Monday Morning Dynasty Baseball Rundown (7/19/21)

I’ll be running down everything that caught my eye in the Dynasty Baseball world on most Mondays throughout the season. Here is the Monday Morning Dynasty Baseball Rundown (7/19/21):

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Wander Franco TB, SS, 20.4 – Demolished a 418 foot, 104 MPH homer off Drew Smyly for his 3rd of the year in 18 games. The 3 homers are nice, but the underlying numbers on his MLB debut aren’t great with a .275 xwOBA and a below average 25.2% whiff%. I still think he is going to be a beast, but damn would it have been nice for him to just come out and rake. I’m sick of having patience with top prospects …

Jarred Kelenic SEA, OF, 21.11 – Jarred “have patience” Kelenic has returned to the majors and it is not going much better in his first 3 games, going 3 for 13 with 3 singles and a 6/0 K/BB. Sometimes in fantasy you just gotta dust off that ole’ Zen Buddhism skillset and remind yourself to not sell low no matter how frustrating it can be.

Jasson Dominguez NYY, OF, 18.5 – Dominguez is living up to the hype as he’s ripping the ball all over the park at Single-A as an 18 year old, slashing .400/.429/.700 with 1 double, 1 triple, 1 homer, and a 3/1 K/BB in 5 games. For all of the people that took that leap of faith on his insane upside, this has to make you feel good. He ain’t no Kevin Maitan.

Orelvis Martinez TOR, SS, 19.10 – Martinez is going absolutely gangbusters with 7 homers in his last 6 games to bring his season wRC+ to 152 at Single-A. He doesn’t get the hype that some of the other 19 year old phenom mashers are getting, but he’s right up there with them.

Luis Matos SF, OF, 19.5 – Speaking of prospects not getting the hype they deserve, Matos has been heating up in his last 10 games with 4 doubles, 2 homers, 1 triple and a .405 BA. I ranked him 10th overall in my latest Top 300 Dynasty Prospects Rankings on Patreon because of his exceptional contact ability (14.4% K%), speed (16 steals in 19 attempts) and emerging power (6 homers in 59 games with a 42% FB%). 5.3% BB% is really the only negative to his game right now.

Grayson Rodriguez BAL, RHP, 21.8 – Considering I think Grayson has the stuff to dominate MLB hitters right now, it’s not too surprising to see him obliterate Double-A as he went 5 IP with 2 hits, 0 earned, and a 12/1 K/BB. He has a 2.04 ERA with a 57/8 K/BB in 39.2 IP at the level.

Brennen Davis CHC, OF, 21.8 – Davis cracked the top 100 overall (#94) in my latest OBP/OPS/PTS “Universal” Top 450 Dynasty Baseball Rankings on Patreon, and for good reason as he smashed a homer in back to back games at Double-A and now has a 151 wRC+ in 37 games at the level. I told you in last week’s Monday Morning Rundown to treat him like an elite asset, and he is living up to the billing.

Logan Gilbert SEA, RHP, 24.2 – 5.1 IP, 4 hits, 2 ER, 9/2 K/BB. It was his most strikeouts in a start all season as his secondaries are proving to be elite swing and miss pitches. His slider has a 40.5% whiff% on the season and his changeup has a 73.1% whiff% on the season. 73.1%!!! He only throws the change 7.9% of the time, but he threw it 17% of the time yesterday, and I have a sneaking suspicion we are going to see more of it

Brandon Marsh LAA, OF, 23.7 – Marsh made his MLB debut and went 0 for 4 with 2 K’s. He is a great athlete with a plus power/speed combo, but his groundball rates have been high throughout his career and his strikeout rates have been on the high side too. There is upside here, but there is also potential for struggles.

Shohei Ohtani LAA, RHP/DH, 27.0 – Ohtani went 2 for 3 with 2 walks and a homer. One of those hits was an infield single to first base where he beat the first baseman to the bag. There is nothing this guy can’t do. I’m half expecting him to drill a 3 in Game 6 of the NBA Finals tomorrow. He’s my newly minted #1 overall player in Dynasty Leagues.

