Jarred Kelenic – Imaginary Brick Wall

Posted on June 24, 2024June 28, 2024 by Michael Halpern

Monday Morning Dynasty Baseball Rundown (6/24/24)

I’ll be running down everything that caught my eye in the Dynasty Baseball world on most Mondays throughout the season here on the Brick Wall. The rest of the week you can catch my Rundowns on the Patreon. Here is the Monday Morning Dynasty Baseball Rundown (6/24/24):

CLICK HERE TO JOIN MY PATREON FOR TONS OF EXCLUSIVE CONTENT ALL SEASON, INCLUDING:
-TOP 11 MID-SEASON DYNASTY TARGETS (6/25/24)
-JUNE TOP 305 PROSPECTS RANKS (6/14/24)
-MAY TOP 414 DYNASTY BASEBALL RANKS (5/24/24) (new Update coming next week)
-HALP’S DYNASTY BASEBALL PODCAST: JUNE MAILBAG! (6/28/24)
-TONS OF DYNASTY RUNDOWNS
-SPREADSHEETS

Luken Baker STL, 1B, 27.3 – Baker is my favorite sneaky stash right now, and my favorite candidate to be the next Christian Walker/Max Muncy/Jesus Aguilar (okay, Aguilar might digging a little deep there, but he had some good seasons). Point being, guys in the Baker bucket can definitely breakout and become legit fantasy contributors. He smashed 2 more homers yesterday, and at 6’4”, 265 pounds, he did it looking like one of those absolute units in the World’s Strongest Man Competition during the wood chopping competition. The dude is country strong, and he used that strength to crack 19 homers in just 65 games at Triple-A. The 91.5 MPH EV backs up the power, not like there was any doubt. The cherry on top is that the contact rates and plate approach are also really good with a 19.8%/14.8% K%/BB%. He’s old for the level, but he’s hit very well in the minors since he entered pro ball at 21. The guy can rake, and with Paul Goldschmidt in his final year under contract, I think there is a path for St. Louis to give Baker a real shot in the future, maybe even at the trade deadline (although with St. Louis climbing back in the race, that might be less likely). Either way, the guy is likely freely available in the vast majority leagues, and there is legit potential for him to make a big impact if he gets the opportunity. I ranked him relatively high at #148 on the Updated Top 305 Prospects Rankings (Patreon).

Matt Shaw CHC, 3B, 22.7 – On the other end of the spectrum from a 6’4”, 265 pound, no hype behemoth, the normal human being sized, fully hyped Matt Shaw, all 5’9”, 185 pounds of him soaking wet, also went deep for 2 bombs. That’s the beauty of baseball. You can be good at any size. It reminds me of that picture of Judge and Altuve standing together. Shaw was having a solid season at Double-A all year, but he’s really come alive of late, slashing .296/.386/.561 with 7 homers, 7 steals, and a 20/15 K/BB in his last 25 games. That is all encompassing dominance in the upper minors, and it sure seems like he’s ready for his next challenge, which will probably be Triple-A. But once he gets to Triple-A, he could get the call at any moment to take over their 3B of the future job. He’s an elite prospect.

Brock Wilken MIL, 3B, 22.0 – Wilken was able to hit only 1 homer yesterday. Pretty lame if you ask me. But at least he was mean enough to absolutely obliterate it deep off the batter’s eye in centerfield. This man steps up to the plate with bad intentions with double plus power. Getting hit in the face with a pitch early in the season kinda put a dent in his season (and his face), but he’s been finding a groove of late with a .871 OPS and 3 homers in his last 16 games at Double-A. The hit tool is a definite risk with a 26.6% K% over that time, but you’re buying the power here, and he has plenty of it at 6’4”, 225 pounds.

George Wolkow CHW, OF, 18.5 – Wolkow looks down and laughs at these 6’4” midgets, standing a proper 6’7”, 239 pounds, and quite frankly, he has the most graceful, athletic swing of them all. Just watch him smoke this homer the opposite way with a mere flick of the wrist. He was one of my favorite prospects this off-season, and he’s been even more “fun” once his season got going with 5 homers, 3 steals, a .798 OPS and a 47% K% in 31 games split between rookie ball and Single-A. The K% jumped to 55.4% at Single-A. That is definitely a silly K rate, and if it makes you want to write him off, I totally get it. But personally, I’m blinded by how great of an athlete he is, and considering he’s still just 18 years old with only 44 pro games under his belt, I want to give him some time to figure it out. He’s the type who can thrive with a 30% K% rate, but obviously he has a long way to go to even get to that point.

Max Scherzer TEX, RHP, 39.10 – Scherzer made his season debut, and while he certainly didn’t look in prime form, the guy still pitched extremely well, going 5 IP with 1 hit, 0 ER, and a 4/0 K/BB vs. KCR. He’s the type of guy who will be throwing brushback pitches at 70 years old in the old timers game. The fastball sat only 92.9 MPH, and he only put up a 23% whiff% on the day, but I mean, he just pitched a 1 hitter (in 5 innings) at almost 40 years old coming off back surgery and a thumb injury. Legend stuff right there, and I’m apt to say he’s a target for a win now team. Hopefully his current owner won’t rake you over the coals too much based on name value, but on second thought, maybe he/she should.

Paul Skenes PIT, RHP, 22.0 – The last time I mentioned Skenes in a Rundown I said that would be the last time I mention him, because his dominance is becoming routine, but he’s just too fun not to mention right now. He threw another gem, going 7 IP with 6 hits, 1 ER, and a 8/1 K/BB vs. TBR. He now has a 2.14 ERA with a 33.7%/4.4% K%/BB% in 46.1 IP. Just to not completely bore you with his ascension to greatness, I will mention that he doesn’t really have a no doubt, slam dunk, elite whiff machine secondary. The splitter is the closest one he has, but a .251 xwOBA with a 34.6% whiff% is more in the good territory than truly outstanding. It’s just nitpicking, because what else is there to say other than he’s the top dynasty pitcher in the game.

Josh Lowe TBR, OF, 26.4 – An oblique strain caused Lowe to get off to a rocky start to the season, but he’s now starting to fully back up his 2023 breakout and cement himself as one of the more exciting young players in the game. He went 3 for 4 with a 97.7 MPH groundout, 94.9 MPH single,, 90.7 MPH single, and 87 MPH double. And he wasn’t doing that damage vs anyone, he was doing it off mostly Paul Skenes. He now has 5 homers, 2 steals, a 120 wRC+, a career best 28.8% whiff%, and a career best 14.9% Barrel% in 29 games. By the end of this season, we may be talking about Lowe as an easy Top 50 dynasty asset, and that might be underselling him. He could be ready to erupt.

Jarred Kelenic ATL, OF, 24.10 – Ronald Acuna who? Jarred Kelenic has been on fire since Acuna went down with the injury, going 1 for 3 with a 383 foot homer off Nestor Cortes yesterday. He’s now slashing .297/.338/.554 with 4 homers, 2 steals, and a 20/4 K/BB in his last 21 games. It brings his season wRC+ up to 111. As much as I want to say this is the breakout we’ve all been waiting for, I’m struggling to do that as his plate approach and swing and miss numbers are still rough. He’s also still struggling vs. lefties, although this was his first dinger off a lefty, so maybe he’s even improving in that area too. I’m buying in that he can be a good player and solid fantasy player, but I’m not yet buying in that he’s ready to explode.

Colt Keith DET, 3B/2B, 22.10 – Keith might finally be arriving. I’ve been preaching patience with him because nothing in the underlying numbers looked too bad, and he’s actually been very sneakily blowing up of late, especially after yesterday’s big day. He went 4 for 5 with a homer off essentially Triple-A pitcher Jonathan Cannon. But they all count, and in his last 32 games he’s slashing .321/.357/.486 with 4 homers, 1 steal, and a 18.3% K%. That is the type of complete hitter we expected, and like I mentioned, everything in the underlying numbers look fine with a nearly average .310 xwOBA on the season. If there is still any type of buy window here based on the lowly .628 OPS on the season, I would be all over it.

Echedry Vargas TEX, 2B/SS, 19.3 – Vargas got more than his fair share of hype this off-season as a rookie ball breakout, and after starting off a bit slow in his first real taste of full season ball, he’s been red hot of late. He lifted off for his 5th homer in 42 games on a 4 for 6 day yesterday, and is now slashing .321/.368/.547 with 3 homers, 3 steals, and a 11/3 K/BB in his last 13 games. He’s showing off the power, speed and contact ability. He’s starting to really percolate and the real hype might be just around the corner. It might be time to grab him if he is still available in your league.

Shay Whitcomb HOU, SS/2B/3B, 25.8 – If you’re looking for upside that isn’t in the form of a teenager who is several years away, Whitcomb could be your man. He’s a 25 year old who is knocking on the door of the bigs at Triple-A, and he’s putting together a monster season. He went 1 for 3 yesterday with a homer and a steal, and he’s now slashing .309/.390/.571 with 17 homers, 13 steals, and a 22.3%/11.3% K%/BB% in 68 games. His hit tool is still 100% a major concern even though it’s been improved this year, and it’s very likely that he is going to have to scratch and claw for playing time. Regardless, he’s a fun high risk, high reward prospect who seems pretty close to getting his shot.

Jackson Jobe DET, RHP, 21.11 – Jobe looked like his usual dominant self in a rehab outing (coming off a hamstring injury) at High-A, throwing 3 perfect innings with 4 K’s. The stuff was absolutely nasty and High-A hitters had no shot at it. Once he gets back in the upper minors and finds his groove, I really don’t think it makes much sense to keep having him waste bullets in the minors. I know he doesn’t have a ton of upper minors experience, but he’s already almost 22 years old and the stuff is quite obviously MLB ready. It doesn’t seem like Detroit is any rush to call him up, so I don’t think you can expect him to be up in short order, but he should get his shot at some point in the 2nd half.

Payton Martin LAD, RHP, 20.1 – Martin had his best outing of his young season after the Dodgers supposedly held him back in extended spring training to manage his workload, going 4 IP with 4 hits, 0 ER, and a 6/2 K/BB at High-A. The fastball was only sitting low to mid 90’s on the stadium gun, but you can definitely see the athletic delivery and lively stuff. He hasn’t shown the same level of stuff and production he showed in 2023 which got a lot of people excited with a 3.99 ERA and 33/23 K/BB in 29.1 IP, but he got a late start, and maybe this will be the jumping off point for him to go on a little heater here.

Spencer Horwitz TOR, 1B/2B/OF, 26.7 – Horowitz drilled 2 homers yesterday which were also his first two homers of the year in the majors. One was a 105.6 MPH shot and the other was a 102.9 MPH shot. He was red hot at Triple-A with a 158 wRC+, and he’s carried that right over into the majors with a 197 wRC+ in 13 games. He’s never been a big home run hitter, but he did have an 89.7 MPH EV at Triple-A, so it’s not like he’s only this light slap hitter. And the plate approach is excellent with a 10%/18% K%/BB% in the majors (15.8%/17% at Triple-A). He’s played mostly 2B, and he’s actually been an above average defensive player there despite playing 1B most of his career. I always found it hard to buy into a 1B prospect with mediocre game power, but he’s definitely showing there is more to his game than that. He’s worth an add, especially with Orelvis Martinez getting busted for PED’s.

Josh Smith TEX, 3B/SS, 26.10 – I’ve been trying my best to ignore Josh Smith this year, maybe his completely non descript name wasn’t doing him any favors either, but he simply refuses to be ignored. He homered yet again yesterday and is now slashing .351/.429/.622 with 5 homers, 3 steals, and a 14%/9% K%/BB% in his last 22 games. He also has an 89.1 MPH EV over that time. There is nothing to nitpick there, he’s been legit. His track record prior to this year was been terrible with well below the Gallo line batting averages the last 2 seasons, and he’s hasn’t hit the ball that hard on the season with a 87.1 MPH EV. Jung is also seemingly getting ready to return within the next week or two, so it’s hard to really recommend him as a full buy. But I recently picked him up in my 12 teamer to cover for Bo Bichette (and with how shit Bichette has been, maybe take over for him), so I’m planning on riding it as long as possible.

Jake Irvin WAS, RHP, 27.4 – Talking about guys who refuse to be ignored, Irvin had another spectacular start, going 6 IP with 3 hits, 1 ER, and a 10/1 K/BB vs. COL. He put up a 39% whiff% on the day on the back of his curve (44% whiff%), fastball (50% whiff%), and changeup (67% whiff%). He now has a 3.13 ERA with a 22%/5.4% K%/BB% in 92 IP. I’m still a little skeptical because he’s never really shown this level of control before, the stuff is good but it’s not really great, and despite this game, there isn’t a huge amount of swing and miss in his game with a below average 23.2% whiff%. I would ride him if you have him, but I wouldn’t be willing to pay up big to get him.

Pablo Lopez MIN, RHP, 28.3 – Nothing like a start vs. Oakland to get you back on track, and Lopez took advantage, going 8 IP with 2 hits, 0 ER, and a 14/1 K/BB. I refused to move off him because his underlying numbers looked completely fine with a 3.25 xERA and 27.5%/5.2% K%/BB%. He was bound to right the ship, and while it was only Oakland, he absolutely wrecked them. I think he’s in for a big 2nd half.

Mark Vientos NYM, 3B/1B, 24.6 – Put another one up on the board for my boy Vientos as he obliterated his 7th homer at 109.3 MPH, travelling a cool 451 feet. He was one of my top targets this off-season, and the bat is living up to the hype with a .353 xwOBA, 13.6% Barrel%, and 21.6%/8.0% K%/BB% in 33 games. The cherry on top is that he actually hasn’t been too bad at 3B either. He’s locking in that full time job.

Ethan Salas SDP, C, 18.0 – 0 for 3 with 2 K’s and is now hitting .207 with 1 homer and a 78 wRC+ in 58 games at High-A. Call me crazy, but maybe consider sending him down to Single-A, where he would still be one of the youngest players at the level.

Leodalis De Vries SDP, SS, 17.8 – 0 for 4 with 1 K and is now hitting .194 with 0 homers and a 79 wRC+ in 35 games at Single-A. Call me crazy, but maybe …. eh, never mind, why do I even bother

By Michael Halpern (@MichaelCHalpern)
Email: michaelhalpern@imaginarybrickwall.com
Twitter: Imaginary Brick Wall (@DynastyHalp)

Posted on March 6, 2023March 6, 2023 by Michael Halpern

3/6/23 Spring Dynasty Baseball Rundown

I do these Dynasty Baseball Rundowns all year, mostly on the Patreon, but also a few times a month here on the Brick Wall. Here is the 3/6/23 Spring Dynasty Baseball Rundown:

CLICK HERE TO JOIN MY PATREON FOR TONS OF EXCLUSIVE & EARLY ACCESS CONTENT ALL SEASON, INCLUDING:
-TOP 1,000 2023 DYNASTY BASEBALL RANKS
-TOP 500 2023 DYNASTY PROSPECTS RANKS
-TOP 109 2023 FYPD RANKINGS w/ Strategy & Target Guide
-OBP TOP 500 2023 DYNASTY BASEBALL RANKS
-PTS/6+CAT/OPS “UNIVERSAL” TOP 500 DYNASTY BASEBALL RANKS
-POSTION BY POSITION TARGET/SLEEPER/UNDERRATED SERIES
-ALL-IN-ONE RANKINGS SPREADSHEET
-PREDICTING THE 2024 DYNASTY BASEBALL PROSPECTS RANKS

Andrew Painter PHI, RHP, 19.5 – The pitching prospect went pitching prospect. Painter felt elbow tenderness following his Wednesday spring debut and we are now awaiting an update. This is like when lion and tiger tamers get attacked by the big cats. You know what you’re getting into when owning a pitching prospect. I grabbed Painter in a Mock First Year Player Draft last off-season for Baseball Prospectus and wrote, “My plan is to sell him when he hits his peak on prospect lists, and before he goes all Forrest Whitley on us at Triple-A.” It brings me no joy to have seen the future. It’s a gift and a curse.

Forrest Whitley HOU, RHP, 25.7 – Speaking of the Ghost of Christmas Future, some of Whitley’s control problems popped back up in his 2nd spring outing, going 2 IP with 1 hit, 0 ER, 1 HB (hit batter) and a 1/1 K/BB. He got hit up for 4 hits and 2 ER in his first 2 inning outing. He still has huge stuff, but after getting crushed at Triple-A in 2022, he has a lot to prove to regain his once elite pitching prospect status. Let’s hope this truly isn’t a window into Painter’s future, and we hear today that it is no big deal.

Mike Moustakas COL, 3B/1B, 34.6 – The Rockies went Rockies. They just can’t help themselves. They signed the washed up vet so he can block three solid prospects in Elehuris Montero, Nolan Jones, and Michael Toglia. You know what you’re getting into when you own non elite Rockies prospects. At least they seem to be rolling out the red carpet for Ezequiel Tovar (.912 OPS in 17 PA).

Kodai Senga NYM, RHP, 30.2 – Senga made his much anticipated debut and went 2 IP with 1 hit, 1 ER, and a 2/2 K/BB. The fastball averaged 97 MPH, but it only put up a 10% whiff% on 10 swings, and got hit up with a 93 MPH EV against. He also struggled to find his control in the first inning. The sweeper, cutter, and forkball were all working, and here is an overlay of the fastball/forkball combo which shows how much of a nightmare it will be to face this guy. Overall, it was an impressive first outing which clearly showed off his upside. The stuff is legit.

Riley Greene DET, OF, 22.6 – Greene’s crushing the ball this spring, going 1 for 3 with a 109.5 MPH lineout off Tyler Mahle and a 106.5 MPH double off Pablo Lopez. He also destroyed a 417 foot opposite field homer on Friday. He now has a 1.077 OPS in 13 PA. All signs are pointing towards a big year 2, especially with Detroit bringing the fences in. He’s a buy coming off his decent but unspectacular rookie season.

Jarred Kelenic SEA, OF, 23.9 – Kelenic hit a truly jaw dropping homer to deeeeeeeeepppppp centerfield off an elite pitcher (Devin Williams). I love the dingers where the outfielders barely even move because it’s so obvious. He went 2 for 3 on the day and now has a 1.529 OPS with 4 homers in 17 PA. The 5/0 K/BB still isn’t great, and we’ve seen him destroy Spring the past 2 years, so it’s hard to really buy back in. But at the same time, giving up on a formerly elite prospect at 23 years old seems too harsh. His speed, or lack thereof with a below average 27.2 ft/sec sprint last year is another reason for the rankings drop. A low BA slugger seems to be a reasonable outcome for him, but the upside we hoped for as a prospect is likely wishful thinking.

Jose Miranda MIN, 3B/1B, 24.9 – Miranda went deep twice off a pair of mediocre at best lefties. We know he can mash lefties, it’s vs. righties that I’m slightly concerned about. He’s not a good defensive player, and Minnesota is building up some enviable infield depth throughout their organization. It wouldn’t be surprising if he sits often vs. righties in the not too distant future. It’s why I can’t go higher than 247th overall on him in my 2023 Top 1,000 Dynasty Baseball Rankings. I would tread a little carefully here.

Trevor Rogers MIA, LHP, 25.3 – Rogers looked sharp again in his 2nd spring outing, going 3 IP with 1 hit, 0 ER, and a 2/0 K/BB. I already warned about completely writing him off, and his strong start to spring makes me even more comfortable about buying a bounce back. I’m buying low coming off the classic Sophomore slump in 2022.

Jasson Dominguez NYY, OF, 20.2 – Dominguez scooped a pitch out of the dirt for his 2nd spring bomb and now has a 1.417 OPS in 14 PA. The level of competition he’s faced is only about Double-A quality, but he only needs to beat up on Double-A quality pitching this year for his stock to soar. You guys already know I’ve been shouting from the rooftops all off-season that he’s getting underrated, and his huge spring just solidifies that stance.

Oswaldo Cabrera NYY, 2B/SS/OF, 24.1 – Cabrera went deep as well, and his came off none other than Charlie Morton on a fastball that caught too much of the plate. It’s his 2nd and he now has a .980 OPS in 18 PA. He’s locking in his super utility role at the very least, and he could easily overtake Hicks for the starting LF job at any point.

Orelvis Martinez TOR, SS, 21.4 – Martinez crushed a 104.6 MPH dinger for his first of the spring, showing off his easy plus power with a beautiful righty swing. While other 20 year olds were beating up on lower minors pitching, he was thrown into the fire at Double-A and drilled 30 homers. The BA was low and the plate approach was rough, but you have to take the advanced level of competition into account. He’s in for a big year his 2nd go around in the upper minors, and you’ll regret selling too low on him this off-season. I’m buying the value dip.

Jacob Melton HOU, OF, 22.7 – Melton continues to quietly produce in his limited opportunities, going 1 for 1 with a walk yesterday and now has a 1.357 OPS with a 3/1 K/BB in 8 PA. He utterly destroyed the Pac 12 in 2021-22, and then he crushed Single-A in his pro debut. Now he’s crushing Spring pitching. He ranked 32nd overall on my 2023 Top 110 FYPD Rankings, and is a great college upside bat to target. The K rates have been on the high side everywhere he’s been, so there is some risk too.

Kris Bryant COL, OF, 31.3 – Bryant is putting any and all injury concerns to rest with a monster spring. He crushed a 109 MPH, 425 foot homer off Drew Smyly for his 3rd of the spring. He has a 1.512 OPS in 14 PA. There is no guarantee he stays healthy all year, which is the where the risk comes in, but if he does, there is a chance he blows up hitting in Coors.

Paul Sewald SEA, Closer Committee, 32.10 – 1 IP, 1 hit, 0 ER, 1/0 K/BB. Sewald looked healthy out there in his first outing coming off some minor heel and elbow surgeries this off-season. He has at least a share of the closer job, and as the incumbent veteran, I lean towards him having the lion’s share of the job.

Nick Lodolo CIN, LHP, 25.2 – Lodolo looked sharp in his 2nd outing, going 3 IP with 2 hits, 0 ER, and a 4/1 K/BB. He was only going about 75% with his velocity down 2.2 MPH to 92.2 MPH, but against Oakland’s embarrassing roster, 75% is all you need.

Taj Bradley TBR, RHP, 22.0 – 1 IP, 1 hit, 0 ER, 1/0 K/BB. Bradley’s outing was on Saturday, but it was too impressive not to mention especially with so many prospect lists starting to fade him. The fastball sat 97.1 MPH, and here is a look at a truly devastating changeup (which Statcast classifies as a sinker). The cutter dominated too. The stuff is filthy and he combines that with plus control. If he’s not an elite pitching prospect, he’s near elite, and I’m not sure why his hype tailed off this off-season. Don’t make that same mistake yourself.

Samad Taylor KCR, 2B/OF, 24.9 – Taylor got ahold of his first homer, and is having a nice spring with a 1.286 OPS and 2 steals in 14 PA. It’s nice to see coming off a terrible AFL performance (.555 OPS in 76 PA). He has a fantasy friendly profile and he can play all over the field. I don’t think he’s first up to get an opportunity in KC, but he will likely get his shot at some point during the season due to injury or underperformance, and he’s well worth a pick up at that point. He’s the type you keep an eye on.

Dominic Smith WAS, 1B, 27.9 – Smith is starting to find his rhythm, ripping his first spring homer on Saturday, and going 2 for 2 with a double and a walk yesterday. He now has a 1.136 OPS with a 1/2 K/BB in 14 PA. He definitely looks a little sleeker and is better shape out there to me. The upside might not be huge in a terrible lineup and with a line drive approach, but it certainly seems a bounce back is coming from his terrible 2021-2022. And even in 2021-22 he underperformed his underlying numbers, so a luck bounce back is due is as well.

Jo Adell LAA, OF, 24.0 – 0 for 3 with 2 K’s and is 0 for 11 with 8 K’s in his last 4 games as he sinks further and further into the abyss …

By Michael Halpern (@MichaelCHalpern)
Email: michaelhalpern@imaginarybrickwall.com
Twitter: Imaginary Brick Wall (@DynastyHalp)

Posted on November 7, 2022November 11, 2022 by Michael Halpern

Seattle Mariners 2023 Dynasty Baseball Team Report (Top 10 Prospects/Interesting MLB guys/Strategy Talk)

Along with a Top 10 Dynasty Baseball Prospects Ranking, I wanted to highlight some interesting MLB guys for every team and talk some strategy to give a more complete Dynasty Team Report. Like during the regular season, I’m still going to be posting a few articles a month for free on my website. This is one of those articles. Here is the Seattle Mariners 2023 Dynasty Baseball Report (Top 10 Prospects/Interesting MLB guys/Strategy Talk):

CLICK HERE TO JOIN MY PATREON FOR TONS OF EXCLUSIVE CONTENT ALL OFF-SEASON, INCLUDING:
-A TOP 59 SNEAK PEEK OF THE 2023 TOP 1,000 DYNASTY BASEBALL RANKINGS
-2023 DEEP DYNASTY POSITIONAL RANKS: TOP 65 CATCHERS
-TOP 13 EARLY OFF-SEASON DYNASTY TARGETS
-TOP 8 OFF-SEASON DYNASTY SELLS
-TOP 360 END OF SEASON 2022 DYNASTY PROSPECTS RANKINGS
-TOP 456 END OF SEASON 2022 DYNASTY BASEBALL RANKINGS

Previous Team Reports on Patreon
Arizona Diamondbacks—Baltimore Orioles (free)—Boston Red Sox (free)—Chicago White Sox—Colorado Rockies—Kansas City Royals—Miami Marlins—Milwaukee Brewers—Minnesota Twins—New York Mets (free)—San Francisco Giants—Texas Rangers—Washington Nationals

Hitters

Julio Rodriguez SEA, OF, 22.3 – Prospects can break your heart, but the season Julio just had is why we play this game. There is nothing more satisfying in all of fantasy sports than acquiring a young prospect, letting him develop in your farm system, and then watching him explode in his MLB debut. And explode is exactly what Julio did, slashing .284/.345/.509 with 28 homers, 25 steals, and a 25.9%/7.1% K%/BB% in 132 games. He has elite speed (29.8 ft/sec sprint speed) and elite exit velocity numbers (92/96.2 MPH AVG/FB EV). He closed out the season with a bang, putting up a 1.202 OPS in his final 19 games, which could be foreshadowing for what he has in store for 2023. The only quibble is that he ran far less in the 2nd half with only 4 steals in 7 attempts in his final 50 games, but considering how fast he is, I wouldn’t get too hung up on that. 2023 Projection: 96/32/98/.278/.353/.522/26

Jarred Kelenic SEA, OF, 23.9 – Prospects can fill your heart, but the career Kelenic is having is why we curse this game. There is nothing more painful in all of fantasy sports than acquiring a young prospect, letting him develop in your farm system, and then watching him implode in the majors. And implode is exactly what Jarred did, slashing .168/.251/.338 with 21 homers, 11 steals, and a 30.0%/9.3% K%/BB% in his 147 game career. He actually managed to get worse in year 2 with a .534 OPS, 33.7% K%, and 55 wRC+ in 54 games. I wrote in the Torkelson blurb for the Tigers Team Report that I’m almost more encouraged that Tork struggled at Triple-A too considering he ripped up Triple-A in 2021. It means it just might have been a down year, which happens to almost everyone in baseball. If he went right back to destroying Triple-A, I might think he has some kind of fatal flaw vs. MLB pitchers. Enter Jarred Kelenic, who continually gets sent back down to Triple-A and goes right back to raking. He was starting to show the weakest of pulses in September with 3 homes and a 1.107 OPS in the first 7 games of the month, but it was false hope as he closed out the season going 1 for 23. Even his upside isn’t what it used to be as he now has below average speed. He’s still only 23 years old, and he has nowhere to go but up (although I said that last year too), but his name value will still probably push his acquisition cost up higher than I would be willing to go. I’m staying away. 2023 Projection: 53/17/61/.228/.299/.405/9

Cal Raleigh SEA, C, 26.4 – Raleigh became one of the premier power hitting catchers in the majors, smashing 27 homers which was tied for first with Daulton Varsho. They weren’t cheapies either as he crushed the ball with a 90.9/94.8 MPH AVG/FB EV and 22.5 degree launch. His 114 MPH Max EV was in the top 6% of the league. The high launch angle combined with a high strikeout rate (29.4% K%) is going to tank his batting average (.211 BA), so he’s basically Mike Zunino 2.0, although his strikeout problems aren’t nearly as bad as Zunino’s. 2023 Projection: 57/25/71/.225/.304/.462/2

Starting Pitchers

George Kirby SEA, RHP, 25.2 – Kirby dominated in his MLB debut with elite control (4.1% BB%) of a legitimate 6 pitch mix (4-seam, curve, cutter, sinker, slider, change). He threw each pitch at least 8% of the time, but the fastball is the money maker, throwing it 45.4% of the time and putting up a negative 18 run value on it (9th best in baseball). It led to a pitching line of 3.39/1.21/133/22 in 130 IP. As advertised from his prospect days, none of his secondaries are true out pitches, and his 24.5% K% isn’t standout with a below average 21.2% whiff%, but that is one hell of a rookie season. I’m only expecting improvements from here. 2023 Projection: 12/3.45/1.11/178 in 170 IP

Logan Gilbert SEA, RHP, 25.4 – Gilbert’s profile is very similar to Kirby’s, except slightly worse. He also has excellent control (6.4% BB%) of a heavily used 96.1 MPH fastball (53.9% usage). He put up a negative 12 run value on the pitch which was 25th overall. It led to a pitching line of 3.20/1.18/174/49 in 185.2 IP. None of his secondaries are truly standout, and while his changeup performed the best, he only went to it 8% of the time. The biggest red flag is that his stuff is mighty hittable with a 91 MPH EV against (bottom 3% of the league) and 118 MPH Max EV against (bottom 1%). His 4.11 xERA was much worst than his 3.20 ERA. K/BB numbers are still king at the end of the day, and his control will ensure a good WHIP even if the ERA rises. I would also bet on improvements to his secondaries as he already tinkered with his slider this year, throwing it 3.5 MPH faster. 2023 Projection: 13/3.58/1.16/187 in 190 IP

Bullpen

Andres Munoz SEA, Setup, 24.2 – Munoz is the top setup man to own in dynasty, and Seattle has been malleable with their bullpen in the past, so he could easily lock down a share of the closer job with Paul Sewald. He throws a 100.2 MPH fastball with a silly elite slider that put up a 50.8% whiff% and .162 xwOBA. It led to a 38.7% K% and 41.8% whiff%. If that wasn’t enough, he also has near elite control with a 6% BB% and he induced weak contact at near elite rates with a 86.2 MPH EV against. He had a 2.49 ERA with a 96/15 K/BB in 65 IP, and his 1.84 xERA was even better. The guy literally doesn’t have a weakness and has a real argument to be crowned the best reliever in baseball. 2023 Projection: 5/2.39/0.93/91/12 saves in 62 IP

Top 10 Seattle Mariners Fantasy Baseball Prospects

1) Harry Ford SEA, C, 20.1 – Harry Ford and Logan O’Hoppe were my top 2 prospect catcher targets for 2022, and both were big hits. Granted, you could have thrown a rock and hit a catcher prospect breakout with Endy Rodriguez, Bo Naylor, Edgar Quero, Diego Cartaya, Ford, O’Hoppe etc … all having big seasons. Ford used his lightning quick bat, plus speed, and mature plate approach to put up a 132 wRC+ in 104 games at Single-A. He slashed .274/.425/.439 with 11 homers, 23 steals, and a 23%/17.6% K%/BB%. The power didn’t pop, but his home ballpark is one of the worst for homers, and I have no doubts about his long term power as he doesn’t have any groundball issues. He hit 8 homers in 53 games on the road and 3 in 51 games at home. He’s a plus athlete who could play other position, so he could be the type to retain catcher eligibility while still playing 150+ games. He’s still a major buy for me in 2023. ETA: 2025 Prime Projection: 84/23/78/.268/.350/.463/16

2) Gabriel Gonzalez SEA, OF, 19.3 – Gonzalez might not have the highest upside as he’s not a huge tools guy. He doesn’t have monster power or speed, and he’s not a hulking human being at about 5’11”, but what he does have is monster baseball skills. He destroyed the DSL in 2021 with a 141 wRC+ in 54 games, then he crushed stateside rookie ball in 2022 with a 164 wRC+ in 35 games, before making his full season debut and barely slowing down with a 14%/8.7% K%/BB% and 116 wRC+ in 32 games at Single-A. He has a plus hit tool with near elite contact rates his entire career, and there is plus power potential especially considering the quality of contact. He’s not a burner but he should be able to nab a handful of steals as well. He’s one of the safest teenage prospects in the game and it’s not like there isn’t some upside in here either. ETA: 2026 Prime Projection: 85/25/85/.278/.343/.473/9

3) Jonatan Clase SEA, OF, 20.10 – Clase had a big time breakout season, but nobody seemed to notice. He slashed .267/.374/.463 with 13 homers, 55 steals, and a 26.7%/13% K%/BB% in 107 games at Single-A. He has elite speed and there is some real juice in his bat with him crushing some absolute bombs. He’s only 5’8”, 150 pounds, so he’s not going to be a huge power hitter, but there should be enough to let his speed shine. The high K% adds risk which prevents his value from really exploding, but he mitigates that with high a walk rate. Clase is the type I hope falls right into my lap late in off-season prospect drafts. ETA: 2025 Prime Projection: 79/14/60/.246/.328/.398/31

4) Cole Young SEA, SS, 19.8 – Selected 21st overall in the 2022 MLB Draft, Young is kinda similar to Edwin Arroyo (selected 48th by Seattle in 2021) in the sense he doesn’t necessarily jump off the screen, but there is still an exciting set of tools led by the plus hit. He did damage in his pro debut, slashing .367/.423/.517 with 2 homers, 4 steals, and a 8/8 K/BB in 17 games split between rookie ball and Single-A (he actually performed better at Single-A than rookie). He’s a very solid 6’0”, 180 pounds with above average speed and the ability to put a sting into the ball, although his well over 50% GB% will limit his power. It’s not the highest upside profile, but it’s a safe one with the potential to contribute in every category ETA: 2026 Prime Projection: 87/17/62/.274/.340/.428/15

5) Lazaro Montes SEA, OF, 18.6 – I fell in love with Montes’ graceful lefty swing from a 6’3”, 210 pound frame last off-season, and he didn’t disappoint in 2022, slashing .284/.422/.585 with 10 homers, 3 steals, and a 33.2%/15.7% K%/BB% in 55 games in the DSL. It’s legitimate 40+ homer potential, but I can’t deny the 33.2% K% against the very weak DSL pitching isn’t concerning. The high walk rate shows that some of that was because of his extreme patience, but it gives him major hit tool risk, and as a corner outfielder, his bat will have to hit close to it’s ceiling to lock in playing time. I’m still betting on the talent long term, but not as much as I would have with better K rates. ETA: 2027 Prime Projection: 76/34/84/.238/.320/.502/4

6) Felnin Celesten SEA, SS, 17.6 – Expected to sign for over $4 million, Celesten has that super smooth lefty swing (he also hits righty) in the mold of a Marcelo Mayer, George Valera, and Zac Veen. It just screams offensive potential. He’s also an excellent athlete with plus speed. We’ve seen plenty of international prospects with smooth swings just not hit enough against more advanced competition, but it’s hard not to fall in love with the swing and tools. Considering the last couple international classes haven’t really popped, Celesten could come at a very reasonable price in 2023 First Year Player Drafts. This could be the year to dive back into this market. ETA: 2028 Prime Projection: 83/26/87/.268/.336/.470/18

7) Bryce Miller SEA, RHP, 24.7 – Miller showed major control problems in 2021 in the SEC in his first year as a starter with a 5.9 BB/9 in 56.2 IP, but Seattle took a shot on his big stuff in the 4th round, and it paid off in 2022. He put up a pitching line of 3.16/1.04/163/46 in 133.2 IP at mostly High-A and Double-A. He pitched just as well at each level. He throws gas with a mid 90’s fastball and has 3 quality secondaries in his slider, change, and curve. He certainly still has some reliever risk, but there is real fantasy upside here, especially considering this was only his 2nd year as a starter. 2023 Projection: 3/4.19/1.34/51 in 50 IP Prime Projection: 10/3.76/1.30/168 in 160 IP

8) Emerson Hancock SEA, RHP, 23.10 – Hancock was art of pitching his way through Double-A with a 2.19 ERA and 64/21 K/BB in his first 70 IP, but the lack strikeouts caught up with him in the end with a 7.62 ERA and 28/17 K/BB in his final 28.1 IP. His 3.75 ERA was still solid overall, but the 22.3%/9.2% K%/BB% and 5.43 xFIP doesn’t look as good. He has the pedigree as the former 6th overall pick in the draft, and he looks the part when you watch him with 3 electric pitches (mid 90’s heat, change, slider), but the numbers say back end starter. I’ll split the difference and put a #4 starter tag on him. 2023 Projection: 2/4.42/1.38/56 in 65 IP Prime Projection: 10/3.93/1.27/158 in 170 IP

9) Cade Marlowe SEA, OF, 25.9 – Marlowe is in that Joey Wiemer class of prospect. He’s an older prospect with a plus power/speed combo and major hit tool issues. He slashed .287/.377/.487 with 23 homers, 42 steals, and a 27.0%/10.7% K%/BB% in 133 games at mostly Double-A. He made it to Triple-A for 13 games and his K% spiked to 38.3%, which isn’t a great sign. He’s older than Wiemer and the power/speed combo isn’t as big as Wiemer, but these types of prospects give you legitimate upside without having to draft a teenager who is likely at least 3-4 years away. I doubt Seattle will just hand him a starting job, so he will have to scratch and claw for playing time with a very short leash when he does get his shot. He also hits righties significantly better than lefties, so a platoon role is in play. 2023 Projection: 19/5/20/.221/.290/.398/6 Prime Projection: 51/16/60/.236/.316/.431/12

10) Tyler Locklear SEA, 1B/3B, 22.4 – Selected 58th overall in the 2022 MLB Draft, Locklear put up video game numbers in the Atlantic 10, slashing .402/.542/.799 with 20 homers, 6 steals, and a 25/47 K/BB in 62 games. He smashed in pro ball too with 7 homers and a 21.8% K% in 29 games at Single-A. The power is very real at 6’3”, 210 pounds and he also has a good feel to hit with a relatively short righty swing. The swing isn’t particularly athletic, he has below average speed and he’s likely a 1B long term, so the bat will have to hit it’s absolute ceiling to hold down a full time job. ETA: 2025 Prime Projection: 64/22/77/.254/.321/.466/2

11) Axel Sanchez SEA, SS, 20.4 – Sanchez looks cool as a cucumber in the box before exploding on the ball. He has easy athleticism and was known more for his glove than his bat prior to this year. The bat really shined in 2022 though, slashing .283/.365/.510 with 10 homers, 13 steals, and a 24.9%/9.1% K%/BB% split between rookie (117 wRC+ in 27 games), Single-A (155 wRC+ in 33 games), and High-A (38 wRC+ in 8 games). There is still plenty of refinement needed, but he reminds me a bit of Jeremy Pena. ETA: 2026 Prime Projection: 76/20/72/.250/.322/.428/13

12) Michael Arroyo SEA, SS/3B, 18.5 – Arroyo was a high priced international signing who was known for his plus hit tool and mature approach. He came exactly as advertised in his pro debut, slashing .314/.457/.484 with 4 homers, 4 steals, and a 16.6%/13.6% K%/BB% in 49 DSL games. He’s similar to Gabriel Gonzalez in that he isn’t a huge tools guy at 5’10”, 160 pounds, although his power potential probably doesn’t rise quite to Gonzalez’ level. I want to love Arroyo even more, but it’s hard for me to fly a guy up my rankings who doesn’t have huge upside, is a long way off from the majors, and hasn’t even debuted stateside. ETA: 2027 Prime Projection: 83/21/73/.273/.339/.447/6

13) Taylor Dollard SEA, RHP, 24.1 – Dollard isn’t a big velocity guy with a low 90’s fastball, but he mitigates that by going to his plus slider very often (he also throws a curve and change) and by hitting his spots with at least plus control (5.4% BB%). He put up a pitching line of 2.25/0.95/131/31 in 144 IP at Double-A. He’s not a big strikeout guy, and his .248 BABIP with a 4.66 xFIP shows he needed some luck to put up those numbers. Despite his age, he’s still relatively projectable at 6’3”, 195 pounds, so if he’s able to add velocity in his mid 20’s, he could easily beat his current back to mid rotation projection: 2023 Projection: 1/4.46/1.31/23 in 30 IP Prime Projection: 9/4.12/1.26/152 in 165 IP

14) Bryan Woo SEA, RHP, 23.2 – Woo returned from Tommy John surgery in June and immediately showed the big stuff is back with a mid 90’s fastball, plus slider, and a changeup that flashes plus. He was a strikeout machine in the lower minors with a 85/22 K/BB (4.11 ERA) in 57 IP spread across 3 levels (rookie, A, A+). He’s now destroying the AFL with a 0.84 ERA and 16/4 K/BB in 10.2 IP. I generally discount AFL performance, but one of the exceptions is from a pitcher who was out for most of the season. You can’t fake big time stuff, and Woo certainly has big time stuff. This off-season is definitely the time to get in on Woo before his value explodes in 2023. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 9/3.94/1.32/161 in 155 IP

Dynasty Baseball Thought/Strategy of the Day (which may or may not be related to the team I’m covering that day)

As I alluded to in the Jonatan Clase blurb, not every target of mine is someone I’m necessarily going to really stick my neck out to grab. If you’re constantly reaching for all of your favorite underrated targets, you’re basically eliminating the excess value they should provide to you. The value comes from letting that player fall right into your lap. Gaming the draft is a big part of fantasy success, and you have to risk losing a guy. If you miss out on them, c’est la vie. I certainly have some targets I need to have and am willing to go above and beyond to get, but you have to pick your spots.

By Michael Halpern (@MichaelCHalpern)
Email: michaelhalpern@imaginarybrickwall.com
Twitter: Imaginary Brick Wall (@DynastyHalp)

Posted on August 1, 2022August 1, 2022 by Michael Halpern

Monday Morning Dynasty Baseball Rundown (8/1/22)

I’ll be running down everything that caught my eye in the Dynasty Baseball world on most Mondays throughout the season. Here is the Monday Morning Dynasty Baseball Rundown (8/1/22):

CLICK HERE TO JOIN MY PATREON FOR TONS OF EXCLUSIVE CONTENT, INCLUDING:
-MID-SEASON TOP 314 2022 DYNASTY PROSPECTS RANKINGS
-TOP 437 JULY 2022 DYNASTY BASEBALL RANKINGS
-TOP 10 TRADE NEGOTIATION TACTICS (one of my favorite things I’ve ever written)
-TOP 10 MID-SEASON TRADE TARGETS
-MID-SEASON OBP TOP 447 DYNASTY BASEBALL RANKINGS
-MID-SEASON POINTS/6+CATS/OPS “UNIVERSAL” TOP 430 DYNASTY BASEBALL RANKINGS
-TOP 40 2023 FYPD RANKINGS

Jarred Kelenic SEA, OF, 22.11 – 0 for 3 with 2 K’s vs. HOU. It’s like he never left

Alex Ramirez NYM, OF, 19.6 – The hype has been far too quiet on Ramirez for years now, but it’s not going to stay that way for much longer as he demolished 2 homers at High-A yesterday, the first one out to dead center, and the 2nd one he smashed so hard even he had to stop and stare. He’s now destroying High-A with 5 homers and a .935 OPS in 20 games. I’ve tried to carry the torch for him on my own since he was signed, ranking him all the way up at 161st overall on my 2020 Prospects Rankings, and he’s now reached Top 50 status for me.

Pedro Leon HOU, OF/SS, 24.2 – Leon walloped a homer where the ball jumped off the bat so fast you don’t even need to know the EV to know it was hit out with the quickness … but I checked anyway and it was measured at 107.6 MPH. My eye had it at least 109.2 MPH though. I trust the eye test 🙂 He’s leveled up over the past 25 games, slashing .282/.430/.541 with 5 homers, 12 steals, and most importantly a 17/18 K/BB. Seeing the K’s come down is huge.

Nick Lodolo CIN, LHP, 24.4 – 6 IP, 4 hits, 1 ER, 7/2 K/BB vs. Baltimore. Lodolo had all 3 pitches working (sinker, curve, change), leading to a 33% whiff% and 87.3 MPH EV against on the day. I hope my Patreon members already went out and acquired Lodolo, because I named him one of my Top 10 Mid-Season Trade Targets back in late June, and ranked him 147th overall on the Updated Top 437 Dynasty Rankings that dropped last week. There could still be a buy window here, but it’s closing fast.

Reid Detmers LAA, LHP, 23.0 – 7 IP, 3 hits, 1 ER, 12/3 K/BB vs. TEX. He dominated with the fastball, slider and curve that all put up over a 40% whiff%. The fastball is up to 93.8 MPH, which is great to see after it was sitting 92+ MPH earlier in the year. He’s been a man possessed since getting called back up with a 1.13 ERA and 31/9 K/BB in 24 IP. I ranked him 239th in the Updated Dynasty Rankings, and that’s already looking pretty light.

David Peterson NYM, LHP, 26.10 – Peterson was sent down to Triple-A due to the Mets jammed packed rotation and went 4.1 IP with 4 hits, 1 ER, and a 7/2 K/BB. I see this as a blessing in disguise if you don’t own him because this creates a buying opportunity that you should jump all over. His fastball is up 0.7 MPH to 93.7 MPH, and his slider jumped 2 MPH to 84.1 MPH, turning it into an elite pitch with a 47.8% whiff%. If he gets dropped in a shallowish league, or if a contender is willing to trade him in a win now deal, I would pounce.

Matt Chapman TOR, 3B, 29.2 – Don’t look now but Chapman has his OPS up over .800 (.808) after going 2 for 3 with a 108.7 MPH homer yesterday. The K% is holding at a manageable 26% and his EV is back up to 93 MPH (Top 2% of the league). His .353 xwOBA is the 2nd best mark of his career. I ranked him 144th overall on my Top 1,000 Rankings this off-season and wrote, “Chapman seems like one of the easiest bounce back calls in baseball for 2022. One of those picks that will look obvious in hindsight. He underwent surgery to repair a hip labrum that brought his rehab right up to the start of the 2021 season. Even with the down year he still jacked 27 homers, put up a career best 12.9% BB%, and had an above average .320 xwOBA. With a normal off-season and being further removed from that serious surgery there is almost no doubt he will perform much closer to his career numbers.”

Bryan Ramos CHW, 3B/2B, 20.5 – Ramos lifted off for 2 homers at High-A to give him 17 homers in 83 games. It also comes with an excellent 16.9%/9.1% K%/BB%. He hasn’t stolen a single base, which caps his fantasy upside, but he’s quietly chugging along as one of the best hit/power combo prospects in the game.

Triston Casas BOS, 1B, 22.4 – Casas missed almost two months with a sprained ankle, but he’s back to raking at Triple-A as he cranked out his 2nd homer in 3 games. He hasn’t exploded at the level with a 107 wRC+ in 45 games, but it doesn’t really change his profile much as a high OBP, slugging first baseman who should maintain a solid BA too.

Jordan Walker STL, 3B, 20.3 – Walker is snapping out of a power slump with his 4th and 5th homer in his last 9 games at Double-A. He hit 1 in his previous 28 games, but you only have to watch his first homer of the day to see why the power slump wasn’t an issue at all. He hit the ball 439 feet on a very easy and controlled swing. He’s also been in a stolen base slump with 1 steal in his last 29 games, and that one I am a little concerned about considering his size. He’ll chip in with a handful, but I wouldn’t expect him to a major contributor in that category

Francisco Alvarez NYM, C, 20.7 – Talk about no doubt power, Alvarez smashed his 3rd homer in 16 games at Triple-A out to right center. It was a pitch on the outside corner that he hit off the end of his bat. He’s only hitting .173, but that’s mostly due to a .194 BABIP, and he’s an OBP machine with a 21.1% BB%.

James Wood SDP, OF, 19.9 – Possibly my favorite prospect in the game, Wood had yet another huge day at the dish, going 4 for 5 with a homer that he crushed out to centerfield on a pretty short and quick swing. That short and quick swing gives him a chance to hit for a pretty decent average despite being 6’7”. He has 10 dingers with a 17.8%/15.8% K%/BB% in 50 games at Single-A. Please believe this man is an elite prospect. He ranked 9th overall on my Top 314 July Prospects Rankings (Patreon).

Roansy Contreras PIT, RHP, 22.8 – Pitt has head scratchingly used Contreras an up and down arm this year, and he went 3 IP with 4 hits, 1 ER, and a 5/0 K/BB at Triple-A yesterday. They shut him down after his best outing of the year on July 7th and are now building him back up, so I guess there is some method to the madness, but I’ve never really seen any other good team use a development strategy like this. It’s odd at the very least.

Chase Petty CIN, RHP, 19.0 – Petty got called up to High-A and got hit up, going 3 IP with 7 hits, 6 ER, and a 1/3 K/BB. His numbers at Single-A were solid (3.18 ERA), but the stuff has been a little underwhelming relative to where it was in his draft year, and a 22.7%/8.7% K%/BB% is not that exciting. I assumed he was the type to either have a 14.7% BB% with a 1.51 WHIP, or skyrocket to top pitching prospect in the game status, but he’s surprisingly ending up kinda boring. Not to say that next year he can’t take it to another level.

Mason Montgomery TB, LHP, 22.0 – 5 IP, 6 hits, 1 ER, 5/2 K/BB at Double-A. Montgomery got called up to Double-A for his last 3 starts and the higher level definitely put him in check with a 26.4%/16.4% K%/BB% in 13 IP, but he’s still managed to hold his own with a 2.08 ERA. The stuff isn’t big, but he uses a deceptive lefty delivery to get the job done and is in a great organization to maximize his talent. I like him as a late round target in off-season prospect drafts.

Bryan Mata BOS, RHP, 23.3 – 6 IP, 5 hits, 3 ER, 7/1 K/BB at Double-A. Mata got a late start to his season coming off April 2021 Tommy John surgery and he’s just now getting up to full speed, throwing 88 pitches in this one which is a season high. He has major control problems that gives his bullpen risk, but the stuff is nasty with an upper 90’s fastball and 4 pitch mix. Even if he ends up in the pen he has the potential to go Jhoan Duran on us.

Alec Bohm PHI, 3B, 26.0 – 4 for 5 with a 109.6 MPH double, 105 MPH single, and 102 MPH homer. Bohm’s launch angle is all the way up to 11 degrees (5.6 degrees in 2021), which is extremely encouraging for his future power potential, although a 92.6 MPH FB/LD EV has kept it in check this year with only 7 homers in 94 games. Regardless, his .346 xwOBA is much better than his .323 wOBA, and he’s starting to lock himself in as a reliable MLB hitter. He has only one steal with a below average 27.1 ft/sec sprint speed, and his 4.7% BB% is in the bottom 7% of the league, so there are still some issues, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see his power really pop down the stretch here.

Eloy Jimenez CHW, OF, 25.7 – 1 for 3 with a 109.8 MPH homer. Eloy is back to his power and nothing else thing, but boy oh boy does he have power with a 94.1 MPH EV (4th best in baseball with a minimum of 50 BBE) and 99 MPH FB/LD EV (2nd best). It’s his 8.7 degree launch and 25.5%/4.1% K%/BB% that keeps me from ranking him any higher than 110th on the Updated Top 437 Dynasty Rankings, but that insane exit velocity could make that ranking look silly very quickly.

Brandon Lowe TB, OF/2B, 27.11 – 2 for 3 with 2 doubles and a 0/1 K/BB. The perpetually underrated Lowe returned from a lower back injury a couple weeks ago and immediately gots to raking, slashing .340/.392/.553 with an 90.4 MPH EV. His 23.4% K% is a career low.

