalpern@imaginarybrickwall.com
Twitter: Imaginary Brick Wall (@DynastyHalp)

Patreon Post: Welcome to Prospects Rankings Week!

Prospects Rankings Week is back with a vengeance for May. As usual, I will go over 300 deep with a quick blurb for almost everyone. I’m going to be super strict with my definition of a prospect (only players still in in the minors will qualify), so this list will really highlight the next wave of talent. First post drops later today (or tom morning at the latest). Catch you in a few …

-Halp

CLICK HERE TO JOIN MY PATREON FOR THE UPDATED PROSPECTS RANKINGS & TONS OF EXCLUSIVE CONTENT ALL SEASON, INCLUDING:
-UPDATED TOP 433 MAY DYNASTY BASEBALL RANKINGS
-TOP DYNASTY BASEBALL TARGETS (4/28/23)
-HALP’S DYNASTY BASEBALL PODCAST: MAILBAG! (5/16/23) 
-TOP 25 PROSPECTS TO STASH FOR 2023 IMPACT ONLY (5/19/23)
TONS OF DYNASTY RUNDOWNS
-PREDICTING THE 2024 TOP 50 PROSPECTS RANKS

Patreon Post: May Top 433 Dynasty Baseball Rankings

It’s still early, but we now have a sample size that we can really sink our teeth into. April’s small sample update was merely lickable. As usual, I go over 400 deep with quick blurbs for almost everyone. Top 15 free here on the Brick Wall. April through off-season rankings are in parenthesis, in that order. Here is the May Top 433 Dynasty Baseball Rankings:

CLICK HERE TO JOIN MY PATREON FOR THESE RANKINGS & TONS OF EXCLUSIVE CONTENT ALL SEASON, INCLUDING:
-UPDATED TOP 324 APRIL PROSPECTS RANKINGS
-TOP DYNASTY BASEBALL TARGETS (4/28/23)
-HALP’S DYNASTY BASEBALL PODCAST: MAILBAG! 
TONS OF DYNASTY RUNDOWNS
-PREDICTING THE 2024 DYNASTY BASEBALL PROSPECTS RANKS
-7 EARLY SEASON DYNASTY STRATEGIES AND THOUGHTS

1) (1) (1) Shohei Ohtani LAA, RHP/DH, 28.10 – Managed to improve even his one slight weakness, bringing his K% down 6 percentage points to 18.2%. I wish I could rank him even higher than #1, but this is as high as rankings go. Maybe absolute zero?

2) (3) (3) Ronald Acuna Jr. ATL, OF, 25.5 – Speed and launch haven’t bounced back, but who cares with him crushing the ball with a career high 94.2 MPH and career low 14.4% K%. .458 xwOBA is 3rd best in baseball among qualified hitters (behind only Sean Murphy and Matt Chapman, just like how we drew it up).

3) (2) (2) Julio Rodriguez SEA, OF, 22.4 – I wouldn’t sweat the .216 BA as the .261 BABIP is really the only issue. Everything else is basically in line with 2022, and in 2022, he didn’t even explode until May

Shadow3) (3) (6) Shohei Ohtani LAA, DH only/Weekly Leagues, 28.10

4) (4) (6) Kyle Tucker HOU, OF, 26.4 – Tucker is the least talked about, least hyped elite baseball player in the world

5) (6) (9) Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR, 1B, 24.2 – 11.5 degree launch and 12.8% K% are both career highs. Scary to say we might not have even seen the best of Vlad yet

6) (5) (4) Yordan Alvarez HOU, OF, 25.10 – Alvarez has a .924 OPS and it doesn’t even feel like he’s having a good season

7) (9) (7) Fernando Tatis Jr. SDP, SS/OF, 24.4 – It’s clear at this point he will get back to being elite as long as he stays healthy