Nolan Gorman STL, 3B/2B, 21.2 – Gorman is starting to find his groove at Triple-A as he walloped 2 homers yesterday and now has 3 homers in his last 2 games. His overall numbers at the level are mediocre with a .733 OPS in 15 games, but that is bound to keep rising.

Zac Veen COL, OF, 19.7 – The power has arrived in full force as Veen’s crushed 5 homers in his last 5 games to give him 9 on the season in 61 games. He’s shown a mature plate approach with a 24.6%/14.6% K%/BB% and is running like wild with 27 steals in 38 attempts. He’s shaping up to be an all category beast.

Heriberto Hernandez TB, 1B/OF, 21.7 – Heriberto has been in a deep power slump since his hot start with only 1 homer in his last 49 games prior to last night, but he broke out of it yesterday with 2 bombs, one an opposite field shot and one to his pull side. He was still walking a ton over that 49 game time period with a .354 OBP, and with a 47.5% FB%, the homeruns were bound to come back around

Miguel Vargas LAD, 3B, 21.8 – Vargas is one of my favorite still under the radar/underhyped prospects in the minors, and he keeps handling his business at Double-A with an opposite field bomb for his 7th homer in 28 games at the level (14 homers in 65 games on the season). He makes good contact (20.6% K%) and hits the ball in the air (50% FB%). He’ll eventually start getting the respect he deserves and you’ll hope you bought in before that.

Michael Conforto NYM, OF, 28.4 – Crushed a 418 foot homer off Richard Rodriguez yesterday and went 2 for 4 with 2 doubles the day before. I told my Patreon members to target Conforto weeks ago as he’s bound to have a big second half with a .356 xwOBA and a career high 14.6% BB%.

JD Davis NYM, 3B, 28.2 – JD Davis is another Met who is looking set up for a big 2nd half. He cracked two dingers on Saturday and has a career high 93.9 MPH exit velocity and 15 degree launch angle in 17 games, although his whiff% has exploded into the danger zone (41.3%).

Heliot Ramos SF, OF, 21.10 – Ramos went opposite field for his 10th homer of the year in 62 games at Double-A in an otherwise underwhelming season. He has a 27.4% K% and a 106 wRC+. He is only 21 and is putting up a 10.2% BB%, so you can look at it glass half full, but if you are looking to use him as trade bait I’m not sure he is going to get the other owner real excited (and I know because I’ve tried).

Jairo Pomares SF, OF, 20.11 – Pomares has been quietly ripping up Single-A with a full power breakout, drilling his 9th homer of the season yesterday in 27 games. He’s not exactly young for the level and his 26.9%/6.7% K%/BB% isn’t great, so there are some reasons for caution.

Dillon Dingler DET, C, 22.9 – Dingler hit a brick wall at Double-A (.604 OPS in 25 games) after destroying High-A (.925 OPS in 32 games), but he did slice an opposite field shot for his 10th homer of the season. He’s bound to get hot again.

Jordyn Adams LAA, OF, 21.8 – Adams was getting a lot of 2020 hype as a potential breakout prospect, but it has yet to materialize with him struggling hard at High-A with a 37.4% K% in 28 games. He did rip his 3rd homer of the year and 2nd in 2 games, so maybe this is the beginning of a hot streak, but that K% scares me. He’s dropping down my rankings.

Graham Ashcraft MIL, RHP, 23.5 – Double-A hasn’t slowed Ashcraft’s roll at all, as he went 6 IP with 4 hits, 0 ER, and 5/1 K/BB yesterday. He has a pitching line of 2.33/0.93/27/11 in 27 IP at the level. With his mid 90’s heat and a plus, high spin rate breaking ball, he is one of my favorite pop up prospects this year.

By Michael Halpern (@MichaelCHalpern)
Email: michaelhalpern@imaginarybrickwall.com
Twitter: Imaginary Brick Wall (@DynastyHalp)

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