Jose Miranda MIN, 3B/2B, 24.0 – Miranda pummeled his 10th homer in 64 games off Sean Manaea and now has a 214 wRC+ with a 91.1 MPH EV in his last 16 games. The underlying numbers are still a little underwhelming overall with a .301 xwOBA (.343 wOBA) and 5% BB%, so I’m a little hesitant to go all in, but his plus hit/power combo is definitely starting to come around in the majors.

James Outman LAD, OF, 25.2 – Outman made his MLB debut with a bang, going 3 for 4 with a 109.4 MPH single, 104.3 MPH double, and a 404 foot homer. He’s likely a bench bat, but he’s interesting in a deep league with a plus power/speed combo and a high OBP. The K rate has been high his entire career (29% K% in 68 games at Double-A), and he only had a 99 wRC+ in his 22 games at Triple-A, so I would keep expectations in check, but he has fantasy friendly upside in OBP league especially if he works his way into more playing time.

George Valera CLE, OF, 21.7 – Valera murdered a ball off a lefty for his 15th homer in 84 games and 2nd homer off a lefty at Double-A. It was a no doubter that would have likely been a 2nd deck shot had there been a 2nd deck

Robert Hassell SDP, OF, 20.11 – Hassell slapped one the other way for his 10th homer in 75 games at High-A. His power has been underwhelming since hitting 5 homers in April, and he’s also 1 for 4 on the bases in his last 21 games. As much as I love him, it wouldn’t be surprising if ended up a mid teens power and speed guy.

Deyvison De Los Santos ARI, 3B, 19.1 – De Los Santas got called up to High-A and he just can’t stop hitting bombs, drilling his 4th in 9 games. It comes with a 9/0 K/BB, and the plate approach hasn’t been great all year, but considering his elite power and age, I wouldn’t get too hung up on that.

Matt Mervis CHC, 1B, 24.3 – I’m late to the Marvelous Mr. Mervis party, but he recently got the call to Triple-A and has continued to dominate, going 2 for 4 with a double yesterday and now has a 136 wRC+ with 2 homers and a 17.5%/5% K%/BB% in 9 games. He’s 6’4”, 225 pounds with a vicious lefty swing, and while he hits righties much better than lefties, he’s not hopeless against lefties with a .796 OPS in 114 PA. He’s a good pick up in any size league, even relatively shallow ones.

By Michael Halpern (@MichaelCHalpern)
Email: michaelhalpern@imaginarybrickwall.com
Twitter: Imaginary Brick Wall (@DynastyHalp)

Posted on May 2, 2022May 2, 2022 by Michael Halpern

Monday Morning Dynasty Baseball Rundown (5/2/22)

I’ll be running down everything that caught my eye in the Dynasty Baseball world on most Mondays throughout the season. Here is the Monday Morning Dynasty Baseball Rundown (5/2/22):

CLICK HERE TO JOIN MY PATREON FOR TONS OF EXCLUSIVE CONTENT ALL SEASON, INCLUDING:
-UPDATED APRIL 2022 TOP 414 DYNASTY BASEBALL RANKINGS
-UPDATED TOP 300 DYNASTY PROSPECTS RANKINGS COMING TOMORROW
-TONS OF DYNASTY RUNDOWNS

Julio Rodriguez SEA, OF, 21.4 – The umpires have been screwing Julio all season, and he took out his frustration on poor Sandy Alcantara yesterday, absolutely drilling a 110.4 MPH, 450 foot bomb for his first of many MLB homers. He’s been hot over his last nine games, slashing .364/.432/.546 with an 8/3 K/BB. He leads all of baseball with 9 steals, and his 29.9 ft/sec sprint speed is in the top 1% of the league. Pitchers better hope the umps keep expanding the strike zone on him, because it’s about to get ugly.

Jarred Kelenic SEA, OF, 22.9 – Speaking of getting ugly, Kelenic went 0 for 3 with 2 K’s and now has a .508 OPS with an 85.2 MPH EV and 38.4% whiff% on the year. There are no silver linings. He dropped to 68th overall on my the Updated Dynasty Rankings over on my Patreon a few weeks ago, and he’ll drop even further on the next update.

J.P. Crawford SEA, SS, 27.4 – Crawford has been molten hot, going 2 for 3 with a homer, double and walk. He now has 4 homers with a 1.091 OPS and 9.7%/11/8% K%/BB% in 22 games. I’m struggling to buy into the breakout because of an 85.1 MPH EV and 20.8% whiff%. I would sell high if you can.

Andrew Painter PHI, RHP, 19.0 – Painter’s dominance continued, going 4 IP with 2 hits, 0 ER, and a 6/2 K/BB at Single-A. His fastball sat 96.5 MPH and put up a 38% whiff%. He now leads all minor league pitchers with more than 2 IP with a negative 0.68 xFIP. I joked on Twitter last week that he’s been so dominant the advanced stats just said fuck it, they should really start taking runs away from the other team. He’ll be pushing Top 50 prospect status when my Updated Top 300 Prospects Rankings hit Patreon tomorrow.

Jackson Jobe DET, RHP, 19.8 – Jobe is trying his best to keep up with Painter to hold his crown as the top rated high school pitcher from the 2021 draft class, going 3 IP with 3 hits, 2 ER, and a 3/1 K/BB. The fastball sat 95.8 MPH and his slider continues to spin enough to make a guy dizzy with a 3084 spin rate. It’s still close, but I think I prefer Painter right now.

Michael Harris ATL, OF, 21.2 – The game power has arrived in all it’s glory as Harris lifted off twice yesterday for his 3rd and 4th homers of the year at Double-A. He walloped a 432 foot shot to leadoff the game and then dug one almost out of the dirt off a sidewinder righty for his 2nd. The plate approach (18.8%/8.3% K%/BB%) and speed (9 steals in 21 games) are working too. He’s dotting his i’s, crossing his t’s, and semi circling his p’s.

Matt McLain CIN, SS, 22.8 – McLain’s been minding his P’s and Q’s at Double-A as well, matching Harris with a 2 homer game. He took both homers out to deep centerfield. How much power he would get to was a question coming out of the draft, but he’s had no issues with 5 homers and a 35% GB% in 20 games.

Triston Casas BOS, 1B, 22.2 – I’m all out of expressions involving the alphabet, but the only letter Casas needs to focus on is K. Bobby Dalbec’s K’s that is. Casas is coming for the starting 1B job with his 5th homer in 23 games at Triple-A while Dalbec is sitting on a 29 wRC+ with a 30.7% K% in the majors.

Ryan Helsley STL, Closer Committee, 27.9 – Picked up his first save, going 2 perfect innings with 4 K’s. Helsley’s been silly good all year with 1 hit, 0 ER, and a 16/0 K/BB in 8.1 IP. His fastball is up to 98.7 MPH and his cutter and curve are putting up a 55.6% and 50% whiff%, respectively. He’s likely in a closer committee right now, but he has the chance to pull away with the role.

Triston McKenzie CLE, RHP, 24.9 – McKenzie lost his control for the first time in his career in 2021, and it’s back this year, going 6.1 IP with 4 hits, 0 ER, and a 7/1 K/BB vs. Oakland. He has an above average 7.4% BB% on the year. His whiff% is only sitting at 22.7%, but as long as the control is there, he should be solid.

Josh Winder MIN, RHP, 25.6 – Winder got his first MLB start and impressed, going 6 IP with 2 hits, 0 ER and 7/1 K/BB vs. Tampa. The fastball sat 94.9 MPH, the slider had a 76 MPH EV against, and the curve and change handled the whiffs, leading to a 27% whiff% overall. He has good stuff with a starter’s repertoire. It all seems to add up to a rock solid mid rotation starter.

George Kirby SEA, RHP, 24.2 – 5 IP, 4 hits, 2 ER, 7/0 K/BB at Triple-A. His fastball sat 95.7 MPH and the slider induced weak contact with a 83 MPH EV against. The K/BB numbers have been pristine all year with a 34.4%/5.4% K%/BB% in 24.2 IP. It might not be long before he takes Brash’s spot in the rotation.

Nick Pratto KCR, 1B, 23.7 – Pratto went deep yesterday and has now homered in back to back games for his 4th and 5th homers in 21 games at Triple-A. He’s still striking out too much with a 33.3% K%, but after striking out 15 times in his first 8 games, he’s brought it down to a more reasonable 16 times over his last 13 games.

Vinnie Pasquantino KCR, 1B, 24.6 – The competition is on for Kansas City’s first baseman of the future job. Pasquantino ripped his 4th homer in 22 games at Triple-A, and his comes with a sparkling 10.9%/16.3% K%/BB%. He’s not as good of a defender, which could still give the edge to Pratto.

Anthony Volpe NYY, SS, 21.0 – It didn’t take long for Volpe to shake off his slow start at Double-A, homering for his 3rd time yesterday. More importantly, he didn’t strikeout once and now has a 6/10 K/BB in his last 9 games to bring his season K%/BB% up to a very good 25.3%/16.1%.

Pedro Leon HOU, OF/SS, 23.10 – The ball has been exploding off Leon’s bat this year, and he crushed his 3rd homer on a 110.4 MPH rocket. The strikeouts remain a problem with a 32.3% K%, but at least we know he’s going to do damage when he does make contact.

Tyler Soderstrom OAK, C, 20.5 – Soderstrom got ahold of his 3rd homer in 19 games at High-A, but it’s been a struggle otherwise with a 31.5%/8.2% K%/BB%, 50% GB% and 72 wRC+.

Aeverson Arteaga SFG, SS, 19.2 – Arteaga’s been hitting the ball very hard all year, and he tacked on his 3rd homer on a screaming liner. He has a 104 wRC+ in 18 games at Single-A, but he’s had strikeout problems with a 35.4% K%.

Alex Ramirez NYM, OF, 19.2 – Ramirez cranked a 103.9 MPH, 382 foot shot for his first homer of the year in 18 games at Single-A. He’s been much improved his 2nd time around at the level with a 159 wRC+ and 19.5%/4.9% K%/BB%.

Seth Johnson TB, RHP, 23.7 – 3.2 IP, 1 hit, 0 ER, 7/2 K/BB at High-A. Johnson has been a strikeout and walk machine all year with a 40.4%/15.4% K%/BB% in 12.1 IP. He features a plus fastball/slider combo and is trending toward some kind of multi inning role. Upside is high though if he can improve his control.

Andrew Abbott CIN, LHP, 22.10 – 6 IP, 2 hits, 0 ER, 10/1 K/BB at High-A. This is his 3rd straight start with over 10 K’s and now has a 42.7%/8.5% K%/BB% in 21 IP. He doesn’t have overpowering stuff with a low 90’s fastball, and while his control has been solid he’s not a pinpoint control guy, so I’m not going bonkos over the hot start. Regardless, his stock is definitely up in the early going.

Royber Salinas ATL, RHP, 21.1 – 5 IP, 1 hit, 1 ER, 9/1 K/BB at Single-A. The control was much improved in this one and the fastball/breaking ball combo was still racking up whiffs. I would like to see him start picking on people his own size (and age), but the stuff is undeniably electric.

Luis Rodriguez LAD, OF, 19.8 – Rodriguez got on the board with his first homer of the year at Single-A. His 30.9% K% in rookie ball last year was a little concerning, but it’s improved a bit in full season ball with a 27.3% K%, and he’s walking like crazy with a 22.7% BB%. He’s sitting on a 151 wRC+ in 19 games.

Michael Massey KCR, 2B, 24.1 – Checking in at #840 on my offseason Top 1,000 Dynasty Rankings, Massey is off to a strong start at Double-A, hitting his 5th homer and nabbing his 3rd bag in 20 games. The plus contact rates have transferred with a 19.4% K%, but so has the below average walk rates (5.4% BB%). He might end up a Quad-A type, but he has fantasy friendly upside if he can find playing time.

By Michael Halpern (@MichaelCHalpern)
Email: michaelhalpern@imaginarybrickwall.com
Twitter: Imaginary Brick Wall (@DynastyHalp)

Posted on April 4, 2022April 5, 2022 by Michael Halpern

Spring Dynasty Baseball Rundown (4/4/22)

The regular season is right around the corner, but there are still jobs to be won and last minute fantasy drafts to prepare for. I’ll be running down the action all spring and all season long on my Patreon (free posts on my site are usually on Monday’s). Here is the Spring Dynasty Baseball Rundown (4/4/22):

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-OBP TOP 600 2022 DYNASTY BASEBALL RANKINGS
-POINTS/6+ CATS “UNIVERSAL” TOP 600 DYNASTY BASEBALL RANKINGS
-ALL-IN-ONE SPREADSHEET WITH ALL THE RANKINGS
-POSITION BY POSITION TARGET ARTICLES
–TOP 100 2022 REDRAFT PROSPECTS RANKINGS
–PREDICTING THE 2023 TOP 50 DYNASTY BASEBALL PROSPECTS
–STRATEGY/TARGET ARTICLES FOR SHALLOW AND DEEP LEAGUES
–ANALYZING MY 18 TEAM FYPD W/ GENERAL STRATEGY THOUGHTS
-DYNASTY RUNDOWNS AND UPDATED RANKINGS ALL SEASON LONG

Spencer Torkelson DET, 3B/1B, 22.7 – The baseball gods work in mysterious ways, as they tooketh Riley Greene from us for the next 2 months with a broken foot, but they gaveth us Spencer Torkelson as it was announced he will crack the Opening Day roster. Tork celebrated by taking Aaron Nola deep off a well placed pitch on the inside corner. It was the only hit Nola gave up in 5.1 IP. This guy can rake off anybody.

Jeremy Pena HOU, SS, 24.5 – Who needs Carlos Correa when you have Jeremy motherloving Pena?!?! Pena went deep twice yesterday off Josiah Gray for his first 2 homers of the spring, and now has a 1.199 OPS with a 4/1 K/BB in 19 PA. I ranked him 250th overall in my Top 1,000 Dynasty Rankings, and while I’m not expecting him to light the world on fire in his rookie year, he can be a solid across the board contributor.

Byron Buxton MIN, OF, 28.3 – Buxton’s hot spring continued as he went 2 for 3 with 2 doubles, and now has a 1.485 OPS in 33 PA. The doubles were ripped at 114.2 MPH and 109.2 MPH. The power gains he’s made over the past few seasons are very real, so now we just gotta hold our breath for good health … or on second thought, breathing is quite important for health, so maybe we should be focusing on our breath for good health.

Julio Rodriguez SEA, OF, 21.3 – Rodriguez refuses to let Seattle send him down without making them look like cheap idiots, going 3 for 4 with this screaming liner of a dinger to right centerfield. He’s now slashing .419/.471/.839 with 3 homers, 3 steals, and a 9/3 K/BB in 34 PA. Please don’t rob baseball fans of seeing this man play on the highest level.

Jarred Kelenic SEA, OF, 22.8 – Kelenic is so yesterday’s news, collecting dust in the corner while everyone plays with the new shiny toy, but he did his best to not be forgotten by ripping a homer off a lefty to deep centerfield. He’s struggled this spring with a .648 OPS, but I still think the breakout is coming this season.

Akil Baddoo DET, OF, 23.7 – Baddoo done did it again, taking a lefty deep to the opposite field. He was just getting started in 2021.

Noah Syndergaard LAA, RHP, 29.7 – On the surface it looks like Thor might have gotten his hammer back, going 5 IP with 2 hits, 1 ER, and a 7/1 K/BB against most of the Dodgers real starting lineup. It’s not as pretty looking at the underlying stats though with his stuff down about 3 MPH on all of his pitches, and his slider and curve didn’t illicit a single swing and miss. It’s nice to see he can be effective with the diminished stuff, and I’m sure it will tick up over time, but I’m hesitant to buy in.

Mitch Keller PIT, RHP, 26.0 – 3.2 IP, 8 hits, 4 ER, 5/2 K/BB. The juiced up stuff was still there with a 96.4 MPH heater, and he put up a respectable 26% whiff% and 88.2 MPH EV against, so the underlying numbers look better than the surface stats. I definitely gave Keller a bump after seeing his stuff tick up, but I’m still not exactly going out of my way to get him.

Drew Rasmussen TBR, RHP, 26.8 – Rasmussen doesn’t get the respect he deserves, but that might not last long if his final spring start is any indication, going 3.1 IP with 5 hits, 1 ER, and a 6/0 K/BB. His fastball sat 97.1 MPH and he put up a 30% whiff% overall. He’s not likely to go deep into games, so ding him a bit in QS leagues, but in wins leagues I would be all over him.

Wander Franco TBR, SS, 21.1 – 3 for 3 with 3 doubles. Nice to see him rounding into form with Opening Day around the corner.

Keibert Ruiz WAS, C, 23.8 – Ruiz did what he does best, which is get the bat on the ball, going 4 for 5 with 0 K’s, including his first spring homer. He’s not going to be a huge power threat early in his career, but a catcher that can actually help you in batting average ain’t too shabby.

Josiah Gray WAS, RHP, 24.3 – 4.2 IP, 7 hits, 5 ER, 6/1 K/BB. The K/BB numbers have been strong all spring with a 13/1 K/BB, but he’s getting hit up when guys do make contact with a 9.31 ERA in 9.2 IP. He’s going to need to improve his command to take the next step.

Sonny Gray MIN, RHP, 32.5 – Gray made his spring debut and went 4 perfect innings with 6 K’s. His velocity was down about 2 MPH on his 4 most used pitches, but at this point you have to assume he is easing himself into things, and considering the 43% whiff%, this start was certainly more of a positive than a negative.

Casey Mize DET, RHP, 24.11 – Mize wasn’t able to keep up the whiff gains he’s shown earlier this spring, going 4.1 IP with 7 hits, 3 ER, and a 1/0 K/BB. It’s only one start, but it would have been nice to see him head into the season on a high note.

Clarke Schmidt NYY, RHP, 26.1 – Schmidt went against Toronto’s vaunted real starting lineup and pitched pretty damn well again, going 4.1 IP with 2 hits, 2 ER, and a 5/1 K/BB. His sinker sat 94.3 MPH and he put up a 38% whiff% overall. He’s becoming one of the more interesting 6th starters if you are looking for pitching in deeper leagues.

Nick Lodolo CIN, LHP, 24.2 – 4 IP, 4 hits, 2 ER, 3/1 K/BB. Whiff machine Nick Lodolo just keeps missing bats, racking up whiffs with a 31% whiff%. He’s fighting for the last rotation spot, and I’m not sure this start really moved the needle in either direction.

Sean Murphy OAK, C, 27.6 – Murphy has been red hot this spring, and he absolutely decimated a Dinelson Lamet fastball that legitimately landed in the parking lot. He’s now slashing .520/.567/1.000 with 2 homers and a 3/4 K/BB in 30 PA. I loved him as a breakout in 2021, and while I cooled on him a bit this year after it didn’t happen, I’m still relatively high on him.

Ezequiel Duran TEX, 2B/SS, 22.10 – Watching Duran’s swing just gets me excited every time, and he used that explosive swing to jack out his 2nd spring homer. He now has a 1.345 OPS in 14 PA. If he can keep his strikeouts in check, he’s going to explode this year in the upper levels of the minors.

Alexander Canario CHC, OF, 21.11 – The 21 year old Canario already looks the part, smashing his 2nd spring homer out to left center. I’m gonna go out on a limb here and say his listed weight of 165 pounds is a tad light.

MacKenzie Gore SDP, LHP, 23.1/Sean Manaea SDP, LHP, 29.2 – The Manaea trade takes Gore out of the running for the opening day roster, although it was already a long shot that he was going to make anyway. Manaea was solid in his debut, going 3.2 IP with 6 hits, 1 ER, and a 4/1 K/BB. Gore closed out the game, going 3 IP with 4 hits, 4 ER, and a 5/2 K/BB. He’s better off at Triple-A anyway as he isn’t a finished product yet.

By Michael Halpern (@MichaelCHalpern)
Email: michaelhalpern@imaginarybrickwall.com
Twitter: Imaginary Brick Wall (@DynastyHalp)

Posted on February 9, 2021March 3, 2021 by Michael Halpern

Top 1,000 2021 Fantasy Baseball Dynasty Rankings

Welcome to the 3rd annual Top 1,000 Fantasy Baseball Dynasty Rankings. 16-team, deep roster, 5×5 category league is what I had in my mind during the process. You can find links to a separate Top 473 Prospects Rankings and Top 100 First Year Player Draft Rankings below. Here is the Top 1,000 2021 Fantasy Baseball Dynasty Rankings:

CLICK HERE TO JOIN MY PATREON FOR UP TO DAILY WEEKDAY CONTENT THROUGHOUT THE SEASON, INCLUDING ARTICLES, PODCASTS, RANKINGS, AND OTHER COOL STUFF I THINK UP ALONG THE WAY

Click here for the Top 473 2021 Dynasty Baseball Prospects Only Rankings
Click here for the Top 100 2020/21 Dynasty Baseball First Year Player Draft Rankings

Player Name TEAM, POSITION, AGE (Years.Months on 2021 Opening Day – Months are on a scale of 0-11 … I know it is not mathematically correct, but I do all of this manually)

Projections (Hitters): R/HR/RBI/AVG/OBP/SLG/SB
(Pitchers): Wins/ERA/WHIP/K/Saves

*Prime Projections – These projections are meant to give you a general idea of what I think about a prospect’s future stat profile in a relatively good outcome scenario. I find this helpful as a quick reference to see how a prospect’s tools/skills translate to fantasy categories.

CLICK HERE TO JOIN MY PATREON FOR UP TO DAILY WEEKDAY CONTENT THROUGHOUT THE SEASON, INCLUDING ARTICLES, PODCASTS, RANKINGS, AND OTHER COOL STUFF I THINK UP ALONG THE WAY

1) Ronald Acuna ATL, OF, 23.3 – I’m a glutton for homers and steals (and Chinese food), and Acuna ranks ahead of Soto in both departments. There is risk Acuna eventually turns into a 3 true outcome slugger as he whiffed at a career high 29.9% rate, pulled the ball a career high 43% of the time, launched the ball a career high 18.6 degrees, and swung at fewer pitches both in and out of the zone, which is why Juan Soto is the no doubt #1 overall pick in almost anything other than standard 5×5. 2021 Projection: 124/42/98/.271/.384/.570/30

2) Juan Soto WASH, OF, 22.5 – Career low 26.1 ft/sec sprint speed and 4.3 degree launch angle, but it didn’t stop Soto from nabbing 6 bags and cranking 13 homers in 47 games. Only thing that could stop him was a positive Covid test that delayed the start of his season until August 5th, and even that he quickly beat with 3 rapid result antigen tests and claims it was a false positive. 2021 Projection: 112/36/109/.309/.431/.596/11

3) Fernando Tatis Jr. SD, SS, 22.3 – New exit velocity King with a whopping 95.9 MPH average, knocking Aaron Judge off the throne after a 4 year run, but major improvements in K% (down 5.9% to 23.7%) is the main reason Tatis is in the conversation for the top overall pick. 2021 Projection: 108/36/101/.279/.367/.563/25

4) Mike Trout LAA, OF, 29.8 – Stole a single base on two attempts in 53 games. Still plenty fast but did slow down slightly with a career low 4.33 home plate to 1B runtime. 2021 Projection: 111/44/105/.288/.417/.603/10

5) Mookie Betts LAD, OF, 28.6 – Jumped on the first pitch 24% of the time in 2020, up from 16.4% in 2019. It just goes to show that even for the elite, you can never stop making adjustments. “If you’re not getting better, you’re getting worse.” 2021 Projection: 121/33/100/.294/.367/.536/22

6) Trea Turner WASH, SS, 27.9 – Maintained 2019’s exit velocity gains, except this year it showed up in his home run total with 12 dingers in 59 games. The added power hasn’t impacted his speed at all with the 5th fastest sprint speed in the game. On top of all that, he notched a career best 13.9% K%. He’s peaking all over our faces. 2021 Projection: 105/26/88/.297/.362/.506/34

7) Cody Bellinger LAD, OF/1B, 25.9 – Down-ish year mostly due to a .245 BABIP, but exit velocity did drop 1.8 MPH to 89.3 so it wasn’t purely due to bad luck. More importantly, he maintained the major Whiff% gains he made in 2019 with a 23.3% mark. Considering the shortened season and the fact his underlying numbers were more or less in line with career norms, it would be silly to sell low on Bellinger. Update: Underwent surgery to repair a dislocated right shoulder. I originally had him ranked 5th but the separation is so razer thin at the top, the injury is enough to knock him down 2 spots. He is expected to be fully healthy for 2021. 2021 Projection: 100/39/101/.273/.368/.570/14

8) Jose Ramirez CLE, 3B, 28.6 – Increased launch angle every single year of his 6 year career which led to Ramirez crushing 17 homers in 58 games with a 23.2 degree launch angle. The power gains wouldn’t have been possible without the 2.3 MPH jump in FB/LD exit velocity, now sitting at a respectable 94.1 MPH. 2021 Projection: 105/35/103/.276/.370/.557/23

9) Christian Yelich MIL, OF, 29.4 – Strikeout rate spiked to a career high 30.8%, partly because he became a more patient hitter (career high 18.6% BB%), but also because he simply swung and missed at a career worst rate (33.6% Whiff%). Whiff% was elevated in 2019 as well (28.2% after sitting around 23% the rest of his career), so this looks to be a trend. 2021 Projection: 107/33/99/.282/.383/.546/16

10) Trevor Story COL, SS, 28.4 – Free agent after the 2021 season, meaning Story’s value could take a big hit if he doesn’t re-sign with Colorado. Of course, maybe he can DJ LeMahieu it. 2021 Projection: 107/35/92/.281/.350/.541/25

11) Bryce Harper PHI, OF, 28.6 – Career bests in K%, BB%, exit velocity, and launch angle, all while stealing 8 bags in 58 games. Unlucky .268 BA (.307 xBA) kept Harper’s overall value from absolutely exploding. 2021 Projection: 106/38/104/.270/.397/.535/16

12) Francisco Lindor NYM, SS, 27.4 – Underwhelming season, and while there is nothing really setting off alarm bells in the underlying numbers, he did notch a career worst 20.4% whiff% along with a career worst 4.42 runtime to 1st. Don’t go panic selling, but it might be enough to knock Lindor out of that very elite tier. 2021 Projection: 98/30/88/.272/.341/.497/17

13) Shane Bieber CLE, RHP, 25.10 – Turned his fastball into a dominant pitch, upping the velocity 1 MPH to 94.1 MPH and spin rate 100 revolutions to 2354 revolutions per minute. It led to a 12% increase in whiff rate on the pitch. 2020 erased any doubt that Bieber is a true ace. 2021 Projection: 16/3.03/1.06/259 in 202 IP

14) Wander Franco TB, SS, 20.1 – I’m no prospect hoarder. I don’t do never ending rebuilds. I took over a perennial doormat in an 18 team league I joined last off-season and dealt off Nick Madrigal, Ian Anderson, Luis Patino, Casey Mize, DL Hall, Luis Garcia, the draft pick that turned into Jasson Dominguez, and multiple other draft picks in what led to a 2nd place finish and 2 more years of a championship compete window. “You play to win the game.” I say all this because Wander Franco is the exception to that rule. He is the type of generational prospect you stay patient with. Franco’s career 7% K% makes Vlad Jr look like a strikeout machine with a 12% mark over that same time period playing at the same levels. He’s next level special, and the floor is so high due to that innate hitting ability that he doesn’t have the normal risks associated with prospects. 2021 Projection: May-74/18/71/.276/.337/.435/8 Prime Projection: 113/28/106/.311/.394/.541/14

15) Bo Bichette TOR, SS, 23.1 – Wasn’t the same after returning from a grade 1 sprain of the LCL in his right knee, slashing .361/.391/.672 in 14 games before the injury and .242/.266/.355 in 15 games after the injury. Even with the injury, he made incremental improvements in Whiff% (down 2.9% to 21.6%), FB/LD exit velocity (up 1.8 MPH to 94.7), and launch angle (up 1.6 degress to 12). 2021 Projection: 95/25/86/.285/.338/.483/17

16) Jacob deGrom NYM, RHP, 32.9 – Increased velocity for the 4th year in a row to a now incredible 99 MPH. It resulted in a career high 41% whiff% (up from 31.5% in 2019). deGrom inexplicably keeps getting better. 2021 Projection: 14/2.81/0.98/267 in 199 IP

17) Manny Machado SD, 3B, 28.9 – Complete bounce back from a down 2019. K% dropped back down to 14.6%, barrel% jumped back up to 11%, and even stolen bases ticked back up with 6 steals in 60 games . 2021 Projection: 93/34/102/.284/.360/.538/9

18) Gerrit Cole NYY, RHP, 30.7 – Homers were up (career high 1.73 HR/9) and got hit harder (exit velocity up 2.8 MPH to 90.4), but considering the small sample and strong overall numbers (2.84 ERA), I wouldn’t read too much into it. 2021 Projection: 16/3.18/1.08/265 in 198 IP

19) Alex Bregman HOU, 3B, 27.0 – It would be easy to point to the lack of cheating as the reason for Bregman’s down year, but the underlying numbers don’t really back that up. The biggest culprits seems to be luck (.254 BABIP) and his weak FB/LD exit velocity finally catching to him with only 6 homers in 42 games on the back of a meager 90.3 MPH FB/LD exit velocity. 2021 Projection: 101/29/96/.281/.395/.519/6

20) Xander Bogaerts BOS, SS, 28.6 – Perfect 8 for 8 on the base paths in 56 games is nice to see after he stole only 4 in 155 games last year. If he can maintain anything close to that pace, Bogaerts has the upside to be a top 5 fantasy player. 2021 Projection: 92/25/87/.289/.360/.505/10

21) Kyle Tucker HOU, OF, 23.4 – 20.2% K% in his first extended MLB action is extremely encouraging considering the strong underlying Statcast numbers (91.1 MPH exit velocity with a 14.9 degree launch) and baserunning ability (8 steals in 58 games). Tucker is a near elite dynasty asset. 2021 Projection: 87/28/91/.270/.335/.503/16

22) Ozzie Albies ATL, 2B, 24.3 – Missed over a month with a wrist injury, but ripped it up after his return, slashing .338/.372/.581 with 5 homers and 3 steals in 18 games. He performed well in 52 post season PA too (.277/.327/.447), putting to bed any concerns about his slow start and injury. 2021 Projection: 94/25/85/.283/.341/.479/15

23) Corey Seager LAD, SS, 26.11 – Here is what I tweeted about Seager before the season (and echoed these same sentiments in my 2020 Top 1,000): “Look out for a Corey Seager power breakout: Another year removed from Tommy John & hip surgery, raised launch angle to a career high 14.1 degrees, and turns 26 in April, meaning he is entering his “man muscle” years. Good buy low in dynasty and a discount at 148 ADP in redraft.” … A power breakout is exactly what happened, as Seager’s exit velocity exploded to 93.2 MPH and he cranked 23 homers in 70 games including the playoffs. 2021 Projection: 92/30/99/.298/.361/.537/3

24) Vlad Guerrero Jr. TOR, 1B, 22.0 – Lost over 30 pounds one month after the season ended and claimed he fell out of shape during the Covid shutdown. The major breakout didn’t happen in 2020, but power did take a step forward with a 3.1 MPH jump in exit velocity to 92.5 MPH. His speed can be measured with a sundial (as my high school coach used to love to yell at me) with a 25.3 ft/sec sprint speed, but after losing the weight this off-season, maybe he can start to turn some more of those groundballs into hits. 2021 Projection: 87/28/92/.286/.361/.501/2

25) Rafael Devers BOS, 3B, 24.5 – Strikeout rate ballooned to a career worst 27% which lead to a .263 BA, but he continued to absolutely demolish the ball with a career high 93 MPH exit velocity. Sprint speed dropping to a below average 26.5 ft/sec is not a good sign for his future stolen base totals. 2021 Projection: 91/32/100/.291/.338/.513/5

26) Walker Buehler LAD, RHP, 26.8 – Got off to a slow start and missed some time with a blister, but Buehler was back to his dominant self by the time the playoffs rolled around, putting up a 1.80 ERA with 39 strikeouts in 25 postseason innings. He had a 5.22 ERA in his first 6 starts of 2019 as well, so I wouldn’t sweat the slow start to this season either. 2021 Projection: 14/3.36/1.10/207 in 180 IP

27) Eloy Jimenez CHW, OF, 24.4 – Incremental improvements in K% (26.6% to 24.8%) and exit velocity (91.2 MPH to 92.4 MPH) further cements Eloy as one of the top young power hitters in the game. Improvements in plate discipline (5.3% BB%) and GB% (51.9%) will unlock his full potential. 2021 Projection: 86/35/100/.278/.331/.541/1

28) Tim Anderson CHW, SS, 27.9 – Followed up 2019 breakout by maintaining all of the gains he made along with taking another step in the power department, adding 3 MPH to his FB/LD exit velocity (93.7 MPH). 2021 Projection: 95/22/71/.290/.333/.462/19

29) Adalberto Mondesi KC, SS, 25.8 – After putting up a .440 OPS in the first 37 games, he came back from the dead in the 2nd half, slashing .376/.424/.706 with 6 homers and 16 steals in 22 games. He was coming off major labrum surgery over the off-season, so it’s not a surprise it took him a little bit to shake the rust off. Mondesi might be the most divisive player in the fantasy community right now. 2021 Projection: 83/19/74/.253/.296/.432/48

30) Luis Robert CHW, OF, 23.8 – The wheels fell off in September, posting a .136/.237/.173 triple-slash. Overall, Robert was who we thought he was, an elite power/speed combo (11 homers and 9 steals in 56 games) with contact issues (41.6% whiff%). 2021 Projection: 85/26/84/.250/.321/.468/23

31) Freddie Freeman ATL, 1B, 31.7 – Getting bit by the Covid bug must have given Freeman superpowers because he put up career bests is almost every underlying and surface stat there is. It would take too long to list them all. 2021 Projection: 105/35/109/.303/.404/.560/5

32) Aaron Nola PHI, RHP, 27.10 – Strikeout rate jumped to a career high 33.2% and brought BB% back down to 8% (spiked to 9.4% in 2019). The strong season erased any concerns after the slightly down 2019. 2021 Projection: 14/3.49/1.17/222 in 195 IP

33) Austin Meadows TB, OF, 25.11 – After being my greatest hit in 2019, Meadows turned into my biggest miss in 2020. Strikeout rate jumped to 32.9% and sprint speed tanked to 26.5 ft/sec, which are both completely out of character for his entire professional career. This leads me to believe that his struggles were largely due to catching Covid in July and never getting on track. Buy low. 2021 Projection: 87/26/83/.273/.346/.477/12

34) Yordan Alvarez HOU, OF, 23.9 – Underwent arthroscopic knee surgery on both knees in late August. Expected to be ready to go for the start of 2021. He’s one of the most talented young hitters in the game, so the risk is still worth the reward, but the fear of chronic knee issues has to knock him down a bit. 2021 Projection: 82/31/95/.272/.361/.546/1

35) Anthony Rendon LAA, 3B, 30.10 – Played through a left wrist injury, and while he couldn’t match his elite 2019 career year, he got back to doing Yeoman’s work with a .286/.418/.497 triple-slash, 9 homers, and a 31/38 K/BB in 52 games. 2021 Projection: 91/30/102/.290/.388/.533/3

36) Trevor Bauer LAD, RHP, 30.2 – Drastically increased the spin rate on every one of his pitches (other than his changeup which he basically ditched) which resulted in a career high 36% K% and career low 6.1% BB%. 2021 Projection: 14/3.40/1.17/239 in 191 IP

37) Lucas Giolito CHW, RHP, 26.9 – Backed up 2019 breakout with an equally impressive 2020, relying mostly on his dominant fastball/changeup combo. 2021 Projection: 13/3.54/1.18/227 in 180 IP

38) Yoan Moncada CHW, 3B, 25.10 – Never fully recovered from Covid and was dealing with a lack of energy and strength all season. I’m no virologist, so I have no idea what the chances are these issues will last until 2021, but I’m going to assume a return to full health. 2021 Projection: 89/26/85/.263/.344/.475/10

39) Jack Flaherty STL, RHP, 25.6 – The Cardinals Covid outbreak made an already tough season even tougher for Cardinals players, and Flaherty was never really able to get on track with a 4.91 ERA in 40.1 IP. One thing to keep an eye on is that Flaherty’s BABIP normalized this season (.281) after sitting abnormally low the past 2 seasons. 2021 Projection: 12/3.62/1.20/214 in 184 IP

40) George Springer TOR, OF, 31.6 – Put up a career best 35.9% GB% (44.6% in 2019) while also improving his K% to a career best 17.1%. It led to 14 homers in 51 games (plus 4 homers in 13 playoff games). Combined with a career year in 2019, Springer is establishing himself as a near elite hitter. 2021 Projection: 99/34/91/.272/.363/.530/6

41) Gleyber Torres NYY, SS, 24.4 – Mediocre numbers on the season (.724 OPS), but this is a pretty clear case of one extended slump tanking your numbers due to the shortened season. If there was any question, he put up a 246 wRC+ in 30 postseason at-bats. 2021 Projection: 92/30/92/.275/.357/.504/4

42) Yu Darvish SD, RHP, 34.7 – Improved control from the 2nd half of 2019 carried over to 2020 with a career best 4.7% BB%. Also notched a career high 96.2 MPH four seamer velocity. It all resulted in Darvish moving into the very elite tier of pitchers. 2021 Projection: 15/3.27/1.09/223 in 175 IP

43) Luis Castillo CIN, RHP, 28.4 – Made incremental improvements in K% (30.5%), BB% (8.2%), exit velocity against (86 MPH), and launch angle against (2.2 degrees). 2021 Projection: 13/3.56/1.21/222 in 185 IP

44) Blake Snell SD, LHP, 28.4 – Didn’t pitch more than 5.2 innings in any of his 17 starts, culminating in the now infamous decision to pull him after a dominant 5.1 innings in Game 6 of the World Series. Biggest concern is his elbow, which required arthroscopic surgery in 2019 and a cortisone shot in Feb 2020. 2021 Projection: 12/3.48/1.24/221 in 170 IP

45) Aaron Judge NYY, OF, 28.11 – Battled through a stress fracture in his right rib, a right shoulder injury and a right calf strain which limited him to 28 games. The injuries resulted in a 3.8 MPH drop in exit velocity. He has power to spare, but he has to be on the field to take advantage of it. 2021 Projection: 89/34/86/.263/.361/.541/4

46) Pete Alonso NYM, 1B, 26.4 – Ripped 10 dingers in September to close out the season after underwhelming in the first half. Alonso is your classic low average slugger. 2021 Projection: 88/40/103/.249/.342/.531/1

47) Brandon Woodruff MIL, RHP, 28.2 – Fastball was just as dominant in 2020 as it was in 2019, ranking 2nd in baseball behind only Marco Gonzalez. Changeup, curve, and slider all took a step forward as well. 2021 Projection: 13/3.51/1.15/205 in 170 IP

48) Zac Gallen ARI, RHP, 25.8 – Built on his 2019 breakout in 2020. BB% dropped down to 8.6%, which is nice to see after the 10.8% mark he put up in 2019 was the biggest cause for concern coming into the year. 2021 Projection: 12/3.61/1.25/202 in 170 IP

49) Tyler Glasnow TB, RHP, 27.7 – K% exploded to 38.2%. Gave back some of the gains he made in BB% in 2019 (up 3.1% to 9.2%) and got hit up for a career worst 90.4 MPH exit velocity, but most of the underlying stats show the 4.08 ERA was unlucky (3.11 xERA and 2.75 xFIP). 2021 Projection: 11/3.48/1.20/205 in 159 IP

50) Trent Grisham SD, OF, 24.5 – Power took a step forward with his FB/LD exit velocity jumping 3.1 MPH to 94 MPH. Tack on a plus plate approach (12.3% BB%), plus speed (29.1 ft/sec sprint speed), and a reasonable whiff% (24.4%), and even this ranking might be underrating Grisham. 2021 Projection: 92/23/75/.256/.351/.465/21

51) Jarred Kelenic SEA, OF, 21.8 – Was all the buzz at alternate camp, drilling homers and showing increased power. Combine that with a plus hit tool and plus speed, and Kelenic has the ingredients to be an elite all category contributor. 2021 Projection: June-53/15/47/.257/.318/.431/10 Prime Projection: 93/26/89/.282/.355/.478/15

52) Marcell Ozuna ATL, OF, 30.5 – Career (shortened) year, cranking 18 homers with a career high 93 MPH exit velocity, 16.4 degree launch angle and 14.2% BB%. Only thing to keep an eye on is that it also came with a career high 31.4% whiff%. 2021 Projection: 86/34/99/.273/.352/.518/5

53) Lourdes Gurriel Jr. TOR, OF, 27.7 – .575 OPS in first 18 games had many people dropping Gurriel in redrafts, but he closed the season red hot, slashing .345/.390/.634 with 10 homers, 3 steals, and a 34/11 K/BB in 154 PA. Improved his whiff% by 6.5% to 26.3% and maintained a very strong 90.8 MPH exit velocity. 2021 Projection: 84/28/90/.274/.328/.492/7

54) Sonny Gray CIN, RHP, 31.5 – Not only did Gray maintain his drastic 2019 strikeout breakout, but he actually improved his K% again to 30.6%. 2021 Projection: 12/3.51/1.20/187 in 170 IP

55) Max Fried ATL, LHP, 27.2 – Exit velocity against plummeted to 83.4 MPH, which is completely out of line with the rest of his career and doesn’t feel sustainable. HR/LD rate sat at a miniscule 4.9%. Fried is a damn good pitcher, just not quite this good. 2021 Projection: 13/3.55/1.21/178 in 174 IP

56) Brandon Lowe TB, OF/2B, 26.9 – Here is what I tweeted about Brandon Lowe last off-season (and echoed those exact same sentiments in the 2020 Top 1,000), “Brandon Lowe getting seriously underrated. Elite underlying power hitting numbers (18.7 launch, 96 MPH FB/LD), and while 34.6% K% is high, he’s done much better than that every other year of his career including 2018 in the majors. Also has some speed.” … Lowe brought his K% down to 25.9% in 2020 en route to a monster season, slashing .269/.362/.554 with 14 homers, 3 steals, and a 58/25 K/BB in 56 games. 2021 Projection: 85/34/89/.259/.340/.529/8

57) Luis Severino NYY, RHP, 27.1 – Underwent Tommy John surgery in February 2020 and is expected to be out until June or July 2021. If you can take the hit in the 1st half of the season, nabbing Severino is a great way to get a long term ace at a discount. 2021 Projection: 6/3.65/1.20/98 in 90 IP

58) Jesus Luzardo OAK, LHP, 23.6 – Solid rookie season, showing off a mid 90’s four seamer and sinker while establishing his curveball and changeup as plus pitches. Health and durability over 180+ innings is still the biggest question mark. 2021 Projection: 9/3.74/1.21/156 in 150 IP Prime Projection: 14/3.49/1.19/198 in 183 IP

59) Corbin Burnes MIL, RHP, 26.6 – Developed a cutter which immediately became his most valuable pitch and mostly ditched his 4-seamer which was one of the worst 4-seamers in baseball in 2019. 13.27 K/9 ranked 4th overall behind only Glasnow, Bieber, and deGrom (minimum 30 IP). 2021 Projection: 11/3.71/1.26/192 in 160 IP

60) Keston Hiura MIL, 2B, 24.8 – Exit velocity dropped 4 MPH to 87.4 MPH, but still put up big power numbers with 13 homers in 59 games. Strikeout rate got even worse (30.7% in 2019 to 34.6% in 2020), but Hiura has shown the ability to make much better contact during his minor league career, so I don’t think all hope is lost. 2021 Projection: 81/30/87/.247/.325/.483/9

61) Nolan Arenado STL, 3B, 30.0 – Season was tanked by a shoulder injury that he suffered on July 29th. Was shut down in September when an MRI revealed inflammation in the AC joint and a bone bruise. Arenado battled a shoulder injury in 2018 as well, so this seems to be a recurring issue. Trade to St. Louis further depresses his value. 2021 Projection: 86/32/92/.268/.347/.518/2

62) Matt Chapman OAK, 3B, 27.11 – Underwent labrum repair surgery on his right hip in September with a 4 month recovery timetable. Chapman took everything to the max in 2020 with his launch angle rising 7.7 degrees to 24.1 degrees, FB/LD exit velocity rising to 99 MPH, and strikeout rate exploding 13.6% to 35.5%. It’s only a 37 game sample, so I’m assuming these numbers would have regressed a bit as the season wore on. 2021 Projection: 95/36/92/.252/.343/.508/1

63) Eugenio Suarez CIN, 3B, 28.7 – Whiff% on a 3 year incline culminating with a career worst 31.7% in 2020, but the extremely low .202 BA was mostly due a .214 BABIP. The power was full throttle with 15 bombs in 57 games. 2021 Projection: 83/35/97/.257/.349/.528/3

64) Matt Olson OAK, 1B, 27.0 – Career worst strikeout rate (31.4%) and career worst BABIP (.227) led to a .195 batting average. Elite power is intact, so years like this are just part of the deal when you own low average sluggers. 2021 Projection: 82/37/96/.242/.343/.512/1

65) Zach Plesac CLE, RHP, 26.2 – Breakout year with a pitching line of 2.28/0.80/55/6 in 55.1 IP. Strikeout rate exploded with an 11.1% whiff% increase on his changeup. Slider became the 5th most valuable slider in baseball. 2021 Projection: 12/3.69/1.19/164 in 168 IP

66) Ian Anderson ATL, RHP, 22.11 – Electrifying MLB debut with a pitching line of 1.59/1.10/65/24 in 51 IP including the playoffs. Changeup and curve both put up a whiff% around 40% (39.8% and 40.5% respectively) and the fastball sat at a respectable 94.1 MPH. Spin rates don’t jump out at you, but does an excellent job of tunneling his pitches. 2021 Projection: 10/3.76/1.26/170 in 155 IP Prime Projection: 14/3.42/1.19/228 in 193 IP

67) Ketel Marte ARI, 2B, 27.6 – Couldn’t maintain his 2019 power breakout, hitting only 2 homers in 45 games as his FB/LD exit velocity dropped 1.9 MPH to 91.6. It was also a product of bad luck as he had a ridiculously low 3.8% HR/FB rate. 2021 Projection: 90/22/84/.291/.346/.469/8

68) Javier Baez CHC, SS, 28.4 – Underlying and surface stats down across the board. Sprint speed dropped to a career low 27.9 ft/sec, which isn’t a great sign as he enters his late 20’s, but also might be a sign he wasn’t in top shape for this slapdash season. 2021 Projection: 88/27/87/.263/.309/.486/9

69) Jo Adell LAA, OF, 22.0 – Armageddon MLB debut with a 41.7% K%, 0 steals, and a .161/.212/.266 triple-slash in 132 PA. Only silver lining was the strong statcast numbers (90.6 MPH exit velocity and 29.3 ft/sec sprint speed). This was the year Adell was supposed to adjust to the Triple-A level after striking out 32.6% of the time there in 2019, so the extreme struggles on the MLB level shouldn’t be surprising. I’m still in. 2021 Projection: 55/17/51/.236/.301/.438/5 Prime Projection: 92/34/96/.262/.341/.512/15

70) Julio Rodriguez SEA, OF, 20.3 – Suffered a hairline fracture in his left wrist in July which sidelined him for most of alternate camp. Struggled in Liga de Beisbol Dominicano, slashing .208/.300/.264 with 0 homers, 3 steals, and a 15/5 K/BB in 53 AB. The lost year and struggles in Winter League don’t change his massive upside. 2021 Projection: 26/7/30/.252/.312/.418/2 Prime Projection: 91/31/99/.277/.353/.522/8

71) Dinelson Lamet SD, RHP, 28.8 – Most valuable slider in baseball by a landslide with a negative 19 run value. Next best is Brad Keller and Matt Wisler at -10. BB% improved for the second season in a row to 7.5%. Suffered from biceps tendinitis late in the season but is not expected to need surgery. 2021 Projection: 10/3.63/1.20/183 in 147 IP

72) Carlos Correa HOU, SS, 26.6 – Exploded in the playoffs after a quiet regular season, slashing .362/.455/.766 with 6 homers in 13 games. He hit 5 homers in 58 regular season games. It’s just another example that you can’t put too much stock into only a 60 game sample. 2021 Projection: 84/26/93/.273/.351/.489/3

73) Shohei Ohtani LAA, DH, 26.9 – Coming off Tommy John surgery, Ohtani started 2020 with two horrific starts (37.80 ERA in 1.2 IP) and was then shut down from pitching for the season with a grade 1-2 strain of the flexor pronator mass in his right arm. Making matters worse, he didn’t perform all that well at the dish either with a 2.7% increase in K% (28.6%) and a 3.7 MPH decrease in exit velocity (89.1 MPH). He’s too young and talented to sell low on, but next season could be his last to prove he can be a long term two way player. 2021 Projection: Hitting-65/20/68/.258/.349/.486/14 — Pitching-6/3.93/1.31/115 in 100 IP

74) Gavin Lux LAD, 2B, 23.4 – MLB strikeout rate remained elevated at 27.5% (29.3% in 2019), albeit in a small 69 PA sample. Sprint speed mysteriously dropped to 27.7 ft/sec (28.8 in 2019), which could mean there was some kind of undisclosed injury, and would be oddly encouraging as a reason for the weak numbers (.596 OPS). 2021 Projection: 74/20/69/.258/.327/.441/8 Prime Projection: 88/26/82/.274/.348/.472/11

75) Marco Luciano SF, SS, 19.7 – Hit a monster homerun in fall instructional league with an alleged exit velocity of 119 MPH. Matt Daniels, the Giants’ coordinator of pitching sciences, claimed Luciano’s dinger was “quite possibly the furthest home run I’ve ever witnessed in person.” ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 91/33/99/.277/.350/.520/9

76) Julio Urias LAD, LHP, 24.8 – Everything but the strikeouts were there in the regular season (3.27 ERA with 45 K’s in 55 IP) and those exploded in the playoffs with 29 K’s in 23 IP. Continues to be among the best in the league at inducing weak contact. 2021 Projection: 10/3.49/1.18/134 in 140 IP

77) Clayton Kershaw LAD, LHP, 33.0 – Velocity up 1.3 MPH from 2019, but is still down overall at 91.6 MPH. Continues to dominate with the decreased velocity even as his FIP’s/xERA’s,/xFip’s etc … have all risen to slightly more mortal levels. 2021 Projection: 13/3.32/1.07/187 in 177 IP

78) Stephen Strasburg WASH, RHP, 32.8 – Limited to only 2 starts due to carpel tunnel syndrome in his right hand which required surgery in August. He’s expected to be ready to go for 2021. Injuries have been a thorn in Strasburg’s side for his entire career. 2021 Projection: 12/3.61/1.16/195 in 167 IP

79) Starling Marte MIA, OF, 32.6 – Numbers were right in line with career norms, but if you take out the magnifying glass and investigate for signs of decline, you would see a career worst 4.26 second runtime from home plate to first base (up from 4.15) and a 1.5 MPH decline in exit velocity (87.1 MPH). If your team gets off to a slow start in 2021, Marte is a piece you definitely want to put on the block. 2021 Projection: 83/20/74/.275/.332/.447/24

80) Whit Merrifield KC, 2B/OF, 32.4 – Speed slightly declined every year over the last 4 years, dropping to a career worst 28.4 ft/sec in 2020. Similar to Starling Marte, I would try to milk one more good year out of Merrifield before putting him on the trade block. 2021 Projection: 89/18/71/.292/.340/.451/24

81) JT Realmuto PHI, C, 30.1 – Slowly improved power production nearly every year of his career, culminating with a career high .225 ISO and 11 homers in 47 games in 2020, but it came at the cost of some swing and miss with a whiff% that jumped 6% to a career high 29.8%. 2021 Projection: 86/25/81/.268/.343/.487/8