8) (24) (24) Corbin Carroll ARI, OF, 22.8 – 91.9 MPH EV, 13 degree launch, 22.5%/8.3% K%/BB%, and 30.2 ft/sec sprint. Carroll is the truth and even this ranking might not be high enough

9) (12) (16) Wander Franco TBR, SS, 22.2 – Locking in the breakout with a 10.9% Barrel%, and the cherry on top is that he is running a ton with 8 steals. The new rules may have bumped his fantasy upside even higher

10) (10) (14) Rafael Devers BOS, 3B, 26.6 – Career high 14.4 degree launch could get him to over 40 dingers for the first time in his career. He has 11 already

11) (7) (5) Juan Soto SDP, OF, 24.6 – Career worst 23.2% K% and 25.6% whiff% shows the .220 BA isn’t all bad luck. He was never a huge homer/steal guy, so while he’s still a major buy in an OBP league, I might be hesitant in a 5×5 BA league to really pay up through the nose for him (I would pay up through the shoulders, tops)

12) (11) (13) Bo Bichette TOR, SS, 25.2 – 1 for 3 on the bases with a career low 26.7 ft/sec sprint. He’s not going to be a huge base stealer, but his hit tool is better than ever with a career best 15.7% K%

13) (13) (8) Bobby Witt Jr. KCR, SS/3B, 22.11 – Hitting the ball harder than last year with a 91.1/94.9 MPH AVG/FB EV, which is exactly what we needed to see. There is an explosion coming, and if you can get in now with any type of discount because of the mediocre .715 OPS, I would jump on it

14) (8) (10) Aaron Judge NYY, OF, 31.0 – He’s been out with a hip injury but is expected to return on Tuesday. One thing to keep an eye on is the swing and miss with his K% and whiff% spiking to 32.4% and 39.7%, respectively

15) (15) (12) Jose Ramirez CLE, 3B, 30.8 – Power is the only thing missing, and I’m guessing that will tick up in time as he gets further away from that off-season thumb surgery

CLICK HERE TO JOIN MY PATREON FOR THESE RANKINGS & TONS OF EXCLUSIVE CONTENT ALL SEASON, INCLUDING:
-UPDATED TOP 324 APRIL PROSPECTS RANKINGS
-TOP DYNASTY BASEBALL TARGETS (4/28/23)
-HALP’S DYNASTY BASEBALL PODCAST: MAILBAG! 
TONS OF DYNASTY RUNDOWNS
-PREDICTING THE 2024 DYNASTY BASEBALL PROSPECTS RANKS
-7 EARLY SEASON DYNASTY STRATEGIES AND THOUGHTS

By Michael Halpern (@MichaelCHalpern)
Email: michaelhalpern@imaginarybrickwall.com
Twitter: Imaginary Brick Wall (@DynastyHalp)

Patreon Post: Welcome to Dynasty Baseball Rankings Week! (May)

It’s still early, but we now have a sample size that we can really sink our teeth into. April’s small sample update was merely lickable. As usual, I go over 400 deep with quick blurbs for everyone. First part of the rankings should drop later today on the Patreon with more coming all week. I’ll catch you in a few hours.

-Halp

CLICK HERE TO JOIN MY PATREON FOR THESE RANKINGS & TONS OF EXCLUSIVE CONTENT ALL SEASON, INCLUDING:
-UPDATED TOP 324 APRIL PROSPECTS RANKINGS
-TOP DYNASTY BASEBALL TARGETS (4/28/23)
-HALP’S DYNASTY BASEBALL PODCAST: MAILBAG! 
TONS OF DYNASTY RUNDOWNS
-PREDICTING THE 2024 DYNASTY BASEBALL PROSPECTS RANKS
-7 EARLY SEASON DYNASTY STRATEGIES AND THOUGHTS