82) Cavan Biggio TOR, 2B, 26.0 – Maintained high walk rate (15.5%) while bringing strikeout rate down 5.6% to 23%. He doesn’t crush the ball (91.6 MPH FB/LD exit velo), but he hits it in the air and is an excellent base stealer at a perfect 20 for 20 in his 159 game MLB career. 2021 Projection: 96/23/73/.257/.370/.441/13

83) Spencer Torkelson DET, 3B/1B, 21.7 – Selected 1st overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Torkelson launched 54 homers in 129 games at Arizona State. He’s a big bodied power hitter with patience, below average speed, and a BA that shouldn’t hurt you. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 89/35/102/.270/.353/.529/3

84) Andrew Vaughn CHW, 1B, 23.0 – Flip a coin between Vaughn and Tork. Vaughn will give you less power but a better average and will likely be hitting in a better lineup for the foreseeable future. I still lean with Tork and the extra power, but it’s close. 2021 Projection: June-38/12/36/.257/.335/.444/1 Prime Projection: 92/29/95/.282/.364/.509/3

85) Alec Bohm PHI, 3B, 24.9 – Excellent MLB debut, slashing .338/.400/.481 with 4 homers and a 20%/8.9% K%/BB%. BABIP was high (.410) and FB% was low (25.4%), but he hit the ball very hard (90.2 MPH exit velo) and he did a much better job of lifting the ball at Double-A in 2019 (40.7% FB%). 2021 Projection: 78/23/86/.272/.338/.444/4 Prime Projection: 88/27/96/.285/.357/.488/5

86) Randy Arozarena TB, OF, 26.1 – I saw the writing on the wall in my 2020 Top 1,000 ranking, writing, “Hit the ball hard in his MLB debut with a 90.7 MPH average exit velocity to go along with plus speed and a good feel to hit.” But then I got scared off by the playing time logjam in Tampa, writing, “Joining the deep and talented Rays roster likely limits his upside to a super utility player in the near future,” and ultimately ranked him 677th overall. The rest is history, as Arozarena bullied his way into an everyday role and exploded with a .333 BA, 17 homers, 4 steals, and a 41/14 K/BB in 43 games including the playoffs. He showed off the same high exit velocities and speed that he showed in his brief 2019 debut. 2021 Projection: 84/25/78/.257/.331/.463/14

87) Max Scherzer WASH, RHP, 36.8 – The signs of decline reared their ugly head towards the end of 2019 after injuring his back (4.81 ERA in final 43 IP), and they continued into 2020 with an elevated walk rate (up 3% to 7.8%) and pedestrian ERA (3.75). The stuff was still great and the strikeouts were at career norms, so even at his advanced age, there is a chance this is less of an extended decline and more of blip on the radar. 2021 Projection: 14/3.30/1.13/246 in 187 IP

88) DJ LeMahieu NYY, 2B, 32.9 – It turns out Yankee Stadium was even more advantageous for LeMahieu than Coors field was as this was the 2nd year in a row that he notched a career high ISO (.226 in 2020). Also decreased K% to a career low 9.7%. 2021 Projection: 96/22/78/.307/.362/.495/6

89) Jose Altuve HOU, 2B, 30.11 – Monster postseason (234 wRC+ in 13 games) salvaged a disastrous regular season (77 wRC+ in 48 games). He came down with a case of the yips at second base, so some of those struggles could have been mental. The one thing that does look certain is that his days of racking up steals are over as he went 2 for 7 on stolen base attempts. 2021 Projection: 92/23/71/.287/.345/.477/7

90) Giancarlo Stanton NYY, OF, 31.5 – Classic Stanton season. A hamstring injury limited him to only 30 games including the playoffs, but he mashed in those games with 10 dingers. 2021 Projection: 86/38/88/.257/.362/.542/2

91) Lance McCullers Jr. HOU, RHP, 27.7 – Took him a bit to shake the rust off in his return from Tommy John, but he looked excellent when he did with a pitching line of 2.89/1.02/68/15 in final 56 IP including the playoffs. 2021 Projection: 10/3.76/1.26/161 in 145 IP

92) Ramon Laureano OAK, OF, 26.9 – BB% jumped 5.2% to a career high 10.8% and whiff% dropped 3.4% to a career low 25% but it couldn’t prevent Laureano from putting together a mediocre season (.704 OPS). The gains he made in those areas are a good sign, but the drop in sprint speed for the 2nd year in a row (27.9 ft/sec) calls into question his future stolen base totals. 2021 Projection: 89/25/85/.268/.335/.468/10

93) Michael Conforto NYM, OF, 28.1 – Surface stat breakout but it was mostly due to good fortune (.412 BABIP) as most of the underlying numbers remained relatively similar. 2021 Projection: 89/28/91/.270/.370/.490/5

94) Eddie Rosario CLE, OF, 29.6 – Improved the weakest part of his game, upping BB% 4.5% to a now very respectable 8.2%. I can’t think of a single player who gets less hype and less love relative to their production in fantasy than Rosario. Poor defense makes him overrated in real life. 2021 Projection: 86/29/91/.275/.326/.496/7

95) Ke’Bryan Hayes PIT, 3B, 24.2 – Eye opening MLB debut with a .376/.442/.682 triple-slash, 5 homers, 1 steal, and a 21.1%/9.5% K%/BB%. Plus plate approach completely transferred to the majors, and with a 92.8 MPH exit velocity, you don’t have to hit many flyballs (30.8% FB%) to knock a few dingers out. Tack on a 28 ft/sec sprint speed and even this ranking might be too conservative. 2021 Projection: 82/22/76/.276/.343/.466/10

96) MacKenzie Gore SD, LHP, 22.1 – Didn’t stand out at alternate camp, having some issues with his delivery, command, and velocity. Ace upside is still there, but San Diego did not think he was ready. 2021 Projection: 7/3.95/1.32/125 in 120 IP Prime Projection: 15/3.40/1.15/221 in 193 IP

97) Jose Abreu CHW, 1B, 34.2 – Abreu was almost singlehandedly the reason why I was overtaken for 1st place in that 18 team league I was talking about in the Wander Franco blurb. I inherited a perennial doormat and turned the team around into a winner overnight, so I can’t be upset at 2nd place, but damn if it didn’t seem like Abreu hit at least one homer a day from about mid August on. 2021 Projection: 82/30/101/.298/.352/.537/1

98) Dansby Swanson ATL, SS, 27.2 – Power continues to improve slowly but surely with a career high .190 ISO. Strikeout rate increased 4.1% to a career high 26.9% and needed a .350 BABIP to buoy his .274 BA. 2021 Projection: 89/23/74/.264/.339/.458/11

99) Adley Rutschman BAL, C, 23.2 – Had two big hits in 2020, not in a professional baseball game (there were none of those for minor leaguers), but on social media, going viral twice with an instagram post and TikTok video. As for baseball, the reports from alternate camp did nothing to quell the hype of Rutschman becoming the best catcher in baseball. 2021 Projection: July-27/10/32/.251/.326/.437/1 Prime Projection: 83/27/88/.280/.359/.498/3

100) Luke Voit NYY, 1B, 30.2 – Led the league in homers with 22, and brought K% down to a career low 23.1%. Voit’s done nothing but rake for 3 straight years now. 2021 Projection: 82/31/93/.264/.341/.505/0

101) Byron Buxton MIN, OF, 27.3 – Continues to improve power with a 1.8 MPH increase in FB/LD exit velocity to 96.8 MPH, leading to 13 homers in 39 games, while maintaining a not unreasonable 28.9% whiff%. Patience (1.5% BB%), stolen base attempts (1 for 3 on the season), and durability (sprained left foot, left shoulder inflammation, and a concussion) are still major areas of concern. 2021 Projection: 77/27/81/.258/.303/.495/15

102) Chris Sale BOS, LHP, 32.0 – Underwent Tommy John surgery on March 30, 2020. Like Severino, will likely be out until the 2nd half of the season, but it creates a buying opportunity if your team has struggled to find an ace. 2021 Projection: 5/3.67/1.22/103 in 80 IP

103) Nick Castellanos CIN, OF, 29.1 – Traded strikeouts for power, putting up a career best 91 MPH exit velocity and career worst 28.5% K%. Low BABIP (.257) kept his overall numbers slightly down (.784 OPS). 2021 Projection: 89/30/87/.262/.329/.502/2

104) Max Kepler MIN, OF, 28.2 – Continues to produce poor BABIP’s (career .252), making the low batting averages hard to call bad luck even with the excellent contact rates (21.2% whiff%). Increased launch angle every year of his career (21.9 degrees in 2020), so the power isn’t going anywhere. 2021 Projection: 91/30/88/.258/.339/.479/5

105) Kris Bryant CHC, 3B, 29.3 – Constantly banged up with a variety of ailments (sore back, mild left elbow injury, soreness around left ring finger and wrist, and lower oblique tightness), which can partially explain the very down season (.644 OPS). Underlying and surface stats were down across the board, but considering the 34 game sample, weird season, and constant injuries, a bounce back should be in order. 2021 Projection: 91/27/79/.269/.361/.480/4

106) Victor Robles WASH, OF, 23.10 – Gained about 15 pounds of muscle over last off-season and it resulted in a career low 28 ft/sec sprint speed (29.3 in 2019). It didn’t help his power either with his exit velocity dropping to a cover your eyes, career low 82.2 MPH. K% ballooned to 28% as well. Trade value is so low the only thing you can do is hold. 2021 Projection: 81/16/69/.258/.327/.417/20

107) JD Martinez BOS, OF, 33.7 – The strikeout rate was a bit high, walk rate a bit low, and exit velocity a bit down, but none of his underlying numbers were really too far off from his career norms. Age is a factor, so this might might be the start of a decline phase, but it also might be just a down year in a small sample size. 2021 Projection: 88/32/96/.284/361/.530/3

108) Charlie Blackmon COL, OF, 34.9 – Slashed .500/.527/.721 in his first 74 PA and then closed the year out with a .216/283/.327 triple-slash in final 173 PA. Relatively weak .804 OPS could have been due to wearing down after testing positive for Covid in June, or maybe it was due to simply not being given the chance to get hot again in the shortened season. 2021 Projection: 91/27/86/.296/.349/.491/6

109) Paul Goldschmidt STL, 1B, 33.7 – Career best 18.6% K% led to a .304 batting average but it came at the expense of some power (8 homers in 61 games including playoffs). 2021 Projection: 88/28/87/.283/.376/.489/4

110) Dylan Carlson STL, OF, 22.6 – Mediocre pro debut (.616 OPS in 119 PA), but was just starting to heat up toward the end of the season, slashing .295/.377/.614 in final 53 PA including the playoffs. FB/LD exit velocity was very strong at 96.6 MPH and a .260 BABIP is sure to improve. 2021 Projection: 76/22/71/.258/.323/.436/8 Prime Projection: 92/27/86/.273/.341/.482/9

111) Jasson Dominguez NYY, OF, 18.2 – Boy do they grow up fast. Dominguez looks like an absolute tank now, but the swing still looks mighty athletic. The added weight isn’t scaring me away, but it does seem to push the risk/reward up to even more extreme levels on both ends. Maybe I’m a sucker for upside, but a player with elite all category upside is someone I’m willing to risk it all for … and by risk it all, I mean Jose Berrios and players ranked after him. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 98/31/95/.273/.356/.521/17

112) Jose Berrios MIN, RHP, 26.10 – Velocity up on all of his pitches, leading to a career high 27.4% whiff% but also a 3.5% increase in walk rate (9.6%). Overall performance didn’t change all that much (4.00 ERA), but the increase in velocity gives him a nice little boost in upside. 2021 Projection: 13/3.91/1.28/187 in 180 IP

113) Noah Syndergaard NYM, RHP, 28.7 – Underwent Tommy John surgery in late March 2020 and will likely miss half the season. Syndergaard is the last of the discounted Tommy John surgery aces, joining Severino and Sale. 2021 Projection: 4/3.83/1.26/85 in 80 IP

114) Kristian Robinson ARI, OF, 20.4 – Added 25 pounds of muscle from the time OG Spring Training got shut down to his arrival at alternate camp on August 20. Team officials were gushing over the prodigious power and elite athleticism. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 84/30/92/.252/.338/.509/16

115) Jeter Downs BOS, 2B, 22.8 – Here’s your obligatory alternate camp prospect porn of Downs ripping a homer. He likely won’t be breaking any exit velocity or sprint speed records, but he lifts the ball with a good feel to hit and has above average base stealing skills. 2021 Projection: July-44/11/41/.258/.322/.435/7 Prime Projection: 91/26/88/.274/.341/.473/14

116) CJ Abrams SD, SS, 20.6 – Plus hit tool and plus speed shined through in his 2019 pro debut, slashing .401/.442/.662 with 14 steals and a 9% K% in 32 rookie ball games, and now reports from alternate camp have been glowing with positive physical development and added strength. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 94/20/79/.283/.345/.448/28

117) Sixto Sanchez MIA, RHP, 22.8 – Strong MLB debut with a pitching line of 3.46/1.21/33/11 in 39 IP. Exactly as advertised with elite stuff that produces weak contact but doesn’t produce big strikeout numbers. 2021 Projection: 9/3.83/1.24/133 in 146 IP Prime Projection: 14/3.59/1.14/181 in 183 IP

118) Franmil Reyes CLE, OF, 25.9 – Maintained elite exit velocity and raised launch angle 1.7 degrees to 11.2, but whiff rate increased for the 2nd year in a row to a concerning 38.5% 2021 Projection: 76/31/90/.257/.326/.491/0

119) Austin Martin TOR, OF, 22.0 – Selected 5th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft but signed for the 2nd largest signing bonus. Martin has a quick bat with natural loft, an advanced plate approach and above average speed. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 91/23/80/.276/.347/.449/13

120) Bobby Witt Jr. KC, SS, 20.10 – Witt looked good enough at alternate camp that team officials thought he could hold his own in the majors right now. That could put him on the fast track, maybe breaking into the majors as an outfielder. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 86/26/88/.264/.332/.472/19

121) Gio Urshela NYY, 3B, 29.6 – Underwent surgery to remove a bone chip from his right elbow in December, and is expected to be ready to go for 2021. BB% jumped 5% to 10.3%, K% dropped 3.9% to 14.4%, and exit velocity increased 0.9 MPH to 91.4 MPH. At worst he backed up 2019’s breakout, and at best there could be a monster season coming in 2021. I told you last year in my 2020 Top 1,000 that “these out of nowhere, late career breakout players remain the most underrated assets in dynasty leagues,” and there seems to be one last buying opportunity this off-season. 2021 Projection: 84/26/93/.282/.341/.486/1

122) Kenta Maeda MIN, RHP, 33.0 – Was itching to get back to being a full time starter and he backed it up with a dominate 2019, putting up a pitching line of 2.70/0.75/80/10 in 66.2 IP. He did it with a 6 pitch mix that notched him career highs in K% (32.3%), BB% (4%), exit velocity (85.3 MPH), and launch angle (10.8 degrees). 2021 Projection: 12/3.52/1.13/169 in 162 IP

123) Nick Senzel CIN, OF, 25.8 – Slashed .244/.327/.489 with 2 homers, 2 steals, and a 10/6 K/BB in 14 games before coming down with Covid. He went 2 for 32 upon his return. Even with the poor finish, the underlying stats look very encouraging, notching a 19.2% K% with a 16.3 degree launch angle, 88.3 MPH exit velocity, and 29.3 ft/sec sprint speed. The ingredients are there for a 2021 breakout, and the price to acquire Senzel couldn’t be cheaper. 2021 Projection: 81/22/76/.265/.329/.448/17

124) Corbin Carroll ARI, OF, 20.7 – Wowed Diamondback officials at alternate camp, stinging balls all over the field and showing off his lightening fast speed. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 88/20/80/.272/.341/.453/27

125) Royce Lewis MIN, SS, 21.10 – Reports from alternate camp have Lewis hitting for more power while maintaining a good BA as he continues to tweak his hitting mechanics. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 86/23/82/.273/.332/.452/21

126) Nate Pearson TOR, RHP, 24.7 – Flexor strain in right elbow limited Pearson to 20 IP with a 5.40 ERA, but the stuff was as advertised with a 96.3 MPH fastball and plus slider. 2021 Projection: 8/4.11/1.33/145 in 140 IP Prime Projection: 14/3.56/1.20/190 in 178 IP

127) Teoscar Hernandez TOR, OF, 28.6 – Exit velocity exploded from very good to elite levels in 2020, crushing baseballs to the tune of a 93.3 MPH exit velocity and 98.2 MPH FB/LD exit velocity en route to 16 homers in 50 games. I’m inclined to call it a career year rather than a breakout, because his K% (30.4%) and BB% (6.8%) did not improve along with the exit velocity, and a .261/.311/.463 triple-slash in his final 18 games was more in line with his career norms. 2021 Projection: 76/28/84/.251/.318/.496/8

128) Lance Lynn CHW, RHP, 33.11 – Had a 1.93 ERA until the month of September where he got hit up for a 5.51 ERA, including a 9 ER disaster in the last start of the season. Dominates with 3 different fastballs (4-seam, cutter, sinker) while mixing in a curve and the occasional change. 2021 Projection: 13/3.70/1.25/184 in 178 IP

129) Zack Wheeler PHI, RHP, 30.10 – Strikeout rate tanked 5.2% to 18.4% due to a 26.6% whiff% decrease on the curve and 7.1% whiff% decrease on the fastball. It didn’t impact his ERA or WHIP at all (2.92/1.17) and most of the damage came in the first 4 starts of the season (41 K’s in 45 IP in final 7 starts). 2021 Projection: 11/3.70/1.24/174 in 180 IP

130) Patrick Corbin WASH, LHP, 31.8 – Velocity dropped over 1.5 MPH on all of his pitches and it resulted in Corbin getting hit harder (90.7 MPH exit velocity against) and striking out fewer batters (20.3% K%). 2021 Projection: 12/3.85/1.25/180 in 181 IP

131) Carlos Carrasco NYM, RHP, 34.0 – Beat Leukemia in 2019 and he barely skipped a beat as he was back to his normal self in 2020 with a pitching line of 2.91/1.21/82/27 in 68 IP. The only thing out of line was a huge jump in BB%, increasing 4.9% to 9.6%. 2021 Projection: 10/3.78/1.22/181 in 163 IP

132) Joey Gallo TEX, OF, 27.4 – As predicted by pretty much everyone Gallo wasn’t1 able to maintain 2019’s .253 BA (.181 in 2020). Exit velocity was very strong (91.2 MPH), but it wasn’t in the land of the elite like it had been over the last 3 years. Obviously gets a huge bump in anything but standard 5×5. 2021 Projection: 89/38/91/.212/.331/.510/4

133) Ian Happ CHC, OF, 26.8 – 35.7% whiff% is in the danger zone territory, but Happ took his power to another level with a 91.1 MPH exit velocity. 2021 Projection: 86/27/84/.250/.343/.482/6

134) Frankie Montas OAK, RHP, 28.0 – Dominated in first 23 IP (1.57 ERA) until an upper back injury popped up and tanked his season, putting up a 8.70 ERA in final 30 IP. Excellent bounce back candidate with a clean bill of health heading into 2021. 2021 Projection: 10/3.89/1.28/168 in 160 IP

135) Chris Paddack SD, RHP, 25.3 – ERA ballooned to 5.02 due to lack of fastball command (fastball spin also took a step back) and inability to develop a viable third pitch. One or both will have to improve in order to remain in the rotation and hold off San Diego’s horde of talented pitching prospects. 2021 Projection: 8/4.12/1.21/151 in 145 IP

136) Triston McKenzie CLE, RHP, 23.8 – Durability concerns over extremely slight frame are warranted as McKenzie’s velocity was in a steady decline in his first 6 starts before being moved to the pen in his final two appearances. What can’t be questioned is the productivity as he put up the same dominant stats, both surface and underlying, in the Majors that he did in the minors. The upside is too high to pass up, and I’m betting on nature doing it’s thing and slowing down that metabolism as he ages. 2021 Projection: 7/3.90/1.24/128 in 120 IP Prime Projection: 12/3.51/1.16/195 in 178 IP

137) Framber Valdez HOU, LHP, 27.4 – Vastly improved BB%, dropping it from 13.4% to 5.6% en route to a breakout season (3.57 ERA). Groundball pitcher with a negative launch angle against (-0.7 degrees), but gets hit hard with a 91.7 MPH exit velocity against. Throws the third most valuable curveball in the game behind only German Marquez and Shane Bieber. 2021 Projection: 10/3.75/1.28/169 in 165 IP

138) Joe Musgrove SD, RHP, 28.4 – Right triceps inflammation limited Musgrove to 39.2 IP. Strikeouts (11.2% increase to 33.1%) and whiffs (8.3% increase to 33%) exploded on the back of his slider (11.3% whiff% increase to 50.6%) and curveball (13.6% whiff% increase to 53.2%). Slider spin rate was up 183 revolutions to 2677 and curveball spin rate was up 137 revolutions to to 2712, further backing up the strikeout gains. The K’s came with at the expense of some control with his BB% increasing 4.2% to a career worst 9.6%. 2021 Projection: 10/3.68/1.25/168 in 155 IP

139) Luis Patino TB, RHP, 21.5 – Poor MLB debut with a pitching line of 5.19/1.85/21/14 in 17.1 IP. The stuff was as advertised with 96.7 MPH heat, a changeup that put up a .211 xwOBA, and a slider with a 47.8% whiff%, but the poor debut likely puts him on the outside looking in for a 2021 rotation spot. 2021 Projection: 3/4.19/1.34/94 in 89 IP Prime Projection: 12/3.58/1.20/191 in 175 IP

140) Kyle Lewis SEA, OF, 25.9 – Started the season on fire, slashing .373/.440/.567 with 4 homers and a 22/8 K/BB in first 75 PA, and then closed the season on ice, slashing .139/.258/.266 with 3 homers and a 34/13 K/BB in final 93 PA. Increase in sprint speed to 27.9 ft/sec is a good sign the major knee injury is behind him. 2021 Projection: 86/25/79/.244/.328/.452/9

141) Rhys Hoskins PHI, 1B, 28.0 – Underwent internal brace repair surgery on the UCL in his left elbow in early October with a 4-6 month timetable. Hoskins continues to be an extreme fly ball hitter (51.9%) with extreme patience (15.7% BB%). 2021 Projection: 87/30/84/.241/.376/.498/3

142) Marcus Semien TOR, SS, 30.6 – Regressed right back to pre 2019 breakout levels with strikeout rate rising 7.5% to 21.2% and ISO declining from .237 to .157. Picked it up in 7 playoff games (219 wRC+), so while it looks like 2019 was a career year, maybe some of the gains were real if given a full season. 2021 Projection: 88/24/70/.260/.341/.453/11

143) Anthony Rizzo CHC, 1B, 31.8 – Low BABIP (.218), career worst exit velocity (87.7 MPH), and career worst sprint speed (24.8 ft/sec) is responsible for the down season (.755 OPS). Maybe his chronic bad back is starting to take a toll, but FB/LD exit velocity and K/BB were still strong, so I’m leaning towards it being a down year rather than the start of a true decline. 2021 Projection: 86/26/89/.273/.374/.496/5

144) Josh Bell PIT, 1B, 28.8 – An out of character 26.5% K% was the driving force for Bell’s down year, but he was starting to come out of it in the 2nd half, slashing .270/.360/.446 with 4 homers and a 18/11 K/BB in 24 games. Bell blamed the down year on the fact watching in-game video was banned in 2020, which he leaned on heavily in 2019, so the strong finish is a good sign he was starting to get used to a new routine. 2020 Projection: 78/25/85/.265/.353/.474/1

145) Max Muncy LAD, 1B/3B, 30.7 – .203 BABIP and 44.1% GB% (37.8% in 2019) is responsible for the .192 BA. Everything is else was mostly in line with career norms. 2021 Projection: 91/30/86/.240/.362/.501/3

146) Jorge Soler KC, OF, 29.1 – Oblique strain ended Soler’s season in early September. Maintained exit velocity gains made in 2019 putting him in near elite territory, but strikeout rate exploded 8.3% to career worst 34.5%. 2021 Projection: 79/32/94/.247/.337/.503/2

147) Jazz Chisholm MIA, SS, 23.2 – Struggled in his 62 PA MLB Debut (.161/.242/.321) but there were some positive signs in the underlying stats, most notably a reasonable 25.7% whiff%. He continued to hit the ball in the air (15.6 degree launch angle), and while exit velocity was below average (87.1 MPH), that will inevitably go up as he averaged a 91.4 MPH exit velocity in 2019 at Double-A. 2021 Projection: May-61/19/56/.236/.307/.418/9 Prime Projection: 83/27/81/.257/.338/.473/12

148) Dylan Bundy LAA, RHP, 28.4 – The breakout that everyone and their 2nd cousin twice removed saw coming, Bundy put up a pitching line of 3.29/1.04/72/17 in 65.2 IP. Exit velocity against dropped to a career best 87 MPH, but 4-seamer velocity is on a 4 year decline to a now career low 90 MPH. 2021 Projection: 11/3.82/1.24/175 in 167 IP

149) Dylan Moore SEA, OF, 28.8 – Power is legit with a 90.4 MPH exit velocity, 95 MPH FB/LD exit velo, and a 17.3 degree launch angle, which he pairs with a not too bad 27.2% Whiff%. I’m concerned the stolen bases will dry up a bit considering a poor 61% career success rate and a falling sprint speed (down 0.7 ft/sec to 27.7). 2021 Projection: 80/24/77/.241/.323/.447/17

150) Hyun Jin Ryu TOR, LHP, 34.0 – Ballpark downgrade? No problem. NL West to AL (Covid adjusted) East? No problem. Ryu kept rolling with a pitching line of 2.69/1.15/72/17 in 67 IP. The only problem he did have was in his one playoff start where Tampa hit him up for 7 earned in 1.2 IP. 2021 Projection: 12/3.48/1.18/163 in 168 IP

151) Kevin Gausman SF, RHP, 30.3 – Breakout season with a pitching line of 3.62/1.11/79/16 in 59.2 IP. Velocity on 4-seamer bumped up 1.2 MPH to 95.1 MPH, and slings the most valuable splitter in baseball by far, putting up a .150 xwOBA. 2021 Projection: 12/3.78/1.25/181 in 168 IP

152) Tyler Mahle CIN, RHP, 26.6 – Breakout year with a pitching line of 3.59/1.15/60/21 in 47.2 IP. K% skyrocketed 6.7% to 29.9%, and it’s backed up by a 10.4% increase in whiff% and spin rate increases of about 200-300 revolutions on his most used pitches (4-seam, slider, splitter). 2021 Projection: 10/3.92/1.29/162 in 152 IP

153) Aaron Civale CLE, RHP, 25.10 – Continued to post well below average exit velocities against (87.1 MPH average and 90.7 MPH FB/LD) while improving his whiff% (up 3.7% to 25%) and BB% (down 2.9% to 5.1%). 2021 Projection: 11/3.88/1.26/157 in 166 IP

154) Alex Kirilloff MIN, 1B/OF, 23.5 – First player to make his Major League debut as a starter in a playoff game, going 1 for 4. Kirilloff is a natural hitter who is poised to hit for both and power and average on the next level, and with Rosario non-tendered, he could get that shot starting from Opening Day. 2021 Projection: 72/20/77/.268/.327/.435/5 Prime Projection: 85/25/93/.280/.343/.477/7

155) Drew Waters ATL, OF, 22.3 – Concerns over free swinging ways has Waters dropping down many lists, but he is an excellent athlete with fantasy friendly upside and has been pushed aggressively in his pro career. He has plus bat control and hits the ball very hard. I’m still in. 2021 Projection: July-38/9/31/.259/.309/.411/8 Prime Projection: 84/23/78/.271/.328/.448/15

156) Miguel Sano MIN, 1B, 27.11 – Strikeout rate actually managed to get worse, posting a career worst 43.9% K% leading to a .204 BA, and you can’t blame some of that on poor BABIP luck (.301). 2021 Projection: 86/36/88/.225/.315/.497/0

157) Leody Taveras TEX, OF, 22.7 – The triple-slash (.227/.308/.395) wasn’t very impressive, but there were some very encouraging takeaways in his 33 game MLB debut. He was a perfect 8 for 8 on the bases with a 29.1 ft/sec sprint speed. 10.4% BB%, 88.9 MPH exit velocity and 14.3 degree launch angle are all very strong marks. 32.1% K% is high and 91.9 MPH FB/LD exit velocity could use some improvement, but overall there is a lot to be excited about. 2021 Projection: 75/14/58/.243/.311/.401/22 Prime Projection: 82/20/62/.258/.330/.432/25

158) Josh Hader MIL, Closer, 28.0 – Velocity down 1 MPH on the fastball (94.5 MPH) and 1.6 MPH on the slider (80.3) MPH). BB% hit a career worst 12.8%. It all led to a slightly down year with a 3.79 ERA. 2021 Projection: 3/3.22/0.99/105/33 in 68 IP

159) Wil Myers SD, OF, 30.4 – Career year with a .288/.353/.606 triple-slash and 15 homers in 55 games. Strikeout rate bounced back to 25.7% after ballooning to 34.3% in 2019. Only negative was the lack of stolen bases with a mere 3 attempts and career worst 4.41 HP to 1B runtime. 2021 Projection: 81/26/78/.250/.332/.457/10

160) Kyle Schwarber WASH, OF, 28.9 – .219 BABIP is the main culprit for the .188 BA. Exit velocity and launch angle dropped a bit, but considering the shortened season and otherwise strong power and patience numbers, he’s the same low average slugger that he always was. 2021 Projection: 84/32/83/.242/.339/.498/3

161) Will Smith LAD, C, 26.0 – Incredible improvements in K% (down 10.4% to 16.1%) and BB% (up 5.4% to 14.6%), and not only did it not cost him anything in FB/LD exit velocity, but he improved that too with a 2.4 MPH increase to 94.5 MPH. It only came in 37 games due to a time share with Austin Barnes, and he couldn’t maintain those numbers in 18 playoff games (65 wRC+). 2021 Projections: 65/24/69/.263/.348/.498/2

162) Sean Murphy OAK, C, 26.6 – Exit velocity moved into elite territory with a 1.5 MPH increase to 92.2 MPH. Whiff% dropped 4.8% to 25%, BB% mushroomed 7.1% to 17.1%, and launch angle jumped 7.4 degrees to 14.7 degrees. OPS dropped from .899 to .821, but the underlying numbers are telling a different story. A big breakout could be incoming. 2021 Projection: 76/25/73/.253/.340/.482/1

163) Jesse Winker CIN, OF, 27.7 – The long awaited power outbreak finally materialized with 12 homers in 55 games on the back of a 3 MPH increase in exit velocity (92.1 MPH) and 2.5 MPH increase in FB/LD exit velocity (96 MPH). It came with an 11% increase in whiff% (29%), but the walk rate rose with it to 15.3%. 2021 Projection: 84/25/78/.268/.362/.479/1

164) Alex Verdugo BOS, OF, 24.11 – Strikeout rate jumped 7.4% to 20.4%, but a .371 BABIP kept his BA high (.308). 2.4 MPH drop in exit velocity (87 MPH) is the most concerning thing, because with a 5.9 degree launch angle, he needs to hit the ball very hard to do any real damage on a consistent basis. 2021 Projection: 85/20/71/.276/.335/.450/10

165) Mike Soroka ATL, RHP, 23.8 – Torn right Achilles tendon which required surgery ended Soroka’s season after just 13.2 IP. There is no timetable, but he is expected to be throwing by the time Spring Training starts. 2021 Projection: 9/3.81/1.24/133 in 154 IP

166) Tony Gonsolin LAD, RHP, 26.11 – 4-seeamer velocity jumped 1.5 MPH to 95.1 MPH and upped the whiff% on all of his pitches by a few percentage points en route to an excellent season (2.31/0.84/46/7 in 46.2 IP). If he was guaranteed a rotation spot, he would rank at least 20 spots higher. 2021 Projection: 7/3.76/1.23/120 in 120 IP

167) Tommy Edman STL, 3B/OF/SS, 25.11 – Couldn’t repeat his 2019 breakout with most of the underlying numbers coming in at slightly worse levels in 2020. Nothing was completely out of character, other than raising his BB% 2.4% to 7%, so I’m expecting a bit of a rebound in 2021. 2021 Projection: 79/14/71/.276/.332/.418/16

168) Andres Gimenez CLE, SS, 22.7 – Solid MLB debut, slashing .263/.333/.398 with 3 homers, 8 steals, and a 21.2%/5.3% K%/BB% in 132 PA. Speed is legit with a 28.9 ft/sec sprint speed, but power is questionable with a 86.8/89.9 MPH AVG/FB exit velocity. 2021 Projection: 75/12/55/.259/.324/.391/22 Prime Projection: 86/15/59/.274/.338/.417/24

169) Dominic Smith NYM, 1B/OF, 25.10 – Power broke out with 10 homers in 50 games on the back of a 3.1 MPH increase in FB/LD exit velocity. Playing time could still be tight, but if he keeps mashing, NY will have no choice but to play him everyday. 2021 Projection: 76/24/84/.266/.330/.471/1

170) Kyle Hendricks CHC, RHP, 31.4 – Hendrick’s pinpoint control somehow managed to actually get better with a league leading mark of 0.9 BB/9. He doesn’t strike many out (7.1 K/9) but his exit velocity against is consistently among the best in the league (86.2 MPH). 2021 Projection: 13/3.62/1.18/148 in 175 IP

171) Triston Casas BOS, 1B, 21.3 – Got rave reviews at alt camp with his mature approach and murdering of baseballs. Rumor has it that Casas was drilled by a Tanner Houck pitch, refused to take first base, and then smashed a homer off him … Stuff of legend … but also makes you wonder what kind of baseball was being played at these alt sites. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 83/30/92/.263/.345/.505/3

172) Tommy Pham SD, OF, 33.1 -Got stabbed in the lower back at a strip club parking club in October and required emergency surgery to close the wound. He’s suing the strip club for “catastrophic injuries,” but it’s unclear how much the injury will effect him long term. A fractured hamate bone limited him to 31 games in 2020. Surface stats were mediocre (.624 OPS), but the underlying numbers looked much better and were in line with career norms. 2021 Projection: 80/20/71/.264/.358/.446/15

173) Eduardo Rodriguez BOS, LHP, 28.0 – Missed all of 2020 after testing positive for Covid in early July which eventually caused myocarditis (inflammation of the heart). The expectation is for him to have a normal off-season and be a full go for 2021. 2021 Projection: 11/3.89/1.29/166 in 160 IP

174) Cristian Javier HOU, RHP, 24.0 – Strong MLB debut, putting up a pitching line of 3.48/0.99/54/18 in 54.1 IP. Induced weak contact with a 86.9 MPH exit velocity against, which was mostly due a 75.9 MPH exit velo against on his slider (.146 xwOBA). 2021 Projection: 9/3.90/1.27/153 in 145 IP

175) Mike Yastrzemski SF, OF, 30.7 – At worst he proved the 2019 breakout was no fluke, and at best he took his game to an even higher level. BB% skyrocketed 5.5% to 13.3% and K% dropped 1.6% to 24.4%. Continued to hit for power with 10 homers and a 18.4 degree launch angle in 54 games. 2021 Projection: 85/25/79/.262/.340/.481/6

176) Paul DeJong STL, SS, 27.8 – Got caught up in the Cardinals Covid outbreak, testing positive in early August. Hit only 3 homers in 45 games, but with a 21.7 degree launch angle and 93.2 MPH FB/LD exit velocity some of that can be attributed to bad luck, further evidenced by an out of character 6.4% FB/LD%. Whiff% rose 8.1% to a career worst 32.3% and sprint speed dropped to a career low 26.5 ft/sec, but considering the Covid and all the doubleheaders the Cardinals had to play, I’m not giving it too much stock . 2021 Projection: 82/26/84/.244/.320/.456/5

177) Gary Sanchez NYY, C, 28.4 – Poor defense could move him off catcher in the near future. Continues to display elite exit velocity (99 MPH FB/LD), but the contact issues are getting worse with a career high 36% K%. BABIP was hilariously low (.159) and whiff% didn’t increase nearly as much (1.7% jump to 34%), so I do believe a bounce back is in order. 2021 Projection: 67/30/81/.226/.315/.507/0

178) Nate Lowe TEX, 1B, 25.9 – Just when you thought the real life value of blocked corner only power bats were at an all time low, Tampa pulls a rabbit out of their hat landing a premium prospect haul for Lowe. Every other team manages to find these guys for little or nothing. Dynasty value is a different story with Lowe now ticketed for a full time job. His power and patience have translated to the majors with 11 homers and a 9% BB% in 245 career MLB PA, but the hit tool hasn’t with a 31.8% K%. 2021 Projection: 78/25/81/.256/.341/.464/1

179) Brennen Davis CHC, OF, 21.5 – Reports from alternate camp were that it took Davis some time to make adjustments to upper level pitching and their ability to locate secondary pitches. The power and athleticism are evident, so continuing to mature at the dish will be necessary to reach his considerable ceiling. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 83/26/89/.262/.337/.470/13

180) Brandon Marsh LAA, OF, 23.4 – Groundball hitter with a plus power/speed combo and plus plate approach. Built off his 2nd half breakout in 2019 by dominating at alternate camp “in every capacity.” 2021 Projection: July-34/9/30/.251/.327/.432/7 Prime Projection: 86/23/78/.272/.348/.459/16

181) Tarik Skubal DET, LHP, 24.4 – The long ball was Skubal’s downfall with a 21 degree launch angle and 95.4 MPH FB/LD exit velocity against which led to 9 homers in 32 IP. 37/11 K/BB was strong, and his stuff was as advertised with a 94.4 MPH fastball that he threw 58.9% of the time. 2021 Projection: 7/4.11/1.30/150 in 140 IP Prime Projection: 13/3.77/1.23/196 in 179 IP

182) Jonathan Villar NYM, 2B/SS, 29.11 – Expected to fill a super utility role with New York. Career low exit velocity (2.2 MPH drop to 86.7 MPH) led to a .232/.301/.292 triple-slash. Sprint speed also hit a career low (27.1 ft/sec), but it didn’t effect his stolen base totals much as he stole 16 bags in 52 games. 2021 Projection: 69/13/61/.254/.326/.408/26

183) Jared Walsh LAA, 1B, 27.8 – Was smoking hot to close the season in September, slashing .337/.368/.744 with 9 homers and a 13/5 K/BB in 95 PA. Posted a 13.9% K% on the season, but his 22.8% whiff% shows that likely isn’t sustainable, although it is still a big improvement on the 32.4% whiff% he put up in 2019. Exit velocity numbers were good, but not off the charts with an 88.1 MPH average and 93.6 MPH on FB/LD. 2021 Projection: 69/25/81/.262/.326/.473/1

184) Trey Mancini BAL, 1B/OF, 29.0 – Mancini says he is back to his normal self after having a malignant tumor removed in his colon and completing chemotherapy in September. His normal self was pretty damn good at baseball in 2019 with an improved plate approach and GB% that led to a .291/.364/.535 triple-slash and 35 homers. 2021 Projection: 81/26/77/.270/.341/.473/1

185) Vidal Brujan TB, 2B, 23.2 – No clear path to playing time in Tampa’s perpetual logjam, but these things usually work themselves out with trades, injuries and/or underperformance. 80 grade speed and the willingness to use it gives Brujan the potential to compete for the stolen base crown year after year. 2021 Projection: 32/4/26/.264/.328/.382/9 Prime Projection: 87/13/51/.281/.340/.418/37

186) Aaron Bracho CLE, SS, 19.11 – As one of the youngest players at Cleveland’s alternate camp, team officials came away impressed by Bracho’s maturity and ability to hold his own against more advanced pitching. He became one of my favorite prospects last off-season after showing a great feel to hit (15.3% K%), an advanced plate approach (16.8% BB%) and plus power potential (6 homers and a 51.8% FB% in 30 games). ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 87/26/88/.274/.351/.481/9

187) Noelvi Marte SEA, OF, 19.6 – Struggled early at alternate camp, which was to be expected considering he has never even played stateside in the minors, but was impressing by the end of it by cutting down on strikeouts and stinging the ball much harder. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 84/25/82/.263/.334/.473/15

188) Riley Greene DET, OF, 20.6 – After ripping up OG MLB Spring Training (.417/.611/.917), he then went on to continue turning heads at alt camp and instructs. Greene is an all around hitter who did everything he could do to impress in 2020. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 84/25/89/.276/.348/.483/9

189) Matt Manning DET, RHP, 23.3 – Shut down in late August with a slight forearm strain but is said to be 100% now. Manning’s a strikeout machine who made strides with control and command in 2019. 2021 Projection: 5/4.18/1.34/126 in 120 IP Prime Projection: 14/3.69/1.23/206 in 183 IP

190) Mike Clevinger SD, RHP, 30.3 – San Diego dropped the old “do you want the good news or the bad news first?” on us in November when they tweeted out, “The Padres have signed RHP Mike Clevinger to a two-year contract through the 2022 season … Clevinger will also undergo Tommy John surgery on Tuesday.” 2021 Projection: OUT

191) Jeff McNeil NYM, OF/2B, 29.0 – Gave back all of the power gains he made in 2019 with exit velocity dropping 2.4 MPH to 86.6 MPH. Continues to make contact at elite rates (11.5% K%). 2021 Projection: 83/18/75/.302/.375/.467/6

192) Edwin Diaz NYM, Closer, 27.0 – Got back to dominating after a disappointing 2019 with a 1.75 ERA, 17.53 K/9, and 97.8 MPH heat. BB% spiked to a career worst 12.7%, so it wasn’t all roses. 2021 Projection: 4/3.21/1.16/101/30 in 65 IP

193) Nick Solak TEX, 2B/OF, 26.2 – Above average contact rates (19.1% Whiff%), above average exit velocity (89.9 MPH) and above average sprint speed (28.6 ft/sec) is a very nice foundation of skills to work with. It didn’t result in a great 2020 (77 wRC+), but it portends good things for the future. 2021 Projection: 80/18/72/.274/.336/.437/14

194) Clint Frazier NYY, OF, 26.7 – BB% mushroomed 9.1% to 15.6% and continued to hit for power with 8 homers and a career high 89.4 MPH exit velocity in 39 games. Defense improved in 2020 which he will have to keep up if he wants to lock down long term playing time. 2021 Projection: 75/25/83/.253/.339/.482/7

195) Andrew Benintendi BOS, OF, 26.9 – Rib cage strain ended Benintendi’s season after a terrible 14 games (.442 OPS). Sample is too small to read into, but if you did read into it, it wouldn’t be a good read. 2021 Projection: 82/17/76/.267/.338/.428/8

196) Brendan Rodgers COL, SS/2B, 23.7 – Right shoulder capsule strain ended Rodgers season in late August, which is the same shoulder that required labrum surgery in July 2019. He is expected to be a full go by Spring Training, and with Arenado traded, his outlook for playing time just got a whole lot better. 2021 Projection: 73/22/71/.250/.316/.442/6 Prime Projection: 81/27/88/.272/.331/.473/7

197) Salvador Perez KC, C, 30.11 – Came back from March 2019 Tommy John surgery in style, slashing .333/.353/.633 with 11 homers in 37 games. .375 BABIP definitely juiced up that line, and he notched slight career worsts in K% (23.1%) and BB% (1.9%), but the overall takeaway is that he is back to his normal self. 2021 Projection: 59/27/79/.258/.297/.463/1

198) Dustin May LAD, RHP, 23.7 – Stuff got even nastier with a major uptick in velocity on all of his pitches except the changeup, but it didn’t help his strikeout rate as it dropped to 19.6%. Bauer signing moves him out of the rotation. 2021 Projection: 5/3.87/1.22/79 in 95 IP

199) Randal Grichuk TOR, OF, 29.8 – Notched a career best 21.2% K% while fully maintaining all of his power (12 homers and a 95.9 MPH FB/LD exit velocity). 2021 Projection: 66/26/73/.251/.304/.480/2

200) Marcus Stroman NYM, RHP, 29.11 – Opted out of the 2020 season. Stroman’s a groundball pitcher with a six pitch mix, relying mainly on his 92.5 MPH sinker. Slider is his best swing and miss pitch (35.3% whiff%). 2021 Projection: 11/3.81/1.28/162 in 173 IP

201) Adrian Morejon SD, LHP, 22.1 – The 4.66 ERA in 19.1 IP wasn’t great, but everything else was with a 31.6% K%, 5.1% BB%, 86.7 exit velocity against, 46% GB%, and 96.6 MPH heat. Splitter and slider put a 57.1% K% and 47.6% K%, respectively. 2021 Projection: 6/4.04/1.27/104 in 100 IP Prime Projection: 12/3.69/1.20/184 in 171 IP

202) David Dahl TEX, OF, 27.0 – Can’t shake the injury bug. A lower back injury and a shoulder strain which required surgery in late September limited Dahl to 24 unimpressive games (.470 OPS). I know it’s getting frustrating, but many real life teams have made the mistake of giving up too early on talented players still in the prime of their career. Don’t make the same mistake. 2021 Projection: 79/20/77/.264/.319/.467/8

203) Cristian Pache ATL, OF, 22.5 – Wasn’t able to do very much damage in 29 PA including the playoffs (.192 BA), but a 21% K% and 10% BB% shows he wasn’t completely overmatched. Plus CF defense will keep him on the field, but you might have to wait a few years for Pache to become an impact player on the offensive side. 2021 Projection: 73/14/65/.253/.311/.394/11 Prime Projection: 86/21/79/.273/.338/.451/17

204) Orelvis Martinez TOR, SS, 19.7 – Did nothing but mash homers in instructional league play and at the alternative camp site. He did the same in 2019 in stateside rookie ball as a 17-year-old. He swings a quick bat, makes good contact, has an advanced plate approach for his age, and plus power potential. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 86/29/95/.273/.347/.503/4

205) Daniel Lynch KC, LHP, 24.4 – Focused on refining his delivery and found a new and improved changeup grip at alternate camp. Refining those two aspects of his game gives him the chance to turn into a true ace with a mid 90’s fastball and plus slider already in tow. 2021 Projection: 4/4.18/1.32/91 in 90 IP Prime Projection: 14/3.61/1.21/187 in 175 IP

206) Zac Veen COL, OF, 19.4 – Selected 9th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, the 6’4”, 190 pound Veen has a lightening quick lefty swing with natural loft. His patient plate approach, good feel to hit, and at least plus power potential gives him the ingredients to turn into a heart of the order beast. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 86/28/93/.270/.342/.494/10

207) Austin Riley ATL, 3B, 24.0 – Whiff% dropped 8.6% to 30.1%, BB% increased 2.4% to 7.8% and exit velocity increased 1.6 MPH to 91 MPH. On the other hand, launch angle fell 7 degrees to 13.6 and he was a disaster in 49 postseason AB (28 wRC+). 2021 Projection: 69/25/81/.252/.321/.473/1

208) Josh Donaldson MIN, 3B, 35.4 – Injury bug popped back up as a strained right calf limited Donaldson to 28 games. He looked like himself in those games, but this is the 3rd time in 4 years he’s had to miss significant time with injury. 2021 Projection: 88/31/84/.248/.359/.502/2

209) Nelson Cruz MIN, DH, 40.9 – The ageless wonder. Dominated again with a .303 BA and 16 homers in 53 games. His exit velocity did reach a career low 91.6 MPH, down 2.1 MPH from 2019, and whiff% hit a career high 34.2%, so maybe those are the first signs of decline. 2021 Projection: 82/35/96/.264/.357/.532/1

210) Zack Greinke HOU, RHP, 37.5 – Velocity tanked 2 MPH on the 4-seamer to 87.9 MPH and ERA jumped up to 4.03. The underlying numbers were in line with career norms, and a 3.51 xFIP/3.70 xERA shows he can still be effective even at that reduced velocity. 2021 Projection: 13/3.78/1.18/175 in 183 IP

211) Charlie Morton ATL, RHP, 37.6 – Right shoulder inflammation limited Morton to a mediocre 38 IP (4.74 ERA). Velocity dropped for the 2nd year in a row to 93.4 MPH. Pitched much better during the playoffs with a 2.70 ERA and increased velocity, so while age related decline is a major issue, the skills are still in there. 2021 Projection: 11/3.69/1.22/188 in 165 IP

212) Andrew Heaney LAA, LHP, 29.10 – Provides strong strikeout numbers, and while he hasn’t had that breakout season yet, he’s underperformed his underlying numbers for the past 3 seasons. With a little luck, 2021 could be the year. 2021 Projection: 10/3.96/1.27/173 in 166 IP

213) Pablo Lopez MIA, RHP, 25.1 – K% increased 4.3% to 24.6% and exit velocity against was among the best in the league at a career best 85.7 MPH. Added a cutter to the arsenal, and while he didn’t use it often (8.4%), it immediately turned into his most effective pitch with a .169 xwOBA. 2021 Projection: 10/3.93/1.26/148 in 159 IP

214) Liam Hendricks CHW, Closer, 32.2 – Proved the 2019 breakout was legit, posting an identical 13.1 K/9 with a 96 MPH and two secondaries (slider and curve) that are untouchable. 2021 Projection: 4/2.78/0.98/96/36 in 71 IP

215) Jake Cronenworth SD, SS/2B/1B, 27.2 – Power is the only thing in question with a 91.5 MPH FB/LD exit velocity and only 4 homers in 54 games, but the strong average exit velocity (89.8 MPH) and decent launch angle (10.5 degrees) shows there could be more in the tank. What’s not in question is his plus hitting ability (16.7% Whiff%), plate approach (9.4% BB%) and speed (28.7 ft/sec spring speed). 2021 Projection: 81/16/70/.275/.343/.421/14

216) Jorge Polanco MIN, SS, 27.9 – Gave back most of the power gains he made in 2019 with a 1.5 MPH decrease in exit velocity to 86.6 MPH. 2021 Projection: 84/16/70/.282/.338/.443/7

217) Michael Brantley HOU, OF, 32.11 – Whiff% jumped 5.8% to a career worst 16.4%, which took him from the 99th percentile to the 93rd percentile, so still pretty damn good. Attempted only 2 steals in 46 games, so hopes for a stolen base rebound seem slim. 2021 Projection: 83/20/86/.286/.349/.465/6

218) Mike Moustakas CIN, 2B/1B, 32.6 – Improved walk rate for the 2nd year in a row to a now very strong 11%. 2021 Projection: 78/32/87/.243/.327/.490/3

219) JD Davis NYM, 3B, 27.11 – Launch angle dropped 7.3 degrees to a meager 3.3, and with it went his power with only 6 homers in 56 games. He still hit the ball very hard (90.1 MPH), and he upped his walk rate 5.1% to 13.5%, so the ingredients for a breakout are there if he can get the launch angle back up. 2021 Projection: 79/21/75/.263/.342/.459/2

220) JJ Bleday MIA, OF, 23.5 – Reports from alternate camp and instructs praised Bleday for showing up in excellent shape, dropping 15 pounds without losing any power. He was a better athlete, had more speed, and was better in the outfield. He also continued to display his all around hitting ability. 2021 Projection: July-32/9/36/.252/.322/.441/2 Prime Projection: 82/26/88/.268/.340/.471/6

221) Trevor Larnach MIN, OF, 24.1 – Showed off his at least plus raw power at alternate camp, although he has yet to fully tap into it in the minors with high groundball rates and modest power numbers (13 homers in 127 games split between High-A and Double-A in 2019). If you hit the ball hard enough, and Larnach certainly hits is hard, you don’t need an extreme launch angle to put up big time power numbers. 2021 Projection: August-13/5/16/.242/.320/.436/1 Prime Projection: 77/26/87/.263/.341/.481/5

222) Casey Mize DET, RHP, 23.11 – Got rocked in his MLB debut with a pitching line of 6.99/1.48/26/13 in 28.1 IP. Throws a 5 pitch mix in which his 4-seamer was his only effective pitch. 2021 Projection: 6/4.33/1.35/135 in 140 IP Prime Projection: 13/3.73/1.20/184 in 182 IP