Patreon Post: April 2023 Top 324 Dynasty Baseball Prospects Rankings

The prospect world moves fast, and there is already tons of movement in the first Top 300+ Updated Dynasty Baseball Prospects Rankings of 2023. Off-season rank is in parenthesis. Quick blurbs for every player. Top 20 free here on IBW. Here is the April 2023 Top 300+ Dynasty Baseball Prospects Rankings (1-157):

CLICK HERE TO JOIN MY PATREON FOR THE REST OF THESE RANKINGS & TONS OF EXCLUSIVE CONTENT, INCLUDING:
-UPDATED TOP 433 APRIL DYNASTY BASEBALL RANKINGS
-TOP DYNASTY BASEBALL TARGETS (4/28/23)
-HALP’S DYNASTY BASEBALL PODCAST: MAILBAG! 
TONS OF DYNASTY RUNDOWNS
-PREDICTING THE 2024 DYNASTY BASEBALL PROSPECTS RANKS
-7 EARLY SEASON DYNASTY STRATEGIES AND THOUGHTS

1) (4) Anthony Volpe NYY, SS, 22.0 – Buy low on Volpe if you can. He is not far off from exploding into a fantasy beast. He is running like wild with 8 steals and a plus 28.2 ft/sec sprint speed, the 15.9% BB% is elite, and the 87.9 MPH EV with a 16.9 degree launch is respectable. The 30.5% K% is high, but it was much, much better in the minors and that is very likely to come down in the near future. And now with Walker sent down to the minors, he’s my #1 prospect

2) (5) Jordan Walker STL, 3B/OF, 20.11 – It’s not the full on JRod explosion we wanted to see, but considering Walker’s 20 years old and completely skipped over Tripe-A, the MLB debut ain’t bad at all with a 90/95.3 MPH AVG/FB EV, 25.6% K%, and 101 wRC+. There is plenty to improve upon, namely the 3.8% BB% and 2.7 degree launch, but he’s laying a pretty solid foundation right now Update: Walker got sent down which is the right move if they didn’t want to play him everyday

3) (7) Jordan Lawlar ARI, SS, 20.9 – Say hello to the new top dog once Walker and Volpe officially graduate. Lawlar has a 24.1%/17.2% K%/BB% with 3 homers, and 6 steals in 20 games at Double-A. .233 BABIP is the biggest issue which has led to a .217 BA. It’s the right mix of safety and upside, and he’s now doing it in the upper minors

4) (3) Jackson Chourio MIL, OF, 19.1 – Showing some inexperience at Double-A with a 27.9%/5.9% K%/BB% in 15 games, but he’s still knocked out 3 homers and 2 steals with an almost average 98 wRC+. One of those homers came off Eury Perez

5) (19) Kyle Manzardo TBR, 1B, 22.9 – Italian Lunch is powering up this year with big time EV readings that he didn’t show last year. He’ll Vinnie P the majors when he gets the chance

6) (13) Jackson Holliday BAL, SS, 19.4 – Complete across the board domination at Single-A with a 223 wRC+ in 13 games. It already earned him a promotion to High-A/ He’s on a beeline for the top prospect in the game

7) (6) Elly De La Cruz CIN, SS/3B, 21.3 – Debuted a few days ago and has a 53.8% K% in 3 games. We’re back

8) (14) Grayson Rodriguez BAL, RHP, 23.5 – Hasn’t immediately ascended to ace status in his MLB debut with a 5.12 ERA in 19.1 IP, but he’s showing huge stuff with a 96.5 MPH fastball and is missing bats with a 28.7 K%. I’m not gonna lie, I like it better when pitching prospects come in and dominate from the jump, but the signs still point to an explosion in the near future

9) (35) Taj Bradley TBR, RHP, 22.0 – As opposed to Grayson, this is exactly what you want to see from a top pitching prospect debut. 2.61 ERA with a 42.5%/5% K%/BB% in 10.1 IP. The plus 95.8 MPH fastball is dominating with a 28.9% whiff%, .206 xwOBA, and 49.1% usage. He’s also proving the secondaries will play against MLB competition. It’s a full on MLB breakout, and I was close to putting him over Rodriguez