223) Yasmani Grandal CHW, C, 32.5 – Strikeout rate rose to a career high 29.9%, but it was in a 46 game sample and isn’t so far out of line with the rest of his career. Power and patience remained strong. 2021 Projection: 74/25/73/.238/.359/.457/2

224) Ha-Seong Kim SD, SS/3B, 25.5 – At 5’9”, 167 pounds, Kim has been one of the best players in the KBO since he was 19 years old. He took his game to the next level in 2020, slashing .306/.397/.523 with 30 homers, 23 steals, and a 68/75 K/BB in 138 games. He has a relatively safe floor with the ability to contribute in every category, and there is some nice upside too if the stats can translate better than expected. 2021 Projection: 79/19/71/.271/.337/.440/13

225) Nick Gonzales PIT, 2B/SS, 21.10 – Selected 7th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, the 5’10”, 190 pound Gonzales put up insane numbers in an extreme hitter’s environment at New Mexico State, rocking 12 homers with a .448 BA and 10/21 K/BB in 16 games before the season got shutdown. He performed well in the wood bat Cape League too with 7 homers, a .351 BA and a 22/20 K/BB in 42 games. He has one of the best hit tools in the draft and while he isn’t projected for huge homer or steal totals, he should be an all category stat stuffer. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 86/21/74/.281/.348/.456/9

226) Asa Lacy KC, LHP, 21.10 – Selected 4th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Lacy is a 6’4” lefty with a nasty mid 90’s fastball and two potentially plus secondaries in his changeup and slider. His only 4 starts in 2020 were absolutely dominant with a 0.75 ERA and 46/8 K/BB in 24 IP. Walk rates were high in college with a 4.0 BB/9 in 152 IP, but his control/command is better than that number indicates. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 13/3.66/1.23/209 in 183 IP

227) Forrest Whitley HOU, RHP, 23.6 – Was shut down from throwing in early August after feeling arm discomfort during summer camp and again at alternate camp. He battled shoulder inflammation in 2019. This is the life of a pitching prospect. 2021 Projection: 4/4.31/1.37/105 in 98 IP Prime Projection: 11/3.77/1.26/181 in 160 IP

228) Drew Smyly ATL, LHP, 31.10 – A left index finger strain limited Smyly to 26.1 IP. Velocity and spin rate spiked on all of his pitches and it resulted in a career high 34.7% whiff% and a 3.42 ERA. 2021 Projection: 10/3.81/1.23/168 in 150 IP

229) Rowdy Tellez TOR, 1B, 26.0 – Brought K% down 12.7% to 15.7% while maintaining strong power numbers (8 homers and a 95.9 MPH FB/LD exit velo in 35 games). The strikeout numbers should pull back a bit with a 23.5% whiff%, but he put up good contact numbers in the minors too, so the breakout looks mostly real to me. 2021 Projection: 63/20/68/.263/.331/.482/1

230) Carter Kieboom WASH, 3B, 23.7 – Struggled for the 2nd year in a row, except the encouraging 90.9 MPH exit velocity in 2019 dropped to a discouraging 85.1 MPH in 2020. He’s logged only 165 MLB PA, so we’re a long way off from putting the bust label on him. 2021 Projection: 71/19/74/.257/.322/.439/3 Prime Projection: 85/24/82/.275/.342/.468/5

231) Alek Thomas ARI, OF, 20.11 – Reports were all positive from alt camp. Thomas is an excellent athlete with underrated power and has shown an advanced plate approach so far in his young professional career. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 86/21/77/.268/.337/.442/19

232) Spencer Howard PHI, RHP, 24.8 – Shoulder stiffness limited Howard’s MLB debut to 24.1 IP where he put up a pitching line of 5.92/1.64/23/10. Stuff looked very good with a 94 MPH fastball and 3 quality secondaries (slider, curve, change). 2021 Projection: 9/4.24/1.35/147 in 145 IP Prime Projection: 13/3.76/1.23/181 in 172 IP

233) Pete-Crow Armstrong NYM, OF, 19.0 -Selected 19th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Armstrong stands out for his plus speed, plus defense, and strong track record of hitting. Power hasn’t been a big part of his game, but he has recently added muscle onto his projectable 6’1” frame, and a 99 MPH mark at a 2019 Perfect Game event is damn good. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 84/19/73/.274/.340/.439/19

234) Max Meyer MIA, RHP, 22.1 – Selected 3rd overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, the 6’0”, 196 pound Meyer is an excellent athlete with an elite fastball/slider combo and a changeup that has the ability to develop into a legitimate third pitch. There is some bullpen risk, but we’ve seen predominantly two pitch starters given the chance to start of late and thrive. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 12/3.74/1.22/190 in 172 IP

235) Marco Gonzales SEA, LHP, 29.1 – Career year with a pitching line of 3.10/0.95/64/7 in 69.2 IP. K% increased 6.1% to a career high 23.1%, but whiff% only increased 1.6% to 19.7%, meaning the strikeout gains might not be sustainable. Relatively low .263 BABIP, 4.13 xFIP and 3.84 xERA is why I called it a “career year,” and not a breakout. 2021 Projection: 12/3.78/1.26/150 in 170 IP

236) Sandy Alcantara MIA, RHP, 25.7 – Covid limited Alcantara to 7 starts. Throws one of the most valuable sinkers in the game to go along with 4 other about average pitches (4-seamer, curve, change, slider). 2021 Projection: 8/4.09/1.31/156 in 174 IP

237) James Karinchak CLE, Closer, 25.7 – Throws two pitches and both are elite with his curveball posting a 56.3% whiff% and fastball clocking in at 95.5 MPH with a .228 xwOBA. It resulted in a 48.6% K%, but it also comes with major control issues (14.7% BB%). 2021 Projection: 3/3.31/1.21/92/31 in 60 IP

238) Aroldis Chapman NYY, Closer, 33.1 – Covid limited Chapman to 16.1 IP including the playoffs, and he looked like his normal dominant self in those innings. 2021 Projection: 3/3.02/1.11/85/34 in 58 IP

239) Corey Kluber NYY, RHP, 35.0 – Shut down for the season after a single inning with a grade 2 strain of the teres major muscle in the back of his right shoulder. He missed most of 2019 with a fractured right elbow and strained oblique. Overpowering velocity has never been a big part of his game, so if he can get healthy enough to stay on the mound, I believe in his ability to stay effective even with diminished stuff. 2021 Projection: 9/3.88/1.24/140 in 140 IP

240) James Paxton FA, LHP, 32.5 – Flexor strain in left arm ended Paxton’s season after a poor 20.1 IP (6.64 ERA). He was coming off back surgery in February and the stuff didn’t look the same with a severe 3.3 MPH drop in velocity to 92.1 MPH. The strikeout ability was still there with 26 K’s, so he isn’t a bad bounce back pick if the price is right. 2021 Projection: 9/3.97/1.29/172 in 145 IP

241) Willson Contreras CHC, C, 28.11 – Raised launch angle 1.6 degrees to 9.1, which is a step in the right direction. Exit velocity also hit a career high of 89.8 MPH. On the whole, everything stayed pretty stable for Contreras. 2021 Projection: 64/22/66/.263/.345/.465/2

242) Didi Gregorius PHI, SS, 31.3 – Bounced back from a down 2019, slashing .284/.339/.488 with 10 homers, 3 steals, and a career best 11.8% K% in 60 games. Exit velocity dropped 4.4 MPH to a career worst 83.8 MPH, but FB/LD exit velocity stayed within career norms at 90.2 MPH, so I’m inclined to think it is mostly a small sample aberration. 2021 Projection: 75/24/83/.271/.328/.457/6

243) Willie Calhoun TEX, OF, 26.5 – Fractured his jaw on March 8th after being hit in the face by a Julio Urias mid-90’s fastball. He couldn’t get mentally right after that and it resulted in a disastrous season (.491 OPS in 29 games). His K% (15.7%) and exit velocity (89.3 MPH) were still strong, so some of the struggles look to be poor luck as well. With the full off-season to get his head right, I’m expecting that plus contact/power combo to shine. 2021 Projection: 74/26/83/.267/.326/.469/0

244) Grayson Rodriguez BAL, RHP, 21.4 – Worked on becoming more of a “pitcher” at alt camp going against more advanced competition, but it’s still the 95+ MPH fastball with good control that gets you most excited. Plus slider, above average change, and above average curve rounds out the arsenal. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 13/3.78/1.19/196 in 180 IP

245) Michael Kopech CHW, RHP, 24.11 – Opted out of the 2020 season but is supposedly fully ready to go for 2021. He’s coming off Tommy John surgery in September 2018, so while the stuff is absolutely electric, it’s been a minute since he’s pitched in official games. 2021 Projection: June-5/4.32/1.35/110 in 100 IP Prime Projection: 12/3.82/1.26/193 in 176 IP

246) Emerson Hancock SEA, RHP, 21.10 – Selected 6th overall, Hancock is a 6’4” righty with plus command of a mid 90’s fastball and plus changeup. Slider is inconsistent and will be the key to reaching his full potential. Watching some of his better starts makes you want to place him as the top overall pitcher in first year player drafts, but the consistency hasn’t been there. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 12/3.83/1.20/186 in 178 IP

247) Ryan Mountcastle BAL, OF/1B, 24.1 – Strong MLB debut with a .333/.386/.492 triple-slash, 5 homers, and a 21.4%/7.9% K%/BB%. BABIP was high (.398) and exit velocity was mediocre (87.4 MPH), so the underlying numbers weren’t quite as encouraging as the surface stats. 2021 Projection: 72/22/81/.268/.320/.447/3

248) Jordan Groshans TOR, SS, 21.5 – Struggled early at alternate camp, but impressed team officials with his resiliency and focus, going on to lead all Toronto hitters with 6 homers. Groshans is an all around good hitter who can use the whole field, and at 6’3”, 205 pounds, will only continue to grow into more power. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 80/24/87/.267/.341/.471/6

249) Brandon Nimmo NYM, OF, 28.0 – K% dropped 8.9% to a career best 19.1% en route to a career best .280 BA. Gets a big bump in OBP leagues with a career .390 OBP. 2021 Projection: 83/18/74/.267/.396/.451/6

250) Justin Turner FA, 3B, 36.4 – Whiff% jumped 3.4% to a career worst 20.5%, sprint speed dropped 0.7 ft/sec to a career low 25.4 ft/sec, and ISO dropped to a 6 year low of .153. Exit velocity and K/BB numbers were still strong, but there are some signs of decline. 2021 Projection: 77/23/75/.292/.383/.502/2

251) German Marquez COL, RHP, 26.1 – Coors continues to do what it does by absolutely destroying the ERA of talented hurlers. Marquez put a 5.68 ERA at home and 2.06 ERA on the road. Start him at Coors at your own risk. 2021 Projection: 11/4.08/1.28/178 in 183 IP

252) Brian Anderson MIA, 3B, 27.10 – Surface stats (11 homers and .810 OPS in 59 games) looked much better than the underlying numbers. Exit velocity dropped 2.5 MPH to 87.4 MPH and whiff% skyrocketed 7% to a career worst 34.4%. 2021 Projection: 73/23/82/.252/.341/.446/3

253) Jameson Taillon NYY, RHP, 29.4 – Missed all of 2020 after undergoing Tommy John surgery in August 2019. Rehab is going well and is expected to be a full go for 2021. Taillon is a hard thrower with good ratios but doesn’t put up huge K totals. 2021 Projection: 8/4.02/1.27/138 in 150 IP

254) Willy Adames TB, SS, 25.7 – Continued to post solid but unspectacular numbers, slashing .259/.332/.481 with 8 homers and 2 steals. Underlying numbers tell a slightly different story with an increase in power (FB/LD exit velocity up 3.1 MPH to 96.1 MPH) and major surge in strikeouts (36.1%.) 2021 Projection: 72/22/67/.251/.331/.438/5

255) Brailyn Marquez CHC, LHP, 22.2 – 0.2 inning MLB debut was a disaster with 5 ER, 3 walks and 1 strikeout, but more importantly the stuff was nasty with a 97.9 MPH fastball, 84.1 MPH slider, and 90.8 MPH changeup. Alternative camp reports had the changeup showing improvement, so if true, it gives him a legitimate third pitch. He’s still more pure stuff than refinement, but it seems like he took a step in the right direction in 2020. 2021 Projection: 2/4.31/1.37/47 in 45 IP Prime Projection: 12/3.71/1.27/185 in 171 IP

256) George Kirby SEA, RHP, 23.2 – Fastball was consistently hitting the high 90’s at instructs, which is very dangerous considering he has some of the best command over the pitch in the minors. 2021 Projection: 2/4.33/1.28/47 in 50 IP Prime Projection: 13/3.79/1.19/184 in 176 IP

257) Nick Madrigal CHW, 2B, 24.1 – Played true to form in his MLB debut with a .340 BA, 6.4% K%, and 0 homers in 29 games. He only stole 2 bases on 3 attempts, and his 28 ft/sec sprint speed is good but not eye popping, but maybe the underwhelming speed numbers had something to do with separating his shoulder just 5 games into his debut. The injury was bad enough to need surgery, which he underwent in October 2020 with a 5-6 month timetable. 2021 Projection: 74/5/66/.304/.348/.382/19

258) Garrett Hampson COL, OF/2B, 26.6 – Strikeout rate going in the wrong direction with a 5.7% increase to 32.6% and continues to post a below average exit velocity (86.3 MPH). He’s very fast, but not making contact very often and not hitting it all that hard when you do is not a combo. 2021 Projection: 69/5/51/.251/.314/.398/18

259) Hunter Bishop SF, OF, 22.9 – Reports from alternative camp praised Bishop’s improvements in plate approach and most importantly, his swing and miss tendencies. He’s a great athlete with a plus power/speed combo, so if the reports can be trusted, he took a step in the right direction this year. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 84/26/81/.258/.343/.469/13

260) Luis Matos SF, OF, 19.2 – Here is Matos smacking a dinger at instructs. It is a continuation of him showing more power than expected in his pro debut with 7 homers in 55 games. He’s also shown a good feel to hit and plus speed, giving him the makings of an all category contributor. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 84/23/78/.272/.336/.453/14

261) Logan Gilbert SEA, RHP, 23.11 – Pounds the strike zone with a plus fastball and 3 quality secondaries (slider, curve, change). Gets elite extension at 6’6”, 225 pounds, helping all of his pitches play up. 2021 Projection: 4/4.28/1.29/84 in 88 IP Prime Projection: 13/3.75/1.23/191 in 182 IP

262) Tommy La Stella SF, 2B/1B, 32.2 – Elite contact rates with a career best 5.3% K%, and BB% jumped 5.6% to 11.8%. Couldn’t maintain the 2019 homer breakout due to a below average 90.4 MPH FB/LD exit velocity. 2021 Projection: 83/19/72/.289/.360/.456/1

263) Eric Hosmer SD, 1B, 31.5 – Fractured left index finger limited Hosmer to 38 games. Finally dragged his launch angle off the ground to a not terrible 8.7 degrees, and it resulted in a monster power outbreak with 9 homers and a career high .231 ISO. 2021 Projection: 77/24/88/.272/.330/.457/5

264) Hunter Dozier KC, 1B/OF, 29.7 – Tested positive for Covid right before the season began and his exit velocity dropped off a cliff when he returned, plummeting 4.7 MPH to 86.4 MPH. He still managed to stay effective even with the power outage (14.5% BB% and a 104 wRC+), so everything is in place for him to build on his 2019 breakout assuming the power returns. 2021 Projection: 79/22/78/.255/.341/.451/7

265) Anthony Santander BAL, OF, 26.5 – Oblique injury ended his season on September 4th. K% dropped 6% to 15.2%, but whiff% actually increased 4.4% to 25.6%, so the K% gains were likely a mirage. Raised launch angle to 24.7 degrees, but relatively weak 92.1 MPH makes me hesitant to completely buy into the power outbreak (11 homers in 37 games). 2021 Projection: 71/25/84/.255/.309/.460/2

266) Aaron Hicks NYY, OF, 31.6 – Walk rate spiked to a career high 19.4% and strikeout rate dropped back to career norms (18%) after jumping to 28.2% in 2019. Exit velocity was strong with a 88.2 MPH average exit velocity and 93.7 MPH FB/LD exit velocity, which is nice to see coming off Tommy John surgery in October 2019. 2021 Projection: 84/25/77/.244/.359/.453/7

267) AJ Pollock LAD, OF, 33.4 – Was on pace to shatter his career high in homers with 16 bombs in 55 games, and while the underlying power numbers were good, there wasn’t any big changes to suggest that is even close to a sustainable pace. 2021 Projection: 75/24/76/.262/.321/.475/8

268) Mark Canha OAK, OF, 31.1 – Power took a small step back with a 1.9 MPH decrease in exit velocity to 92.4 MPH, resulting in only 5 homers in 59 games. Average exit velocity was still strong at 89.7 MPH, as was launch angle with a 19.4 degree mark, so I wouldn’t be too concerned. 2021 Projection: 82/25/80/.256/.358/.471/6

269) Christian Walker ARI, 1B, 30.0 – Poor defense at 1B makes job security a major issue. Surface stats didn’t look quite as nice in 2020 (.792 OPS) as they did in 2019 (.825 OPS), but the underlying numbers backed up the 2019 breakout. 2021 Projection: 76/24/74/.253/.334/.452/3

270) Hunter Renfroe BOS, OF, 29.2 – BA bottomed out to .156, and while his K% decreased 4.6% to 26.6%, his whiff% actually increased 1.5% to 32.1%. The power was as good as ever with 8 homers, a 96.1 MPH FB/LD exit velocity, and 17.3 degree launch angle. 2021 Projection: 67/28/79/.233/.300/.476/4

271) Zach Davies CHC, RHP, 28.2 – Career year with a pitching line of 2.73/1.07/63/19 in 69.1 IP. K% increased 7.6% to a career high 22.8%, but even with the strikeout gains, xFIP (4.14) and xERA (5.01) were not buying into the surface stats. 2021 Projection: 11/3.85/1.27/148 in 170 IP

272) Griffin Canning LAA, RHP, 24.11 – Velocity down 1.1 MPH to 92.8 MPH, K% down 1.5% to 23.5%, exit velocity up 1 MPH to 88.9 MPH, and BB% up 2.9% to 9.7%. In other words, everything was just a little bit worse than in 2019. 2021 Projection: 9/4.11/1.31/152 in 153 IP

273) Elieser Hernandez MIA, RHP, 25.11 – Right lat strain ended his season after 25.2 IP, but it was an impressive 25.2 IP, putting up a pitching line of 3.16/1.01/34/5. Velocity hit a career high 91.3 MPH as did his K% (32.1%) and BB% (4.7%). 91.8 MPH exit velocity against shows there was some positive luck at play, 2021 Projection: 7/4.08/1.26/148 in 145 IP

274) Jurickson Profar SD, 2B/OF, 28.1 – Hasn’t met the expectations that his elite prospect pedigree put on him, but Profar has settled into being a solid player with good contact skills (13.9% K%) and a moderate power speed combo (7 homers and 7 steals in 56 games). 2021 Projection: 75/20/69/.271/.335/.430/10

275) Scott Kingery PHI, 2B, 26.11 – Couldn’t build on a solid 2019. BABIP (.200) and exit velocity (85.3 MPH) both tanked leading to an awful season (.511 OPS). 2021 Projection: 68/20/61/.248/.311/.428/12

276) Evan White SEA, 1B, 25.1 – Has been working on tapping into his raw power since the end of 2018, and he was successful at that with a 91.7 MPH exit velocity (96.9 MPH FB/LD exit velocity) and 8 homers in 54 games in his MLB debut, but he may have went a bit too far as his K% soared to 41.6% (.176 BA). 2021 Projection: 71/24/78/.242/.311/.428/5

277) Justin Verlander HOU, RHP, 38.1 – Underwent Tommy John surgery in September and will miss all of 2021. If any 38 year old can successfully recover from Tommy John surgery and return to form, it’s Verlander. 2021 Projection: OUT

278) Yasiel Puig FA, OF, 30.4 – Missed all of 2020 after testing positive for Covid in mid July. Was reportedly going to sign with Atlanta before the positive test, but had the season started on time his free agency was almost sure to bleed into the season. I would be cautious until he officially signs. Fool me once … 2021 Projection: 75/25/81/.264/.329/.468/13

279) Austin Slater SF, OF, 28.4 – Broke out with a .282/.408/.506 triple-slash, 5 homers, and 8 steals in 104 PA. Underlying stats back up the breakout with career highs in K% (21.2%), BB% (15.4%), exit velocity (89.2 MPH), and launch angle (10.9 degrees). The only thing holding him back is being in a short side of a platoon role, but the upside is there if San Francisco unleashes him. 2021 Projection: 63/17/66/.260/.347/.438/14

280) Michael Busch LAD, 2B, 23.5 – It’s hard to have major risers just on the back of good reports, but Busch’s 2020 reports were so glowing with talk of plus hit and plus power that it would be hard to ignore. It is the same skills that he displayed in the ACC, and considering how much I already liked him coming into the year, I’m comfortable giving him a significant bump. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 83/26/86/.267/.346/.478/5

281) Austin Hays BAL, OF, 25.9 – Non displaced rib fracture limited Hays to 33 games. Good feel to hit has transferred to the majors, posting an excellent 20.2% whiff% and .279 BA in 2020. The power hasn’t fully gotten there yet with a very poor 89.7 MPH FB/LD exit velocity. 2021 Projection: 78/19/71/.268/.329/.435/9

282) Daulton Varsho ARI, C/OF, 24.9 – 86.2/90.6 MPH average/FB exit velocity is well below average, and while it should rise, he put up an 87 MPH average exit velocity in the minors, so the MLB numbers don’t look to be an aberration. 18.4 degree launch angle ensures he’ll take full advantage of the power he does have, and a 28.3 ft/sec sprint speed plus a long track record of success on the base paths ensures healthy stolen base totals. 2021 Projection: 76/18/69/.251/.322.,429/13

283) Chris Bassitt OAK, RHP, 32.1 – Throws a 6 pitch mix and while none are dominant, all of them are effective. The effectiveness of his pitches mirror his underlying stats too, with nothing being standout, but nothing setting off red flags either. He’s a solid but unspectacular starter. 2021 Projection: 10/3.92/1.26/150 in 160 IP

284) Jean Segura PHI, SS, 31.0 – Changed his hitting profile with career highs in launch angle (11.2 degrees), BB% (10.6%), and K% (20.7%). It led to a homer outbreak with 7 homers in 54 games, but it also came with a drop in BA to .266 (.314 BABIP). 2021 Projection: 83/17/68/.275/.338/.425/9

285) Nathan Eovaldi BOS, RHP, 31.3 – Whiff% hit a career high 28.1% and stuff remained nasty with 97.3 MPH heat. It led to a very solid season, putting up a pitching line of 3.72/1.20/52/7 in 48.1 IP. 2021 Projection: 10/3.93/1.28/149 in 145 IP

286) Joc Pederson CHC, OF, 28.11 – .200 BABIP tanked his triple-slash (.190/.285/.397), but power still looked great with a career high 93 MPH exit velocity and 7 homers in 43 games. He also dominated in the playoffs with a 169 wRC+ in 37 PA. 2021 Projection: 73/27/71/.241/.336/.488/3

287) Nolan Gorman STL, 3B, 20.11 – Reports were all positive from alt camp, particularly on the defensive side of the ball. Gorman has double plus power potential, but his strikeout rates have been a bit on the worrying side (31.7% K% in 230 PA at High-A). ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 78/31/89/.250/.333/.500/3

288) Heliot Ramos SF, OF, 21.7 – Strained oblique early in instructional league play which ended his season. He has big time power but will have to cut down on his strikeouts in the upper levels of the minors before he gets the call. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 78/26/84/.261/.334/.472/8

289) George Valera CLE, OF, 20.5 – Posses one of the sweetest lefty swings in the minors. Coaches praised his maturing plate approach at alt camp and instructs, while continuing to smack the ball all over the field. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 83/25/84/.276/.357/.478/9

290) Garrett Mitchell MIL, OF, 22.7 – Selected 20th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Mitchell builds his game around double plus speed and plus centerfield defense. At 6’3”, 215 pounds the plus raw power is in there, but he hasn’t been able to tap into yet with a low launch angle and 0 homers in 15 games in 2020 (6 homers in 62 game in 2019). ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 82/16/68/.266/.335/.424/24

291) Nolan Jones CLE, 3B, 22.11 – Defense was the name of the game for Jones in 2020 with Cleveland looking to expand his versatility in anticipation of a possible OF debut. He’s an extremely patient hitter with swing and miss issues and double plus power that he hasn’t fully tapped into yet. ETA: September-8/3/8/.233/.308/.403/0 Prime Projection: 83/27/82/.251/.358/.477/2

292) Josh Lowe TB, OF, 23.2 – Was named a top prospect performer at Tampa’s alternative site and was praised for “showing well in all facets of the game.” He was coming off off-season shoulder surgery, so at the very least it shows he is back to full strength. Lowe is a plus power/speed combo with hit tool concerns. 2021 Projection: Septebmer-9/3/7/.222/.296/.393/3 Prime Projection: 81/24/76/.245/.328/.457/16

293) Oneil Cruz PIT, SS, 22.6 – Cruz is a beast of a man at 6’7” with double plus raw power, but high groundball rates have prevented him from tapping into it. Fly ball percentage jumped up 8.9% to 38.1% after his promotion to Double-A in the 2nd half of 2019, so if he can maintain those gains, the double plus raw power will definitely start to shine through. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 75/27/85/.252/.323/.476/9

294) Hedbert Perez MIL, OF, 18.0 – Was putting up some big time exit velocity readings at instructs, and impressed at alternate camp with several opposite field dingers. The power certainly looks legit. Perez has some of the highest upside in all of the minors. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 84/26/88/.273/.342/.468/17

295) Brady Singer KC, RHP, 24.9 – As advertised in his MLB debut with a plus sinker/slider combo. Only threw his changeup 4.7% of the time, but it was effective when he threw it with a .260 xwOBA. 2021 Projection: 9/4.16/1.31/147 in 160 IP

296) John Means BAL, RHP, 27.11 – Velocity surged on the 4-seamer 2.1 MPH to 93.8 MPH and it resulted in a 10.7% increase in whiff% on the pitch (28.9%). 2021 Projection: 9/4.15/1.26/154 in 163 IP

297) Zach Eflin PHI, LHP, 27.0 – Upping sinker usage 29.7% to 51.6% resulted in a career low 7.9 degree launch angle against. K% surged 10.3% to 28.6% but whiff% only increased 3.7% to 24%. 2021 Projection: 10/4.22/1.31/158 in 161 IP

298) Carlos Martinez STL, RHP, 29.6 – Got caught up in the Cards Covid outbreak and it resulted in a completely lost season for Martinez with his surface stats and underlying stats way down across the board in 20 IP. 2021 Projection: 8/4.17/1.31/142 in 148 IP

299) Andrew McCutchen PHI, OF, 34.5 – Posted a career low 27.4 ft/sec sprint speed coming off ACL surgery in June 2019. BB% also dropped 7.3% to a career low 9.1%. On the plus side, his power looked all the way back with 10 homers and a 18.2 degree launch angle in 57 games. 2021 Projection: 81/24/79/.260/.347/.460/8

300) Jake Odorizzi FA, RHP, 31.0 – Limited to 13.2 IP with a variety of ailments (right intercostal strain, chest contustion, blister). He didn’t look very good in those innings with a 6.59 ERA, but he was able to maintain 2019’s velocity bump with a career high 93 MPH 4-seamer. 2021 Projection: 10/3.94/1.27/161 in 160 IP

301) David Price LAD, LHP, 35.7 – Opted out of the 2020 season. Last we heard from Price, he was having a cyst removed from his left wrist in September 2019. The velocity has been in a clear decline over the past 2 seasons (91.9 MPH), so maybe the year off will be rejuvenating. 2021 Projection: 10/4.15/1.26/161 in 162 IP

302) Sean Manaea OAK, LHP, 29.2 – Ditched 4-seamer in favor of his sinker, and it resulted in a career best 50.3% GB%. 2021 Projection: 10/3.90/1.22/136 in 155 IP

303) Amed Rosario CLE, SS, 25.4 – Gave back all the gains he made in exit velocity (2.9 MPH decrease to 86.5 MPH), didn’t steal a single base in 46 games, and might have lost his starting job to Andres Gimenez. This seems to be one of the cases where the shortened season can’t excuse all of the red flags, and Rosario seems to agree as he is working to revamp his swing with the batting coach who turned Justin Turner into an animal. 2021 Projection: 63/13/67/.274/.313/.415/10

304) Madison Bumgarner ARI, LHP, 31.8 – I recommended trading Bumgarner last off-season in my 2020 Top 1,000 Ranking, “With xFIP’s over four the last three years and the aforementioned ballpark downgrade, I would be looking to trade Bumgarner this off-season,” and I hope you listened because his velocity was down 3 MPH to 88.4 MPH, his ERA ballooned to 6.48, and a back issue popped up which kept him out for almost a month. He closed out the season with 2 strong starts, and he’s only 31 years old, so there is certainly bounce back potential. 2021 Projection: 9/4.26/1.31/153 in 165 IP

305) Michael Pineda MIN, RHP, 32.3 – Returned from a 39 game PED suspension and looked good in 5 starts with a 3.38 ERA and 25/7 K/BB in 26.2 IP. The velocity is not quite what it used to be with a career low 92.1 MPH 4-seamer and 82.4 MPH slider, but the pitches are as effective as they ever were. 2021 Projection: 9/4.17/1.25/145 in 150 IP

306) Jeimer Candelario DET, 1B/3B, 27.4 – Power took another step with a 2 MPH increase in exit velocity to 90.2 MPH and notched a career high .205 ISO. 2021 Projection: 76/22/74/.253/.344/.458/3

307) Robert Puason OAK, SS, 18.5 – Handled himself well at alternate camp focusing on the basics of being a professional like routine and preparation. The 6’3”, 165 pound Pauson landed a $5.1 million bonus in last years international signing period, and he has all the requisite talent that a bonus like that indicates. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 82/24/87/.266/.334/.462/21

308) DL Hall BAL, LHP, 22.6 – Fastball was sitting 96-99 at alternate camp and made improvements to his 3 secondaries (change, curve, slider). The stuff is electric but control/command still needs to take a major step forward to reach his considerable ceiling. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 12/3.78/1.32/187 in 174 IP

309) Joey Bart SF, C, 24.3 – Rough MLB debut, slashing .233/.288/.320 with 0 homers and a 41/3 K/BB in 33 games. Hit the ball very hard when he did make contact with a 89 MPH exit velocity and 95.6 MPH FB/LD exit velocity, so if he can improve his plate approach, the homers will come. 2021 Projection: 22/7/28/.237/.299/.404/1 Prime Projection: 66/24/77/.256/.322/.454/3

310) Jonathan India CIN, 3B, 24.3 – Power looked much improved at alternative camp with reports of increased bat speed and was consistently ripping the ball all over the park. It’s nice to see after his power hasn’t completely shown up in his minor league career. Combine that with a good feel to hit, advanced approach, and speed, and India could be set up for a big 2021. 2021 Projection: August-24/6/19/.248/.331/.429/4 Prime Projection: 81/22/74/.268/.349/.454/12

311) Josh Jung TEX, 3B, 23.2 – The move of Isaiah Kiner Falefa from 3B to SS opens up a clear path for Jung. He was getting rave reviews at instructs for his plus hitting ability and plus power potential. 2021 Projection: May-61/18/66/.251/.322/.445/3 Prime Projection: 77/24/83/.273/.341/.468/5

312) Bobby Dalbec BOS, 1B, 25.9 – Insane power (99.8 MPH FB/LD exit velocity with 8 homers in 23 games) and insane strikeouts (42.4% K%). Unsustainable .394 BABIP kept Dalbec’s batting average respectable (.263). 2021 Projection: 72/33/81/.227/.312/.470/3

313) Raisel Iglesias LAA, Closer, 31.3 – Had all four pitches working in 2020 with all them returning positive value. It led to career bests in xFIP (2.87), xERA (2.50) and WHIP (0.91). 2021 Projection: 3/3.37/1.15/85/31 in 66 IP

314) Yusei Kikuchi SEA, LHP, 29.8 – The ERA didn’t change all that much with 5.17 ERA, but almost everything else did. Velocity jumped 2.5 MPH to 95 MPH, he added a 92.1 MPH cutter to the arsenal which become his most used pitch, and his K% increased 8.1% to 24.2%. It resulted in a 3.51 xERA and 3.78 xFIP. 2021 Projection: 9/4.31/1.32/156 in 165 IP

315) Jesus Aguilar MIA, 1B, 30.9 – K% dropped for the third year in a row to a career best 18.5%. It led to a bounce back season with a 121 wRC+. 2021 Projection: 68/24/79/.262/.343/.459/0

316) Cristian Hernandez CHC, SS, 17.3 – At 6’2”, 175 pounds Hernandez takes vicious hacks at the dish, foreshadowing monster power potential when his projectable frame fills out. He also gets high marks for his athleticism, feel to hit, and plus speed. The top international prospects consistently get underrated in first year player drafts, so while the risk is high, the discount in drafts mitigates that. ETA: 2025 Prime Projection: 83/26/87/.273/.341/.476/14

317) Wilman Diaz LAD, SS, 17.4 – At 6’2”, 170 pounds Diaz is a plus athlete who has displayed a good feel to hit and the ability to hit it with authority in Venezuelan youth leagues. The power potential is plus as he gains strength, and he should retain enough speed to steal 10+ bags even as he gains weight. ETA: 2025 Prime Projection: 85/24/81/.279/.352/.462/12

318) Erick Pena KC, OF, 18.1 – Held his own at instructs playing against advanced competition, but did show some swing and miss. He’s 6’3” with a smooth lefty swing that is easy to dream on. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 85/27/91/.272/.348/.490/7

319) Garrett Crochet CHW, LHP, 21.9 – Selected 11th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Crochet made it all the way up to the Majors and unleashed an unhittable, double plus 100.1 MPH fastball on the league. He’s never been a full time starter, so bullpen risk is high, although his upside would be considerable as a closer. Injury risk is high too as shoulder soreness delayed the start of his college season and then he suffered a flexor strain to his forearm to end his season during the playoffs. 2021 Projection: 2/4.23/1.33/34 in 30 IP Prime Projection: 10/3.77/1.28/189 in 168 IP

320) Heston Kjerstad BAL, OF, 22.2 – Selected 2nd overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, the 6’3”, 220 pound Kherstad has at least plus power and put up impressive home run totals from day 1 in the SEC, knocking 37 homers in 150 career games. The K/BB numbers are suspect (129/54), but he was in the midst of a Junior year breakout before the season got shutdown (6 homers with a 9/7 K/BB in 16 games). ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 78/31/92/.250/.323/.505/3

321) Austin Hendrick CIN, OF, 19.10 – Selected 12th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Hendrick generates incredible bat speed with at least plus power potential. Put up a 105 MPH exit velocity at a Perfect Game event in 2019, which puts him in the 99.8% percentile for his prep class. On the downside, there is some swing and miss concerns, he’s old for his class, and he hasn’t consistently faced the toughest competition. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 76/29/87/.252/.334/.481/6

322) Kenley Jansen LAD, Closer, 33.6 – Velocity declined for the 4th year in a row to a career worst 90.9 MPH on the cutter, and BB% spiked 2.7% to 8.8%. He was still effective overall with a 3.33 ERA and 33 K’s in 24.1 IP, but he did notch a career worst 1.15 WHIP. 2021 Projection: 3/3.67/1.13/75/34 in 64 IP

323) Ryan Pressly HOU, Closer, 32.4 – .365 BABIP kept the surface stats in check with a 3.43 ERA and 1.33 WHIP, but the 12.43 K/9 and 2.74 xERA were still in prime form. 2021 Projection: 3/3.39/1.18/84/30 in 62 IP

324) Nick Anderson TB, Closer Committee, 30.9 – The numbers are silly elite (0.55/0.49/26/3 in 16.1 IP), but Tampa has a fluid bullpen philosophy, and if 2020 is any indication they are likely to keep Anderson’s overall innings on the low side as well. 2021 Projection: 3/2.94/1.02/90/18 in 59 IP

325) Brad Hand WASH, Closer, 31.0 – Velocity continued to decline to 91.4 MPH and whiff% tanked 5.9% to 24.8%, but it didn’t stop him from dominating with a pitching line of 2.05/0.77/29/4 in 22 IP 2021 Projection: 3/3.42/1.18/80/32 in 65 IP

326) Kirby Yates TOR, Closer, 34.0 – Signing with Toronto ensures he will remain a closer. Surgery to remove bone chips in his right elbow ended his season after 4.1 IP. Expected to be fully healthy for 2021. 2021 Projection: 3/3.43/1.16/82/30 in 55 IP

327) Luke Weaver ARI, RHP, 27.7 – FB% skyrocketed to a career high 48.7% (37.8% in 2019) which led to homer problems (1.73 HR/9). BABIP (.349) and left on base percentage (63.2%) were both worse than career averages, so some of that 6.58 ERA is due to bad luck. 2021 Projection: 7/4.38/1.35/149 in 145 IP

328) Mitch Keller PIT, RHP, 25.0 – Oblique strain limited Keller to 21.2 IP. Complete reversal from 2019 where his 7.13 ERA didn’t match his 3.47 xFIP, to 2020 where his 2.91 ERA didn’t match his 6.57 xFIP. Everything looked bad for Keller in 2020, but considering the shortened year and injury, I would throw it out completely. 2021 Projection: 8/4.23/1.34/150 in 150 IP

329) Matthew Boyd DET, LHP, 30.2 – Couldn’t maintain his 2019 strikeout explosion with his K% dropping 8.1% to 22.1%. He got hit up for a 6.71 ERA. 2021 Projection: 9/4.42/1.36/171 in 165 IP

330) Jordan Montgomery NYY, LHP, 28.4 – 5.11 ERA in 44 IP, but the underlying stats looked much better. Velocity reached a career high on his sinker (92.5 MPH) and 4-seamer (92.6 MPH) while holding opponents to an elite 84.6 MPH exit velocity against. 24.6 K% and 4.7% BB% also portend good things for the future. 2021 Projection: 10/4.03/1.28/152 in 158 IP

331) Justus Sheffield SEA, LHP, 24.10 – Ditched the 4-seamer in favor of a sinker which led to a 3.58 ERA in 55.1 IP. The underlying numbers were not quite as good with a well below average 19.8% whiff% and 4.18 xERA. 2021 Projection: 8/4.08/1.31/151 in 160 IP

332) Caleb Smith ARI, LHP, 28.8 – Catching Covid limited Smith to 14 IP. The stuff looked good with a 35.4% whiff%, and while a 20% BB% is obviously ridiculous, he’s had control problems throughout his career (10.3% career BB%). 2021 Projection: 8/4.24/1.28/158 in 148 IP

333) Michael Lorenzen CIN, RHP, 29.3 – Currently penciled in as the 5th starter. Lorenzen throws a 6 pitch mix headlined by a 96.8 MPH 4-seamer. Changeup and slider are his go to strikeout weapons with a 45.5% whiff% and 52.1% whiff%, respectively. Control has been an issue throughout his career, and it hit a career worst 11.6% in 2020. 2021 Projection: 6/4.21/1.35/121 in 125 IP

334) Victor Reyes DET, OF, 26.6 – Exit velocity jumped 2.4 MPH to 90 MPH which resulted in a small bump in homer power with 4 homers in 213 PA (3 homers in 292 PA in 2019). Sprint speed dropped from 28.9 ft/sec to 27.9 ft/sec, but it didn’t impact his stolen base totals with 8 steals. 2021 Projection: 76/14/59/.268/.303/.412/16

335) Maikel Franco FA, 3B, 28.8 – Posts excellent contacts numbers (15.6% K%) with above average power (94.2 MPH FB/LD exit velocity), but the overall numbers remain more solid than standout with a 106 wRC+. 2021 Projection: 66/23/78/.268/.322/.461/0

336) Jonathan Schoop DET, 2B, 29.6 – Continues to post above average power numbers (8 homers in 44 games) even with below average exit velocity (87.2 MPH). 2021 Projection: 69/22/66/.263/.311/.459/1

337) Tyler O’Neill STL, OF, 25.9 – Career best 27.4% K% but a .189 BABIP tanked his BA (.173). Continued to hit the ball hard (95.4 MPH FB/LD exit velocity) and in the air (15.1 degree launch), to go along with blazing fast speed (29.6 ft/sec sprint speed), so the ingredients are there for a monster breakout if he can lock down playing time without Fowler in the mix. 2021 Projection: 68/23/66/.244/.317/.463/8

338) Manuel Margot TB, OF, 26.6 – Power absolutely detonated in the postseason with 5 homers in 19 games, which is nice to see after hitting only 1 in 47 games during the regular season. He ran a ton with 14 steals in 66 total games and tied a career high in exit velocity at 89.4 MPH. I’ve been calling Margot a later career breakout type in the mold of Lorenzo Cain in my last two top 1,000’s and still think he is on that path. 2021 Projection: 68/14/59/.267/.331/.406/17

339) Franchy Cordero KC, OF, 26.5 – A severe right wrist sprain which required a procedure limited Cordero to 16 games. Extremely high strikeout rates have been holding his plus power/speed combo back, but he managed to put up a 9.5% K% in 42 PA in 2021, which is a good sign even if the sample is extremely small. 2021 Projection: 69/20/66/.248/.315/.445/10

340) Oscar Mercado CLE, OF, 26.4 – Slow start got Mercado sent back down to alternate camp in August and he wasn’t any better when returning in September. Sprint speed tanked from 29.5 ft/sec in 2019 to 28.1 ft/sec in 2020, so maybe something wasn’t right. Cleveland’s OF is a total crapshoot right now, so he can work his way back into playing time with a rejuvenated 2021. 2021 Projection: 58/11/51/.258/.307/.406/13

341) Travis d’Arnaud ATL, C, 32.2 – .321 BA is a mirage with a .411 BABIP and a career worst 27.2% K%, but the power is legit with a blazing 93.4 MPH exit velocity and 9 homers in 44 games. 2021 Projection: 57/22/65/.264/.328/.463/1

342) Roberto Osuna FA, Closer, 26.2 – Suffered from right elbow soreness early in the season which limited Osuna to 4.1 IP. The initial diagnosis recommended Tommy John surgery, but as of now he will try the rest and rehab route. It goes without saying, but I’ll say it anyway, the injury risk is high. 2021 Projection: 2/3.34/1.06/31/15 in 30 IP

343) Trevor Rogers MIA, LHP, 23.5 – 6.61 ERA in 28 IP but the underlying numbers looked much better with a 30% K%, 5.3% barrel%, and 3.49 xERA. He throws a dominant changeup (.203 xwOBA), a high spin rate 93.6 MPH fastball, an average slider, and a little used sinker. 2021 Projection: 7/4.22/1.35/131 in 125 IP

344) Simeon Woods Richardson TOR, RHP, 20.6 – Coaches at alternate camp talked up Richardson’s good feel to pitch and potential for 4 plus pitches, coming away particularly pleased with the progress he made on his curveball and changeup. He doesn’t have the mid 90’s heat right now, but everything else is there. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 13/3.81/1.18/195 in 183 IP

345) Renato Nunez FA, 1B, 27.0 – Non-tendered by Baltimore despite cranking 12 homers in 52 games. I warned you in the 2020 Top 1,000 that holding down a starting job was going to be an issue for Nunez despite the no doubt power, writing, “Playing time is the main concern, not only this year but in the future, because he is a very bad defensive player. The power isn’t a question.” 2021 Projection: 69/24/75/.243/.316/.463/1

346) Ronny Mauricio NYM, SS, 20.0 – You’re betting on the considerable raw talent to blossom from the 6’3”, 166 pound Mauricio, because the current production is lacking with high groundball rates (52.8%) and not much power (4 homers in 116 games at Full-A). ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 78/24/83/.273/.334/.457/5

347) Tyler Freeman CLE, 21.10 – Elite contact rates transferred to full season ball in 2019 with a 10.3% K% at Full-A and 9.1% K% at High-A. He doesn’t have an overly high ground ball rate, so when he inevitably gains strength as he matures, the home runs will come. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 88/16/63/.291/.338/.434/14

348) Matt Allan NYM, RHP, 19.11 – Drafted 89th overall in 2019, but received the 2nd highest bonus for a high school pitcher. Allen is physically mature at 6’3”, 225 pounds with a mid 90’s fastball and a plus, high spin rate curveball. Reports from alt camp were positive about the development of his changeup, now giving him the chance for 3 plus pitches. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 14/3.68/1.25/190 in 180 IP

349) Josiah Gray LAD, RHP, 23.2 – Electric fastball/slider combo with plus command. Getting away from the competition of real games at alternate camp allowed him to really focus on his secondary pitches and showed improved shape on his curve and slider. 2021 Projection: 2/4.30/1.28/52 in 50 IP Prime Projection: 12/3.63/1.18/176 in 172 IP

350) Gilberto Jimenez BOS, OF, 20.9 – Showed up to instructs with added strength and size, while continuing to display a good feel to hit and double plus speed. If the power really does come around, Jimenez is going to fly up lists. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 83/14/63/.275/.336/.408/28

351) Matthew Liberatore STL, LHP, 21.5 – Uptick in velocity and was named the most improved and exciting player at Cardinals alternate camp, emphasizing all the work he put in with the analytics department. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 12/3.77/1.23/181 in 178 IP

352) Edward Cabrera MIA, RHP, 23.0 – Experienced arm discomfort which shut Cabrera down for over a month. He throws a nasty upper 90’s fastball with a plus curve and improving change. 2021 Projection: 3/4.33/1.34/69 in 72 IP Prime Projection: 12/3.78/1.24/183 in 176 IP

353) AJ Puk OAK, LHP, 25.11 – Oakland announced Puk will be a part of the starting rotation, but it might be wishful thinking with the arm injuries piling up. He underwent shoulder surgery in September, which comes off needing Tommy John surgery in August 2018. He is expected to be ready by Spring Training, and he’ll need a strong showing in order to lock in that starting role considering how nasty he could be out of the pen. 2021 Projection: 6/3.98/1.33/121 in 110 IP Prime Projection: 10/3.81/1.30/173 in 156 IP

354) Jordan Balazovic MIN, RHP, 22.7 – Showed up to camp with added weight, and it resulted in his fastball ticking up from the low 90’s to the mid 90’s while maintaining the ability to locate it. He uses an above average curve to get whiffs to go along with an average change. 2021 Projection: August- 3/4.26/1.29/42 in 40 IP Prime Projection: 12/3.82/1.22/185 in 178 IP

355) Ryan Yarbrough TB, RHP, 29.2 – Doesn’t throw gas (87.3 MPH sinker) or rack up strikeouts (7.1 K/9), but is among the best in the league at inducing weak contact (82.6 MPH exit velocity against). 2021 Projection: 11/3.92/1.23/129 in 155 IP

356) Jarren Duran BOS, OF, 24.7 – Duran made an adjustment to his swing to unlock more power and it worked like gangbusters with 8 homers at the alt site. Here he is absolutely cranking a homer to RF. Combine that with double plus speed and a good feel to hit, and he is one of the top 2020 breakouts. 2021 Projection: 28/4/23/.252/.304/.411/7 Prime Projection: 80/20/80/.260/.323/.442/21

357) Deivi Garcia NYY, RHP, 21.10 – Pounded the strike zone with a 4 pitch mix in his MLB debut, putting up a pitching line of 4.98/1.19/33/5 in 34.1 IP. Whiff% (22.8%) and velocity (91.9 MPH) were on the underwhelming side, and his slight frame at 5’9”, 163 pounds is still a concern, but he understands the art of pitching and has the ability to hit his spots. 2021 Projection: 5/4.34/1.30/96 in 98 IP Prime Projection: 12/3.88/1.24/176 in 171 IP

358) Jordan Hicks STL, Setup, 24.7 – Opted out of the 2020 season coming off Tommy John surgery in June 2019. He’ll have to win back his closer job in Spring, and he’s more than capable of doing that with a 101.1 MPH sinker and plus slider. 2021 Projection: 3/3.48/1.14/71/18 in 60 IP

359) Austin Nola SD, C, 31.3 – Doesn’t truly standout in any one way, but does a lot of thing really good (18.5% K%, 9.8% BB%, 89.7 MPH exit velocity, .273 batting average, 7 homers in 48 games). You get the point, Nola is an above average all around hitter. 2021 Projection: 72/19/76/.270/.345/.453/2

360) Kody Hoese LAD, 3B, 23.9 – Reported to be the best hitter at alternate camp showing a good feel to hit and power to all fields. He’s 6’4”, 200 pounds and was the 25th overall pick in the 2019 draft, so he has the build and pedigree to back up the alternate camp praise. ETA: Late 2021/22 Prime Projection: 76/24/82/.268/.333/.452/3

361) Tejay Antone CIN, RHP, 27.4 – Better in the majors than he ever was in the minors with a 2.80 ERA and 11.5 K/9 in 35.1 IP (8.2 K/9 at Double and Triple-A in 2019). Antone rocks a 95.6 MPH sinker, plus slider, and an untouchable curveball (.118 xwOBA) that he threw only 16.7% of the time. Not projected to start the year in the rotation, but he’ll be among the first in line when a spot inevitably opens. 2021 Projection: 6/3.99/1.30/135 in 128 IP

362) Lorenzo Cain MIL, OF, 35.0 – Opted out of the season after 5 games. Sprint speed dropped to 26.1 ft/sec in those games, and while it’s not a great sign considering his age, it was an extremely small sample of only 10 competitive runs. 2021 Projection: 79/13/48/.274/.345/.409/17

363) Kole Calhoun ARI, OF, 33.6 – Crushed 16 homers in 54 games on the back of a career high 17 degree launch angle. 2021 Projection: 79/27/77/.238/.332/.461/3

364) Justin Upton LAA, OF, 33.7 – Power is still in peak form with 9 homers and a career high 91.7 MPH exit velocity in 42 games, but the batting average keeps getting worse at .204, and the speed is all but gone. 2021 Projection: 76/30/84/.228/.317/.451/3

365) David Peralta ARI, OF, 33.8 – Hits for a high batting average with a 20.6% K%, 6.4 degree launch angle and 88.5 MPH GB exit velocity. 2021 Projection: 62/20/71/.279/.343/.447/.2

366) Kwang Hyun Kim STL, LHP, 32.9 – Soft tossing lefty (89.9 MPH 4-seamer) who induces weak contact (87.1 MPH exit velo against), but a 15.6% K% and 5.5 K/9 is extremely low. 2021 Projection: 10/4.08/1.24/128 in 166 IP

367) Miles Mikolas STL, RHP, 32.7 – Missed all of 2020 after undergoing surgery on the flexor tendon in his right arm, but is expected to be fully healthy for 2021. He’s a low K pitcher with plus control. 2021 Projection: 9/4.13/1.24/129 in 160 IP

368) Raimel Tapia COL, OF, 27.2 – There isn’t very much power in the bat (85.3 MPH exit velocity), but Tapia is fast (8 steals with a 28.2 ft/sec sprint speed in 51 games), and made the best contact of his career in 2020 with an 18.9% whiff%. 2021 Projection: 77/8/58/.283/.334/.410/17

369) Robbie Ray TOR, LHP, 29.6 – Control is getting worse with a career high 17.9% BB% while K% hit a 5 year low (27.1%). It led to a disastrous 6.62 ERA. 2021 Projection: 10/4.48/1.41/205 in 170 IP

370) Jose Urquidy HOU, RHP, 25.11 – Covid limited Urquidy to 45.1 IP including the playoffs, and while the surface stats looked good (3.19 ERA), the underlying numbers were not as kind with a 29/14 K/BB and a regular season 5.22 xERA/5.36 xFIP (6.62 playoff x/FIP) 2021 Projection: 7/4.28/1.33/134 in 145 IP

371) Kyle Seager SEA, 3B, 33.5 – Strong contact numbers but has consistently posted low BABIP’s, particularly over the past 4 seasons. High launch angle with above average power ensures healthy home run totals. 2021 Projection: 72/26/85/.243/.328/.445/3

372) Eduardo Escobar ARI, 3B, 32.3 – I didn’t fully buy into the 2019 breakout due to the poor Statcast numbers, writing in my 2020 Top 1,000, “Huge season with 35 homers and 118 RBI but mediocre exit velocity numbers (91.1 MPH FB/LD exit velocity) keeps me hesitant from completely buying in.” The exit velocity numbers got even worse this year, dropping to a 89.9 MPH FB/LD exit velocity, and the power disappeared with only 4 homers in 54 games. 2021 Projection: 74/23/81/.261/.327/.455/3

373) Adam Eaton CHW, OF, 32.4 – A fractured left index finger ended Eaton’s season in September. Career low .260 BABIP was the main cause of Eaton’s down year (75 wRC+). 2021 Projection: 79/15/52/.271/.349/.421/12

374) Jackie Bradley Jr. FA, OF, 31.0 – Career low 22.1% K% which was backed up by a career low 26.1% whiff% led to a career best .283 BA. .343 BABIP helped a bit too. 2021 Projection: 73/19/69/.253/.331/.428/9

375) Yuli Gurriel HOU, 1B, 36.10 – Down year with a .658 OPS, which is always concerning for a 36 year old, but it looks like it mostly due to a .235 BABIP as the underlying numbers were in line with career norms. 2021 Projection: 74/22/82/.281/.325/.467/3

376) Joey Votto CIN, 1B, 37.7 – Changed his approach to hit for more power and it paid off with 11 homers in 54 games. Career low .226 BA was partly due to the approach change and partly due to a career low .235 BABIP. 2021 Projection: 86/23/78/.269/.371/.446/3

377) Brandon Belt SF, 1B, 33.0 – Underwent surgery in October 2020 to remove a bone spur in his right heel, putting his status for Opening Day in doubt. He finally had the power breakout we were all waiting for with a career high 90.7/95.1 MPH AVG/FB exit velocity which led to 9 homers in 51 games. Better late than never. 2021 Projection: 72/22/79/.270/.371/.469/3

378) Miguel Cabrera DET, DH, 37.11 – Exit velocity bounced back to beastly levels at 93.2 MPH which led to 10 homers in 57 games. Whiff% jumped to a career high 31.6% which led to his highest K% (22.1%) since his rookie year. 2021 Projection: 68/24/79/.269/.344/.454/0

379) Carlos Santana KC, 1B, 35.0 – Down year with a .199 BA and .699 OPS, and while most of it could be blamed on a .212 BABIP, his power was also slightly down with a 91.8 MPH FB/LD exit velocity. 2021 Projection: 84/27/82/.245/.365/.450/2

380) Christian Vazquez BOS, C, 30.7 – Backed up his 2019 power breakout with 7 homers in 47 games, but with a 91.2 MPH FB/LD exit velocity I would keep expectations in check. Career worst 22.8% K%, and needed a .341 BABIP to buoy his .283 BA. 2021 Projection: 62/20/69/.266/.330/.438/5

381) James McCann NYM, C, 30.9 – Backed up his 2019 power breakout by maintaining strong exit velocity numbers (90.5/94.7 MPH AVG/FB) while also bringing his launch angle back up to 15 degrees. 2021 Projection: 64/21/71/.247/.319/.448/2

382) Mitch Haniger SEA, OF, 30.3 – A ruptured testicle and back injury ended Haniger’s 2019 season in June. He then underwent two separate core surgeries and a back surgery over the off-season which knocked him out for all of 2020. He is expected to be ready to go for 2021, but in what condition is anyone’s guess. 2021 Projection: 74/23/71/.245/.330/.454/5

383) Gregory Polanco PIT, OF, 29.6 – Strikeout rate completely imploded with a career worst 37.4% K% and 43% whiff%. It might have been because he was trying to absolutely demolish the baseball with a 92.9/97 MPH AVG/FB exit velocity. Hopefully he can find a happy medium in 2021. 2021 Projection: 76/23/82/.236/.304/.435/8

384) Alex Dickerson SF, OF, 30.10 – Strong side of a platoon power bat with a career .863 OPS vs. righties and .687 OPS vs. lefties. His relatively good feel to hit (17.6% K%) gives him legitimate breakout potential if given a full time job. 2021 Projection: 68/20/67/.279/.349/.481/1

385) Geraldo Perdomo ARI, SS, 20.5 – Elite plate approach transferred to full season ball in 2019 with a 67/70 K/BB in 116 games split between Full-A and High-A. Power hasn’t shown up yet, but at 6’3”, 184 pounds there is certainly more to come. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 87/18/73/.286/.362/.442/16

386) Taylor Trammell SEA, OF, 23.6 – Stats in 14 instructional league games were weak, hitting only .173, but coaches came away impressed with his at-bats and claimed he hit into some bad luck. He did put up a strong .346 OBP and led the team with 6 doubles. 2021 Projection: August-23/5/21/.241/.320/.396/6 Prime Projection: 79/17/71/.258/.332/.428/21

387) Jordyn Adams LAA, OF, 21.5 – I’m gonna do a few extra because in a normal year a bunch of prospects in the top 100 would have graduated already. Adams was a standout at alternate camp, showing the ability to make adjustments against advanced competition and started to get to more of his raw power. He’s a great athlete with plus speed, so news of continued refinement and more power is as good as it gets. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 83/21/74/.272/.343/.448/19

388) Xavier Edwards TB, 2B/SS, 21.8 – Stop me if you heard this one before, but Edwards has no clear path to playing time in Tampa’s never ending logjam. He has plus speed with elite contact rates and a patient plate approach, but has little to no power projection. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 86/7/51/.288/.347/.398/26

389) Daniel Espino CLE, RHP, 20.3 – Showed off his explosive stuff at alternate camp with a fastball that can reach triple digits and the potential for two plus breaking balls. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 12/3.75/1.26/190 in 178 IP

390) Luis Campusano SD, C, 22.6 – Smacked a homer and struck out twice in his 1 game MLB debut before hitting the IL with a wrist sprain. His power just started to blossom in 2019, and he’s shown a plus hit tool throughout his minor league career. 2021 Projection: June-38/11/43/.267/.329/.436/0 Prime Projection: 74/22/77/.276/.342/.460/0

391) Quinn Priester PIT, RHP, 20.7 – Priester throws a 4 pitch mix headlined by two potentially plus fastballs (4 and 2 seamer) and a plus curve. He looked good at the alt site, making improvements on his changeup and control/command. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 12/3.78/1.25/184 in 179 IP

392) Francisco Alvarez NYM, C, 19.4 – Impressive pro debut in stateside rookie ball in 2019, slashing .312/.407/.510 with 7 homers and a 37/21 K/BB in 42 games. He continued to impress at the alt site, showing off a good feel to hit and at least plus raw power. Alvarez has the chance to be one of the better hitting catchers in baseball. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 71/25/84/.272/.341/.467/2

393) Bryce Jarvis ARI, RHP, 23.3 – Selected 18th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Jarvis took a major step forward in 2020 with his fastball ticking up into the mid 90’s. He refined his breaking balls to become above average pitches and showed much improved control. He didn’t have the opportunity to prove he can do it for more than 27 IP, but he now has the chance for 4 above average pitches (fastball, curve, slider, change) with above average control/command. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 12/3.85/1.26/181 in 172 IP

394) Mick Abel PHI, RHP, 19.8 – Selected 15th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Abel is your prototypical projectable high school pitcher at 6’5”, 190 pounds with a potentially plus 3 pitch mix (fastball, slider, change). He throws strikes but he’s more control over command right now. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 12/3.80/1.25/192 in 184 IP

395) Carlos Colmenarez TB, SS, 17.4 – At 5’10”, 175 pounds Colmenarez has a quick, compact lefty swing with natural loft that should lead to more power as he ages. He’s hit well in games and is an average runner with above average potential. ETA: 2025 Prime Projection: 80/22/80/.270/.340/.445/9

396) Robert Hassell SD, OF, 19.8 – Selected 8th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Hassell has the consensus top hit tool in the high school class but hasn’t hit for very much power and doesn’t project for huge power numbers down the line either. A 91 MPH top exit velocity mark at Perfect game events in 2019 isn’t bad, but it’s not great either. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 87/16/69/.286/.351/.425/15

397) Gunnar Henderson BAL, SS, 19.10 – Struggled at the start of alternate camp against advanced competition, but was one of the most impressive players there by the end of it. Has the potential for average to above average tools across the board. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 76/23/82/.267/.341/.456/10

398) Kolten Wong MIL, 2B, 30.6 – Doesn’t offer much power (1 homer in 53 games), but he makes good contact (14.4% K%), gets on base (9.6% BB%) and chips in some steals (5 steals). 2021 Projection: 67/10/48/.270/.348/.398/15

399) Devin Williams MIL, Setup, 26.6 – Best changeup in the game with a -13 run value, 61.1% whiff% and .110 xwOBA. 96.4 MPH fastball ain’t too shabby either. 2021 Projection: 4/3.27/1.01/98/4 in 61 IP

400) Drew Pomeranz SD, Closer Committee, 32.4 – Might share closer duties with Emilio Pagan. Pomeranz backed up his 2019 breakout in 2020 with a 1.45 ERA and 39.7% K%. 2021 Projection: 3/3.23/1.05/83/25 in 65 IP

401) Brad Keller KC, RHP, 25.8 – Has a history of outperforming his peripherals (2.47 ERA vs. 4.52 xERA) but that is a dangerous game to play with such a miniscule 16.3% K% and lack of pinpoint control (career 9.1% BB%). 2021 Projection: 10/4.13/1.31/126 in 165 IP

402) Jesus Sanchez MIA, OF, 23.6 – Even with going 1 for 25 in his MLB debut, Sanchez’ plus power was still able to shine through with an extremely small sample 95.4 MPH exit velocity. 11 strikeouts in 29 PA shows he needs more refinement. 2021 Projection: July-27/9/31/.243/.301/.432/4 Prime Projection: 76/24/83/.259/.329/.463/7

403) Greg Jones TB, SS, 23.1 – Late addition to the alternate site because of Tampa’s crazy depth. Jones is maybe the best athlete in the system with double plus speed and developing power. He’s had strikeout issues in his career (25.7% at Short-A), but the upside is considerable. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 81/14/60/.255/.332/.408/26

404) Dane Dunning TEX, RHP, 26.4 – Rock solid MLB debut with a pitching line of 3.97/1.12/35/13 in 34 IP. Throws a plus sinker/slider combo which produces high groundball rates (45.1% GB%) and high strikeout rates (9.26 K/9). 2021 Projection: 7/4.18/1.33/126 in 125 IP

405) Hunter Greene CIN, RHP, 21.8 – He’s healthy after undergoing Tommy John surgery in April 2019, and reports from alternate camp were all positive. He’s a flamethrower with prototypical starter size and plus athletisism, but the secondaries are still raw. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 14/3.64/1.18/188 in 174 IP

406) Nick Lodolo CIN, LHP, 23.2 – Made tremendous strides with his changeup at alternate camp, now giving him the potential for two plus secondaries (curve, change), to go along with his low 90’s heat. 2021 Projection: 3/4.41/1.39/46 in 50 IP Prime Projection: 12/3.91/1.25/183 in 181 IP

407) Clarke Schmidt NYY, RHP, 25.1 – Features a high spin rate slider as his knockout pitch which he threw 37.3% of the time in his MLB debut. He compliments that with a 94.8 MPH sinker, 95 MPH 4-seamer and a lesser used changeup. He’ll compete for a rotation spot in the spring. 2021 Projection: 5/4.32/1.35/88 in 86 IP Prime Projection: 12/3.80/1.24/179 in 171 IP

408) Alejandro Kirk TOR, C, 22.5 – Contact skills transferred to the majors in his 9 game MLB debut with a 16% K%. Crushed the ball on the ground with a 97.3 MPH exit velocity, but he didn’t fair as well in the air at 91.6 MPH. 2021 Projection: 48/13/56/.274/.338/.436/1 Prime Projection: 72/19/79/.286/.352/.456/2

409) Robbie Grossman DET, OF, 31.6 – Power broke out with a career high 89 MPH exit velocity, which led to 8 homers in 192 PA. Combine that with some speed (8 stolen bases), a strong K/BB (19.8%/10.9%), and a full time job in Detroit, and Grossman is shaping up to be a nice late round sleeper. 2021 Projection: 76/18/63/.255/.349/.413/10

410) Chris Archer TB, RHP, 32.6 – Underwent surgery to relieve symptoms of thoracic outlet syndrome in June and missed all of 2020. He was awful in 2019 (5.40 xERA), but re-signing with Tampa seems like the best possible team for a bounce back. 2021 Projection: 7/4.48/1.36/163 in 145 IP

411) Alex Reyes STL, RHP, 26.7 – Showed monster stuff (97.5 MPH) with monster control issues (6.4 BB/9). He’s coming to camp preparing as a starter, but ultimate role is still likely a late inning pen arm. 2021 Projection: 3/3.87/1.30/74/12 in 60 IP

412) Rougned Odor TEX, 2B, 27.2 – Batting average keeps getting worse with a new career low .167 BA. Exit velocity plummeted to 86 MPH, as did his BB% (4.7%). while K% remained elevated at 31.8%. He also gotten slower with a career worst 27 ft/sec sprint speed. 2021 Projection: 74/26/78/.228/.296/.426/7

413) Edwin Rios LAD, 3B, 26.11 – Make it two years in a row that Rios has absolutely mashed in very limited duty (12 homers and a .972 OPS in 139 career PA). He’s not a good defender and his whiff% remains in the danger zone (36.1%), but the power is unquestionable. 2021 Projection: 52/19/57/.235/.294/.450/1

414) Nico Hoerner CHC, 2B/SS, 23.11 – Struggled mightily in 2020, slashing .222/.312/.259 with 0 homers, 3 steals and a 24/12 K/BB in 126 PA. K% rose 5.6% to 19%. There were some silver linings, as his exit velocity rose 1.9 MPH to a not terrible 87.5 MPH, and BB% jumped 5.8% to 9.5%. 2021 Projection: 62/8/40/.267/.331/.396/11

415) Brayan Rocchio CLE, SS, 20.4 – Plus contact rates (13.6% K% at Short-A) with plus speed (14 steals in 69 games) and developing power (5 homers). ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 85/16/69/.283/.338/.435/23

416) Liover Peguero PIT, SS, 20.3 – Struggled initially at alternate camp against advanced competition but was able to make adjustments and hold his own by the end of it. He’s an excellent athlete with plus speed and has shown an advanced feel to hit. 90 MPH average exit velocity in 2019 shows the power potential is in there. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 84/20/73/.275/.336/.441/17

417) Bryan Reynolds PIT, OF, 26.2 – Could not back up his fantastic MLB debut in 2019 (.880 OPS). Exit velocity dropped 2 MPH to 87.5 MPH, K% rose 5.7% to 27.4%, and BABIP cratered to .231, all of which conspired against him to produce a triple-slash of .189/.275/.357. 2021 Projection: 73/17/66/.261/.333/.428/5

418) David Fletcher LAA, SS/2B, 26.10 – Purely a batting average play with elite contact rates (10.9%) and a career .292 batting average. 86.7 MPH FB/LD exit velocity shows very little power potential and he’s only attempted 17 steals in 283 career games. 2021 Projection: 81/7/57/.295/.352/.398/7

419) Chris Taylor LAD, 2B/OF, 30.7 – Playing time is still the biggest question mark as Taylor continues to display an average power/speed combo with patience and a batting average that won’t hurt you. 2021 Projection: 79/19/77/.260/.340/.460/9

420) Garrett Richards BOS, RHP, 32.11 – The stuff looked good in his first “full” season back from Tommy John surgery, showing off a 95.1 MPH 4-seamer and a plus slider that put up a .264 xwOBA. The overall results were mixed with a 4.03 ERA and a move to the bullpen in the 2nd half of September. 2021 Projection: 8/4.12/1.30/137 in 145 IP

421) Mauricio Dubon SF, OF, 26.8 – 27.3 ft/sec sprint speed and going 2 for 5 on steal attempts in 54 games is not a great sign for his future stolen base totals. Below average power with an above average hit tool. 2021 Projection: 65/13/53/.271/.328/.406/13

422) Elvis Andrus OAK, SS, 32.7 – Trade to Oakland opens up a full time job for him. Career low 26.3 ft/sec sprint speed is not a good sign as he gets deeper into his 30’s, although he has never been the fastest guy so hopefully the steals don’t dry up completely. 2021 Projection: 76/11/59/.255/.306/.387/16

423) Stephen Piscotty OAK, OF, 30.2 – K% skyrocketed 9.6% to 31% which led to his worst season in the Majors (73 wRC+). 2021 Projection: 69/20/73/.251/.320/.446/4

424) Avisail Garcia MIL, OF, 29.10 – Career worst 87.4 MPH exit velocity led to a down year (81 wRC+). He did notch a career high 9.7% BB%, so there is something to build on if the exit velocity pops back up in 2021. 2021 Projection: 68/21/74/.251/.328/.436/7

425) Starlin Castro WASH, 2B, 31.0 – Underwent surgery to repair a broken right wrist in August which limited Castro to 16 games. His launch angle did rise considerably to 16.8 degrees, but it’s too small a sample to really extract anything from that. 2021 Projection: 69/20/74/.272/.317/.440/3

426) Niko Goodrum DET, 2B/SS, 29.1 – The power/speed combo shined through with 5 homers and 7 steals in 43 games, but the strikeout rate mushroomed 9.3% to 38.5% leading to a .184 BA. 2021 Projection: 65/19/73/.232/.318/.428/13

427) Taijuan Walker FA, RHP, 28.8 – Underlying stats (4.87 xERA/4.82 xFIP) don’t back up the excellent pitching line of 2.70/1.16/50/19 in 53.1 IP. On the plus side, his stuff looks all the way back after Tommy John surgery and then a shoulder injury essentially wiped out all of 2018-2019. 2021 Projection: 8/4.24/1.32/137 in 150 IP

428) Sam Hilliard COL, OF, 27.1 – Couldn’t maintain the reasonable contact rates he managed in 2019 with his K% soaring to 36.8% and BA dropping to .210. Even with Dahl gone there is no guarantee of consistent playing time. 2021 Projection: 58/18/55/.238/.302/.439/10

429) Isaac Paredes DET, 3B, 22.1 – Absolutely destroyed Mexican Winter League, slashing ..379/.480/.579 with 4 homers and a 12/27 K/BB in 42 games. His MLB debut didn’t go as well with a .568 OPS in 108 PA. He’s a plus hitter with an advanced plate approach and average power. 2021 Projection: 66/15/63/.258/.319/.403/2 Prime Projection: 83/21/77/.282/.350/.461/2

430) Dean Kremer BAL, RHP, 25.3 – The strikeout stuff transferred to the majors with 22 K’s and an above average 26.4% whiff% in 18.2 IP. He doesn’t overpower batters with a 92.8 MPH fastball and got hit hard with a 90.8 MPH exit velocity against, but his K upside makes him a nice late round target. 2021 Projection: 9/4.32/1.36/157 in 155 IP

431) Kris Bubic KC, LHP, 23.8 – Couldn’t maintain the extreme strikeout rates from the minors (11.4 K/9) in his MLB debut (8.82 K/9). Bubic throws a 91.4 MPH fastball with a potentially plus changeup and a curve that put up a .220 xwOBA in 2020. 2021 Projection: 9/4.37/1.36/161 in 157 IP

432) Adbert Alzolay CHC, RHP, 26.1 – Threw his plus slider 39.8% of the time, putting up a .155 xwOBA with the pitch, and while he threw his changeup only 8% of the time, it showed potential with a 58.3% whiff%. Control/command is an issue with a 14.9% BB%. 2021 Projection: 8/4.42/1.41/143 in 145 IP

433 Jon Gray COL, RHP, 29.5 – Shoulder inflammation ended Gray’s season in early September after a terrible 39 IP (6.69 ERA). Velocity was down 2 MPH on the 4 seamer. The good news in that he will be a free agent after this season. 2021 Projection: 8/4.44/1.37/150 in 150 IP

434) Adrian Houser MIL, RHP, 28.2 – Velocity dropped 1.1 MPH on the sinker to 93.2 MPH and couldn’t maintain the 25.3% K% he put up in 2019 with it dropping to 17.9%. It led to a 5.20 ERA and 1.50 WHIP. 2021 Projection: 9/4.23/1.32/134 in 150 IP

435) Josh Lindblom MIL, RHP, 33.10 – 5.16 ERA wasn’t great but the underlying numbers looked a bit better than that with a 6 pitch mix that put up a respectable 27.2% K% and a 4.01 xERA. 2021 Projection: 9/4.33/1.29/165 in 170 IP

436) Tanner Houck BOS, RHP, 24.9 – Slider was dominant in his 17 inning MLB debut a .182 xwOBA and 47.2% whiff%. Control/command are below average (14.3% BB%), and needs to further develop his splitter. 2021 Projection: 8/4.44/1.41/143 in 150 IP

437) Shane Baz TB, RHP, 21.10 – Improved his changeup at alternate camp but it is still well behind his upper 90’s fastball and at least plus slider. How much he can improve his below average control/command will determine his ultimate upside. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 10/3.83/1.31/158 in 152 IP

438) Heriberto Hernandez TB, 1B/OF, 21.4 – 19 years old is on the old side to get excited by rookie ball numbers, but he did impress with double plus bat speed, a .344/.433/.646 triple slash, 11 homers and a 57/27 K/BB in 50 games in 2019. Tampa obviously liked what they saw by targeting him in their trade with Texas. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 76/23/78/.268/.340/.472/3

439) Dallas Keuchel CHW, LHP, 33.3 – 1.99 ERA in 63.1 IP, but it came with an 8 year low in K% (16.3%) and a career low velocity (87.2 MPH sinker). 2021 Projection: 10/4.14/1.30/133 in 170 IP

440) Domingo German NYY, RHP, 28.8 – Was suspended for all of 2020 and role is up in the air for 2021. He throws a 4 pitch mix leaning heavily on his plus curveball. 2021 Projection: 8/4.32/1.27/132 in 130 IP

441) Shane McClanahan TB, LHP, 23.11 – Throws mid 90’s heat with two plus breaking balls and an improving changeup. Control took a big step forward in 2019, bringing his walk rate down to 3.4 BB/9. May never rack up innings, especially pitching for Tampa, but the upside is considerable. 2021 Projection: July-2/3.93/1.31/37 in 33 IP Prime Projection: 10/3.72/1.25/172 in 157 IP

442) Spencer Turnbull DET, RHP, 28.6 – Hard throwing (94.8 MPH sinker), groundball pitcher (50% GB%) with control issues (12% BB%) 2021 Projection: 9/4.41/1.37/145 in 155 IP

443) DJ Stewart BAL, OF, 27.4 – Power and patience exploded with a 4.9 degree increase in launch angle (17.8 degrees), 3.5 MPH increase in exit velocity (91.4 MPH), and 8% increase in BB% (17.9%), but strikeout rate exploded along with them (33.9%). It resulted in 7 homers and a .193/.355/.455 triple-slash in 31 games. Career .683 OPS vs. lefties (.535 OPS in 2020) could limit him to a platoon role. 2021 Projection: 65/21/72/.233/.331/.447/4

444) Daulton Jefferies OAK, RHP, 25.8 – With news that Puk will be in the 2021 starting rotation, Jefferies will be moved to next man up, and he’s sure to rack up innings with Oakland’s injury prone rotation. He got roughed up in his 2 inning MLB debut (22.50 ERA), but more importantly his stuff looked good with a 94.5 MPH fastball and 5 pitch mix. He’s shown plus control and command in the minors (1.0 BB/9 in 2019) with his changeup as the money pitch. 2021 Projection: 7/4.26/1.28/116 in 120 IP Prime Projection: 10/3.85/1.22/160 in 160 IP

445) Craig Kimbrel CHC, Closer, 32.10 – BB% skyrocketed to 17.4% which led to a 1.44 WHIP and a 5.22 ERA. 2021 Projection: 2/3.71/1.26/90/29 in 58 IP

446) Richard Rodriguez PIT, Closer, 31.1 – Slider put up an insane 63.6% whiff% en route to a career high 36.6% K% and 5.4% BB%. 2021 Projection: 4/3.45/1.17/76/28 in 65 IP

447) Ryan McMahon COL, 2B/3B/1B, 26.4 – Career worst 34.2% K% led to a .215 BA. Hits it hard with a 90.1 MPH exit velocity, but a 50.5% GB% will put a cap on his power production. Arenado trade opens up playing time. 2021 Projection: 63/20/68/.242/.318/.431/3

448) Jake Diekman OAK, Closer, 34.2 – Favorite for the closer job with Hendricks gone. Diekman has a dominant fastball/slider combo that puts up big strikeout and walk totals. 2021 Projection: 3/3.42/1.28/79/28 in 61 IP

449) Daniel Vogelbach MIL, 1B, 28.4 – Had a great September for Milwaukee after being picked up off waivers, slashing .328/.418/.569 with 4 homers and an 18/8 K/BB in 67 PA. Still had only a .209 BA on the season and will need a DH to hold value. 2021 Projection: 51/18/54/.236/.348/.446/0

450) JaCoby Jones DET, OF, 29.1 – A fractured left hand wiped out the 2nd half of Jones season. He was in the midst of a surface stat breakout (127 wRC+), but the underlying numbers were the same as years past and his speed declined with a career low 27 ft/sec sprint speed and 1 steal in 30 games. 2021 Projection: 68/18/65/.238/.307/.431/7

451) JP Crawford SEA, SS, 26.3 – Brought K% down to 16.8% and continued to post high walk rates, but doesn’t hit the ball hard enough (85.8 MPH) or have enough speed (26.6 ft/sec sprint speed) to take advantage of the plus plate approach skills. 2021 Projection: 83/13/52/.251/.336/.377/9

452) Harrison Bader STL, OF, 26.10 – Continues to struggle vs righties (.668 OPS), but excellent CF defense keeps him on the field. Speed (29.4 ft/sec sprint speed), patience (10.4% BB%), and pop (15.7 degree launch + 94.4 MPH FB/LD exit velo) are all ready to explode if he can make improvements vs same side pitchers. 2021 Projection: 68/16/53/.240/.332/.423/13

453) Lewin Diaz MIA, 1B, 24.4 – Weak MLB debut with an 11 wRC+, 29.3%/4.9% K%/BB%, and an 86.4 MPH exit velocity, but the 41 PA sample is too small to draw any conclusions. He’s shown a good feel to hit throughout his minor league career and has plus raw power that he just started to tap into in 2019. 2021 Projection: July-26/9/31/.248/.302/.425/0 Prime Projection: 67/24/78/.271/.329/.462/1

454) Sherten Apostel TEX, 3B, 22.1 – Didn’t do much in his MLB debut with 2 hits in 21 PA, but the power still shined through on statcast with an 88.8/96.5 MPH AVG/FB exit velocity. The 50% whiff% shows the risk. 2021 Projection: August-18/6/21/.225/.298/.416/1 Prime Projection: 73/28/85/.247/.339/.481/4

455) Cal Quantrill CLE, RHP, 26.2 – Will compete for the 5th starter job, and there isn’t a better place to be for a pitcher than Cleveland as they seem to have the magic touch. 1.84/1.09/13/2 pitching line in 14.2 IP in Cleveland debut does nothing to quell that hope. 2021 Projection: 7/4.10/1.28/126 in 135 IP

456) Michael Chavis BOS, 1B/OF, 25.8 – Was not able to build off a solid MLB debut in 2019. Whiff% remained far too high (38.3%) and BB% dropped 3% to 5.1%. He hits the ball hard (88.3 MPH exit velocity), but not hard enough to overcome the poor plate approach numbers. Poor defense is another thing he will have to overcome to remain in the lineup long term. 2021 Projection: 45/14/47/.233/.298/.423/3

457) Brent Rooker MIN, OF, 26.5 – Strong 21 PA MLB debut, slashing .316/.381/.579 with a 5/0 K/BB and an 89.1/98.8 MPH AVG/FB exit velocity. It’s nice to see the power show up, but that wasn’t really in question, and the sample is too small to read anything into the 23.8% strikeout rate. 2021 Projection: 38/12/43/.242/.320/.451/1 Prime Projection: 67/25/81/.255/.342/.493/2

458) Alexander Canario SF, OF, 20.11 – Underwent surgery to repair a torn left labrum in November 2020. He received high marks at alternate camp by refining his plate approach and maturing as a hitter, which is good to hear considering the raw talent and plus power. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 76/29/88/.251/.331/.492/10

459) Austin Wells NYY, C, 21.9 – Selected 28th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, the lefty hitting Wells is an offensive minded catcher with a patient approach and power to all fields. College home run totals don’t exactly jump out at you (14 homers in 112 games including the Cape) and there are strikeout issues (103 K’s), but the Yankee Stadium short porch should help the power play up and his ability to hit to all fields gives him the chance to hit for average even with high strikeout totals. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 73/24/79/.258/.343/.454/5

460) Reid Detmers LAA, LHP, 21.9 – Selected 10th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Detmers is a 6’2” lefty with plus command over low 90’s heat and a deadly curveball. He’s polish over stuff, but it didn’t stop him from piling up K’s in college (19.6 K/9 in 22 IP in 2020). Change has the potential to be above average while the slider lags behind. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 11/3.92/1.26/192 in 184 IP

461) Tyler Soderstrom OAK, C, 19.4 – Selected 26th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Soderstrom is an offensive minded catcher with the potential to hit for both average and power, but is not a lock to stick behind the plate. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 68/23/76/.268/.335/.451/4

462) Yoelqui Cespedes CHW, OF, 23.6 – Recently packed on muscle weight and revamped his swing in order to get more power out of his 5’9”, 205 pound frame. He’s a plus runner and he has the bloodlines, but is mostly still a mystery. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 76/19/71/.255/.323/.428/15

463) Pedro Leon HOU, OF, 22.10 – Leon is an explosive athlete who has dominated in Cuba over two seasons, slashing .359/.420/.678 with 21 homers, 8 steals and a 46/20 K/BB in 65 games. He doesn’t have a long professional track record and the hit tool is questionable, but the upside is high. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 77/22/71/.243/.326/.443/12

464) Pedro Pineda OAK, OF, 17.7 – Pineda has possibly the highest upside in the international class with a plus power/speed combo and a quick bat that is geared for flyballs. He’s had some swing and miss problems and is still raw at the plate, so the risk is high. ETA: 2026 Prime Projection: 73/24/81/.248/.327/.458/15

465) Misael Urbina MIN, OF, 18.11 – Proved his mature plate approach and plus contact ability will translate against advanced competition at instructs. He’s your prototypical top of the order bat. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 86/15/63/.282/.351/.434/21

466) Maximo Acosta TEX, SS, 18.5 – Acosta is known for his advanced plate approach and feel to hit with the potential for above average speed and power. The skills are there for him to fly up prospect lists with a good pro debut. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 82/21/81/.277/.339/.448/16

467) Reginald Preciado CHC, SS, 17.10 – Preciado performed well at instructs against much older competition. He is 6’4”, 185 pounds with a consistent track record of hitting, and his projectable frame gives him the chance to grow into plus power. ETA: 2025 Prime Projection: 77/25/85/.274/.346/.473/6

468) Ethan Hankins CLE, RHP, 21.10 – Continued to refine his secondaries at alternate camp which is the key to unlock his full potential. He’s 6’6”, 200 pounds with a mid 90’s fastball and plus athleticism. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 11/3.88/1.28/181 in 173 IP

469) Brice Turang MIL, SS, 21.4 – Turang came to the alt site with added strength and started to hit the ball harder. He is a prototypical leadoff hitter with a good feel to hit, plus plate approach, and plus speed. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 83/15/58/.273/.345/.411/23

470) Peyton Burdick MIA, OF, 24.1 – Impressed at alternate camp with his prodigious power and good feel to hit. He hit 10 homers with a 91 MPH average exit velocity in 63 games at Full-A in 2019. He was a popular sleeper pick coming into 2020 and he seemed to live up to the hype if the reports are accurate. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 76/25/82/.256/.332/.464/9

471) Hudson Head PIT, OF, 20.0 – Hamstring injury limited Head in 2020. He is an aggressive player with plus speed and plus bat speed that generates the potential for plus power at peak. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 78/20/76/.261/.332/.432/23

472) Chris Rodriguez LAA, RHP, 22.8 – Stress reaction in his back which required surgery in May knocked out all of his 2018 and all but 9.1 innings in 2019. His stuff is absolutely nasty when he is the mound with the potential for 4 plus pitches headlined by mid 90’s heat. High risk, high reward prospect. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 9/3.89/1.27/152 in 145 IP

473) Kyle Muller ATL, LHP, 23.6 – Throws a double plus mid 90’s fastball with high spin rates, but needs to improve his secondaries and his control to remain a starter. 2021 Projection: 1/4.51/1.42/29 in 28 IP Prime Projection: 10/3.92/1.33/175 in 168 IP

474) Alek Manoah TOR, RHP, 23.3 – Manoah is 6’6”, 260 pounds with a plus mid 90’s fastball, a potentially plus slider, and a developing change that he focused on improving at the alt site. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 11/3.89/1.27/176 in 169 IP

475) Blake Walston ARI, LHP, 19.9 – Walston is a projectable 6’5”, 195 pounds with a 4 pitch mix headlined by a fastball than can already reach the mid 90’s and a plus slider. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 12/3.83/1.26/179 in 173 IP

476) Aaron Sabato MIN, 1B, 21.10 – Selected 27th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Sabato is a 6’2”, 230 pound 1B only prospect who smashed 25 homers in 83 games in the ACC. He’s a patient hitter with some swing and miss concerns. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 68/25/81/.252/.337/.469/0

477) Rece Hinds CIN, 3B, 20.7 – Hinds has at least double plus power, and with news of an improved hit tool at the alt site and instructs, he has a chance to fly up prospect lists in 2021. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 68/28/77/.242/.314/.473/2

478) Cade Cavalli WASH, RHP, 22.7 – Selected 22nd overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Cavalli has a prototypical starter build at 6’4”, 226 pounds with mid 90’s heat, two swing and miss breaking balls, and a developing changeup. He’s had injury issues which has prevented him from pitching very much and there are control problems too, so the risk is high. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 9/4.06/1.33/151 in 156 IP

479) Matt Barnes BOS, Closer, 30.10 – Control is an issue with a 13.7% BB% and while his K% is still good, it dropped 8.2% to 30.4% 2021 Projection: 4/3.94/1.35/91/28 in 63 IP

480) Myles Straw HOU, OF, 26.5 – Light hitting, speedy fourth outfielder who is currently slated to be Houston’s starting CF. 2021 Projection: 73/4/41/.252/.328/.353/22

481) Cesar Hernandez CLE, 2B, 30.11 – Didn’t attempt a single steal in 58 games which is not a good sign as he enters his 30’s. 2021 Projection: 77/13/62/.274/.346/.403/7

482) Orlando Arcia MIL, SS, 26.8 – Career best 16.9% K% and 96 wRC+. Power/speed aren’t going to win you any titles, but he could be serviceable in deeper leagues. 2021 Projection: 68/15/66/.265/.320/.402/8

483) Jon Berti MIA, 2B/OF, 31.2 – Whiff% dropped 5% to a career best 19.6% and BB% soared 7% to a career high 15.4%. Remained one of the fastest players in the game with a 29.3 ft/sec sprint speed and 9 steals in 34 games. 2021 Projection: 68/8/51/.270/.351/.389/23

484) Jose Leclerc TEX, Closer, 27.3 – Shoulder strain ended his season after 2 IP. When healthy, Leclerc has explosive stuff that has produced high strikeout and walk rates. 2021 Projection: 3/3.81/1.29/84/27 in 58 IP

485) Hunter Harvey BAL, Closer, 26.5 – Injuries reared their ugly head again with elbow soreness limiting him to 8.2 IP. He is the favorite to close in 2021 with his 97.3 MPH fastball. 2021 Projection: 3/4.11/1.26/59/24 in 57 IP

486) Brendan McKay TB, LHP, 25.4 – Underwent shoulder surgery in August. There is no timetable, but it’s doubtful he will be ready for the start of 2021 at the very least. Before the injury, he showed plus command of a 4 pitch mix, but none of his pitches were standout. 2021 Projection: 2/4.21/1.28/46 in 45 IP Prime Projection: 11/3.77/1.22/171 in 167 IP

487) Yoshi Tsutsugo TB, 3B/OF, 29.4 – The power and patience translated with a 14.1% BB%, 8 homers, 17.2 degree launch, and 90.2/95.2 MPH AVG/FB exit velocity in 185 PA. .197 BA dropped his overall line, but a lot of that was likely bad luck (.230 BABIP), and a 23.2% whiff% is actually above average. 2021 Projection: 63/24/66/.248/.349/.465/1

488) CJ Cron FA, 1B, 31.3 – Underwent season ending knee surgery in August after playing in only 13 games. Could be a battle for playing time depending on who he signs with. 2021 Projection: 53/23/62/.247/.314/.465/1

489) Josh Naylor CLE, OF, 23.10 – Made excellent contact (11.5% K%) but weak exit velocity (86.8 MPH) led to 4 extra base hits in 104 PA. He hit the ball much harder last year (89.6 MPH) and was known for plus raw power in the minors, so the ingredients are there for a possible breakout. 2021 Projection: 62/15/67/.268/.335/.429/3

490) Trevor Rosenthal FA, Closer, 30.10 – Major bounce back season with a pitching line of 1.90/0.85/38/8/11 saves in 23.2 IP. He throws 97.9 MPH heat with a plus slider. 2021 Projection: 3/3.58/1.31/78/28 in 55 IP

491) Chris Martin ATL, Closer Committee, 34.10 – Should have at least a share of the closer job. Martin killed it in 2020 with a pitching line of 1.00/0.61/20/3 in 18 IP. 2021 Projection: 3/3.35/1.11/66/25 in 57 IP

492) Luis Medina NYY, RHP, 21.11 – Dominated in the Puerto Rico Winter League with a 15/2 K/BB, 3 hits, and 0 ER in 7 IP. Continuing to improve control/command will be key as he has some of the best swing and miss stuff in the minors with upper 90’s heat and the potential for two plus secondaries (curve, change). ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 10/3.91/1.33/189 in 168 IP

493) Khris Davis TEX, DH, 33.3 – Turned into a short side of a platoon player in 2020 due to struggles vs. righies (.513 OPS in 2020 and .589 OPS in 2019). 2021 Projection: 61/25/71/.231/.316/.472/0

494) Mike Minor KC, LHP, 33.2 – Velocity was down 1.9 MPH on the 4-seamer to a career low 90.6 MPH, and it resulted in a 5.56 ERA in 56.2 IP. On the plus side, Minor was still able to miss bats with a 27.3% whiff% and 9.8 K/9. 2021 Projection: 10/4.26/1.25/161 in 170 IP

495) Willi Castro DET, SS, 24.0 – Power broke out with 6 homers in 36 games but a 85.3/89.1 MPH average/FB exit velocity leaves me extremely hesitant to buy in. 2021 Projection: 69/15/67/.256/.311/.413/7

496) Yandy Diaz TB, 3B, 29.8 – Took his groundball ways to another level with a 66% GB% and a negative 7.6 degree launch angle. Notched career highs in K% (12.3%) and BB% (16.7%), but exit velocity dropped 3.4 MPH to 88.3 MPH. 2021 Projection: 73/15/56/.276/.359/.415/2

497) Danny Santana TEX, 1B/OF, 30.5 – Arm issues tanked his season and ultimately underwent a form of Tommy John surgery in September with a 7-8 month timetable. He was still hitting the ball hard in the 15 games he did play in (90.9 MPH exit velocity), but his speed fell (26.8 ft/sec sprint speed) and K% skyrocketed (38.1%) 2021 Projection: 32/10/34/.235/.295/.413/7

498) Yasel Antuna WASH, SS, 21.6 – Missed almost all of 2019 recovering from Tommy John surgery and leg injuries, but was able to show off his monster potential at the alt site in 2020, impressing with his hitting ability and power potential. Antuna has a chance to be a big riser in 2021. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 76/23/81/.271/.338/.457/8

499) Dylan Cease CHW, RHP, 25.3 – 4.01 ERA was far better than he deserved with a 44/34 K/BB, 1.44 WHIP and 6.65 xERA in 58.1 IP. 25.3% whiff% wasn’t nearly as bad as his 17.3% K%, and velocity hit a career high 97.5 MPH, so there are some silver linings to take away. 2021 Projection: 8/4.38/1.40/147 in 150 IP

500) David Peterson NYM, LHP, 25.7 – 3.44 ERA outpaced his 4.39 xERA, but overall it was a solid MLB debut for Peterson showing the ability to induce groundballs (44.4% GB%) and weak contact (87.4 MPH exit velo against). 19.5% K% is weak, but a 26.2% whiff% shows the potential for more. 2021 Projection: 9/4.36/1.36/133 in 150 IP

501) Aaron Schunk COL, 3B, 23.8 – Schunk’s game power broke out his junior year in the SEC, hitting .339 with 15 homers and a 29/14 K/BB in 57 games. He kept it going at Short-A in his pro debut, slashing .306/.370/.503 with 6 homers and a 25/14 K/BB in 46 games. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 77/20/76/.273/.335/.431/6

502) Michael Toglia COL, 1B, 22.7 – Switch hitter who is stronger from the left side, but made adjustments to his right handed swing at alternate camp which resulted in 3 homers from the right side to close out the “season.” ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 73/26/84/.252/.334/.466/2

503) Jackson Kowar KC, RHP, 24.6 – Double plus changeup with a mid 90’s fastball, but breaking ball lags behind. 2021 Projection: 3/4.41/1.38/63 in 70 IP Prime Projection: 11/3.96/1.32/168 in 174 IP

504) Justin Foscue TEX, 2B/3B, 22.0 – Selected 14th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Foscue has the potential for plus hit but doesn’t have big power or speed. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 78/19/71/.276/.339/.434/5

505) Ed Howard CHC, SS, 19.8 – Selected 16th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Howard’s best skill is his plus shortstop defense. The bat isn’t as strong, although he has hit well against top competition and will certainly add power at 6’2”, 185 pounds. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 79/20/77/.264/.335/.444/9

506) Nick Bitsko TB, RHP, 18.10 – Selected 24th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Bitsko is one of the youngest players in the draft due to reclassifying and coming out a year early. At 6’4”, 220 pounds he has prototypical starter size with a fastball that has touched 98 MPH and features a nasty curveball as his money pitch. He throws strikes and shows good feel on his lesser used changeup. Underwent surgery to repair a labrum issue in December and is expected to miss some of 2021. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 11/3.93/1.29/181 in 178 IP

507) Isaiah Greene NYM, OF, 19.7 – Selected 69th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Greene is a 6’1”, 180 pound lefty with plus speed and a swing geared for contact. He’s a great athlete with room to fill out his frame, so the power may come. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 79/18/71/.267/.333/.431/20

508) Freddy Peralta MIL, Setup, 24.10 – Served in the long man role but could easily find his way back into the rotation at some point in 2021. He’s always struck a ton of guys out, but he took it to the next level in 2020 with career highs in whiff% (up 10.3% to 39.8%) and K/9 (14.4). 2021 Projection: 5/3.87/1.24/129 in 91 IP

509) Brusdar Graterol LAD, Setup, 22.7 – The big stuff was there in 23.1 IP with a 99.3 MPH sinker and plus slider, but the strikeouts weren’t with a 15.2% whiff% and 5.01 K/9. The whiff% was weak in 2019 too at 8.7% in 9.2 IP, so it might not be a complete aberration. 2021 Projection: 3/3.73/1.16/61 in 67 IP

510) Kyle Wright ATL, RHP, 25.9 – The great stuff doesn’t match the results with another rough season, putting up a pitching line of 5.21/1.55/30/24 in 38 IP. He’s still only pitched 63.2 innings in his career, so it’s too early to throw in the towel. 2021 Projection: 7/4.59/1.41/117 in 130 IP

511) Wilmer Flores SF, 1B/2B, 29.8 – FB/LD exit velocity jumped 2.8 MPH to 92.1 MPH en route to 12 homers and a career high .247 ISO. It came at the cost of some swing and miss with his K% jumping 6% to a still very good 16.9%. 2021 Projection: 63/18/67/.274/.325/.470/1

512) Jose Garcia CIN, SS, 23.0 – Struggled across the board in his 68 PA MLB debut with poor marks in exit velocity (86.6 MPH), K% (38.2%), BB% (1.5%), and speed (26.7 ft/sec). His bat wasn’t ready at all. 2021 Projection: 66/13/58/.248/.297/.391/8 Prime Projection: 72/18/74/.263/.318/.416/9

513) Jared Oliva PIT, OF, 25.4 – Went 3 for 16 with 6 strikeouts in his MLB debut, but statcast was kinder to him with a 29 ft/sec sprint speed and 93.2 MPH exit velocity. Plus speed and defense are his calling cards. 2021 Projection: 38/4/32/.248/.310/.385/9 Prime Projection: 77/13/52/.263/.328/.401/24

514) Ty France SEA, 2B, 26.9 – Exit velocity plummeted 3.2 MPH to 85.7 MPH leading to only 4 homers in 155 PA. .390 BABIP buoyed a .305 BA. 2021 Projection: 52/16/57/.268/.329/.435/1

515) Brent Honeywell TB, RHP, 26.0 – Underwent a 4th elbow surgery in December 2020 which Tampa is calling a minor procedure. He had surgery in June 2019 to repair a fractured right elbow which he suffered while rehabbing from 2017 Tommy John surgery. The elbow problems are making it hard to keep the faith. 2021 Projection: July-2/4.45/1.36/28 in 30 IP Prime Projection: 7/4.11/1.31/138 in 138 IP

516) Jackson Rutledge WASH, RHP, 22.0 – Rutledge is 6’8”, 250 pounds with a mid to upper 90’s fastball and the potential for three quality secondaries, most notably his plus slider. He worked on improving his control and command in 2020. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 12/3.76/1.28/167 in 165 IP

517) Miguel Hiraldo TOR, SS, 20.7 – Power took a step forward in 2019, hitting 7 homers in 56 games in the Appy League while maintaining strong contact numbers (14.1%). He was considered one of the better hitters in the 2017 international class and has lived up to his reputation. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 76/23/82/.272/.334/.458/7

518) Kameron Misner MIA, OF, 23.3 – Physical specimen at 6’4”, 219 pounds, Misner has a plus power/speed combo but currently has more raw power than game power. He is ultra patient at the plate, sometimes to his detriment. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 82/23/76/.256/.342/.448/16

519) Braxton Garrett MIA, LHP, 23.8 – Showed off his dominant curveball in his 7.2 IP MLB debut with a 50.7 whiff%, and the change played well too (40% whiff%), but his 89.6 MPH fastball got absolutely crushed with a 1.133 slugging against. 2021 Projection: 4/4.38/1.34/76 in 81 IP Prime Projection: 10/3.96/1.31/169 in 173 IP

520) Luisangel Acuna TEX, SS, 19.1 – Has hit really well at instructs but without much power, and at 5’10”, 155 pounds there is a question as to how much power potential there is down the line. He does have speed and it’s tough not to love the bloodlines. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 82/14/66/.283/.352/.419/20

521) Ryan Jeffers MIN, C, 23.10 – Stepped in when Mitch Garver went down and he took advantage of the opportunity, slashing .273/.355/.436 with 3 homers and a 91.6/99.4 MPH AVG/FB exit velocity. 30.6% K% was high, but his minor league numbers show the potential for that to come down. 2021 Projection: 36/10/38/.247/.323/.431/0 Prime Projection: 64/23/69/.261/.337/.462/1

522) Seth Beer ARI, 1B, 24.7 – The DH will be crucial for Beer’s playing time projections. Even with a DH, we’ve seen players like this struggle to get playing time even if they rake. 2021 Projection: July-23/10/28/.254/.325/.456/0 Prime Projection: 63/26/75/.269/.338/.483/1

523) Keibert Ruiz LAD, C, 22.8 – Focused on increasing his power production at alternate camp, and it paid off immediately with him uncorking a dinger in his 2 game MLB debut. He has plus hitting ability with elite contact rates, so increased power can take him to the next level.. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 68/17/64/.280/.331/.422/0

524) Mark Vientos NYM, 3B, 21.4 – Came to alternate camp showing increased strength and the ability to hit the ball out of the park going the other way. He’s 6’4”, 185 pounds and was already smoking the ball with a 91 MPH exit velocity in 2019, so the power potential is considerable. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 73/28/85/.254/.326/.477/3

525) Brett Baty NYM, 3B, 21.5 – Showed up to alternate camp in the “best shape of his life” and continued to show off his all fields power and selective plate approach. How much the hit tool can improve will dictate his ceiling. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 76/26/83/.254/.341/.473/2

526) Ryan Pepiot LAD, RHP, 23.7 – Has one of the best changeups in the minors and now his fastball ticked up into the mid 90’s at alternate camp. He’s had control problems throughout his career, and will need to prove he can hold that velocity over the course of a full season. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 10/3.90/1.32/176 in 164

527) Sam Huff TEX, C, 23.3 – The power was not undersold as Huff smashed 3 homers with a 100.8 MPH FB/LD exit velocity in his 33 PA MLB debut. The strikeouts weren’t undersold either as he notched a 40.7% whiff%, while a .471 BABIP buoyed his .355 BA. 2021 Projection: 33/12/39/.231/.291/.429/1 Prime Projection: 62/25/77/.242/.309/.453/3

528) Corey Dickerson MIA, OF, 31.10 – Exit velocity dropped 1.6 MPH to a well below average 85.5 MPH which led to a .258 BA. 2021 Projection: 74/19/63/.275/.326/.446/4

529) Garrett Cooper MIA, 1B, 30.3 – Posted career bests in K% (23.3%) and ISO (.217). He doesn’t hit that many fly balls (28.1% FB%), but he has consistently produced high BABIP’s (career .358 BABIP). 2021 Projection: 66/18/64/.268/.337/.444/1

530) Adam Duvall FA, OF, 32.7 – He mashes but it comes with playing time concerns and a low BA and OBP. 2021 Projection: 53/22/61/.240/.306/.481/1

531) Enrique Hernandez BOS, 2B/OF, 29.7 – Makes good contact (20.9% K%), hits the ball hard (88.5 MPH exit velocity), and hits it in the air (16.2 degree launch angle). He’ll have the first shot to hold down the 2B job in Boston. 2021 Projection: 61/17/63/.243/.314/.444/3

532) Chad Pinder OAK, 2B/OF, 29.0 – Continues to absolutely smash the ball with a 92.3/96.8 MPH AVG/FB exit velocity. Notched career bests in K% (21.3%),BB% (8.2%), and launch angle (13.7 degrees). 2021 Projection: 58/18/63/.248/.312/.448/0

533) Luis Urias MIL, 3B/2B, 23.10 – GB% spiked back up to 62.3% after dropping to 49.1% in 2019, and strikeout rate jumped 4.2% to 26.7%. It led to a poor season with 0 homers and a .239 BA in 120 PA. 2021 Projection: 57/11/53/.256/.332/.399/5

534) Shogo Akiyama CIN, OF, 33.0 – Poor MLB debut with 0 homers and a .245 BA, but there were some positive takeaways. 18.6%/13.7% K%/BB% is very strong and he showed a willingness to run with 7 steals in 54 games. He hits at the top of the order in the strong side of a platoon role. 2021 Projection: 63/10/46/.268/.351/.401/14

535) Colin Moran PIT, 1B, 28.6 – Power broke out with a 91.9 MPH exit velocity and 10 homers in 200 PA. He’s a strong side of a platoon bat who might see everyday at-bats because Pitt is devoid of talent. 2021 Projection: 65/20/73/.260/.327/.446/0