10) (9) Miguel Vargas LAD, 3B, 23.4 – 20.5%/17.9% K%/BB% with a 86.5 MPH EV and 27.9 ft/sec sprint is kinda backing up the better in real life than fantasy tag many gave him this off-season. But the .375 xwOBA is almost elite, and if anything, he’s a buy for me

11) (163) James Outman LAD, OF, 25.10 – As I discussed in Halp’s Dynasty Baseball Podcast: Mailbag! Edition on Friday, there is no reason not to treat Outman’s breakout like it’s real. Locking in young MLB core pieces is what the game of dynasty is all about. The high 28.2% K% still makes him high risk, but that is why he isn’t ranked even higher. This ranking does seem a bit crazy, but are you really dealing Outman right now for anything less than this? And you can arguably go even higher than this on him

12) (16) Ricky Tiedemann TOR, LHP, 20.8 – Tiedemann is a low arm slot slinging lefty who has been off the charts since spring. He has a 55.6%/7.4% K%/BB% in 6.2 IP at Double-A as he’s been babied a bit coming back from “minor” shoulder soreness. If not for the shoulder hiccup, he would probably be my top pitching prospect

13) (34) Evan Carter TEX, OF, 20.7 – Power might be ticking up with 3 homers in 12 games at Double-A (although the hard hit rate still isn’t great), and the plate approach is still elite with a 18.6%/22% K%/BB%. The high floor profile with speed and emerging power is hard to argue against now that he’s proving it in the upper minors

14) (8) James Wood WAS, OF, 20.7 – 25.5%/7.3% K%/BB% with a 102 wRC+ in 13 games at High-A. You always gotta be a little cautious with the hit tool on guys this big

15) (10) Jasson Dominguez NYY, OF, 20.3 – Dominguez is starting to look like a streaky player. After destroying spring, he’s off to a cold start at Double-A with a 66 wRC+, but his .091 BABIP is silly low. He’ll get hot

16) (11) Zac Veen COL, OF, 21.4 – Veen is another BABIP victim with a .188 BABIP, but the 18.4%/14.3% K%/BB% looks great. The hits will start dropping, I’m not moving off him

17) (15) Eury Perez MIA, RHP, 20.0 – Hasn’t exactly been insanely dominant with a 3.21 ERA and 29.8%/8.8% K%/BB% in 14 IP at Double-A, but the stuff, size, and age relative to level all scream ace upside

18) (21) Andrew Painter PHI, RHP, 19.5 – Continues to ramp up from the elbow injury and will start to throw on back to back days. Not out of the woods yet, but so far, so good

19) (20) Hunter Brown HOU, RHP, 24.8 – 8.2% BB% is the most important stat, because he’ll perform well as long he doesn’t lose his control, and he’s doing just that with a 3.09 ERA in 23.1 IP

20) (17) Francisco Alvarez NYM, C, 21.4 – Called up to the majors so he can play sporadically, which is the recipe for struggles (10 wRC+ in 27 PA)

CLICK HERE TO JOIN MY PATREON FOR THE REST OF THESE RANKINGS & TONS OF EXCLUSIVE CONTENT, INCLUDING:
-UPDATED TOP 433 APRIL DYNASTY BASEBALL RANKINGS
-TOP DYNASTY BASEBALL TARGETS (4/28/23)
-HALP’S DYNASTY BASEBALL PODCAST: MAILBAG! 
TONS OF DYNASTY RUNDOWNS
-PREDICTING THE 2024 DYNASTY BASEBALL PROSPECTS RANKS
-7 EARLY SEASON DYNASTY STRATEGIES AND THOUGHTS

By Michael Halpern (@MichaelCHalpern)
Email: michaelhalpern@imaginarybrickwall.com
Twitter: Imaginary Brick Wall (@DynastyHalp)

Patreon Post: Welcome to Dynasty Baseball Prospects Rankings Week!