536) Jason Heyward CHC, OF, 31.8 – Built off 2019’s mini power resurgence by notching his highest ISO (.190) since 2012. He’s becoming a more patient hitter with his swing% dropping to a career low 36.7%. 2021 Projection: 74/18/67/.259/.351/.430/6

537) Ji-Man Choi TB, 1B, 29.11 – Homerun power dropped off with only 3 homers in 145 PA, and average exit velocity dropped 2.2 MPH to a career low 89 MPH, but his FB/LD exit velocity remained strong at 94.5 MPH so a bounce back is likely. 2021 Projection: 56/18/63/.255/.353/.453/1

538) Cedric Mullins BAL, OF, 26.6 – Plus speed (28.7 ft/sec sprint speed) with average pop (88.6 MPH exit velocity with a 15.6 degree launch) and a good feel to hit (22.8% whiff%), but will have to scratch and claw for playing time. 2021 Projection: 51/10/42/.261/.311/.407/13

539) Andy Pages LAD, OF, 20.4 – Prodigious power with 19 homers and a 53.5% FB% in 63 games in 2019. It comes with some strikeouts, but the hitting skills are there for that to improve, and he should chip in some stolen bases too. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 75/29/80/.247/.331/.471/6

540) Jordan Walker STL, 3B, 18.10 – Selected 21st overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Walker is 6’5”, 220 pounds with a quick, athletic swing and plus power. Like many hitters this tall, there are questions about the ultimate hit tool. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 78/24/75/.262/.335/.456/7

541) Jake Vogel LAD, OF, 19.6 – Selected 100th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Vogel’s calling card is his double plus speed and excellent athleticism. He’s only 5’11”, 165 pounds, but he has sneaky pop evidenced by a top exit velocity of 97 MPH at a 2019 Perfect game event which puts him in the top 4% of his class. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 78/16/71/.261/.327/.418/23

542) Hector Neris PHI, Closer Committee, 31.10 – Splitter continued to dominate with a 50% whiff%, throwing it 48.1% of the time. 2021 Projection: 3/3.82/1.29/74/25 in 65 IP

543) Taylor Rogers MIN, Closer Committee, 30.4 – Dominates with a plus sinker/slider combo. .400 BABIP was the main reason for the 4.05 ERA. 2021 Projection: 3/3.31/1.16/81/20 in 65 IP

544) Greg Holland KC, Closer, 35.4 – Rejuvenated season with a pitching line of 2.52/0.93/31.7 in 28.1 IP. He did it on the back of his plus slider, throwing it 51.3% of the time with a .209 xwOBA. 2021 Projection: 3/3.91/1.31/59/24 in 56 IP

545) Rafael Montero SEA, Closer, 30.5 – Andres Munoz is lurking, but Montero is the favorite for saves in 2021. He throws mid 90’s heat with a plus changeup as his out pitch. 2021 Projection: 3/4.02/1.21/63/28 in 58 IP

546) Joakim Soria ARI, Closer Committee, 36.10 – He’ll compete for the closer job and is probably the favorite. K% was a bit on the low side and BB% on the high side compared to his career numbers, but production remained solid with a 2.82 ERA in 22.1 IP. 2021 Projection: 3/3.82/1.27/65/26 in 62 IP

547) Emilio Pagan SD, Closer Committee, 29.11 – Could win at least a share of the closer job. He struggled early in the season but closed the year out with a 1.64 ERA and 13/2 K/BB in 11 IP. 2021 Projection: 3/3.68/1.10/73/15 in 64 IP

548) Alex Colome MIN, Closer Committee, 32.3 – Threw his cutter 71.6% of the time and put up a .212 xwOBA on the pitch. He’ll be in the mix for saves in Minnesota. 2021 Projection: 3/3.51/1.19/59/18 in 65 IP

549) Diego Castillo TB, Closer Committee, 27.2 – Threw his plus slider 64.7% of the time, putting up a .198 xwOBA. 2020 Projection: 3/3.30/1.16/69/12 in 65 IP

550) Will Smith ATL, Closer Committee, 31.9 – Seems like the Braves prefer Smith in a setup role, but he should still his fair share of saves. He struggled with the long ball in 2020, giving up 7 homers with a 4.50 ERA in 16 IP, but the 18/4 K/BB was still strong. 2021 Projection: 3/3.48/1.12/75/10 in 62 IP

551) Isan Diaz MIA, 2B, 24.10 – Opted out of the 2020 season after the first 2 games, then had a change of heart in September only to suffer a season ending groin injury a few days later. Announced he will compete for the starting 2B job with Jazz Chisholm. 2021 Projection: 41/11/45/.231/.307/.402/3

552) Mitch Garver MIN, C, 30.2 – Intercostal strain knocked Garver out for a month, and he might have lost his starting job in the process with Ryan Jeffers stepping in and outplaying him (.791 OPS vs. .511 OPS). 2021 Projection: 41/13/45/.242/.327/.441/1

553) Justin Dunn SEA, RHP, 25.6 – Below average 19.2% K% and 15.7% BB% to go along with a 92 MPH exit velocity against and 21 degree launch angle is not a recipe for success. Fastball velocity was down to 91.2 MPH, so you can’t point to nasty stuff as a sign of hope. 2021 Projection: 6/4.68/1.43/124 in 141 IP

554) Reyes Moronta SF, Closer, 28.2 – Missed all of 2020 after undergoing surgery to repair a torn labrum and is expected to be healthy for 2020. He throws a 3 pitch mix headlined by a 97.2 MPH fastball and plus slider. No guarantee he wins the closer job but he seems to be the favorite. 2021 Projection: 2/3.73/1.29/66/21 in 53 IP

555) Amir Garrett CIN, Closer Committee, 28.11 – Has been very public about wanting the closer job. Garrett throws his slider 55.5% of the time and it put up a .227 xwOBA. 2021 Projection: 3/3.61/1.29/73/15 in 60 IP

556) Stefan Crichton ARI, Closer Committee, 29.1 – He’ll compete for the closer job with Soria. He leans heavily on his sinker which he throws 60.4% of the time to go along with a plus curve. 2021 Projection: 3/3.90/1.27/55/14 in 58 IP

557) Evan Longoria SF, 3B, 35.6 – Exit velocity rose 2 MPH to a career high 91.7 MPH but it didn’t impact his overall numbers all that much with a .722 OPS. 2021 Projection: 66/22/76/.264/.321/.445/2

558) Miguel Andujar NYY, 3B/OF, 26.1 – Poor defense has Andujar on the outside looking in for playing time. He hasn’t been all that great with the bat either in limited opportunities (.632 OPS in 65 PA in 2020). 2021 Projection: 33/9/36/.268/.310/.466/1

559) Abraham Toro HOU, 3B, 24.4 – Hasn’t hit the ball very hard in 186 MLB PA spread across 2019 and 2020 with a 86.5 MPH exit velocity. He hasn’t had a problem making contact with a 22.6% K%, but he’s gonna need to hit the ball harder to make an impact. 2021 Projection: 28/6/31/.251/.322/.409/3 Prime Projection: 74/22/78/.265/.336/.451/7

560) Luis Garcia WASH, 2B, 20.10 – Strong strikeout rates mostly transferred to the majors with a 20.9% K%, but so did his poor plate approach (3.6% BB%) and weak contact (83.4 MPH exit velocity). 2021 Projection: 49/8/38/.263/.302/.397/5 Prime Projection: 81/21/73/.283/.338/.444/10

561) Corbin Martin ARI, RHP, 25.3 – Underwent Tommy John surgery in July 2019 and other than an oblique strain in August, all reports of his recovery were positive. He throws a 4 pitch mix headlined by a 95.5 MPH fastball, and could be the next man up in Arizona. 2021 Projection: 4/4.34/1.36/85 in 86 IP Prime Projection: 11/3.98/1.31/175 in 170 IP

562) Daz Cameron DET, OF, 24.2 – Slashed .193/.220/.263 in 59 PA in his MLB debut, but the underlying numbers show there is hope. 26.5 whiff% is better than his 32.2% K%, and the exit velocity numbers weren’t too bad (87.1/93.5 MPH AVG/FB exit velo). He has above average speed and there are OF jobs in Detroit to be won. 2021 Projection: 43/8/36/.237/.309/.398/8 Prime Projection: 76/18/71/.253/.331/.427/15

563) Gabriel Arias CLE, SS, 21.1 – Came on in the 2nd half of 2019, slashing .355/.385/.565 with 10 homers and a 48/11 K/BB in final 51 games at High-A. He’s still raw at the plate, but has near plus raw power and an improving hit tool. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 67/22/74/.254/.310/.436/6

564) Bryson Stott PHI, SS, 23.5 – Stott has solid skills across the board but is without a carrying tool. Should chip in a little bit in every category. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 79/19/72/.268/.334/.427/14

565) Luis Rodriguez LAD, OF, 18.7 – Only reps he got this year was in the Dominican Instructional League. Rodriguez makes hard contact to all fields with a line drive approach and above average speed. At 6’2”, 175 pounds he has the chance to grow into more power, although it is not expected to be a major part of his game. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 84/20/72/.278/.347/.441/12

566) Yusniel Diaz BAL, OF, 24.6 – Performed well and showed good power at alt camp. Hasn’t had the full on breakout that would win him a full time job, but has the talent to slowly work his way into the lineup. 2021 Projection: 28/7/28/.251/.312/.419/1 Prime Projection: 72/22/77/.267/.331/.449/7

567) Luis Toribio SF, 3B, 20.6 – Worked on turning his considerable raw power into game power at instructs. Toribio is physically mature with an advanced plate approach and strong exit velocity readings. Here he is ripping a 111 MPH single. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 77/22/79/.264/.348/.452/3

568) Khalil Lee KC, OF, 22.9 – 28.2% K% and 59.3% GB% in 2019 is a horrible combination, but he has a plus power/speed combo and was 20/21 years old at Double-A. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 78/21/72/.253/.336/.443/17

569) Anderson Tejeda TEX, SS, 22.11 – Made his MLB debut in 2020 and played as advertised with high strikeout rates (39% K% in 77 PA) and plus power potential (98.9 MPH FB/LD exit velocity with a 14.3 degree launch angle). 2021 Projection: 42/12/47/.228/.290/.423/6 Prime Projection: 69/25/81/.242/.321/.453/9

570) Kevin Kiermaier TB, OF, 30.11 – Plus defensive center fielder with plus speed and moderate power. Notched careers highs in K% (26.4%) and BB% (12.6%) in 2020. 2021 Projection: 58/13/54/.233/.305/.398/17

571) Tristen Lutz MIL, OF, 22.7 – Strikeout rates are high but he has double plus raw power and doesn’t sell out for homers. He continued to work on refining his approach in 2020. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 74/25/82/.263/.340/.473/6

572) Tanner Burns CLE, RHP, 22.3 – Selected 36th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Burns has a history of excellent production in the SEC with a pitching line of 2.86/1.17/210/67 in 188.2 career IP. He has plus command over a fastball he can ramp up to 87 MPH, to go along with a plus breaking ball and average change. He’s on the small side at 6’0”, 215 pounds and had shoulder problems in 2019, so durability is a concern. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 10/4.15/1.27/162 in 168 IP

573) Maikol Hernandez BAL, SS, 17.6 – At 6’3”, 175 pounds, Hernandez has loads of upside with plus speed and the potential for plus power. He’s currently an all fields, line drive hitter who consistently makes hard contact. ETA: 2026 Prime Projection: 73/24/78/.259/.327/.452/12

574) Travis Swaggerty PIT, OF, 23.9 – Showed off improved pull side power at the alt site to go along with plus outfield defense. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 77/18/71/.264/.331/.421/16

575) Ryan Vilade COL, SS, 22.1 – Made adjustments to unlock more of his plus raw power in 2019, lowering GB% 10% to 42.9% and hitting 12 homers in 128 games at High-A. He did so while maintaining a strong plate approach (16.2% K%/9.5% BB%) ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 77/19/73/.276/.340/.434/8

576) JJ Goss TB, RHP, 20.3 – Fastball ticked up at instructs and continued to show a swing and miss slider and good feel for a changeup. He throws strikes and knows how to pitch. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 12/3.81/1.24/173 in 171 IP

577) Alexander Ramirez NYM, OF, 18.3 – Signed for $2.05 million in 2019, Ramirez is a great athlete with a projectable 6’3”, 170 pound frame and a good feel to hit. He was one of my favorite late round targets in 2019/20 first year player drafts. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 81/22/76/.267/.341/.451/16

578) Jhoan Duran MIN, RHP, 23.3 – Fastball can reach triple digits and throws a plus low 90’s sinker/splitter hybrid. Bullpen risk is high ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 10/3.96/1.34/157 in 162 IP

579) Bobby Miller LAD, RHP, 22.0 – Selected 29th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Miller is 6’5”, 220 pounds with a plus fastball that reaches the upper 90’s, a plus slider, and a potentially plus changeup. 2020 was the first year he was going to be a full time starter, and his delivery indicates some bullpen risk. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 9/3.92/1.29/149 in 151 IP

580) Ismael Mena CHC, OF, 18.4 – Signed for $2.2 million in 2019, Mena is a lean 6’3”, 185 pounds with a line drive approach, developing power, and plus speed. ETA: 2025 Prime Projection: 76/18/71/.262/.330/.424/17

581) Josh Wolf CLE, RHP, 20.7 – Wolf is an athletic and projectable 6’3”, 170 pounds whose fastball should sit in the mid 90s at peak with a plus breaking ball and developing change. Trade to the pitching prospect paradise of Cleveland can only help his development. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 11/3.96/1.30/167 in 169 IP

582) Bo Naylor CLE, C, 21.1 – Played well at alt camp, showing off an advanced hit tool and mature plate approach. He only has about average power, but he does have some speed which gives him the chance to be an all category contributor from the catcher position. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 68/18/71/.271/.344/.432/7

583) Jeremy Pena HOU, SS, 23.6 – Played well in the Domincan Winter League, slashing .306/.349/.430 with 3 homers, 7 steals, and a 23/7 K/BB in 30 games. He is a plus defender with above average speed and a solid plate approach, but power remains below average. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 78/15/69/.262/.331/.405/14

584) Zach DeLoach SEA, OF, 22.7 – Selected 43rd overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, DeLoach exploded in the 2019 Cape Cod League with a .353/.428/.541 triple-slash after disappointing with a .611 OPS in the SEC earlier that year. He carried over the Cape Cod league success in 2020 with a 1.336 OPS, 6 steals and a 3/14 K/BB in 18 games. He doesn’t have any elite tools, but has the chance to be an all category contributor. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 78/20/74/.267/.333/.434/12

585) Alexander Vargas NYY, SS, 19.5 – Showed plus contact ability in 2019 (12.7% K%) with plus speed (13 steals) and should start hitting the ball with more authority as he gets stronger. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 81/14/62/.272/.338/.411/21

586) Brennan Malone PIT, RHP, 20.7 – Malone is a power pitcher who throws a 4 pitch mix headlined by a potentially plus fastball/slider combo. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 13/3.83/1.26/187 in 178 IP

587) Tyler Callihan CIN, 2B/3B, 20.9 – Callihan has plus power with an aggressive approach at the plate and limited defensive value. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 67/25/81/.267/.328/.465/3

588) Ryan Weathers SD, LHP, 21.4 – Impressed San Diego enough at alt camp for them to put him on the postseason roster where he made his MLB debut with 1.1 scoreless IP. His stuff ticked up in 2020, giving him the potential for 3 above average pitches to go along with his advanced feel to pitch and plus control. 2021 Projection: 2/4.28/1.31/44 in 50 IP Prime Projection: 12/3.82/1.25/169 in 178 IP

589) Antoine Kelly MIL, LHP, 21.4 – Kelly impressed at the alternate site with added velocity and improved secondaries. He is 6’6”, 205 pounds with a mid 90’s fastball, plus slider and average change. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 11/3.84/1.27/166 in 163 IP

590) Cole Winn TEX, RHP, 21.4 – Took a step forward in 2020 with his fastball ticking up into the mid 90’s and showing improved secondaries. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 12/3.95/1.29/174 in 178 IP

591) Bayron Lora TEX, OF, 18.6 – Signed for $3.9 million in 2019, Lora is 6’5”, 230 pounds with double plus raw power, but it comes with some swing and miss. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 69/28/82/.249/.326/.494/3

592) Alexfri Planez CLE, OF, 19.8 – Big time power potential with a raw, aggressive approach at the plate and above average speed. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 68/25/77/.254/.322/.471/8

593) Gilberto Celestino MIN, OF, 22.2 – Plus contact/speed profile with a 90 MPH average exit velocity. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 79/14/65/.273/.332/.408/16

594) Oswald Peraza NYY, SS, 20.10 – 13.5% K% and 18 steals in 46 games at Full-A in 2019. Peraza has plus athleticism with above average raw power that he hasn’t been able to fully tap into yet. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 74/14/65/.263/.322/.410/19

595) Jeremy De La Rosa WASH, OF, 19.2 – Advanced enough to go straight to stateside ball as a 17 year old in 2019, and Washington continued to push him in 2020 by bringing him to the alt site where he was able to hold his own against advanced competition. De La Rosa is an excellent athlete with the potential for average to above average production across the board. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 74/22/78/.264/.336/.445/9

596) Braden Shewmake ATL, SS, 23.4 – Showed in 2019 that his plus contact skills and plus speed would transfer to pro ball with a 12.8% K% and 11 steals in 51 games at Full-A. At 6’4”, 190 pounds, there should be some more power in the tank as well. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 74/15/65/.272/.330/.421/16

597) Wilderd Patino ARI, OF, 19.9 – Made improvements to his swing and showed more pop at instructs in 2020. He hit a “huge home run” against Reid Detmers. He is a tooled up, high upside power/speed combo but there are concerns over the hit tool. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 78/21/72/.251/.333/.441/18

598) Parker Meadows DET, OF, 21.5 – Showed off his plus athleticism at alt camp in 2020. Full season debut in 2019 was underwhelming with a .221/.296/.312 triple-slash, but a 22.4% K% and 9.3% BB% is very encouraging considering the plus athleticism and power/speed combo. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 75/20/71/.253/.331/.432/14

599) Keoni Cavaco MIN, SS, 19.10 – High risk, high reward prospect with a plus power/combo but is a major hit tool risk (35/4 K/BB in 25 game pro debut in 2019). ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 71/25/76/.241/.298/.449/11

600) Ethan Small MIL, LHP, 24.2 – Small doesn’t have big stuff but he racks up strikeouts with deception and plus command. He struck out 168 batters in 102 IP in the SEC and then came into pro ball in 2019 and did the same thing with a 36/4 K/BB in 21 IP at mostly Full-A. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 11/4.06/1.28/173 in 171 IP

601) Zack Thompson STL, LHP, 23.5 – Thompson throws a 4 pitch mix headlined by a high spin rate, plus curveball. He has some injury red flags and needs to improve his command. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 10/3.93/1.32/171 in 164 IP

602) Jordan Nwogu CHC, OF, 22.1 – Selected 88th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Nwogu is 6’3”, 235 pounds with a plus power/speed combo and very strong numbers in his 3 years in the Big Ten, slashing .334/.430/.545 with 20 homers, 30 steals, and a 96/63 K/BB in 125 career games. There are some concerns over his swing, but the upside is considerable. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 78/23/77/.253/.325/.457/14

603) Yonny Chirinos TB, RHP, 27.3 – Underwent Tommy John surgery in August 2020 and will miss all of 2021. 2021 Projection: OUT

604) Jack Kochanowicz LAA, RHP, 20.3 – Kochanowicz is 6’6”, 220 pounds with a plus fastball/curve combo and developing change. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 12/3.89/1.26/174 in 176 IP

605) Jhonny Piron TB, OF, 17.2 – At 6’1”, 165 pounds, Piron is tooled up with excellent athleticism, plus speed and power projection, but needs to continue refining his hit tool. ETA: 2026 Prime Projection: 77/20/74/.262/.331/.443/14

606) Jorge Alfaro MIA, C, 27.10 – Development has seemingly stagnated with no improvements in K% (36%), BB% (4%), or launch angle (2.8 degrees). Catchers have been known to break out offensively later in their careers due to how much they need to focus on defense, so that might be the path Alfaro is on. 2021 Projection: 48/16/59/.248/.301/.408/5

607) Carson Kelly ARI, C, 26.9 – Whiff% rose 3.8% to 26.8%, BB% tanked 8.5% to 4.7%, and exit velocity dropped 2.7 MPH to 86.3 MPH. He hits it in the air and still hit 5 homers in 39 games, but he took a step back in multiple areas. 2021 Projection: 45/16/49/.240/.320/.421/.0

608) Danny Jansen TOR, C, 26.0 – Exit velocity tanked to 85.1 MPH, killing any chance of a breakout despite a strong K% (21.1%), BB% (14.3%), and launch angle (16.3 degrees). 2021 Projection: 46/15/49/.234/.325/.413/0

609) Wilson Ramos DET, C, 33.8 – Underlying numbers were slightly down and BABIP was a little low which lead to a down year (.684 OPS). Nothing is setting off alarm bells, so a bounce back should be in order, but he’s not getting any younger at 33 years of age. 2021 Projection: 48/15/63/.270/.330/.437/0

610) Tyler Stephenson CIN, C, 24.8 – Smashed in his 20 PA MLB debut with 2 homers and a .294 BA. The power is nice to see as he’s always displayed a strong plate approach in the minors. 2021 Projection: 28/7/33/.251/.319/.406/1 Prime Projection: 61/18/67/.268/.337/.428/1

611) Edwin Encarnacion FA, DH, 38.3 – Exit velocity bottomed out to 85.4 MPH and whiff% hit a career worst 32.6%. It led to a cover your eyes .157/.250/.377 triple-slash in 44 games. He still managed to knock 10 homers, and his BABIP was an unsustainably low .156, so while it would be hard to deny he is in decline, there could be another useful year or two left in him. 2021 Projection: 62/24/67/.232/.320/.468/0

612) Jose Iglesias LAA, SS, 31.3 – Hit for a .373 BA on the back of an unsustainable .407 BABIP. Exit velocity did reach a career high 86.2 MPH, so combined with an elite 11.3% K%, some of that batting average gain was real. 2021 Projection: 65/11/62/.291/.328/.414/7

613) Isiah Kiner Falefa TEX, 3B/SS, 26.0 – Texas announced he will be their starting SS in 2020. Falefa is a contact hitter (14% K%) who will steal a handful of bags, but a 0.8 degree launch angle and 90.5 MPH FB/LD exit velocity does not give much hope for a power outbreak. 2021 Projection: 76/10/51/.271/.327/.376/13

614) Adam Frazier PIT, 2B/OF, 29.3 – Drilled 7 homers in 58 games but with a career low 85.5 MPH exit velocity, that pace is likely unsustainable. Career low .230 BA was due to a career low .246 BABIP. 2021 Projection: 73/12/67/.273/.335/.415/5

615) Andrelton Simmons MIN, SS, 31.7 – If only defense was a fantasy category … 2021 Projection: 68/11/61/.273/.325/.396/10

616) Keegan Akin BAL, LHP, 26.0 – Solid MLB debut with a 4.56 ERA and 30.2 K% in 25.2 IP. He relies heavily on his 91.9 MPH 4-seam fastball that he threw 62% of the time. 2021 Projection: 8/4.43/1.42/151 in 155 IP

617) Michael Baumann BAL, RHP, 25.7 – Flexor mass strain ended his season in August. He was impressing at alt camp before that with a mid 90’s fastball and 3 secondaries headlined by a plus slider. 2021 Projection: 2/4.46/1.39/50 in 55 IP Prime Projection: 10/4.07/1.30/162 in 165 IP

618) Adam Kloffenstein TOR, RHP, 20.8 – Kloffenstein is 6’5”, 243 pounds with an average to above average 4-pitch mix. Pitched well as an 18 year old at Short-A in 2019 with a pitching line of 2.24/1.09/64/23 in 64.1 IP. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 11/3.95/1.32/171 in 176 IP

619) Luis Gil NYY, RHP, 22.10 – High risk, high reward prospect with an upper 90’s fastball but control/command and secondaries are still raw. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 9/3.95/1.34/155 in 152 IP

620) Logan Allen CLE, LHP, 23.10 – Will compete for the 5th starter job in Spring. He throws a 4 pitch mix headlined by a 94 MPH fastball and plus slider. 2021 Projection: 7/4.48/1.40/113 in 130 IP Prime Projection: 9/4.12/1.33/151 in 161 IP

621) David Bote CHC, 2B/3B, 28.0 – Hits the ball hard (92.4 MPH exit velocity) with a little speed (27.6 ft/sec sprint speed) and a high walk rate (11.7% BB%). 2021 Projection: 62/16/60/.242/.329/.420/6

622) Monte Harrison MIA, OF, 25.8 – 51% K% in his 51 PA MLB debut shows the extreme swing and miss issues he has had throughout his entire career. He’s a great athlete with a plus power/speed combo, but the risk is starting to overtake the reward. 2021 Projection: 27/5/23/.203/.271/.353/6

623) Jake Fraley SEA, OF, 25.10 – Has struggled two years in a row in small sample, cups of coffee on the MLB level, putting up a combined triple-slash of .152/.200/.227 with a 25/2 K/BB in 70 PA. Statcast numbers don’t provide a silver lining either with an 83.1 MPH exit velocity and average speed. 2021 Projection: 28/6/31/.231/.288/.391/3

624) Jeremiah Jackson LAA, SS, 21.0 – 33% K% as a 19 year old in rookie ball in 2019, which means the risk is sky high, but he also smacked a ridiculous 23 homers in 65 games. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 74/27/81/.241/.319/.451/10

625) Logan Davidson OAK, SS, 23.3 – Made gains in 2020 by improving his below average hit tool, giving hope he will be able to get to his plus power/speed combo. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 69/20/75/.249/.325/.443/12

626) Bryse Wilson ATL, RHP, 23.3 – Dominated the minors by commanding his plus fastball, but profiles more as a back end starter in the majors without a dominant secondary offering and below average whiff rates. 2021 Projection: 3/4.48/1.38/64 in 70 IP Prime Projection: 9/4.21/1.33/154 in 167 IP

627) Jared Shuster ATL, LHP, 22.8 – Selected 25th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Shuster showed dramatically improved control in the 2019 Cape Cod League (1.4 BB/9 in 32 IP), and not only did he maintain that in 26.1 IP in 2020 (1.4 BB/9), but he also increased his fastball velocity by about 4 MPH with the ability to hit 97 MPH. His best pitch is a plus changeup to go along with an average slider. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 10/4.21/1.30/168 in 173 IP

628) Rich Hill FA, LHP, 40.1 – 3.03 ERA looked good, but the underlying stats told a different story with a 5.08 xERA and his K% dropping to 19.9%. Also missed some time with shoulder soreness. 2021 Projection: 6/4.13/1.28/108 in 115 IP

629) Jose Quintana LAA, LHP, 31.6 – Thumb and lat injuries limited Quintana to 10 IP. Stuff looked mostly the same with low 90’s heat and an above average curveball. 2021 Projection: 8/4.32/1.34/141 in 157 IP

630) JT Brubaker PIT, RHP, 27.4 – Solid MLB debut with an above average 27.6% whiff% and 4.39 xERA in 47.1 IP. He throws a 5 pitch mix headlined by a 93.8 MPH sinker. 2021 Projection: 7/4.44/1.36/133 in 145 IP

631) Anthony DeSclafani SF, RHP, 31.0 – The wheels fell off with a 7.22 ERA and 25/16 K/BB in 33.2 IP. K% dropped to 15.8% but whiff% remained stable at 23.2% so some of that looks to be bad luck. Will get a ballpark upgrade moving away from Cincy. 2021 Projection: 8/4.41/1.35/143 in 158 IP

632) Michael Wacha TB, RHP, 29.9 – Got shelled with a 6.62 ERA in 34 IP but he did post career bests in K% (23.7%) and BB% (4.5%), so it wasn’t as bad as it looked. 2021 Projection: 7/4.42/1.42/129 in 142 IP

633) Jared Kelley CHW, RHP, 19.5 – Selected 47th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Kelley throws mid 90’s gas with a plus changeup, but lacks feel on his breaking ball. The upside is considerable if the breaking ball improves, but if it doesn’t he may end up in the pen. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 10/3.98/1.31/158 in 155 IP

634) Cole Wilcox SD, RHP, 21.9 – Selected 80th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Wilcox was starting to show improved control with only 2 walks in 23 IP before the season got shutdown (5.7 BB/9 in 2019). It’s a good sign as the stuff is nasty with a mid 90’s fastball, potentially plus slider and developing change. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 9/4.08/1.33/161 in 158 IP

635) Hans Crouse TEX, RHP, 22.6 – Worked out on his own in 2020 due to a personal issue. His stuff took a step back in 2019 because of a bone spur in his elbow which required surgery after the season. Assuming he is back to 100% in 2021, he throws a mid 90’s fastball with a plus slider and above average change. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 11/3.87/1.28/162 in 155 IP

636) Jordan Westburg BAL, SS, 22.1 – Selected 30th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Westburg has the raw talent to be a plus power/speed combo, but he hasn’t been able to tap into his raw power yet with only 10 homers in 124 NCAA games, and the hit tool is also a concern with high strikeout rates throughout his career. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 75/15/68/.246/.318/.420/13

637) William Contreras ATL, C, 23.3 – Worked on his defense in 2020 to the point he can now potentially be plus behind the dish. Offensively he continued to show a good feel to hit with plus raw power. Shea Langeliers is still lurking, so Contreras will likely need a trade to project for full time at-bats. 2021 Projection: 15/4/19/.242/.291/.392/0 Prime Projection: 52/22/61/.267/.328/.443/0

638) Andrew Knizner STL, C, 26.2 – Only received 17 PA in 2020 but proved he can put a charge into the ball with a 94.3 MPH average exit velocity. He’s also shown a good feel to hit throughout his minor league career, and looks to have first dibs on the Cardinals starting catcher job. 2021 Projection: 48/13/53/.258/.313/.405/2

639) Omar Narvaez MIL, C, 29.1 – Total collapse across the board with a 31% K%, 81.6 MPH exit velocity, and a .562 OPS. 2021 Projection: 46/11/41/.248/.339/.397/0

640) Yan Gomes WASH, C, 33.8 – Hit for a .284 BA with a career best 18.5% K% and 89.9 MPH exit velocity. Expected to catch 100+ games in 2021 as Washington’s primary catcher. 2021 Projection: 49/16/53/.251/.311/.430/1

641) Dillon Dingler DET, C, 22.6 – Selected 38th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Dingler was just starting to tap into his raw power in 2020 with 5 homers in 13 games. He’s a plus athlete for a catcher with the chance to steal a handful of bases, which is always nice to get from your catcher position. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 69/17/63/.260/.328/.424/7

642) Miguel Vargas LAD, 3B, 21.5 – Advanced hitter who stood out at instructs, but has yet to tap fully into his raw power and has limited defensive value. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 68/20/75/.273/.348/.448/6

643) Clayton Beeter LAD, RHP, 22.6 – Selected 66th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Beeter has impressive stuff with a mid to upper 90’s fastball and the potential for two plus breaking balls. 2020 was his first year as a starter in college, and while the numbers are impressive (2.14 ERA with a 33/4 K/BB), it came in only 21 IP and he had a 8.7 BB/9 in 20.2 IP in 2019. Reliever risk is high. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 7/3.83/1.32/141 in 127 IP

644) Miguel Amaya CHC, C, 22.1 – Focused on improving his defense at the alt site. 16.8% K% and 13.2% BB% as a 20 year old at High-A in 2019 shows his mature plate approach. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 63/19/66/.265/.342/.433/1

645) Diego Cartaya LAD, C, 19.7 – One of the top international signings in 2018, Cartaya has an advanced plate approach with the potential to hit for both average and power. He is also a lock to stick behind the dish. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 68/20/73/.274/.340/.438/1

646) Bryan Mata BOS, RHP, 21.11 – Control took a major step forward in 2019, cutting his walk rate from 7.3 BB/9 in 2018 to 3.6 BB/9 in 2019. He continued to work on that in 2020 at the alt site. He has big time stuff headlined by a plus fastball/slider combo, but still needs to work on command and consistently. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 10/4.14/1.33/161 in 169 IP

647) Hudson Haskin BAL, OF, 22.3 – Selected 39th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Haskin has shown the ability to hit for hard contact with strong plate approach numbers at Tulane, slashing .363/.457/.612 with 11 homers and a 39/40 K/BB in 73 career games. He’s a plus defender with plus speed although it only resulted in 5 steals. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 77/18/70/.267/.336/.433/11

648) Jared Jones PIT, RHP, 19.8 – Selected 44th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Jones is a great athlete with a mid to upper 90’s fastball, potentially plus slider and developing change. His control has been spotty and he doesn’t have ideal size at 6’1”, 180 pounds. ETA: 2025 Prime Projection: 9/4.11/1.34/154 in 151 IP

649) Owen Caissie CHC, OF, 18.9 – Selected 45th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Caissie is young for high high school class and has plus raw power with above average speed at 6’4”, 190 pounds, but it comes with some strikeout issues. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 73/24/79/.242/.327/.462/9

650) Blaze Jordan BOS, 3B, 18.3 – Selected 89th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Jordan has been known for his prodigious raw power for years now, putting up impressive exit velocity numbers, but limited defensive value means he’s likely going to have to hit his ceiling to see everyday at-bats. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 62/24/71/.250/.325/.467/4

651) Carson Tucker CLE, SS, 18.2 – Selected 23rd overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Tucker has shown good feel to hit with plus speed and the ability to stick at SS. Power should develop but doesn’t project to be a major part of his game. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 73/14/64/.271/.326/.413/15

652) Manuel Beltre TOR, SS, 16.10 – Beltre in an advanced hitter with excellent contact rates and a history of performing against top competition at Perfect Game events. He doesn’t have the monster power/speed combo, but he should grow into more power, and the hit tool combined with all the exposure he’s gotten makes him much safer than other international prospects. ETA: 2026 Prime Projection: 73/22/79/.277/.345/.458/6

653) Slade Cecconi ARI, RHP, 21.9 – Selected 33rd overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Cecconi is 6’4”, 220 pounds with a plus fastball/slider combo, but has had trouble maintaining his stuff throughout his career and as he gets deeper into games. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 9/4.18/1.33/154 in 162 IP

654) JT Ginn NYM, RHP, 21.10 – Selected 52nd overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Ginn underwent Tommy John surgery after exiting his first start of the season after 3 IP. He showed his dominance in 2019 with a pitching line of 3.13/1.05/105/19 in 86.1 IP in the SEC on the back of his plus fastball/slider combo and a changeup that flashes plus. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 10/3.93/1.26/174 in 166 IP

655) Will Wilson SF, SS, 22.8 – Impressed with his raw power at alternate camp and instructs which is nice to see after averaging only an 86 MPH exit velocity in his pro debut. He projects as a solid all around hitter. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 72/20/74/.265/.331/.440/4

656) Masyn Winn STL, SS/RHP, 19.0 – Selected 54th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Winn is a two way player with considerable upside at both SS and pitcher. He throws mid 90’s heat with the potential for two plus secondaries (breaking ball and changeup), and he has a plus power/speed combo at the dish. He’s only 5’11”, 180 pounds, so there are some concerns over his size as a pitcher, and he also needs to refine his hit tool at the plate. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 6/3.91/1.34/109 in 106 IP – 61/15/58/.241/.316/.420/11

657) Arol Vera LAA, SS, 18.7 – Signed for $2 million in 2019, the 6’3”, 187 pound Vera has shown a good feel to hit and has the chance to grow into plus power. ETA: 2025 Prime Projection: 73/23/81/.268/.334/.452/6

658) Jairo Pomares SF, OF, 20.8 – Impressive pro debut in 2019, slashing .368/.401/.542 with 3 homers, 5 steals, a 90 MPH avg. exit velocity and a 26/10 K/BB in 37 games. He doesn’t project for huge home run or stolen base totals, but he has a chance to be solid 5 category player. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 78/19/76/.270/.331/.436/10

659) Joe Ryan TB, RHP, 24.10 – Pulverized 3 levels of the minors (A, A+, AA) in 2019 using mostly a plus fastball that he commands well, putting up a pitching line of 1.96/0.84/183/27 in 123.2 IP. Needs to improve secondaries to keep those numbers up at the major league level. 2021 Projection: 1/4.36/1.37/24 in 25 IP Prime Projection: 10/4.09/1.33/160 in 157 IP

660) Mike Siani CIN, OF, 21.8 – Full season debut in 2019 wasn’t great (.672 OPS), but he displayed a solid plate approach (20.5% K%/8.7% BB%) with plus speed (45 steals) and developing power (6 homers). Plus centerfield defense should give his bat time to develop. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 75/14/61/.263/.328/.409/25

661) Coby Mayo BAL, 3B, 19.4 – Selected 103rd overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Mayo has big raw power at 6’5”, 215 pounds but it comes with batting average concerns and limited defensive value. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 64/24/76/.240/.314/.466/4

662) David Calabrese LAA, OF, 18.6 – Selected 82nd overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Calabrese is one of the youngest players in the draft. His game is built around double plus speed and CF defense, and while he should grow into more power, at 5’11”, 160 pounds, it doesn’t figure to be a major part of his game. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 74/13/59/.265/.327/.406/24

663) Cristian Santana DET, SS, 17.3 – Santana stands out for his advanced plate approach and hit tool. Like most high priced international signings, he’s an excellent athlete with power projection: ETA: 2026 Prime Projection: 81/20/74/.277/.352/.455/7

664) Miguel Rojas MIA, SS, 32.1 – Maintained an elite K% (12.6%) while his power (.192 ISO) and BB% (11.2%) blew up to career bests. 2021 Projection: 69/10/66/.280/.333/.397/8

665) Nick Yorke BOS, 2B, 19.0 – Selected 17th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Yorke has an advanced feel to hit and a mature approach at the plate, but doesn’t project for big power or speed totals. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 83/18/71/.278/.343/.442/6

666) Nick Ahmed ARI, SS, 31.0 – Steady but unspectacular 5 category production. 2021 Projection: 73/17/75/.257/.319/.426/8

667) Luis Arraez MIN, 2B, 24.0 – Hit zero homers in 32 games but a 90.6 MPH FB/LD exit velocity with a 12.1 degree launch angle isn’t so bad that he can’t run into a handful of dingers. Continued his elite contact hitting ways with a 9.1% K% and .321 BA. Andrelton Simmons signing hurts his playing time projection. 2021 Projection: 73/5/59/.308/.367/.424/4

668) Donovan Solano SF, 2B, 33.3 – Backed up his 2019 breakout in 2020, slashing .326/.365/.463 with 3 homers and a 39/10 K/BB in 54 games. BABIP was unsustainably high both years (.396 in 2020), and there isn’t much power or speed. 2021 Projection: 72/10/68/.288/.326/.405/1

669) Kevin Newman PIT, SS/2B, 27.8 – Was able to maintain elite contact rates with a 12.2% K%, but power and speed dropped off a cliff with 1 homer and 0 steals in 44 games. 2021 Projection: 49/8/46/.272/.322/.391/8

670) Kohei Arihara TEX, RHP, 28.8 – Arihara pounds the strike zone with a 7 pitch mix that hasn’t produced very many strikeouts in Japan (7.2 K/9 in 2020). He features a splitter as his best secondary while his fastball sits in the low 90’s, ultimately profiling as back end starter. 2021 Projection: 8/4.37/1.32/131 in 157 IP

671) Daniel Johnson CLE, OF, 25.9 – Will compete for a likely strong side of a platoon role in Spring. He went 1 for 13 in his MLB debut in 2020. Plus power/speed combo, but a questionable hit tool could limit him to a part time role. 2021 Projection: 38/9/41/.243/.306/.425/6 Prime Projection: 62/16/66/.252/.318/.450/9

672) Jahmai Jones BAL, 2B, 23.8 – Changing his swing to unlock more power didn’t take in 2019, and he looked much better in 2020 going with his natural line drive approach. 2B job is wide open in Baltimore. 2021 Projection: 46/8/41/.241/.307/.390/7 Prime Projection: 67/13/61/.268/.327/.412/11

673) Kyle Isbel KC, OF, 24.1 – Hamstring and hamate injuries tanked Isbel’s 2019 season, leading to a 86 wRC+ in 52 games at High-A, but he looked much better in the Fall League with a .315 BA, 1 homer, 6 steals and a 20/14 K/BB in 91 PA. Plus defense and plus speed are his best skills. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 79/16/67/.268/.325/.417/19

674) Seth Corry SF, LHP, 22.5 – Dominated in his full season debut in 2019 with a pitching line of 1.76/1.07/172/58 in 122.2 IP. He has the potential for 3 above average pitches, but command will have to take a step forward to remain a starter (4.3 BB/9). ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 7/4.02/1.34/109 in 111 IP

675) Thad Ward BOS, RHP, 23.2 – Velocity ticked up and developed a plus cutter en route to a dominant season in Full-A and High-A in 2019. Throws a 5 pitch mix with mid rotation upside. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 9/4.23/1.33/159 in 164 IP

676) Alexander Vizcaino NYY, RHP, 23.10 – Mid 90’s fastball with a plus changeup and a slider that took a step forward at alt camp. He put up a 128/38 K/BB in 115 IP split between Full-A and High-A in 2019. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 10/4.10/1.33/166 in 168 IP

677) Jay Groome BOS, LHP, 21.7 – Tommy John wiped out almost all of Groome’s 2018 and 2019, but he looked solid at the alt site in 2020 with a potentially plus fastball/curve combo. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 9/3.94/1.28/157 in 154 IP

678) Thomas Szapucki NYM, LHP, 24.10 – Returned from Tommy John surgery in 2019 after missing all of 2018 and proved his plus fastball/curve combo is still intact with 72 strikeouts in 61.2 IP at mostly High-A. He stayed healthy all year in 2020 showing off the same stuff. 2021 Projection: 1/4.43/1.38/35 in 35 IP Prime Projection: 8/4.03/1.31/152 in 150 IP

679) Kyle Harrison SF, LHP, 19.8 – Selected 85th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Harrison pounds the strikezone with a potentially plus 3 pitch mix (fastball, slider, change). He knows how to pitch and could be a big riser in 2021. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 10/3.91/1.24/176 in 173 IP

680) Jake McCarthy ARI, OF, 23.8 – Here is what Arizona’s farm director, Josh Barfield, said about McCarthy in this MLB.com article, “But to Jake’s credit, he came back from the shutdown and was a completely different guy … as drastic of a change in a guy as you’ll see. He put on 25 pounds of muscle and made a radical swing change. He has been mashing, just pummeling the baseball.” He was the 39th overall pick in 2018 and has hit for solid batting averages with high stolen base totals in his short pro career, so reports of added power is great to hear. Could be big 2021 breakout. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 73/20/76/.254/.322/.438/16

681) Oscar Colas FA, OF/LHP, 22.6 – Colas is a two way player with mid 90’s heat, but has only pitched 3.1 professional innings and didn’t pitch at all last season in Japan’s minor leagues. On the offensive side, he’s been hitting for power since 17 years old in Cuba, and was able to launch 12 homers in 73 games in Japan in 2019, but it has come with a healthy amount of strikeouts. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 68/23/75/.247/.318/.435/8

682) Colton Welker COL, 3B, 23.6 – Raw power needs to take a step forward to fully take advantage of his good feel to hit. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 71/20/73/.270/.328/435/3

683) Canaan Smith PIT, OF, 22.1 – Known for his plus walk rates since high school, and has present raw power at 6’0”, 215 pounds that he hasn’t yet turned into big time home run totals. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 78/21/74/.259/.347/.441/6

684) Jhon Diaz TB, OF, 18.6 – Struggled at instructs which isn’t too concerning considering his age. He signed for $1.5 million in 2019 and projects for solid production across the board. ETA: 2025 Prime Projection: 76/19/74/.272/.335/.432/10

685) Luis Medina MIL, OF, 18.1 – Worked on catching up to elite velocity at instructs. He signed for $1.3 million in 2019 because of a smooth lefty swing that generates easy plus power. ETA: 2025 Prime Projection: 65/23/72/.248/.326/.462/5

686) Francisco Morales PHI, RHP, 21.5 – Great stuff with a mid 90’s fastball and plus slider, but changeup lags behind and has major bullpen risk. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 9/3.92/1.34/159 in 153 IP

687) Kevin Pillar FA, OF, 32.3 – Moderate power/speed combo whose swing and miss is trending up and defense trending down. He isn’t guaranteed to find a full time job, 2021 Projection: 63/16/54/.262/.305/.432/12

688) Luis Garcia HOU, RHP, 24.4 – Mediocre MLB debut with a 9/5 K/BB in 12.1 IP. He throws a 5 pitch mix headlined by a plus changeup. Mid-rotation upside if his control/command can improve. 2021 Projection: 2/4.54/1.38/49 in 50 IP Prime Projection: 9/4.11/1.32/166 in 165 IP

689) Tom Murphy SEA, C, 30.0 – Fractured his left foot in July which wiped out his entire 2020. Murphy will give you big time power with a low BA. Likely looking at some kind of time share with Luis Torrens. 2021 Projection: 38/15/49/.229/.294/.438/2

690) Pavin Smith ARI, 1B, 25.2 – Solid MLB debut, slashing .270/.341/.405 with 1 homer and an 18.2%/11.4% K%/BB% in 44 PA. Smith has displayed at least plus contact rates everywhere he has played, and has slowly started to tap into a little more power. 2021 Projection: 29/5/26/.262/.328/.406/1 Prime Projection: 76/17/72/.281/.348/.436/2

691) Cal Raleigh SEA, C, 24.4 – Plus power hitting catcher with 50%+ flyball rates. Drilled 29 homers in 121 games split between High-A and Double-A in 2019, and the power played well at instructs in 2020 as well. 2021 Projection: 8/2/11/.215/.281/.418/0 Prime Projection: 58/22/66/.238/.314/.441/1

692) Ender Inciarte ATL, OF, 30.5 – Was a part time player in 2020 and his production bottomed out with a .190 BA. 2020 Projection: 65/8/38/.251/.322/.386/14

693) Lane Thomas STL, OF, 25.8 – Missed most of the 1st half of the season with Covid, and didn’t perform very well when he returned in September. He’s fast (28.3 ft/sec sprint speed) and hits the ball hard (91 MPH exit velocity), but needs to improve his hit tool to earn a full time job. 2021 Projection: 31/8/30/.245/.308/.412/5

694) Christopher Morel CHC, 3B, 21.9 – Reports from alt camp talked about Morel’s improved hit tool, which is great to hear considering his plus power/speed combo. If the gains are real, Morel has a chance to breakout in 2021, especially for fantasy. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 65/21/71/.242/.308/.441/11

695) Alexander Mojica PIT, 3B, 18.8 – One of the best hitters in the Dominican Summer League in 2019, slashing .351/.468/.580 with 8 homers and a 34/37 K/BB in 55 games. Has a patient hitter with plus raw power. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 66/19/69/.268/.337/.461/3

696) Brenton Doyle COL, OF, 22.11 – Doyle has completely demolished the competition in his 3 years in Division II and then in his pro debut in the Pioneer League. He has a plus power/speed combo, but he has yet to consistently face advanced competition and the hit tool is a bit of a question mark. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 63/17/68/.243/.325/.442/11

697) Jonatan Clase SEA, OF, 18.10 – Got bigger and stronger in 2020, which is great to see after he displayed a good feel to hit and plus speed in his pro debut in 2019. He could be a major riser in 2021. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 77/14/68/.269/.336/.414/23

698) Daniel Cabrera DET, OF, 22.7 – Selected 62nd overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Cabrera has been known for his sweet swing and potentially plus hit tool since high school, but he lacks impact power or speed. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 74/14/.66/.276/.338/.427/8

699) Ezequiel Duran NYY, 2B, 21.10 – Power broke out at Short-A in 2019 with a league leading 13 homers in 66 games. He’s raw at the plate, but he’s a good athlete and scorches the ball ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 73/22/77/.251/.326/.461/8

700) Austin Beck OAK, OF, 22.5 – Reports of improved pitch recognition and power at instructs in 2020. Strikeout rate spiked to 34.3% at High-A in 2019 and remains all around raw in his game. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 79/21/77/.242/.314/.435/9

701) Mason Martin PIT, 1B, 21.10 – Slashed .254/.351/.558 with 35 homers and a 168/68 K/BB in 131 games split between Full-A and High-A in 2019. Poor defensive 1B, so finding playing time will be his biggest hurdle, although it shoudn’t be a problem early in his career with the depleted Pirates. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 68/26/79/.235/.328/.475/3

702) Bryce Ball ATL, 1B, 22.9 – Drafted 727th overall in 2019, Ball has double plus raw power and showed that off in his pro debut, slashing .337/..367/.547 with 4 homers and a 20/4 K/BB in 21 games at Full-A. He destroyed the Appy League too with 13 homers in 41 games. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 53/18/61/.244/.316/.452/0

703) Yeison Santana CHC, SS, 20.4 – Santana has displayed a good feel for contact with solid tools across the board. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 77/18/69/.276/.347/.426/13

704) Kyren Paris LAA, SS, 19.5 – Paris has above average speed with a patient plate approach and developing power. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 77/16/72/.267/.343/.416/16

705) Yimi Garcia MIA, Closer Committee, 30.7 – In position to have at least a share of the closer job in Miami. He throws a 4 pitch mix headlined by a 94.4 MPH fastball that he throws 49.4% of the time. 2021 Projection: 3/3.65/1.16/65/17 in 61 IP

706) Archie Bradley ARI, Closer Committee, 28.8 – At the least he is next man up and he could earn a share of the closer job. Velocity was down over 1 MPH on all of his pitches, but he still pitched well with a pitching line of 2.95/1.09/18/3 in 18.1 IP 2021 Projection: 3/3.68/1.24/68/10 in 65 IP

707) Lucas Sims CIN, Closer Committee, 26.11 – In competition for the closer job, but he’s experiencing some elbow tightness which will put him a little bit behind coming into Spring. Sims throws 2 devastating breaking balls (curve, slider) with a 93.9 MPH 4-seamer. Put up a 33% K% in 2020. 2021 Projection: 3/3.73/1.28/68/10 in 55 IP

708) Mark Melancon FA, Closer, 36.0 – Groundball pitcher with a plus cutter/curveball combo. Value will swing majorly based on if he can find a closer job. 2021 Projection: 3/3.64/1.28/54/15 in 61 IP

709) Andres Munoz SEA, Setup, 22.3 – Underwent Tommy John surgery in late March 2020 and is expected to be back for the 2nd half of 2021. When healthy, he throws a 100.2 MPH fastball with a plus slider. He’s the favorite to be Seattle’s long term closer. 2020 Projection: 1/4.03/1.26/29 in 24 IP Prime Projection: 4/3.31/1.15/97/33 in 68 IP

710) Giovanny Gallegos STL, Setup, 29.9 – St. Louis could go in any number of different directions for saves, but Gallegos should at least be in the mix after putting together another strong season on the back of his dominant slider (.159 xwOBA). 2021 Projection: 3/3.42/1.03/81/15 in 62 IP

711) Nick Loftin KC, SS, 22.6 – Selected 32nd overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Loftin stands out for his ability to get the bat on the ball (48 K’s in 122 NCAA games) and his defensive versality. Homer and steal totals will be average at best. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 73/14/62/.275/.328/.406/8

712) Seth Johnson TB, RHP, 22.6 – Johnson is a converted infielder and relatively new to pitching, but the stuff is excellent with a mid 90’s fastball and potentially plus slider. Curve and change have also shown signs of development. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 8/3.91/1.33/138 in 142 IP

713) Tainer Rainey WASH, Setup, 28.3 – Next man up in Washington. Rainey throws a 96.5 MPH fastball with a plus slider that put up a ridiculous 72.9% whiff% 2021 Projection: 3/3.52/1.21/88 in 60 IP

714) Seth Lugo NYM, RHP, 31.5 – Transitioned into the starting rotation in the 2nd half of the season and the results were a mixed bag with him getting absolutely bombed in two starts while mostly dominating in the others. With all of the Mets recent additions, he is slated to be back in a setup role. 2021 Projection: 3/3.52/1.16/81 in 72 IP

715) Emmanuel Clase CLE, Setup, 23.0 – Missed all of 2020 with a PED suspension. Clase’s 99.4 MPH fastball and 90.6 MPH slider are super impressive, although his strikeout rates haven’t popped as much as you would think (8.10 K/9 in MLB and 9.32 at Double-A). 2020 Projection: 3/3.72/1.20/69 in 65 IP

716) Zack Britton NYY, Setup, 33.3 – Next man up in New York. Groundball machine (negative 6.8 degree launch angle against) who leans heavily on his plus sinker that he throws 80.3% of the time. 2020 Projection: 3/3.28/1.21/53/6 in 62 IP

717) Josh Fleming TB, LHP, 24.10 – Had an excellent MLB debut with a pitching line of 2.78/1.08/25/7 in 32.1 IP. He relies heavily on a sinker he throws 53.4% of time to go along with 2 effective secondaries (slider, change). 2021 Projection: 6/4.22/1.34/88 in 125 IP

718) Petey Halpin CLE, OF, 18.10 – Selected 95th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Halpin is a good overall hitter with plus speed and questionable power potential. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 74/14/66/.273/.335/.408/14

719) Dax Fulton MIA, LHP, 19.6 – Selected 40th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Fulton underwent Tommy John surgery in September 2020. He’s a 6’6”, 225 pound lefty with a plus, high spin curveball, a low 90’s fastball that he gets great extension on, and a developing change. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 10/4.09/1.29/163 in 161 IP

720) CJ Van Eyk TOR, RHP, 22.6 – Selected 42nd overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Van Eyk racked up K’s in the ACC with a fastball he can ramp up to 95 MPH, a plus breaking ball, and average change. Control has been a problem with a career 4.2 BB/9 in 176.2 IP (5.2 BB/9 in 20.2 IP in 2020). 2021 Projection: 10/4.27/1.35/166 in 175 IP

721) Alex De Jesus LAD, SS, 19.0 – De Jesus impressed in his pro debut in 2019 and moved quickly to stateside ball. He showed an ability to lift the ball with developing plus power. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 75/24/83/.261/.332/.457/4

722) Freddy Zamora MIL, SS, 22.5 – Selected 53rd overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Zamora is a potentially plus defensive shortstop who has shown strong bat to ball skills in the ACC (45/55 K/BB in 104 career games). He doesn’t have plus power or speed, but he was starting to tap into more power in 2019, and has been an aggressive base stealer with 33 steals in 40 attempts. A knee injury knocked out his entire 2020 season. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 74/15/65/.264/.326/.418/13

723) Casey Martin PHI, SS, 22.0 – Selected 87th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Martin has a plus power/speed combo with considerable upside, but is still very raw at the plate with a 101/40 K/BB in 81 SEC games over the last two years. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 73/19/69/.241/.316/.428/13

724) Gage Workman DET, 3B, 21.5 – Selected 102nd overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Workman is young for his college class and has impressive raw tools at 6’4”, 195 pounds, but is still very raw overall with a mediocre 138/48 K/BB in 124 career Pac 12 games (21/5 K/BB in 17 games in 2020). ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 64/22/71/.245/.318/.437/7

725) Aaron Ashby MIL, LHP, 22.10 – Fastball ticked up in 2020 and is now sitting in the mid 90’s, but secondaries and control need to improve for him to remain in the rotation. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 8/4.12/1.35/155 in 148 IP

726) Tahnaj Thomas PIT, RHP, 21.10 – Mid 90’s fastball with a slider that flashes plus and developing change. Has only been pitching for a few years. Broke out in 2019 in the Appy League with a pitching line of 3.17/1.12/59/14 in 48.1 IP ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 7/3.91/1.33/125 in 121 IP

727) Cole Henry WASH, RHP, 21.9 – Selected 55th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Henry is a power pitcher at 6’4”, 211 pounds with a plus mid 90’s fastball, but struggles with consistency and locating his secondaries. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 9/4.16/1.31/159 in 165 IP

728) Johnny Cueto SF, RHP, 35.1 – Hasn’t been the same since his fastball dropped from about 93 MPH to 91 MPH. 5.40 ERA is backed up by a 4.84 xERA. 2021 Projection: 7/4.46/1.34/132 in 155 IP

729) Alex Wood SF, LHP, 30.3 – Return to LA was not able to rejuvenate Wood, as shoulder inflammation limited him to 12.2 IP with a 6.39 ERA. 2021 Projection: 6/4.49/1.35/116 in 130 IP

730) Buster Posey SF, C, 34.0 – Opted out of the 2020 season, but it was announced he will be the primary catcher in 2021. Maybe the year off can rejuvenate Posey because he was in a decline phase in 2018 (.741 OPS) and 2019 (.688 OPS). 2021 Projection: 52/10/51/.265/.335/.396/1

731) Ross Stripling TOR, RHP, 31.4 – Whiff% dropped 5.6% to a career low 18.9% en route to a down season with a 5.84 ERA. No guarantee of a rotation spot. 2021 Projection: 7/4.35/1.32/118 in 130 IP

732) Joey Wendle TB, 3B/2B/SS, 30.11 – Strong side of a platoon/super utility/Tampa mish mosh role. He’ll chip in some average and steals, but unless he can lock down a full time role hitting at the top of the order, his value will be very limited. 2021 Projection: 58/8/51/.267/.324/.405/12

733) Estevan Florial NYY, OF, 23.6 – Explosive tools with a major hit tool problem that he reportedly worked on at alternate camp. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 73/17/66/.234/.312/.422/13

734) Kevin Alcantara NYY, OF, 18.9 – Huge raw talent at 6’6”, 188 pounds with a plus power/speed combo, but a .665 OPS in his pro debut shows there is a long way to go. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 66/21/73/.262/.325/.462/12

735) Angel Martinez CLE, SS, 19.2 – Lived up to his advanced plate approach scouting report in his pro debut in the Dominican Summer League in 2019, slashing .306/.402/.428 with 1 homer, 11 steals, and a 29/29 K/BB in 56 games. Power should develop as he matures. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 77/18/71/.274/.345/.421/14

736) Andry Lara WASH, RHP, 18.3 – Signed for $1.25 million in 2019, the 6’5”, 235 pound Lara has a fastball that can reach 96 MPH with an advanced feel for pitching and the potential for two quality secondaries in his slider and change. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 12/3.84/1.25/178 in 174 IP

737) Eddy Yean PIT, RHP, 19.9 – Fastball sits in the mid 90’s with a potentially plus slider and developing change. Upside is considerable but is still on the raw side. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 10/3.87/1.32/168 in 167 IP

738) Mason Denaburg WASH, RHP, 21.4 – Has been injury prone with biceps tendinitis in 2018 and minor shoulder surgery in 2019. He’s 6’4”, 195 pounds with big stuff, but health concerns has dimmed the hype a bit. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 10/3.95/1.27/160 in 160 IP

739) Ryan Jensen CHC, RHP, 23.4 – Jensen throws both his 4 seamer and 2 seamer at 96 MPH with a potentially above average slider and developing changeup. He doesn’t have a long history as a starter and needs to improve his control, so reliever risk is high. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 7/3.91/1.33/120 in 115 IP

740) Daniel Vazquez KC, SS, 17.3 – At 6’2”, 158 pounds, Vasquez stands out for his good feel to hit and quick swing. Power and speed both project to be in the average to above average range. ETA: 2026 Prime Projection: 83/18/69/.278/.340/.426/12

741) Shalin Polanco PIT, OF, 17.2 – Polanco has a sweet lefty swing that projects to produce power in the future as his 6’0”, 170 pound frame fills out. The ingredients for plus hit and speed are there as well. ETA: 2026 Prime Projection: 73/22/79/.268/.330/.447/9

742) Yiddi Cappe MIA, SS, 18.6 – Cappe is athletic and projectable at 6’3”, 175 pounds. Ultimate projection could take on any number of different directions depending on how his body fills out. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 71/20/74/.263/.324/.441/12

743) Alejandro Pie TB, SS, 19.2 – Signed for $1.4 million in 2018, Pie has a potentially plus power/speed combo and had a solid pro debut in the Dominican Summer League in 2019. At 6’4”, 175 pounds, he’s a high upside lottery ticket. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 72/21/76/.258/.320/.445/16

744) Ambioris Tavarez ATL, SS, 17.4 – Tavarez is 6’2”, 175 pounds with a quick and powerful swing that foreshadows at least plus power potential. ETA: 2025 Prime Projection: 73/24/81/.246/.325/.457/8

745) Seth Brown OAK, 1B/OF, 28.9 – Khris Davis trade opens up playing time at DH, but there will be a lot of competition for at bats. Brown is a low average power hitter with above average speed. 2021 Projection: 33/9/37/.228/.390/.419/4

746) Sheldon Neuse OAK, 2B/3B, 26.5 – Will compete for 2B at-bats in the Spring. Neuse hits it hard with a line drive approach and a high strikeout rate. 2021 Projection: 44/12/47/.251/.301/.411/0

747) Ian Desmond COL, OF, 35.6 – Opted out of the 2020 season. He’ll be in competition for playing time and could end up in the short side of a platoon role. 2021 Projection: 54/15/53/.253/.311/.434/6

748) Michael Taylor KC, OF, 30.0 – Plus power/speed combo whose high strikeout rates have prevented a breakout. He did have a career low 28.7% whiff% in 2020, and has a shot at playing time in KC, so he is not the worst late round pick in deep leagues. 2021 Projection: 49/13/49/.235/.295/.395/15

749) Tyler Duffey MIN, Setup, 30.3 – Utterly dominated for the 2nd year in a row with a pitching line of 1.88/0.79/31/6 in 24 IP. 2021 Projection: 3/3.41/1.11/73/7 in 60 IP

750) Ken Giles FA, Setup, 30.6 – Underwent Tommy John surgery in September and will miss all of 2021. No guarantee he will be handed a closer job when he returns. 2021 Projection: OUT

751) Danny Duffy KC, LHP, 32.3 – K% ticked up to a 4 year high at 23.6%, but it didn’t help his ERA at all with a 4.95 ERA. 2021 Projection: 8/4.56/1.34/140 in 150 IP

752) Randy Dobnak MIN, RHP, 26.2 – Groundball pitcher (1.2 degree launch angle against) with a low strikeout rate (13.5%). 2020 Projection: 8/4.25/1.34/100 in 150 IP

753) Steven Matz TOR, LHP, 29.10 – Move to Toronto opens up a rotation spot but he enters a tough environment for pitchers in the AL East. He got rocked for a 9.68 ERA in 30.2 IP, but to find a silver lining his 4-seam velocity ticked up 1.2 MPH to 94.5 MPH. 2021 Projection: 8/4.52/1.39/148 in 155 IP

754) Kyle Gibson TEX, RHP, 33.5 – K% dropped to 19.3% after ticking up the last two seasons and hit a career worst 10% BB%. Velocity on all of his pitches dropped about 1 MPH from 2019 en route to a 5.35 ERA in 67.1 IP 2021 Projection: 9/4.58/1.43/150 in 165 IP

755) Brandon Crawford SF, SS, 34.3 – Career high .209 ISO and 24.4% K%. Maybe the power uptick is partly real after the Giants ballpark modifications. 2021 Projection: 68/17/72/.246/.315/.408/3

756) Alerick Soularie MIN, OF, 21.9 – Selected 59th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Soularie projects as a solid overall hitter with a moderate power/speed combo. He put up strong K/BB numbers throughout his amateur career, but his production has been a bit up and down. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 71/17/67/.271/.328/.418/8

757) Logan Allen CLE, LHP, 22.7 – Selected 56th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Allen pounds the strike zone with low 90’s heat, a plus changeup, and an average curve. He dominated all 3 seasons in Conference USA with a pitching line of 3.33/1.14/246/47 in 183.2 IP. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 10/4.17/1.28/165 in 173 IP

758) Tyler Keenan SEA, 3B, 22.1 – Selected 107th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Keenen raked all 3 years in the SEC with 31 career homers in 139 games (7 homers in 17 games in 2020). At 6’4”, 250 pounds the power is certainly for real, but limited defensive value puts pressure on the bat. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 52/18/61/.244/.322/.456/1

759) Shea Langeliers ATL, C, 23.5 – Plus defensive catcher who will get ranked higher on real life lists than fantasy. The bat isn’t expected to be a difference maker. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 61/19/66/.262/.325/.426/1

760) Patrick Bailey SF, C, 21.10 – Selected 13th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Bailey is a plus defensive catcher who is more valuable in real life than fantasy. He does have average to above average power, but it is not likely to come with a good batting average. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 55/17/63/.242/.314/.429/1

761) Armando Cruz WASH, SS, 17.2 – Expected to receive a signing bonus of around $4 million, Cruz’ best comps are Andrelton Simmons and Jose Iglesias. He’s known for his slick defense, and should hit for a solid average with below average power and average speed. ETA: 2026 Prime Projection: 72/13/61/.273/.321/.402/11

762) Victor Acosta SD, SS, 16.10 – Acosta projects as a plus defense shortstop with the offensive tools to hit at the top of the order. ETA: 2026 Prime Projection: 78/14/66/.263/.324/.413/15

763) Daniel Bard COL, Closer, 35.9 – Won the comeback player of the year after not having pitched in the majors since 2013. Bard throws a 4 pitch mix headlined by a 97.1 MPH fastball. 2021 Projection: 2/4.21/1.36/55/23 in 55 IP

764) Tyler Ivey HOU, RHP, 24.11 – Had no issues in Double-A in 2019 with a pitching line of 1.57/0.96/61/16 in 46 IP. Throws a 4 pitch mix headlined by a plus fastball/curveball combo. 2021 Projection: 2/4.56/1.37/46 in 45 IP Prime Projection: 7/3.82/1.29/118 in 111 IP

765) Juan Then SEA, RHP, 21.2 – Then has good control over his mid 90’s heat and has the potential for two quality secondaries in his slider and change. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 9/4.23/1.31/161 in 165 IP

766) Gregory Soto DET, Closer Committee, 26.2 – In the mix for saves. Slings a 97.3 MPH fastball with a plus slider. 2021 Projection: 3/4.17/1.35/66/17 in 60 IP

767) Andrew Miller STL, Closer Committee, 35.11 – Saved 4 games in 2020 and should be in the mix for saves in 2021. Velocity declined for the 4th year in a row, and dropped over 2 MPH just this season, but it hasn’t prevented his slider from being as dominant as ever (.124 xwOBA). 2021 Projection: 3/3.92/1.28/61/9 in 52 IP

768) Micker Adolfo CHW, OF, 24.6 – Has been riddled with injuries since 2015. When healthy, he’s shown at least plus raw power, although the strikeout rates have been consistently high. 2021 Projection: 22/6/25/.220/.290/.401/1 Prime Projection: 67/23/76/.248/.324/.451/2

769) Emmanuel Rodriguez MIN, OF, 18.1 – Signed for $2.5 million in 2019, Rodriguez is 5’11”, 200 plus pounds who should hit for plus power at peak and has an advanced feel at the dish. ETA: 2025 Prime Projection: 76/25/84/.261/.341/.473/7

770) Benyamin Bailey CHW, OF, 19.6 – 6’4”, 215 pound beast with the potential for plus power. Performed well in his pro debut in 2019 in the Dominican Summer League, slashing .324/.477/.454 with 2 homers, 10 steals, and a 40/52 K/BB in 55 games. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 76/23/79/.253/.338/.474/8

771) Michael Harris ATL, OF, 20.1 – Held his own against advanced competition at the alt site and stood out for his athleticism at instructs. He had a beastly pro debut in rookie ball, slashing .349/.403/.514 with 2 homers, 5 steals and a 20/9 K/BB in 31 games. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 79/21/75/.258/.326/.434/16

772) Bryan Garcia DET, Closer Committee, 25.11 – Notched 4 saves in September. Relies heavily on his 94.4 MPH sinker 2021 Projection: 3/4.33/1.37/54/13 in 60 IP

773) Sean Doolittle CIN, Closer Committee, 34.6 – Right knee inflammation and an oblique strain limited Doolittle to 7.2 IP in 2020. He didn’t pitch well in those innings either with a 5.87 ERA and a 2.8 MPH velocity decline. He’ll compete for saves in Cincy. 2021 Projection: 2/4.11/1.34/46 in 48 IP

774) Jacob Stallings PIT, C, 31.3 – K% mushroomed 9% to 28% and FB/LD exit velocity dropped 1.4 MPH to 91 MPH. 2021 Projection: 42/11/45/.252/.318/.385/0

775) Max Stassi LAA, C, 30.0 – Underwent surgery to repair a torn labrum in his left hip in October with a 4-6 month timetable. Power exploded (91.6 MPH exit velocity) and K% plummeted (20%) en route to a career year with 7 homers and a .278 BA in 31 games. 2021 Projection: 37/12/41/.239/.321/.409/0

776) Jordan Luplow CLE, OF, 27.6 – Short side of a platoon role. Luplow struggles mightily vs righties (.589 career OPS) and mashes lefties (.982 career OPS). 2021 Projection: 49/14/47/.248/.337/.451/4

777) Jose Marmolejos SEA, OF, 28.3 – Strong side of a platoon bat at best. Hit it hard in his MLB debut with 6 homers and a 90.5 MPH exit velocity in 115 PA. He’s also shown a good feel to hit with reasonable strikeout rates throughout his minor league career. 2021 Projection: 36/12/41/.241/.294/.413/1

778) Rio Ruiz BAL, 3B, 26.10 – Strong side of a platoon. He’ll provide a bit of pop and that is about it. 2020 Projection: 49/15/56/.242/.311/.413/0

779) Bradley Zimmer CLE, OF, 28.4 – Will compete for an OF job in the spring, but his lack of a hit tool (.162 BA in 50 PA in 2020) continues to hold back his power/speed combo. 2021 Projection: 33/7/31/.221/.308/.376/12

780) Zack Collins CHW, C, 25.2 – No clear path to playing time with Chicago and will need a trade to get full time at bats. He has plus power and patience, but retaining catcher eligibility throughout his career is a major question mark. 2021 Projection: 32/9/35/.223/.316/.403/0 Prime Projection: 52/18/55/.241/.333/.434/0

781) JA Happ MIN, LHP, 38.5 – Bounced back from a down 2019 with a pitching line of 3.47/1.0542/15 in 49.1 IP. He doesn’t hold much dynasty value as a 38 year old pitcher with below average K rates, but he can provide solid innings, especially in deeper leagues. 2021 Projection: 8/4.31/1.33/133 in 158 IP

782) Adam Wainwright FA, RHP, 39.7 – Surface stats bounced back with a 3.15 ERA, but a .247 BABIP and 4.52 xERA shows it was mostly good fortune. 2021 Projection: 9/4.32/1.35/130 in 155 IP

783) Jon Lester WASH, LHP, 37.3 – Velocity decline continued to a career low 89.4 MPH and it resulted in a 5.16 ERA in 61 IP. 2021 Projection: 8/4.65/1.36/124 in 153 IP

784) Chase Strumpf CHC, 2B, 23.1 – Strumpf has solid tools across the board but nothing standout. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 79/21/77/.268/.339/.442/5

785) Miguel Yajure PIT, RHP, 22.11 – Yajure has performed well throughout his minor league career with a 2.47 ERA in 291.2 IP, and that continued in his 7 IP MLB debut with a 1.29 ERA and a 8/5 K/BB. He throws a 5 pitch mix headlined by a 92.4 MPH and two swing and miss secondaries (change and curve). 2021 Projection: 2/4.36/1.34/48 in 52 IP Prime Projection: 9/4.07/1.30/156 in 163 IP

786) Hanser Alberto KC, 2B/3B, 28.5 – Will compete for the 2B job in Spring. Elite contact hitter with below average speed and very low exit velocity. 2021 Projection: 59/8/44/.286/.310/.392/5

787) Gabriel Rodriguez CLE, SS, 19.1 – Highly touted international prospect in 2018 who showed a good feel to hit and advanced approach, but doesn’t have big power or speed. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 78/20/76/.262/.329/.437/8

788) Tim Cate WASH, LHP, 23.6 – Changeup showed improvement at alternate camp to go along with his plus curveball and low 90’s fastball. Profiles as a back end starter. 2021 Projection: 1/4.55/1.44/32 in 35 IP Prime Projection: 9/4.12/1.29/148 in 154 IP

789) Bryan Abreu HOU, RHP, 24.0 – Throws two plus breaking balls with rack up strikeouts, but lack of fastball control could relegate him to a high K pen option. 2021 Projection: 2/4.12/1.33/47 in 42 IP Prime Projection: 6/3.75/1.29/111 in 97 IP

790) Cole Roederer CHC, OF, 21.6 – Performed well at instructs by increasing his power and letting it come more naturally with an up the middle approach. Also looked better vs secondary pitches. Roederer has the potential to be an all category contributor with some platoon risk. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 75/21/75/.262/.338/.453/11

791) Connor Scott MIA, OF, 21.6 – High upside prospect whose career pro numbers were mediocre in 2018-2019 (.652 OPS), but he has plus speed with the ability to grow into above average power. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 76/18/73/.260/.322/.423/21

792) Alex Santos HOU, RHP, 19.2 – Selected 72nd overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Santos is 6’3”, 215 pounds with the potential for 3 quality pitches (fastball, curveball, changeup) and has the ability to throw strikes, but is still on the raw side. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 9/4.26/1.32/158 in 163 IP

793) Colt Keith DET, SS, 19.8 – Selected 132nd overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Keith is a two way player but is likely to be a position player long term. He’s 6’3”, 195 pounds with a potentially plus power/speed combo and average hit tool. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 72/21/77/.253/.321/.442/9

794) Carmen Mlodzinski PIT, RHP, 22.1 – Selected 31st overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Mlodzinski features a heavy, sinking fastball that induces lots of grounders. His secondary pitches have been inconsistent, and a 7.8 K/9 in 25.1 IP in 2020 shows he doesn’t project for huge strikeout totals. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 9/4.25/1.34/149 in 165 IP

795) Yadier Molina FA, C, 38.9 – Power declined with a career low 84.7 MPH exit velocity, and while his K% remained strong at 13.5%, his whiff% hit a career worst 23.9%. 2021 Projection: 49/12/56/.259/.309/.398/2

796) Noah Song BOS, RHP, 22.10 – It is unclear when or if Song with be available to pitch in 2021 due to his military service. He fell in the draft to 137th overall because of that risk, but on merit alone he likely would have been drafted within the first two rounds. He throws a mid 90’s fastball with a slider and changeup that flash plus, but due to the lost development time, he may end up the bullpen. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 7/4.23/1.35/103 in 96 IP

797) Gabriel Moreno TOR, C, 21.2 – Showed elite contact rates (11.1%) with developing power (12 homers in 82 games at Full-A) in 2019, and he continued that success by impressing in his short stint at alternate camp in 2020. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 52/18/59/.273/.325/.426/2

798) Lucius Fox KC, SS, 23.9 – Double plus speed and being consistently young for his level are the two best things going for him. He also has below average power and a potentially average hit tool. 2021 Projection: 28/2/21/.228/.287/.342/7 Prime Projection: 67/7/48/.252/.315/.389/21

799) Ji-Hwan Bae PIT, 2B/SS, 21.8 – Prototypical lead off hitter with double plus speed and little power. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 78/8/53/.276/.343/.389/24

800) Tucupita Marcano SD, SS/3B/2B, 21.7 – Elite contact numbers translated to full season ball in 2019 with a 8.9% K%. Has plus speed but going 15 for 31 on the base paths show the base stealing skills need work. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 73/8/52/.283/.331/.391/15

801) Nick Allen OAK, SS, 21.6 – Not going to win you any leagues, but his plus defense gives him a chance to win a full time job eventually. Plus speed with a good feel to hit. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 78/9/55/.276/.339/.375/18

802) Jose Devers MIA, SS, 21.4 – Continued to show off his plus hit tool and plus speed at the alt site in 2020, but his power is projected to be well below average. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 73/7/48/.278/.335/.388/17

803) Luis Garcia PHI, SS, 20.6 – Showed increased power in 2020 which was necessary after a disaster 2019 season. He’s a plus defensive shortstop with the chance for solid offensive production across the board. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 74/15/65/.265/.326/.408/10

804) Chris McMahon COL, RHP, 22.2 – Selected 46th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, McMahon has the potential for 3 plus pitches, but sadly it doesn’t really matter because any pitcher picked by Colorado should be avoided in dynasty. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 9/4.33/1.35/158 in 165 IP

805) Mike Brosseau TB, 1B/3B, 27.1 – Super utility player with some pop and speed, but strikeout rates have been high in the majors. 2021 Projection: 48/13/48/.256/.318/.440/6

806) Luis Barrera OAK, OF, 25.4 – Barrera has plus speed with an aggressive line drive approach at the plate. He’s knocking on the door of the majors. 2021 Projection: 23/2/18/.244/.298/.386/4 Prime Projection: 67/12/61/.264/.321/.403/15

807) Mario Feliciano MIL, C, 22.4 – Power showed up at High-A in 2019 with a career high 19 homers and career low 38.4% GB% in 116 games. 28.8% K% and 6% BB% shows he is still raw at the plate. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 58/20/64/.244/.312/.422/1

808) Dexter Fowler LAA, OF, 35.0 – Missed the 2nd half of the season due to a compromised immune system. Career worst 84.5 MPH exit velocity, 27.7% K%, 9.9% BB%, and 26.6 fts/sec sprint speed. 2021 Projection: 65/16/63/.236/.322/.400/5

809) Michael Fulmer DET, RHP, 28.0 – Underwent Tommy John surgery in late March 2019, which came off surgery to repair a torn meniscus in September 2018. The rust showed in 2020 as Fulmer got absolutely slammed with a 8.78 ERA in 10 starts, never throwing over 65 pitches in any start. Velocity was down 2.7 MPH to 93 MPH on his sinker. 2021 Projection: 6/4.91/1.40/101 in 130 IP

810) Chad Kuhl PIT, RHP, 28.7 – Pitched well coming off Tommy John surgery with a 4.27 ERA and 44 K’s in 46.1 IP, but velocity was down 1.4 MPH on his sinker and his control was off with a 14.2% BB%. 2021 Projection: 6/4.58/1.42/125 in 135 IP

811) Steven Brault PIT, LHP, 28.11 – Surface stats looked good with a 3.38 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in 42.2 IP, but a 38/22 K/BB and 4.85 xFIP are not as encouraging. 2021 Projection: 6/4.62/1.44/125 in 143 IP

812) Merrill Kelly ARI, RHP, 32.6 – Underwent surgery in September for thoracic outlet syndrome and is expected to be healthy for 2021. He was pitching really well before the injury with a pitching line of 2.59/0.99/29/5 in 31.1 IP, but the shoulder surgery is concerning. 2021 Projection: 7/4.48/1.35/120 in 140 IP

813) Kevin Padlo TB, 3B, 24.9 – Broke out at Double-A and Triple-A in 2019, slashing .265/.389/.538 with 21 homers, 12 steals and a 116/68 K/BB in 110 games. He’s going to have to hack and claw his way to get through Tampa’s extreme depth. 2021 Projection: 15/4/11/.225/.308/.424/2 Prime Projection: 68/20/64/.248/.335/.447/6

814) Jonathan Stiever CHW, RHP, 23.11 – Got rocked in his 6.1 IP MLB debut with a 9.95 ERA. He throws a 4 pitch mix headlined by a potentially plus curveball. 2021 Projection: 2/4.51/1.36/52 in 56 IP Prime Projection: 10/4.10/1.31/161 in 169 IP

815) Matt Canterino MIN, RHP, 23.4 – Canterino throws a 4 pitch mix and has good but not great stuff. Likely profiles as a back end starter. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 9/4.22/1.32/152 in 163 IP

816) Ivan Herrera STL, C, 20.10 – Herrera has a potentially plus hit tool with a mature approach at the plate and developing power. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 65/16/63/.272/.341/.414/1

817) Luis Frias ARI, RHP, 22.10 – Mid 90’s fastball with a plus curveball, but lacks a third pitch and control/command needs work, so reliever risk is high. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 6/4.14/1.35/122 in 120 IP

818) Matthew Thompson CHW, RHP, 20.8 – Thompson is a great athlete at 6’3”, 195 pounds with a plus fastball/curve combo and average change. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 9/4.01/1.32/165 in 166 IP

819) Ian Seymour TB, LHP, 22.4 – Selected 57th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Seymour was dominating before the season got shut down with a 2.21 ERA and 40/5 K/BB in 20.1 IP. He has a plus fastball/changeup combo but needs to improve his breaking ball. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 8/4.07/1.30/148 in 152 IP

820) Nick Swiney SF, LHP, 22.2 – Selected 67th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Swiney moved into the rotation in 2020 and excelled in 4 starts with a 1.29 ERA and 46/6 K/BB. He doesn’t have overpowering stuff, sitting in the low 90’s, but his curveball and changeup both have the potential to be at least above average offerings. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 9/4.15/1.33/156 in 162 IP

821) Kyle Nicolas MIA, RHP, 22.1 – Selected 61st overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Nicolas showed improved control of his mid 90’s fastball in 2020, bringing his BB/9 down from 8.3 to 2.7. He throws 3 secondaries with his slider as the money pitch. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 8/3.97/1.36/158 in 149 IP

822) Joey Cantillo CLE, LHP, 21.3 – Throws a plus changeup and dominated at Full-A in 2019 with a pitching line of 1.93/0.87/128/27 in 98 IP. High 80’s/low 90’s fastball will likely have to tick up for him to take the next step. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 9/4.13/1.32/158 in 163 IP

823) Hayden Cantrelle MIL, SS, 22.4 – Selected 151st overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Cantrelle put up big OBP and stolen base numbers throughout his college career (career .405 OBP with 50 steals in 135 games). It comes with some strikeouts and he was only hitting .136 before the Covid shutdown. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 70/12/53/.247/.330/.403/17

824) Trevor Hauver NYY, OF, 22.4 – Selected 99th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Hauver is a high OBP hitter (career .426 OBP at Arizona State) with at least average power. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 74/18/68/.253/.327/.426/2

825) Tucker Davidson ATL, LHP, 24.0 – Throws a 4 pitch mix with the chance for 3 average to above average pitches, and has pitched well in the upper levels of the minors, but Atlanta has so much pitching depth, there is a good chance he ends up in the pen. 2021 Projection: 1/4.52/1.42/21 in 22 IP Prime Projection: 6/4.09/1.30/96 in 93 IP

826) Colin Barber HOU, OF, 20.4 – Barber has a quick bat with above average raw power and speed. Solid pro debut in 2019, slashing .263/.387/.394 with 2 homers, 2 steals, and a 29/19 K/BB in 28 games. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 69/15/67/.258/.325/.416/11

827) Casey Schmitt SF, 3B/RHP, 22.1 – Selected 49th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Schmitt has the potential to become a power hitting third baseman and/or a bullpen arm if the hitting doesn’t work out. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: Hitting-51/15/55/.247/.312/.422/2 – Pitching-1/4.16/1.32/13 in 15 IP

828) Alex Faedo DET, RHP, 25.5 – Underwent Tommy John surgery in January 2021 and is expected to miss all of 2021. When healthy he throws an above average fastball/slider combo with a developing change. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 8/4.29/1.33/149 in 156 IP

829) Yoendrys Gomez NYY, RHP, 21.5 – A projectable 6’3”, 175 pounds, Gomez has a mid 90’s fastball with a potentially plus curve, developing change, and the ability to throw all of them for strikes. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 10/4.18/1.31/158 in 163 IP

830) Kohl Franklin CHC, RHP, 21.7 – Franklin is a projectable 6’4”, 190 pounds with a plus fastball/change combo and an average curve, but needs to improve his control and command. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 9/4.11/1.34/156 in 163 IP

831) Nicky Lopez KC, 2B, 26.1 – Strikeout rate spiked to 21.4% and was 0 for 5 in stolen base attempts in 56 games. 2021 Projection: 49/3/36/.252/.318/.344/6

832) Mike Tauchman NYY, OF, 30.4 – Power completely disappeared with 0 homers and an 84.9 MPH exit velocity in 111 PA. Strong BB% (12.6%) and speed (6 steals), were still there, so if the power bounces back he could carve out a role in the Yanks righty heavy lineup. 2021 Projection: 39/7/37/.255/.351/.401/6

833) Matt Wallner MIN, OF, 23.4 – Wallner has double plus raw power that he had no problem getting to in Conference USA (58 homers in 3 years) and in his pro debut in 2019 (8 homers in 65 games in mostly the Appy League), but it comes with a high strikeout rate (27% K%). ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 70/22/79/.248/.331/.462/2

834) Tim Locastro ARI, OF, 28.9 – Blazing fast with a 30.7 sprint speed and continued his perfect streak on the base paths, going 4 for 4 (26 for 26 in his career). 2021 Projection: 45/5/23/.261/.333/.393/15

835) Roman Quinn PHI, OF, 28.1 – Elite 30.5 ft/sec sprint speed with 12 steals in 116 PA, but strikeout rate hit a career worst 33.6%. He’ll have to compete for playing time. 2021 Projection: 32/5/25/.233/.298/.362/17

836) Aristides Aquino CIN, OF, 26.11 – Couldn’t back up his 2019 breakout with a .170 BA and 32.1% K% in 56 PA in 2020. Power/speed combo is still there, but it will be a battle for playing time and a very short leash. 2021 Projection: 36/13/39/.229/.298/.445/4

837) Matt Carpenter STL, 3B, 35.4 – Coming off a down 2019 (.726 OPS), he bottomed out even more in 2020 with a .186 BA and .640 OPS. Arenado trade hurts his playing time projection. 2021 Projection: 57/14/55/.222/.333/.427/2

838) Adam Haseley PHI, OF, 25.0 – K% dropped to 18.5% in 92 PA, but he hit 0 homers with 0 steals and his sprint speed dropped to a below average 26.8 ft/sec. 2021 Projection: 36/5/30/.269/.330/.387/5

839) Anthony Alford PIT, OF, 26.8 – Fractured right elbow ended his season in September. Alford has plus speed (29.7 ft/sec sprint speed) but power and hit tool have not developed. Pitt’s lack of talent gives him a shot at playing time and the opportunity to reach his potential. 2021 Projection: 46/8/41/.232/.298/.377/12

840) Taylor Walls TB, SS, 24.9 – Plus defensive shortstop with a good feel to hit, high walk rates, and some speed. 2021 Projection: 11/1/9/.246/.315/.372/2 Prime Projection: 74/13/62/.268/.343/.402/13

841) Vince Velasquez PHI, RHP, 28.10 – The high strikeout rate (29.9% K%) makes for enticing upside, but 2020 was the fourth year in a row he had an ERA 4.85 or higher. .373 BABIP and 4.30 xERA gives some hope there are better days ahead. 2021 Projection: 7/4.52/1.40/148 in 130 IP

842) Robert Dominguez NYM, RHP, 19.4 – Dominguez has a huge fastball that has reached 99 MPH with a good feel for spin and a developing changeup. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 10/3.91/1.33/168 in 160 IP

843) Lenny Torres CLE, RHP, 20.6 – Underwent Tommy John surgery in May 2019 and didn’t pitch much in 2020. When healthy, Torres has a plus fastball/slider combo with a developing change and looked more refined than expected in his 2018 pro debut. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 11/3.85/1.29/168 in 159 IP

844) Maikol Escotto PIT, 2B, 18.10 – Dominican League standout in 2019, slashing .315/.429/.552 with 8 homers, 13 steals and a 57/32 K/BB in 45 games. Escotto is a good athlete with plus speed and developing power. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 73/20/71/.255/.323/.439/13

845) Edward Olivares KC, OF, 25.1 – Made his MLB debut in 2020, and the only thing to standout was his plus speed (28.9 ft/sec sprint speed), but even that didn’t result in any stolen bases (0 for 2 in 101 PA). He has the potential for solid production across the board, but there is major 4th OF risk. 2021 Projection: 28/5/25/.254/.310/.401/6 Prime Projection: 66/13/62/.268/.324/.425/14

846) Lou Trivino OAK, Setup, 29.6 – Next man up in Oakland and has a chance to take away some saves from the lefty Diekman. Trivino throws a 5 pitch mix leaning heavily on his 3 fastballs (4-seam, sinker, cutter). 2021 Projection: 3/3.98/1.26/65/9 in 62 IP

847) Nick Wittgren CLE, Setup, 29.10 – Will be in the mix for saves if Karinchuk struggles or gets hurt. 3.42 ERA was much better than his 4.73 xERA, but Wittgren has been rock solid for 5 years now. 2021 Projection: 3/3.82/1.21/68 in 65 IP

848) Adam Ottavino BOS, Setup, 35.2 – Next man up in Boston. Ottavino got hit up in 2020 with a 5.89 ERA, but a 3.75 xERA and 3.78 xFIP shows there was some bad luck in play. 2021 Projection: 3/3.97/1.29/73/7 in 61 IP

849) Jordan Romano TOR, Setup, 27.11 – Next man up in Toronto. Romano threw his plus slider 59.9% of the time and his 96.5 MPH fastball put up a 52.4% whiff%. 2021 Projection: 3/3.68/1.25/68 in 59 IP

850) Pete Fairbanks TB, Setup, 27.3 – Anderson and Castillo are the favorite for saves but Fairbanks could sneak in a few too. He throws 97.4 MPH heat with a plus slider that has led to high strikeout and walk rates. 2021 Projection: 3/3.66/1.28/80/8 in 63 IP

851) Chris Flexen SEA, RHP, 26.9 – Pitched well in Korea in 2020 with a pitching line of 3.01/1.09/132/20 in 116.2 IP, but he has a career 8.07 ERA in 68 IP in the majors. He did show improved stuff in the KBO with his fastball ticking up, so he could be worth a late round flier. 2021 Projection: 7/4.53/1.36/131 in 145 IP

852) Logan Webb SF, LHP, 24.5 – Knocked around with a 5.47 ERA and a 46/24 K/BB in 54.1 IP. He’s a back end starter with mid rotation upside. 2021 Projection: 7/4.51/1.41/118 in 140 IP

853) Trevor May NYM, Setup, 31.7 – Elite 39.6% K%. Hit a career high 96.3 MPH velocity on the fastball. 2021 Projection: 3/3.47/1.14/85 in 65 IP

854) Alex Cobb LAA, RHP, 33.6 – Doesn’t strike many guys out, and gets hit hard. The move from Baltimore to LA at least gives him the chance to be serviceable. 2021 Projection: 9/4.39/1.36/115 in 160 IP

855) Freddy Galvis BAL, 2B/SS, 31.5 – Days of chipping in stolen bases seem to be over with a 25.9 ft/sec sprint speed and 1 steal in 47 games. He’ll provide some pop and that is about it. 2021 Projection: 63/17/61/.242/.301/.402/4

856) Dakota Hudson STL, RHP, 26.7 – Underwent Tommy John surgery in September and will miss all of 2021. K/BB numbers and xFIP’s have been poor, but it hasn’t stopped him from posting a career 3.17 ERA in 241 IP. 2021 Projection: OUT

857) Joe Ross WASH, RHP, 27.10 – Opted out of the 2020 season. Favorite for the 5th starter job. He didn’t pitch well overall in 2019, but the results were better down the stretch with a 2.75 ERA and 32/20 K/BB in final 39.1 IP. 2021 Projection: 6/4.62/1.42/98 in 110 IP

858) Shed Long SEA, 2B/OF, 25.7 – He’ll have to prove himself in Spring Training to win at-bats after hitting .171 in 2020. He doesn’t hit the ball very hard (87.1 MPH exit velocity) and has an elevated K% (28.9%). 2021 Projection: 34/7/31/.242/.308/.391/5

859) Jorge Mateo SD, SS, 25.9 – Ticketed for a bench role with San Diego’s jam packed lineup. He struggled in his MLB debut with a 39.3% K% and .154 BA in 28 PA. 29 ft/sec sprint speed shows the speed is for real. 2021 Projection: 21/4/17/.233/.291/.373/9

860) Franklin Barreto LAA, 2B, 25.1 – Underwent shoulder surgery in September. Slated for a utility role in 2021. He has a plus power/speed combo but hasn’t been able to overcome a weak hit tool 2021 Projection: 25/7/25/.227/.290/.402/6

861) Greg Deichmann OAK, OF, 25.10 – Big time power with high strikeout rates. Crushed 9 homers in 23 games in the Arizona Fall League in 2019. These types of power bats always seems to work their way into Oakland’s lineup by their late 20’s. 2021 Projection: 12/3/15/.228/.297/.412/1 Prime Projection: 58/18/64/.243/.325/.450/6

862) Josh Staumont KC, Setup, 27.3 – Flings a 98 MPH fastball with a plus curve, but a 14.3% BB% makes it a tight rope act. 2021 Projection: 3/4.08/1.37/76/10 in 61 IP

863) Cole Tucker PIT, OF, 24.9 – Struggled for the 2nd year in a row in the majors, slashing .220/.252/.275 with 1 homer, 1 steal, and a 31/5 K/BB in 116 PA. The raw talent is there at 6’3”, 205 pounds with plus athleticism, but it hasn’t materialized yet. 2021 Projection: 33/5/30/.239/.299/.361/7

864) Burl Carraway CHC, LHP, 21.10 – Selected 51st overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Carraway is a back end bullpen arm who has elite stuff with an upper 90’s fastball and put away curveball, but struggles with his control. Should be a fast mover. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 3/3.71/1.27/81 in 68 IP

865) Ryan Rolison COL, LHP, 23.9 – Mid rotation upside, but at Coors Field that is more like a back end fantasy starter. 2021 Projection: 2/4.77/1.45/41 in 45 IP Prime Projection: 12/4.33/1.32/167 in 173 IP

866) Michel Baez SD, 25.2 – With San Diego’s jam packed rotation it looks like Baez will need a trade to be given a shot as a starter. He fires a mid 90’s fastball with a potentially plus change. 2021 Projection: 2/4.08/1.34/51 in 45 IP Prime Projection: 5/3.93/1.32/96 in 91 IP

867) Elehuris Montero STL, 3B, 22.8 – Wrist injuries tanked Montero’s season at Double-A in 2019 with a .188 BA and 7 homers in 59 games. He’s still raw at the plate and it was a down year no matter how you slice it, but the plus bat speed and plus raw power still give him the ingredients to breakout with more experience and refinement. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 66/23/77/.252/.325/.461/2

868) Jack Herman PIT, OF, 21.6 – Hit tool didn’t look as good in 2019 at Full-A as it did in his pro debut in rookie ball (14.2% K% vs. 29.3% K%), but the game power broke out with 13 homers in 75 games. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 68/23/76/.244/.323/.458/5

869) Jerar Encarnacion MIA, OF, 23.5 – Made improvements to his plate approach and impressed with his power at alt camp. At 6′4”, 220 pounds, Encarnacion is a power hitting beast with hit tool concerns. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 62/22/71/.243/.310/.454/2

870) Freudis Nova HOU, SS, 21.3 – Still learning to refine his plate approach, but Nova has high upside with plus bat speed and plus power potential. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 72/21/79/.261/.322/.442/9

871) Ronaldo Hernandez TB, C, 23.5 – Plus raw power but there are hit tool and defense concerns. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 53/18/63/.253/.308/.435/2

872) Korey Lee HOU, C, 22.8 – Lee is a power hitting catcher who jacked 15 homers in 51 games in the PAC-12 in 2019, but he’ll need to start lifting the ball more to get to all of his raw power (52.3% GB% in his pro debut at Short-A). ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 51/18/59/.258/.326/.422/4

873) Hunter Brown HOU, RHP, 22.7 – Brown throws a 4 pitch mix headlined by a mid 90’s fastball and plus curveball, but will need to improve his control to remain a starter. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 5/3.95/1.35/103 in 100 IP

874) JB Wendelken OAK, Setup, 28.0 – Throws a 5 pitch mix headlined by a 94.6 MPH fastball and plus slider. 2021 Projection: 3/3.72/1.18/67 in 60 IP

875) Joely Rodriguez TEX, Setup, 29.5 – Lat and hamtring strains limited him to 12.2 IP, but he looked great in those innings with a pitching line of 2.13/1.03/17/5. Throws a 3 pitch mix headlined by a plus sinker and changeup. 2021 Projection: 3/3.47/1.18/68 in 57 IP

876) Rowan Wick CHC, Setup, 28.4 – Next man up in Chicago. Increased usage of his cutter which put up a .090 xwOBA to go along with mid 90’s heat and a plus curveball. 2021 Projection: 3/3.65/1.26/65 in 59 IP

877) Alec Mills CHC, RHP, 29.4 – Back end starter with high 80’s/low 90’s heat and good control. 2021 Projection: 8/4.42/1.31/121 in 145 IP

878) Francisco Mejia TB, C, 25.5 – The Rays look to be set on using Mejia as a catcher. He wiped out completely in 2020 with a .077 BA in 42 PA. He’s shown a good feel to hit with the ability to lift the ball in the past, so there is some talent in there for the Rays to work with. 2021 Projection: 22/6/25/.244/.301/.409/1

879) Lewis Brinson MIA, OF, 26.11 – Took a small step forward with a career best 26.8% K%, but it still only resulted in a .226 BA. Plus power/speed combo is still there, so a late career breakout is the hope here. 2021 Projection: 36/9/37/.232/.291/.392/5

880) Nomar Mazara FA, OF, 25.11 – Bottomed out in 2020 with a 29.5% K% and .589 OPS in 136 AB. Likely looking at a part time role at best. 2021 Projection: 42/13/47/.246/.312/.424/1

881) DJ Peters LAD, OF, 25.4 – Power, patience, and a ton of strikeouts. 2021 Projection: 9/2/11/.221/.298/.430/1 Prime Projection: 58/18/62/.237/.321/.452/3

882) Antonio Cabello NYY, OF, 20.5 – Couldn’t repeat his 2018 success in the more advanced Appy League in 2019, striking out .30.7% of the time, but the exciting raw tools are all still there. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 67/18/71/.256/.321/.446/12

883) Matt Moore PHI, LHP, 31.9 – Played in Japan in 2020 where he put up a pitching line of 2.65/1.12/98/26 in 85 IP. His fastball reportedly topped out at 95 MPH. 2021 Projection: 7/4.66/1.42/119 in 135 IP

884) Brandon Williamson SEA, LHP, 23.0 – Williamson has the chance for 4 quality pitches headlined by a plus curveball, but he has had trouble maintaining his velocity as he gets deeper into starts. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 9/4.12/1.34/134 in 143 IP

885) Taj Bradley TB, RHP, 20.0 – Fastball ticked up into the mid 90’s at instructs to go along with a potentially above average curve and developing change. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 6/4.24/1.36/129 in 125 IP

886) Owen Miller CLE, SS, 24.4 – Jumped straight to Double-A in his first full season of pro ball in 2019 and performed well with a 15.4% K%, but with only average power and not much speed there isn’t much fantasy upside. 2021 Projection: 19/2/15/.258/.313/.395/1 Prime Projection: 72/14/61/.272/.331/.407/5

887) Anthony Volpe NYY, SS, 19.11 – Solid tools across the board. Potentially plus defense at SS was a major reason he was selected 30th overall in the 2019 draft. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 75/16/71/.264/.327/.414/16

888) Osleivis Basabe TB, SS, 20.7 – Performed well at Venezuelan Winter League, slashing .360/.385/.488 with 1 homer, 1 steal, and a 7/3 K/BB in 91 PA. Basabe has a good feel to hit with plus speed and developing power. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 69/13/51/.267/.328/.402/14

889) Jose Salas MIA, SS, 17.11 – Signed for $2.8 million in 2019, Salas is a projectable 6’2”, 180 pounds with a quick bat and good athleticism. ETA: 2026 Prime Projection: 74/21/77/.261/.333/.436/11

890) Richi Gonzalez HOU, OF, 18.3 – Gonzalez is a projectable 6’3”, 185 pounds with a plus power/speed combo. ETA: 2025 Prime Projection: 72/21/77/.251/.317/.448/14

891) Will Benson CLE, OF, 22.10 – Monster power with above average speed and major hit tool issues. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 38/13/41/.221/.310/.453/6

892) Mickey Moniak PHI, OF, 22.11 – Impressed at that alt site with improved power and a mature plate approach. It earned him a callup where he notched a .389 OBP in 18 PA. 2021 Projection: 28/4/26/.244/.302/.378/2 Prime Projection: 73/15/67/.268/.331/.412/9

893) Terrin Vavra LAA, SS, 23.11 – 13.7% K%, 13.7% BB%, 10 homers and 18 steals in at 102 games at Full-A in 2019. He was on the old side for the level, and the power/speed combo is average, but the potential for all category production is there. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 69/14/61/.273/.331/.413/10

894) Denzer Guzman LAA, SS, 17.2 – Advanced plate approach with a good feel to hit and developing power. ETA: 2026 Prime Projection: 74/18/71/.273/.344/.428/6

895) Jeisson Rosario BOS, OF, 21.6 – Rosario is an excellent athlete with a plus plate approach, but needs to start hitting the ball harder to make a true impact. ETA: 2023 2020 Projection: 78/11/61/.265/.341/.391/14

896) Drew Mendoza WASH, 1B, 23.6 – Made improvements to his hit tool and started to tap into more of his considerable raw power at alt camp. He’s a 6’5”, 230 pound lefty with limited defensive value. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 63/18/69/.242/.328/.451/3

897) D’Shawn Knowles LAA, OF, 20.2 – Switch hitter with double plus speed and developing power but hit tool is still raw. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 71/14/62/.250/.322/.410/16

898) Jeferson Espinal ARI, OF, 18.10 – Excellent athlete with plus speed. Currently more of a slap hitter with high groundball rates, but he’s so young it’s hard to put a cap on his possible development paths. ETA: 2025 Prime Projection: 76/15/69/.262/.332/.413/17

899) Anderson Espinoza SD, RHP, 23.1 – Underwent his second Tommy John surgery in April 2019. Returned in 2020 and his fastball was back to sitting in the mid 90’s at the alt site, but the secondaries were not there yet and he is obviously a major injury risk. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 6/4.22/1.35/103 in 110 IP

900) Eduardo Garcia MIL, SS, 18.9 – Fractured ankle limited him to only 10 games in the Dominican Summer League in 2019, but he played well in those 10 games with a good feel to hit and advanced plate approach. Plus defense is his calling card. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 77/16/71/.263/.331/.405/9

901) Landon Knack LAD, RHP, 23.8 – Selected 60th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Knack’s stuff ticked up in 2020 and he put up a ridiculous 51/1 K/BB in 25 IP at East Tennessee State. He throws strikes with a mid 90’s fastball that is his best pitch, but he is old for the class and secondaries still need improvement, ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 6/4.02/1.28/123 in 125 IP

902) Blayne Enlow MIN, RHP, 22.0 – Enlow is 6’3”, 210 pounds with a mid 90’s fastball and improved changeup. Throws a 4 pitch mix but neither of his breaking balls stand out. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 9/4.28/1.35/155 in 163 IP

903) Ben Hernandez KC, RHP, 19.9 – Selected 41st overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Hernandez dominates with an at least plus curveball and an advanced feel to pitch, but still needs to improve his breaking ball. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 9/4.21/1.31/147 in 155 IP

904) Zach Daniels HOU, OF, 22.2 – Selected 131st overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Daniels has a plus power/speed combo and was in the midst of breaking out in 2020 with a 1.228 OPS, 4 homers, 3 steals, and a 14/13 K/BB in 17 games. His numbers looked rough before this season with a career .710 OPS, so the risk is very high. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 61/15/65/.241/.308/.403/8

905) Jimmy Glowenke SF, SS, 21.10 – Selected 68th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Glowenke has hit everywhere he has played with a career .340 BA at Dallas Baptist and a .296 BA in the Cape Cod League in 2019. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 72/14/66/.278/.331/.406/3