The first Dynasty Baseball Prospect Rankings Week of 2023 is here! I go over 300 deep and there will be a quick blurb for everyone. There has already been tons of action and tons of movement within the rankings. First part of the rankings will drop later today or tom morning at the latest with more coming all week. Come and check it all out!

-Halp

CLICK HERE TO JOIN MY PATREON FOR TONS OF EXCLUSIVE CONTENT ALL SEASON, INCLUDING:
-UPDATED TOP 433 APRIL DYNASTY BASEBALL RANKINGS
-UPDATED TOP 300+ APRIL PROSPECTS RANKINGS
-HALP’S DYNASTY BASEBALL PODCAST: MAILBAG! 
-PREDICTING THE 2024 DYNASTY BASEBALL PROSPECTS RANKS
-7 EARLY SEASON DYNASTY STRATEGIES AND THOUGHTS

Patreon Post: Top 433 April 2023 Dynasty Baseball Rankings

It’s Dynasty Baseball Rankings Week over on the Patreon and the full Top 433 has now been completed. Quick blurbs for almost everyone, off-season rankings are in parenthesis, and the Top 21 are free here on the Brick Wall. Here is the Top 433 April 2023 Dynasty Baseball Rankings:

CLICK HERE TO JOIN MY PATREON FOR THE REST OF THESE RANKINGS & TONS OF EXCLUSIVE CONTENT ALL SEASON, INCLUDING:
-DYNASTY RUNDOWNS AND MONTHLY DYNASTY & PROSPECTS RANKINGS UPDATES
-PREDICTING THE 2024 DYNASTY BASEBALL PROSPECTS RANKS
-9 MILD PREDICTIONS FOR 2023 ROOKIES
-7 EARLY SEASON DYNASTY STRATEGIES AND THOUGHTS
-OBP TOP 500 2023 DYNASTY BASEBALL RANKS
-PTS/6+CAT/OPS “UNIVERSAL” TOP 500 DYNASTY BASEBALL RANKS
-POSTION BY POSITION TARGET/SLEEPER/UNDERRATED SERIES
-ALL-IN-ONE RANKINGS SPREADSHEET

1) (1) Shohei Ohtani LAA, RHP/DH, 28.10 – 0 steals. What a disappointment

2) (2) Julio Rodriguez SEA, OF, 22.3 – Not regressing from his breakout rookie year with a .283 BA, 2 homers and 4 steals. And it doesn’t even feel like he’s gotten hot yet.

3) (3) Ronald Acuna Jr. ATL, OF, 25.3 – The launch angle hasn’t bounced back yet with a 4.9 degree launch, but his .434 xwOBA is back to being elite

Shadow3) (6) Shohei Ohtani LAA, DH only/Weekly Leagues, 28.9

4) (6) Kyle Tucker HOU, OF, 26.3 – Tucker somehow still feels underrated in the baseball world. Off to an elite start with a .454 xwOBA and 2 steals

5) (4) Yordan Alvarez HOU, OF, 25.9 – .979 OPS. The hand issue proved to be overblown

6) (9) Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR, 1B, 24.1 – He has a .399 xBA and a .439 BA. Launch angle still isn’t optimal at 8.2 degrees, but he’s a beast no matter how you slice it

7) (5) Juan Soto SDP, OF, 24.5 – There might actually be a buy low window here with a slow start coming off a poor 2nd half. Everything in the underlying numbers shows he is still elite, but his low launch angle does cap his homer upside a bit

8) (10) Aaron Judge NYY, OF, 30.11 – 1.194 OPS. He didn’t get lazy coming off the huge contract.

9) (7) Fernando Tatis Jr. SDP, SS/OF, 24.3 – Played generally well in spring and now has a 1.012 OPS in 4 games at Triple-A. It sure seems like he will hit the ground running when his suspension is up

10) (14) Rafael Devers BOS, 3B, 26.5 – 95.4 MPH EV with 4 homers and a 1.084 OPS. With steals easier to come by, I might be leaning towards a masher like him earlier

11) (13) Bo Bichette TOR, SS, 25.1 – Carrying over insane finish to 2022 into 2023 with a .996 OPS and .490 xwOBA. He’s yet to steal a bag though coming off only 13 steals last year, and it’s definitely a thought that he might not be a huge base stealer

12) (16) Wander Franco TBR, SS, 22.1 – The breakout is here with 4 homers, a 90.5 MPH EV and a 16.8 degree launch

13) (8) Bobby Witt Jr. KCR, SS/3B, 22.10 – 21.1% K%, 98.4 MPH FB/LD EV (which was his issue last year), and 30.4 ft/sec sprint speed. He’s going to be fine. Don’t sell low and try to buy if you can.

14) (11) Trea Turner PHI, SS, 29.9 – Rough start everywhere you look with 0 homers, a 29.3% K% and a 28.3 ft/sec sprint (30+ his entire career). His track record is too long to worry at this point, but maybe unlike Judge, he did get lazy with the big contract?

15) (12) Jose Ramirez CLE, 3B, 30.6 – 0 homers with an 86.5 MPH EV is not what you want to see coming off off-season thumb surgery. Too early to panic, but it’s not like there is completely no reason to point to for why he is off to a slow power start

16) (15) Michael Harris ATL, OF, 22.1 – 92.5 MPH EV with a 20%/8% K%/BB% overshadows the .541 OPS

17) (17) Mookie Betts LAD, OF, 30.6 – Just hasn’t got hot yet. .830 OPS and underlying numbers look good

18) (26) Pete Alonso NYM, 1B, 28.4 – Continues to lock in his K% gains with a career best 16.3% K%. He’s also jacked 5 homers already

19) (27) Mike Trout LAA, OF, 31.8 – Saying the back looks good is an understatement with a 1.234 OPS and .535 xwOBA.

20) (18) Bryce Harper PHI, OF, 30.6 – Started to take live batting practice and is expected back in June

21) (20) Shane McClanahan TBR, LHP, 25.11 – September shoulder injury looks to be behind him with a career high 97.4 MPH fastball. With Burnes struggling, he moves into my top pitcher slot

CLICK HERE TO JOIN MY PATREON FOR THE REST OF THESE RANKINGS & TONS OF EXCLUSIVE CONTENT ALL SEASON, INCLUDING:
-DYNASTY RUNDOWNS AND MONTHLY DYNASTY & PROSPECTS RANKINGS UPDATES
-PREDICTING THE 2024 DYNASTY BASEBALL PROSPECTS RANKS
-9 MILD PREDICTIONS FOR 2023 ROOKIES
-7 EARLY SEASON DYNASTY STRATEGIES AND THOUGHTS
-OBP TOP 500 2023 DYNASTY BASEBALL RANKS
-PTS/6+CAT/OPS “UNIVERSAL” TOP 500 DYNASTY BASEBALL RANKS
-POSTION BY POSITION TARGET/SLEEPER/UNDERRATED SERIES
-ALL-IN-ONE RANKINGS SPREADSHEET

By Michael Halpern (@MichaelCHalpern)
Email: michaelhalpern@imaginarybrickwall.com
Twitter: Imaginary Brick Wall (@DynastyHalp)

Patreon Post: Welcome to Dynasty Baseball Rankings Week!

The first Dynasty Baseball Rankings Week of 2023 is here on the Patreon, and while it’s early, decisions still have to be made on trades and pickups/drops. We’ve seen the seeds of breakouts start to sprout on more than a few players already. The first part of the rankings will drop later today (or tom morning latest) and will be completed by Friday. Catch you in a little …

Click here to join the Patreon for the Updated Dynasty Rankings along with so so so much more content

-Halp