906) Jesse Franklin ATL, OF, 22.4 – Selected 97th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Franklin broke his collarbone in a skiing accident and missed all of the shortened 2020 season. He performed well from the moment he stepped foot in the Big Ten with a .967 OPS his freshman year (.865 OPS Sophomore year), and has the potential to be a solid all around player. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 63/16/61/.245/.318/.418/6

907) Richie Martin BAL, SS, 26.3 – Missed all of 2020 after fracturing his wrist in July. Speed is his best asset with a 29.5 ft/sec sprint speed. 2021 Projection: 42/4/38/.232/.293/.355/10

908) Jaime Barria LAA, RHP, 24.8 – Pitched well in 2020 on the back of his slider which he threw 45.8% of the time, putting up a .196 xwOBA. 2021 Projection: 6/4.41/1.33/99 in 110 IP

909) Trevor Richards TB, RHP, 27.11 – Back end starter/opener/follower/who knows. Throws a 3 pitch mix headline by a plus changeup. 2021 Projection: 6/4.51/1.37/93 in 100 IP

910) Bobby Bradley CLE, 1B, 24.10 – Struck out 40.8% of the time in his 49 PA 2019 MLB debut. He has big power, but it’s going to be a career long struggle for playing time with limited defensive value. 2021 Projection: 12/5/15/.227/.299/.426/0 Prime Projection: 46/15/52/.241/.318/.463/0

911) Jake Bauers CLE, OF/1B, 25.6 – Didn’t make the MLB roster in 2020 and will be in competition for a strong side of a platoon role at best in 2021. 2020 Projection: 36/9/34/.242/.331/.404/5

912) Esteury Ruiz SD, 2B, 22.1 – Plus athlete with plus speed but is still raw at the plate and hasn’t fully tapped into his raw power. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 66/14/69/.249/.314/.438/16

913) Hudson Potts BOS, 3B, 22.5 – Low average, low OBP slugger who struggled against more advanced competition at Double-A in 2019. Strikeout rate jumped to 28.6% but still managed to knock 16 homers in 107 games. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 65/19/73/.240/.304/.455/2

914) Josh Smith NYY, SS, 23.8 – Smith hit well all three years in the SEC and then did the same in his pro debut at Short-A in 2019. He doesn’t have any standout tools, but the guy has hit everywhere he has been. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 61/14/58/.267/.328/.417/8

915) Rafael Morel CHC, SS, 19.5 – Plus hit, plus speed profile who hit well in his pro debut in the Dominican Summer League, slashing .283/.373/.448 with 4 homers, 23 steals and a 38/26 K/BB in 60 games. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 72/11/57/.269/.326/.393/15

916) Brainer Bonaci BOS, SS, 18.9 – Advanced feel to hit with a mature plate approach, developing power and plus speed. He held his own against advanced competition at instructs. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 74/15/71/.268/334/.417/14

917) Jorge Ona SD, OF, 24.3 – Ona is 6’0”, 220 pounds with plus power, a questionable hit tool, and limited defensive value. He impressed enough at alternate camp for San Diego to call him up in September where he went 3 for 12 with a dinger and a 7/2 K/BB. 2021 Projection: 11/4/13/.221/.288/.419/0 Prime Projection: 46/14/53/.238/.302/.441/1

918) Ronnier Quintero CHC, C, 18.5 – Signed for $2.9 million in 2019, Quintero is an offense first catcher who has the potential to hit for both power and average, but is not a lock to stick behind the plate. ETA: 2025 Prime Projection: 65/20/71/.264/.332/.438/2

919) Danny De Andrade MIN, SS, 17.0 – De Andrade has a lightening quick swing with plus power potential and the ability to hit for average. ETA: 2026 Prime Projection: 71/20/77/.266/.328/.447/6

920) Justin Lange SD, RHP, 19.7 – Selected 34th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Lange throws a huge fastball that can reach the upper 90’s but secondaries and control are still very raw. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 6/4.21/1.36/114 in 120 IP

921) Jackson Chourio MIL, SS, 17.1 – Chourio is a projectable 6’1”, 165 pounds with the potential for a plus power/speed combo and an advanced hit tool. ETA: 2026 Prime Projection: 76/18/72/.268/.334/.428/13

922) Starlin Aguilar SEA, SS, 17.2 – Nicknamed “Baby Devers,” Aguilar has a quick lefty swing with the ability to hit for both average and power. ETA: 2026 Prime Projection: 72/22/79/.268/.336/.451/5

923) Johan Rojas PHI, OF, 20.8 – Strong stateside debut in 2019, slashing .311/.393/.527 in the Gulf Coast League before inevitably struggling against more advanced competition at Short-A. Plus speed with a potentially above average hit tool and developing power that took at step forward in 2020. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 73/15/67/.258/.311/.415/16

924) Yhoswar Garcia PHI, OF, 19.7 – Garcia projects as a top of the order hitter with a good feel to hit, plus speed, and developing power at 6’1”, 150 pounds. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 77/14/68/.264/.326/.402/18

925) Brayan Buelvas OAK, OF, 18.10 – Pushed aggressively to stateside rookie ball in 2019 and responded with a .300/.392/.506 slash, 3 homers, 12 steals, and a 46/22 K/BB in 44 games. Has the potential for across the board production. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 76/16/72/.271/.338/.429/16

926) Blake Treinen LAD, Setup, 32.9 – Could be next in line for saves in LA. Treinen partly bounced back after a terrible 2019 with a 3.86 ERA and 22/8 K/BB in 25.2 IP. 2021 Projection: 3/3.60/1.22/58 in 61 IP

927) Matt Shoemaker FA, RHP, 34.6 – Right shoulder inflammation limited Shoemaker to 28.2 IP. He’s pitched over 136 innings only once in his career, but he’s proven to be a solid #4 type starter when healthy. 2021 Projection: 7/4.41/1.32/116 in 125 IP

928) James Kaprielian OAK, RHP, 27.1 – Injury history and lost development time makes Kaprielian a major pen risk, but the stuff is almost all the way back, showing off a 5 pitch mix headlined by a 95.1 MPH fastball in his MLB debut. 2021 Projection: 2/4.33/1.36/38 in 40 IP Prime Projection: 4/3.82/1.28/81 in 75 IP

929) Martin Perez BOS, LHP, 30.0 – Back end starter who does not strike many guys out. 2021 Projection: 8/4.71/1.48/120 in 160 IP

930) Nick Pivetta PHI, RHP, 29.1 – Closed out the season with two solid starts with Boston, giving him the inside track for the 5th starter job. His velocity dropped 1.8 MPH to 92.8 MPH, so I’m not sure there is much hope for the one time popular sleeper pick. 2020 Projection: 5/4.78/1.46/114 in 120 IP

931) Kolby Allard TEX, LHP, 23.8 – Fastball dropped back 0.9 MPH to 91.5 MPH and he doesn’t have a true put away pitch. It led to a 7.75 ERA in 33.2 IP 2021 Projection: 6/4.77/1.44/112 in 130 IP

932) Wil Crowe PIT, RHP, 26.7 – Trade to Pitt gives him a shot at a rotation spot. Got demolished in his MLB debut with an 11.88 ERA in 8.1 IP. He’s a back end starter with low 90’s heat and a 5 pitch mix. 2021 Projection: 4/4.88/1.51/92 in 120 IP

933) Yu Chang CLE, 3B, 25.5 – Likely ticketed for a utility role. Chang has a moderate power/speed combo, but hasn’t been able to hit enough in the majors (.179 BA in 97 career PA) to hold down a job. 2021 Projection: 21/5/19/.220/.295/.379/2

934) Jose Urena DET, RHP, 29.6 – Covid limited Urena to a rough 23.1 IP (5.40 ERA). He’s a low K back end starter. 2021 Projection: 6/4.80/1.42/105 in 140 IP

935) Jordan Lyles TEX, RHP, 30.6 – K% completely tanked to 13.5% (24.4% in 2019) which led to a 7.02 ERA in 57.2 IP. 2021 Projection: 7/5.11/1.48/112 in 140 IP

936) Reynaldo Lopez CHW, RHP, 27.3 – Hopes of a breakout are fading with another year of terrible production. Might be losing his rotation spot to Michael Kopech. 2021 Projection: 6/4.83/1.41/106 in 120 IP

937) Robinson Cano NYM, 2B, 38.5 – Suspended for the entire 2021 season after testing positive for a PED. He was in the midst of a bounce back season with an .896 OPS, and I guess we know why now. 2021 Projection: SUSPENDED

938) Albert Pujols LAA, 1B, 41.2 – Was no longer an everyday player in 2020, but he stills has strong contact numbers and some power. 2020 Projection: 42/15/50/.235/.294/.403/2

939) Tony Kemp OAK, 2B/OF, 29.5 – Strong side of a platoon role, but offers little upside offensively. 2021 Projection: 45/7/32/.246/.332/.373/9

940) Josh VanMeter ARI, 2B, 26.1 – Strikeout rate exploded to 30.4%, but underlying power numbers still looked good with an 89/93.3 MPH AVG/FB exit velocity and 15.1 degree launch angle. Playing time will be tough to find, but he has some fantasy friendly skills. 2021 Projection: 33/8/31/.246/.319/.425/5

941) Martin Maldonado HOU, C, 34.7 – In a timeshare with Jason Castro. He’ll provide average pop with a low BA. 2021 Projection: 42/12/45/.219/.301/.372/1

942) Jon Duplantier ARI, RHP, 26.9 – Elbow discomfort knocked out his entire 2020. He experienced bicep tendinitis in 2018 and shoulder inflammation in 2019. The injuries are piling up. 2021 Projection: 2/4.61/1.41/42 in 45 IP Prime Projection: 5/4.31/1.36/110 in 115 IP

943) Joe Palumbo TEX, LHP, 26.5 – Make that two disastrous years in a row in the majors with a 9.18 ERA in 16.2 IP in 2019 and an 11.57 ERA in 2.1 IP in 2020. He is a depth starter for the Rangers at this point. 2021 Projection: 2/4.51/1.42/55 in 55 IP

944) Seth Romero WASH, LHP, 25.0 – After missing all of 2019 recovering from Tommy John surgery, Romero made his MLB debut in 2020 showing greatly reduced velocity with a 91.7 MPH fastball and 13.50 ERA in 2.2 IP. His season ended when he fractured his non pitching hand by slipping on steps. 2021 Projection: 1/4.71/1.40/26 in 25 IP Prime Projection: 6/4.34/1.33/131 in 125 IP

945) Pedro Severino BAL, C, 27.8 – His days are numbered as Baltimore’s primary catcher with Adley Rutschman knocking on the door. 2021 Projection: 32/9/36/.248/.320/.409/1

946) Chance Sisco BAL, C, 26.1 – Like Pedro Severino, he is just keeping the seat warm for Adley Rutschman 2021 Projection: 28/7/26/.222/.319/.406/1

947) Roberto Perez CLE, C, 32.3 – Numbers fell off a cliff in 2020 (.480 OPS) after a career year in 2019. 2020 Projection: 36/9/41/.216/.302/.372/0

948) Joey Wentz DET, LHP, 23.6 – Underwent Tommy John surgery in March 2020 and will be out until at least the 2nd half of 2021. When healthy, he throws a traditional 3 pitch mix headlined by a plus changeup. Unless he can add MPH to his low 90’s fastball, he will likely be a back end starter. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 8/4.32/1.34/135 in 142 IP

949) Anthony Bass MIA, Closer Committee, 33.5 – Could be in the mix for saves. Bass throws a plus sinker/slider combo. 2021 Projection: 3/ 4.02/1.28/50/8 in 56 IP

950) Elias Diaz COL, C, 30.4 – Makes good contact (career 17% K%) and has a little bit of pop (career 88.1 MPH exit velocity). 2021 Projection: 41/8/41/.248/.299/.382/0

951) Wade Miley CIN, LHP, 33.5 – Groin injury and shoulder strain limited him to 14.1 IP with a 5.65 ERA. Velocity on his cutter was down 1.5 MPH to 85.8 MPH. 2021 Projection: 6/4.75/1.43/126 in 145 IP

952) Rick Porcello FA, RHP, 32.3 – Rocked for the 2nd year in a row with a 5.64 ERA in 59 IP (5.52 ERA in 2019). He throws a 5 pitch mix relying heavily on his 90.1 MPH sinker. 2021 Projection: 9/4.72/1.40/145 in 165 IP

953) Mike Leake FA, RHP, 33.5 – Opted out of the 2020 season. He is a back of the rotation innings eater with a very low strikeout rate. 2020 Projection: 9/4.48/1.33/103 in 165 IP

954) Stuart Fairchild ARI, OF, 25.0 – Brought his K% down to 12.8% at Double-A in the 2nd half of 2019, and has shown the ability to lift the ball with above average speed. 2021 Projection: 14/2/12/.237/.300/.374/2 Prime Projection: 55/10/49/.253/.312/.421/8

955) Eric Lauer MIL, LHP, 25.10 – Got absolutely shelled with a 13.09 ERA in 11 IP. He was a former favorite of mine, but he’s looking like a back end starter at best. 2021 Projection: 6/4.68/1.40/112 in 120 IP

956) Griffin Conine MIA, OF, 23.9 – Put up great power numbers at Full-A in 2019 with 22 homers and a .946 OPS, but a 35.9% K% as a 21/22 year old at that level is very concerning. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 52/16/64/.232/.315/.443/3

957) Luis Alexander Basabe SF, OF, 24.7 – Displayed above average speed (27.9 ft/sec sprint speed with 2 steals in 18 PA) and high walk rates (22.2% K%), but hit tool and/or power will have to take a step forward to carve out playing time. 2021 Projection: 11/1/8/.222/.308/.368/3 Prime Projection: 58/12/55/.241/.322/.418/12

958) Corey Ray MIL, OF, 26.6 – He’s still tooled up with a plus power/speed combo, but the very high strikeout rate puts him on a late career breakout path at best. 2021 Projection: Prime Projection: 51/12/49/.225/.306/.408/10

959) Bubba Thompson TEX, OF, 22.10 – Great athlete but the hit tool is just not coming around. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 46/9/41/.232/.291/.402/11

960) Grant Lavigne COL, 1B, 21.7 – Stock took a step back in his full season debut in 2019 with an 86 MPH average exit velocity and 7 homers in 126 games. At 6’4”, 220 pounds you can’t call him projectable either. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 51/13/56/.255/.328/.436/2

961) Josh Fuentes COL, 1B, 28.1 – Weak exit velocity (84 MPH) with a high stirkeout rate (28.2%). Worth a flier only because he is in Colorado and they make wacky lineup decisions. 2021 Projection: 26/5/29/.234/.281/.394/1

962) Kendall Simmons PHI, 2B/3B, 21.0 – Simmons is a plus athlete with plus power but the hit tool needs improvement. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 53/14/57/.242/.318/.433/5

963) Joey Lucchesi NYM, LHP, 27.10 – Will likely fill a long man/rotation depth role for the Mets. He’s a back end starter with a plus curve and an 89.9 MPH 4-seamer. 2021 Projection: 5/4.52/1.35/100 in 100 IP

964) Jordan Yamamoto NYM, RHP, 24.11 – Got shellacked with an 18.26 ERA in 11.1 IP. He throws a 6-pitch mix but his 4-seamer sat at only 89.7 MPH. 2021 Projection: 4/4.72/1.39/107 in 105 IP

965) Nick Neidert MIA, RHP, 24.5 – Got destroyed in his MLB debut with a 5.40 ERA and 4/2 K/BB in 8.1 IP. Changeup is his best pitch but it got rocked for a 1.286 slugging. 2021 Projection: 2/4.81/1.40/41 in 50 IP Prime Projection: 7/4.42/1.35/126 in 141 IPw

966) Elio Prado BAL, OF, 19.4 – Stock rose in his pro debut in the Dominican Summer League in 2019, slashing .300/.403/.396 with 3 homers, 12 steals and a 36/30 K/BB in 60 games. Advanced plate approach with an above average power/speed combo. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 72/15/68/.261/.332/.413/12

967) Adam Hall BAL, SS, 21.10 – Plus speed is his best skill, stealing 33 bases in 122 games at Full-A in 2019. He does have some feel to hit and there is a bit more power in there if he can raise his launch angle, but utility infielder is his most likely outcome. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 52/8/45/.264/.314/.394/15

968) Brady McConnell KC, SS, 22.10 – McConnell has a plus power/speed combo but it comes with major hit tool risk (39.1% K% in 38 games at rookie ball in 2019). ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 48/13/51/.232/.291/.423/7

969) Dauri Lorenzo HOU, SS, 18.5 – Signed for $1.8 million in 2019, Lorenzo is a switch hitter who makes hard contact with a line drive approach and some speed. He showed increased strength in 2020. ETA: 2025 Prime Projection: 73/14/69/.273/.338/.416/11

970) Estiven Machado TOR, SS, 18.6 – Machado is a plus athlete with plus bat speed and a good feel to hit. ETA: 2025 Prime Projection: 76/16/66/.273/.337/.412/15

971) Tre Fletcher STL, OF, 19.11 – Fletcher is a great athlete with a plus power/speed combo (4 homers and 7 steals in 43 game pro debut in 2019), but has extreme strikeout issues (43% K%). ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 57/15/58/.228/.291/.436/11

972) Devin Mann LAD, 2B/3B, 24.2 – Showed plus power (19 homers with a 45.1% FB%) and a solid plate approach (21.9% K%/10.6% BB%) in 98 games at High-A in 2019. He was old for the level, but there is a lot to like in Mann’s offensive profile. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 44/14/48/.254/.328/.443/3

973) Jhon Torres COL, OF, 21.0 – Terrible full season debut in 2019 with a .167 BA, 38.7% K% and 0 homers in 21 games. Huge raw power that he hasn’t completely tapped into is his carrying tool. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 62/16/67/.246/.323/.448/5

974) Cody Bolton PIT, RHP, 22.9 – Bolton is 6’3”, 185 pounds with a fastball that ticked up in 2019 to a high of 97 MPH to go along with a plus curve, average change and the ability to throw strikes. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 8/4.13/1.31/145 in 155 IP

975) Austin Cox KC, LHP, 24.0 – 6’4”, 185 pound lefty whose stock took a big jump in 2019 with a pitching line of 2.76/1.15/129/38 in 130.2 IP split between Full-A and High-A. Plus control and plus curve are his best assets. 2021 Projection: 1/4.51/1.36/23 in 25 IP Prime Projection: 7/4.19/1.31/135 in 144 IP

976) Sammy Siani PIT, OF, 20.4 – Siani has plus speed with a good feel to hit and an uppercut swing that portends more power coming in the future. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 68/14/62/.265/.329/.406/15

977) Zach McKinstry LAD, 2B/SS, 25.11 – Super utility player who can play both infield and outfield. He has displayed a good feel to hit throughout his minor league career and his power started to blossom in 2019. 2021 Projection: 21/3/19/.248/.305/.389/1

978) Cole Hamels FA, LHP, 37.3 – Triceps and shoulder injuries limited Hamels to just 1 start but he intends to give it another go in 2021. 2021 Projection: 6/4.41/1.35/114 in 120 IP

979) Jeff Criswell OAK, RHP, 22.1 – Selected 58th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Criswell throws a mid 90’s fastball with two quality secondaries (slider, change), but needs to improve his control and consistency. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 5/4.26/1.37/98 in 110 IP

980) Kendall Williams LAD, RHP, 20.7 – Williams is a projectable 6’6”, 205 pounds with a low 90’s fastball and a plus changeup. Finding a consistent breaking ball and/or adding a few MPH to the fastball is the key to unlocking is upside ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 6/4.23/1.32/111 in 115 IP

981) Nick Garcia PIT, RHP, 21.11 – Selected 79th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, the 6’4”, 215 pound Garcia became a full time starter for the first time in 2020 and impressed with a potentially above average 3 pitch mix. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 4/4.31/1.36/93 in 98 IP

982) Simon Muzziotti PHI, OF, 22.3 – Displayed plus contact rates (12.9% K%) and plus speed (21 steals) at High-A in 2019, but showed very little power (3 homers in 110 games). Plus defense will help him secure playing time. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 66/8/52/.264/.313/.372/13

983) Jason Castro HOU, C, 33.9 – In a timeshare with Martin Maldonado. He hits for power and has high walk rates. 2021 Projection: 42/11/40/.205/.301/.379/1

984) Chase Anderson PHI, RHP, 33.4 – Will compete for a rotation spot in Spring. Got demolished in 2020 with a 7.22 ERA. The only silver lining was a career best 24.7% K%. 2021 Projection: 5/4.78/1.38/92 in 105 IP

985) Nick Schnell TB, OF, 21.0 – Hit tool concerns are now magnified with a 36% K% in rookie ball and 40% K% at High-A in 2019, but the power/speed combo shined through with 5 homers and 5 steals in 55 games. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 51/16/54/.244/.312/.443/11

986) Joshua Mears SD, OF, 20.1 – Broken hamate bone limited his availability in 2020. Mears is 6’3”, 230 pounds with plus power and plus bat speed, but hit tool is raw. Smacked 7 homers with a 30.3% K% in 43 game pro debut in 2019. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 57/19/65/.235/.312/.452/4

987) Davis Wendzel TEX, 3B, 23.10 – Wendzel doesn’t have huge power or speed, but he’s a solid overall hitter whose plus defense could get him everyday at-bats. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 63/18/66/.265/.325/.428/5

988) Jhonkensy Noel CLE, 1B/3B, 19.9 – Power hitting beast who has been one of the youngest players in his league from 2018-2019. Cranked 10 homers in 64 games in the Dominican Summer League in 2018 and then hit 6 homers with a 18.7% K% in 47 games in stateside rookie ball in 2019. Limited defensive value puts major pressure on the bat. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 41/15/49/.248/.321/.469/2

989) Ryan Braun FA, OF, 37.5 – Sprint speed dropped to a career low 26 ft/sec and stole a single base in 39 games. Considering his age, it seems safe to say he is in the next stage of his decline. 2021 Projection: 45/16/51/.255/.316/.471/5

990) Brett Gardner FA, OF, 37.6 – Career low 28.2 ft/sec sprint speed and was 3 for 6 on steal attempts. 2021 Projection: 52/13/44/.242/.328/.410/8

991) Shin-Soo Choo FA, OF, 38.9 – Still hitting the ball hard with a 90 MPH exit velocity and while sprint speed is well below average, he still nabbed 6 bags in 33 games. 2021 Projection: 53/14/49/.248/.339/.415/7

992) Asdrubal Cabrera FA, 1B/3B, 35.5 – Playing time is not guaranteed, but he makes good contact (18.8% K%), hits the ball hard (89.4 MPH) and hits it in the air (37.9% FB%). 2021 Projection: 45/13/49/.255/.320/.431/2

993) Matt Beaty LAD, 1B/OF, 27.11 – Could not build on his strong MLB debut in 2019 with a 25.9% K% and .638 OPS in 2020. He still hit the ball hard with a 90 MPH exit velocity and his strikeout rate should bounce back, but playing time is the biggest issue. 2021 Projection: 21/5/24/.262/.320/.413/2

994) Mike Fiers FA, RHP, 35.10 – K/9 hit a career low 5.64 and 4 seamer velocity dropped 2.4 MPH to 88 MPH. 2021 Projection: 9/4.61/1.35/110 in 160 IP

995) Daniel Ponce de Leon STL, RHP, 29.2 – He could be the next man up in St. Louis’ rotation. Ponce relies heavily on his 93.1 MPH 4-seam fastball that he threw 61.1% of the time and notched a 34.4% whiff% on the pitch. 2021 Projection: 6/4.51/1.35/115 in 110 IP

996) Jake Arrieta FA, RHP, 35.1 – The decline continuee with his ERA rising for the 5th year in a row to 5.08 and his K% declining for the 6th year in a row to 16.8%. 2021 Projection: 7/4.68/1.44/110 in 140 IP

997) Ronny Polanco ARI, SS, 17.7 – Signed for $600,00 in 2019, Polanco has a quick bat with plus power, average speed and a history of performing well in international tournaments. ETA: 2026 Prime Projection: 72/21/76/.267/.332/.453/8

998) Kevin Made CHC, SS, 18.7 – Signed for $1.5 million in 2019, Made has plus bat speed with high contact rates and the potential for plus power. ETA: 2025 Prime Projection: 75/20/78/.278/.342/.450/8

999) Allan Cerda CIN, OF, 21.4 – Cerda is an athletic and projectable 6’3”, 170 pounds. He’s hit for power with high flyball rates in the Dominican League in 2018 and stateside rookie ball in 2019, but the strikeout rates are high. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 61/19/66/.243/.334/.456/7

1000) Victor Victor Mesa MIA, OF, 24.8 – Strong contact rates and speed translated to stateside ball at High-A and Double-A, but it came with a very low walk rate and absolutely zero power. Some of the lackluster numbers can be attributed to shaking the rust off after a long hiatus, but Mesa was clearly over-hyped. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 43/5/39/.254/.306/.374/14

1001) Evan Carter TEX, OF, 18.7 – Selected 50th overall in the 2020 MLB Draft, Carter is a projectable 6’4”, 190 pounds with a potentially plus power/speed combo. ETA: 2025 Prime Projection: 68/18/74/.257/.318/.426/12

1002) Jay Bruce FA, OF, 34.0 – Power bench bat. 2020 Projection: 42/16/49/.227/.289/.458/1

1003) Anibal Sanchez FA, RHP, 37.1 – Velocity was down 1 MPH to 89.2 MPH and got absolutely destroyed with a 6.62 ERA in 53 IP. 2021 Projection: 8/4.81/1.42/130 in 155 IP

1004) Julio Teheran FA, RHP, 30.2 – Put up a major dud in 2020 with a 10.05 ERA in 31.1 IP. His sinker dropped to a career low 88.7 MPH 2021 Projection: 6/4.93/1.43/111 in 130 IP

1005) Jeff Samardzija FA, RHP, 36.2 – 9.72 ERA in 16.2 IP in 2020. Velocity dropped to a career low 90.3 MPH on his 4-seamer. 2021 Projection: 8/4.98/1.39/121 in 145 IP

1006) Bryant Packard DET, OF, 23.6 – Packard’s power took a step back in 2019, but displayed a good feel to hit and advanced plate approach in both college and full season pro ball. He has no defensive value, so playing time will be another hurdle. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 53/16/58/.257/.335/.441/3

1007) Nasim Nunez MIA, SS, 20.7 – Nunez has plus speed with a good feel to hit, but has a very low 84 MPH average exit velocity. Plus glove and stole 28 bases in 51 games in his pro debut, so he may end up as a steals only guy. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 68/7/51/.262/.323/.385/19

1008) Jimmy Lewis LAD, RHP, 20.5 – Lewis is projectable 6’6”, 200 pounds with a low 90’s fastball that should tick up, a potentially plus curve and above average change. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 9/4.12/1.32/140 in 151 IP

1009) Rodolfo Castro PIT, SS/2B, 21.10 – Plus athlete who rocked 19 homers in 118 games split between Full-A and High-A in 2019, but is still raw with a 122/31 K/BB. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 59/16/64/.237/.311/.433/5

By Michael Halpern (@MichaelCHalpern)
Email: michaelhalpern@imaginarybrickwall.com
Twitter: Imaginary Brick Wall (@DynastyHalp)

Posted on January 12, 2020January 14, 2020 by Michael Halpern

Top 100 Prospects Rankings for 2020 Fantasy Baseball Dynasty Leagues

This is technically the final post in my Sneak Peek Series for the 2020 Top 1,000 Dynasty Baseball Rankings (full Top 1,000 dropping in early February), but a top 100 prospects list must stand on its own. Here is the Top 100 Prospects Rankings for 2020 Fantasy Baseball Dynasty Leagues:

1) Wander Franco TB, SS, 19.1 – Recently signed international prospects are the best class of prospect to invest in for upside value. The top owners in your dynasty league have been able to reap massive rewards by acquiring prospects like Juan Soto, Vlad Jr., Ronald Acuna, Victor Robles and Wander Franco within a few years of their signing at bargain rates that were not commensurate with their universally agreed upon elite talent (I know, I know … Kevin Maitan exists too). High School players selected in the MLB Draft don’t get that same risk baked into their ranking. It’s too late to get Franco, and rankings are starting to catch up, but there is still value to be found. 2020 Projection: September-13/4/9/.277/.341/.445/4 Prime Projection: 114/33/113/.316/.405/.595/17

2) Luis Robert CHW, OF, 22.8 – New $50 million contract has Robert’s hype skyrocketing. I already had him ranked #2 overall because of the elite power/speed combo, but a 24.7% K% and 4.9% BB% at Triple-A is almost all you need to know to realize the road to fantasy glory might not be a completely straight line. 2020 Projection: 72/27/83/.254/.306/.471/19 Prime Projection: 94/34/101/.277/.339/.521/25

3) Jo Adell LAA, OF, 21.0 – Elite athlete with double plus power. 32.6% K% and 0 homers in 27 games at Triple-A likely ensures at least a couple months of development time there in 2020. 2020 Projection: July-39/13/45/.250/.301/.459/6 Prime Projection: 101/37/108/.271/.353/.538/13

4) Gavin Lux LAD, 2B/SS, 22.4 – I tried to tell you last off-season that Lux was being underrated, writing, “Me thinks Lux is still being a bit underrated right now.” He isn’t underrated anymore. 2020 Projection: July-42/11/39/.272/.334/.451/7 Prime Projection: 98/28/93/.283/.356/.495/14

5) Julio Rodriguez SEA, OF, 19.3 – Advanced beyond his years feel to hit which he displayed at Full-A (.293 BA), High-A (.462 BA), and the Fall League (.288 BA). Add to that at least plus raw power and you have one of the most coveted prospects in baseball. ETA: Late 2021 Prime Projection: 96/35/109/.290/.368/.550/8

6) MacKenzie Gore SD, LHP, 21.1 – Potential for 4 plus pitches with plus control. Destroyed Hi-A with a silly pitching line of 1.02/0.71/110/20/ in 79.1 IP. 2020 Projection: June-8/3.82/1.26/118 in 108 IP Prime Projection: 17/3.22/1.03/240 in 200 IP

7) Jarred Kelenic SEA, OF, 20.8 – Performed well across 3 levels of the minors in his first full season of pro ball, culminating with a 133 wRC+ at Double-A. Above average to plus potential in every category. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 96/25/87/.283/.351/.485/16

8) Jesus Luzardo OAK, LHP, 22.6 – Shoulder injury limited Luzardo to just 58 IP at a variety of levels (Rk, Hi-A, Triple-A, MLB playoffs), but he dominated at each stop with 3 plus pitches (mid 90’s fastball, curve, and change). He has a chance to be special, but with a career high of 109 IP, it remains to be seen if he can stay healthy and produce for 180+ IP. 2020 Projection: 10/3.68/1.19/160 in 142 IP Prime Projection: 15/3.39/1.11/213 in 183 IP

9) Dylan Carlson STL, OF, 21.6 – Major power breakout (26 homers) while maintaining a strong plate approach (116/58 K/BB in 126 games) in the upper levels of the minors. He’s likely the Cardinals best outfielder right now (save for maybe Tommy Edman). 2020 Projection: June-51/13/48/.262/.333/.447/8 Prime Projection: 94/27/91/.277/.352/.488/12

10) Jasson Dominguez NYY, OF, 17.2 – When you get the opportunity to draft at the top of a first year player draft, you just don’t pass on this type of generational talent. Double plus power/speed combo with a good feel to hit. Upside is #1 player in fantasy. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 109/32/101/.287/.373/.532/25

11) Marco Luciano SF, SS, 18.7 – Knocked 10 homers in 47 games in his first season of pro ball. Lightening quick bat speed with potential for double plus power. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 91/33/99/.277/.350/.520/9

12) Andrew Vaughn CHW, 1B, 22.0 – If drafting a 17 year old without a single pro plate attempt is just more risk than you are able to handle, Vaughn is your safe alternative for the top pick in a FYPD. Patient hitter with plus contact rates and plus power. Type of college bat who should move fast. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 92/31/103/.285/.370/.518/2

13) Carter Kieboom WASH, SS/2B, 22.7 – Patient hitter with a swing geared towards both average and power. If you can buy low based off his .128 BA and 37.2% K% in his small sample MLB debut, do it. 2020 Projection: May-64/18/68/.268/.339/.440/3 Prime Projection: 93/26/92/.281/.359/.486/7

14) Brendan Rodgers COL, 2B, 23.8 – Season ending labrum surgery in July makes it unlikely for Rodgers to wrestle the starting 2B job from Ryan McMahon early in the season, but his plus hit, plus power ceiling still makes him the favorite long term. Or Colorado trades Arenado and there is room for both. 2020 Projection: June-45/15/52/.266/.316/.451/4 Prime Projection: 85/29/96/.279/.335/.492/5

15) Adley Rutschman BAL, C, 22.2 – Selected 1st overall in the 2019 draft, Rutschman is a plus defensive catcher with a middle of the order offensive profile. Just keep in mind that catchers inherently get more days off during the season, are at a greater risk of injury, and just generally get worn down over the course of a season and career. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 85/27/91/.282/.368/.508/2

16) Forrest Whitley HOU, RHP, 22.6 – Missed seven weeks with shoulder inflammation and battled command issues all season (7.99 ERA and 86/44 K/BB in 59.2 IP). He got back on track in the Fall League with a 2.88 ERA and 32/9 K/BB in 25 IP. The ace upside is still there, but the risk is evident. 2020 Projection: July-5/4.15/1.31/83 in 76 IP Prime Projection: 16/3.44/1.18/211 in 188 IP

17) Casey Mize DET, RHP, 22.11 – Plus command of a 4 pitch mix with a nasty splitter as the money pitch. Wasn’t the same after missing a month with shoulder inflammation in June, which is yet another reminder of how risky pitching prospects are. 2020 Projection: July-5/3.82/1.26/78 in 82 IP Prime Projection: 15/3.51/1.16/191 in 182 IP

18) Royce Lewis MIN, SS, 20.10 – Salvaged a down year at High-A and Double-A (.236/.290/.371) by destroying the Arizona Fall League (.353/.411/.565) and taking home MVP honors. Regardless, spike in strikeout rate across all levels calls into question how much average he will ultimately hit for. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 84/25/89/.273/.332/.461/22

19) Kristian Robinson ARI, OF, 19.4 – High strikeout rates are a legitimate concern, but he has been among the youngest players at every level, and the elite power/speed combo has you dreaming of a Fernando Tatis like breakout. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 84/30/95/.262/.347/.503/18

20) Nate Pearson TOR, RHP, 23.7 – 6’6”, 245 pound beast who crushed 3 levels of the minors (A+, AA, AAA) with an upper 90’s fastball and plus slider. 2020 Projection: July-4/3.88/1.29/74 in 70 IP Prime Projection: 14/3.48/1.19/192 in 178 IP

21) Luis Patino SD, RHP, 20.5 – Double plus mid to upper 90’s fastball with a slider that flashes plus and developing changeup. Patino is a player I’m targeting in trades considering the hype hasn’t quite matched his top of the rotation upside. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 15/3.41/1.16/195 in 177 IP

22) Matt Manning DET, RHP, 22.3 – Improvements to changeup and control led to a huge year at Triple-A, putting up a pitching line of 2.56/0.98/148/38 in 133.2 IP. Adding a tick or two to his low 90’s fastball could take him to the next level. 2020 Projection: August-4/3.96/1.30/61 in 54 IP Prime Projection: 15/3.62/1.21/212 in 192 IP

23) Jeter Downs LAD, SS, 21.8 – I was high on Downs coming into 2019, ranking him 45th overall on my 2019 Top 472 Prospects Ranking. He continued to show off the same skills at High-A and Double-A that made me so high on him, which is a good feel to hit, the ability to lift the ball, and base stealing skills. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 87/26/83/.274/.347/.469/14

24) Brennen Davis CHC, OF, 20.5 – At an athletic 6’4”, 175 pounds, Davis has a plus power/speed combo with a good feel to hit. He slashed .305/.381/.525 with 8 homers, 4 steals, and a 38/18 K/BB in 50 games at Full-A. He’s still not getting his due respect. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 86/28/93/.274/.340/.495/13

25) CJ Abrams SD, SS, 19.6 – Plus hit tool and plus speed shined through in his pro debut, slashing .401/.442/.662 with 14 steals and a 9% K% in 32 rookie ball games. 3 homers shows he has decent pop, and at 6’2”, 185 pounds, there is room to grow into more. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 93/16/72/.287/.349/.439/30

26) Alec Bohm PHI, 3B, 23.9 – Contact ability translated to pro ball with a 14.1% K% at Double-A, to go along with 14 homers and a 10.4% walk rate in 63 games. He then went to the AFL and put up a .925 OPS in 19 games. 2020 Projection: September-8/3/11/.259/.321/.441/0 Prime Projection: 83/26/94/.278/.344/.486/3

27) Drew Waters ATL, OF, 21.3 – Took home MVP honors in the Southern League with a .319 BA, 35 doubles, 9 triples, 5 homers, and 13 steals in 108 games, although he did struggle with contact (26.7% K% in Double-A and 36.1% K% in Triple-A). 2020 Projection: August-25/5/21/.259/.309/.413/6 Prime Projection: 87/24/83/.278/.341/.470/18

28) Alex Kirilloff MIN, 1B/OF, 22.5 – Wrist injury kept Kirilloff out for the first month and a half of the season and likely contributed to sapping his power when he returned. He came on in the second half with 13 homers in final 76 games including the playoffs. 2020 Projection: July-32/11/43/.265/.320/.443/2 Prime Projection: 88/26/93/.283/.335/.485/5

29) Bobby Witt Jr. KC, SS, 19.10 – Mediocre pro debut (.670 OPS), but he still showed a good feel to hit (19.4% K%) and speed (9 steals), which is promising considering the power is definitely in there. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 86/26/88/.271/.338/.476/19

30) Michael Kopech CHW, RHP, 23.11 – Hit 100 MPH in an instructional league start in October, proving the elite raw stuff is back after undergoing Tommy John surgery in September 2018. Brent Honeywell’s complications post Tommy John still forces me to bake in some added risk with Kopech’s rank. 2020 Projection: July-5/4.21/1.35/87 in 72 IP Prime Projection: 16/3.45/1.21/230 in 192 IP

31) A.J. Puk OAK, LHP, 24.11 – The stuff is all the way back after undergoing Tommy John surgery in April 2018, displaying a 97.5 MPH fastball and 90 MPH slider coming out of the pen for Oakland down the stretch. 2020 Projection: May-8/3.83/1.32/131 in 115 IP Prime Projection: 14/3.52/1.26/199 in 176 IP

32) Vidal Brujan TB, 2B, 22.2 – Double plus speed and he loves to run with 103 stolen bases in 221 games over the past two seasons. Prototypical leadoff hitter with near elite contact ability and a good plate approach, although he struggles vs. lefties. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 87/13/51/.281/.340/.418/37

33) Spencer Howard PHI, RHP, 23.8 – Shoulder stiffness in April limited Howard to 71 IP, but he dominated in those innings with a pitching line of 2.03/0.83/94/16. Mid 90’s heat and three potentially above average secondaries gives Howard legitimate top of the rotation potential. 2020 Projection: August-3/4.01/1.31/55 in 51 IP Prime Projection: 14/3.58/1.20/192 in 175 IP

34) Dustin May LAD, RHP, 22.7 – Strong MLB debut with a pitching line of 3.63/1.10/32/5 in 34.2 IP. Has plus control over a nasty 96.2 MPH sinker and 90.9 MPH cutter, while also mixing in a curve and change. 2020 Projection: June-7/3.91/1.24/86 in 93 IP Prime Projection: 15/3.61/1.18/186 in 191 IP

35) Sixto Sanchez MIA, RHP, 21.8 – Dominates with a fastball that can hit 100+ MPH to go along with 2 plus secondaries (changeup, slider) and plus control. 8.48 K/9 isn’t very impressive, but has the elite stuff to produce more K’s down the line. 2020 Projection: August-3/3.72/1.23/51 in 56 IP Prime Projection: 14/3.63/1.13/181 in 179 IP

36) Cristian Pache ATL, OF, 21.5 – Power and patience took a step forward, but the mainstream list prospect hype is still centered around his double plus center field defense. 2020 Projection: September-8/1/5/.251/.295/.394/2 Prime Projection: 86/21/79/.273/.338/.455/17

37) Taylor Trammell SD, OF, 22.6 – Down year at Double-A but remains a great athlete and 20/20 threat if he can make the proper adjustments to unlock more power. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 86/21/77/.266/.344/.451/21

38) Corbin Carroll ARI, OF, 19.7 – Drafted 16th overall, Carroll has double plus speed with a strong plate approach and sneaky pop, posting a 91 MPH average exit velocity in his pro debut. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 92/18/76/.276/.344/.455/29

39) Aaron Bracho CLE, SS, 18.11 – Bracho is one of those players I was talking about in the Wander blurb (along with Noelvi Marte, Orelvis Martinez, Luis Matos, and Liover Peguero to name a few). He signed for $1.5 million in 2017 and then missed all of 2018 with a broken arm which kept the hype in check. He had his coming out party in 2019 in stateside rookie ball, showing a great feel to hit (15.3% K%), an advanced plate approach (16.8% BB%) and plus power (6 homers and a 51.8% FB% in 30 games). Limited defensive value will keep his ranking on real life lists down. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 86/28/92/.278/.354/.487/9

40) Noelvi Marte SEA, SS, 18.6 – Signed for $1.5 million in 2018, Marte showed off his plus power/speed combo in the Dominican League, slashing .309/371/.511 with 9 homers, 17 steals and a 55/29 K/BB in 65 games. Now is the last chance to buy before he comes stateside and the price skyrockets. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 86/25/86/.272/.341/.478/18

41) Brendan McKay TB, LHP, 24.4 – Plus command of a 4 pitch arsenal, but none of his pitches are dominant, which led to MLB hitters teeing off in his 49.2 IP debut with a 90.5 MPH exit velocity against, 93.4 MPH FB/LD, and 16.7 degree launch angle. 2020 Projection: June-7/4.13/1.28/108 in 104 IP Prime Projection: 14/3.68/1.17/189 in 183 IP

42) Ian Anderson ATL, RHP, 21.11 – Crushed Double-A with a 2.68 ERA and 147/47 K/BB in 111 IP before struggling at Triple-A over 24.2 IP. Potential for 3 plus pitches but will have to improve command and/or add MPH to the fastball to become a top of the rotation starter. 2020 Projection: August-2/4.21/1.34/33 in 30 IP Prime Projection: 14/3.60/1.26/210 in 190 IP

43) Jordan Groshans TOR, SS, 20.5 – In the midst of a great full-season debut (.337/.427/.482 in 23 games) when a left foot injury shut him down for the season. Excellent all around hitter with plus raw power and average speed. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 86/26/90/.278/.355/.485/8

44) Orelvis Martinez TOR, SS, 18.7 – Lived up to his $3.5 million price tag, jumping straight to stateside ball (Gulf) and slashed .275/.352/.549 with 7 homers and a 29/14 K/BB in 40 games. Potential for plus hit and plus power. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 83/30/95/.276/.343/.518/4

45) Alek Thomas ARI, OF, 19.11 – Advanced beyond his years plate approach with plus speed and an excellent 90 MPH average exit velocity. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 89/20/74/.279/.358/.450/21

46) Nick Madrigal CHW, 2B, 23.1 – Incredible 16/44 K/BB in 120 games spread across 3 levels of the minors (A+, AA, AAA), but his power upside is nonexistent. 2020 Projection: May-69/5/41/.278/.329/.390/19 Prime Projection: 91/10/56/.292/.343/.409/27

47) Xavier Edwards TB, 2B, 20.8 – Elite contact numbers translated to full-season ball with a 10.2% K% at Full-A and a 8.8% K% at High-A, as did his speed with 34 stolen bases in 123 games. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 92/10/48/.289/.342/.405/34

48) JJ Bleday MIA, OF, 22.5 – Power broke out with 26 homers in 65 games at Vanderbilt. Then went straight to High-A and displayed a good feel to hit (19.2% K%) and ability to lift the ball (34.9% GB%) despite the mediocre overall numbers (.690 OPS). ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 79/27/88/.274/.341/.484/5

49) Heliot Ramos SF, OF, 20.7 – Continues to be pushed aggressively through the minors, and he responded this year with a 143 wRC+ at High-A and 119 wRC+ in 25 games at Double-A. Big time power will be his calling card. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 83/28/86/.264/.341/.482/10

50) Nolan Gorman STL, 3B, 19.11 – Mediocre numbers at Full-A and High-A, but the power, patience and strikeout profile remains unchanged. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 83/33/92/.253/.336/.508/2

51) Triston Casas BOS, 1B, 20.3 – Reasonable 23.5% K% in full season debut to go along with 19 homers. At 6’4”, 238 pounds the power was never in question, so the relative contact ability is very encouraging. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 79/31/88/.268/.347/.503/3

52) Brailyn Marquez CHC, LHP, 21.2 – Big lefty at 6’4”, 185 pounds, Marquez throws an upper 90’s fastball with a potentially plus slider and developing changeup. Still needs to improve control/command, but this is the type of high upside arm I love taking a chance on. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 14/3.55/1.23/187 in 174 IP

53) Jazz Chisholm MIA, SS, 22.3 – Career high 11.4% BB% at Double-A while continuing to hit the ball in the air with plus speed. Upside is high, but 32.1% K% gives him a very low batting average floor. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 83/28/81/.244/.328/.462/15

54) Riley Greene DET, OF, 19.6 – Drafted 5th overall, the only blemish on Greene’s otherwise great pro debut is that his strikeout rate was a little on the high side at 25%. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 84/25/89/.280/.352/.475/9

55) George Valera CLE, OF, 19.5 – Hit tool was not as good as expected (27.7% K% at Short-A) but the power showed out with 8 homers in 46 games, and the sweet lefty swing still impressed. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 84/26/88/.276/.360/.478/9

56) Nolan Jones CLE, 3B, 21.11 – Lefty slugger with legitimate strikeout issues (31 K’s and 4 homers in 15 games at the Arizona Fall League) but some of that is due to his passive plate approach and sky high walk rates. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 85/29/85/.251/.369/.478/2

57) Josh Lowe TB, OF, 22.2 – Power broke out at Double-A with 18 homers in 121 games to go along with 30 steals and a 132/59 K/BB. The hit tool still needs improvement, but Lowe’s stock took a huge jump last season. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 82/25/80/.250/.332/.468/19

58) Trevor Larnach MIN, OF, 23.1 – Game power didn’t show up as hoped (13 homers in 127 games split between High-A and Double-A) with high ground ball rates, although he improved at the end of the season with 6 homers in final 28 games. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 77/27/87/.265/.340/.470/5

59) Joey Bart SF, C, 23.3 – Power hitting catcher whose home ballpark suppresses power, although San Francisco is moving the fences in this year. Suffered two broken hands from being hit by pitches, once in April and then again in October in the AFL. 2020 Projection: August-15/7/22/.247/.302/.436/1 Prime Projection: 69/25/81/.262/.330/.467/3

60) Evan White SEA, 1B, 24.1 – Carried over the power gains he made towards the end of 2018 into 2019 with 18 homers and a career low 42.4% GB% in 92 games at Double-A. Is a sure bet to spend most, if not all of 2020 in the majors with a newly signed 6 year, $24 million contract. 2020 Projection: 78/22/73/.264/.325/.450/5 Prime Projection: 81/27/86/.276/.338/.473/6

61) Hunter Bishop SF, OF, 21.9 – Drafted 10th overall, Bishop has one of the best power/speed combos in the draft, but has racked up strikeouts in every league he has played in. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 82/28/78/.247/.332/.471/14

62) Grayson Rodriguez BAL, RHP, 20.4 – Impressed in his full season debut with a pitching line of 2.68/0.99/129/36 in 94 IP. The scouting report backs up the production with mid 90’s heat, 3 potentially plus secondaries, and plus control/command. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 14/3.69/1.20/196 in 180 IP

63) Nico Hoerner CHC, SS, 22.11 – Plus contact/speed profile who has to learn how to fully tap into his moderate raw power. Suffered a hairline fracture in his wrist in May which likely further depressed his power. 2020 Projection: 67/9/43/.279/.321/.411/11 Prime Projection: 88/16/72/.288/.340/.432/16

64) Nick Solak TEX, 2B/3B/OF, 25.2 – Excellent MLB debut, slashing .293/.393/.491 with 5 homers, 2 steals, and a 29/15 K/BB in 33 games. Has been a ground ball hitter throughout his career, but exit velocity and sprint speed are strong. 2020 Projection: 79/20/74/.271/.339/.452/10

65) Jonathan India CIN, 3B, 23.3 – Hasn’t gotten to as much of his plus raw power as hoped, hitting only 11 homers in 121 games, but has showed an advanced approach with a good feel to hit and some speed. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 85/24/79/.272/.349/.461/12

66) Mitch Keller PIT, RHP, 24.0 – 7.13 ERA in 48 IP MLB debut but it came with a 12.19 K/9 and 3.19 FIP, which makes the debut more encouraging than discouraging. Relies heavily on a 95.4 MPH fastball with a plus slider being his best secondary. 2020 Projection: 10/4.02/1.30/167 in 161 IP Prime Projection: 13/3.77/1.25/191 in 182 IP

67) Tarik Skubal DET, LHP, 23.4 – Scout the stat line ace with a pitching line of 2.42/1.01/179/37 in 122.2 IP split between High-A and Double-A, Stuff profiles more as a mid-rotation starter, but it’s hard to argue with those results. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 13/3.71/1.23/195 in 181 IP

68) Josiah Gray LAD, RHP, 22.3 – Decimated 3 levels of the minors (A, A+, AA) with a plus fastball/slider combo and plus command. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 14/3.63/1.18/183 in 176 IP

69) Logan Gilbert SEA, RHP, 22.11 – Dominated his first year of pro ball just as easily as he did the Atlantic Sun Conference, putting up a pitching line of 2.13/0.95/165/33 in 135 IP split between A, A+, and AA. Relies heavily on his plus fastball but slider, curve, and change all have the potential to develop into quality secondaries. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 14/3.66/1.21/196 in 185 IP

70) Simeon Woods Richardson TOR, RHP, 19.6 – Impressive 18-year-old season in Full-A and High-A with a 126/24 K/BB in 106.2 IP. He displayed an advanced four pitch mix headlined by a plus fastball/slider combo. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 14/3.64/1.16/198 in 183 IP

71) Oneil Cruz PIT, SS, 21.6 – Fly ball percentage jumped up 8.9% to 38.1% after his promotion to Double-A. If he can maintain those gains, the double plus raw power will definitely start to shine through. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 78/28/86/.252/.323/.474/9

72) Brandon Marsh LAA, OF, 22.4 – Lowered strikeout rate to 22.3% at Double-A (27.7% at High-A in 2018), which is very encouraging. Next step is hitting fewer ground balls (52.6%). 2020 Projection: September-12/2/9/.252/.327/.413/3 Prime Projection: 83/22/78/.271/.350/.457/16

73) Greg Jones TB, SS, 22.1 – Drafted 22nd overall, Jones is a great athlete with double plus speed and developing power. He’s had strikeout issues in his career (25.7% at Short-A), but the upside is considerable. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 86/16/62/.268/.349/.421/32

74) Sean Murphy OAK, C, 25.6 – It’s a small sample but he knocked 4 homers with a 90.7 MPH exit velocity and 96.6 MPH FB/LD exit velocity in his 20 game MLB debut. This after hitting 10 homes in 31 games at Triple-A. If he can raise his launch angle a bit, and with his already strong plate approach, Murphy has the potential to be one of the better hitting catchers in baseball. 2020 Projection: 56/18/52/.255/.338/.441/0 Prime Projection: 73/24/82/.268/.357/.468/1

75) Edward Cabrera MIA, RHP, 22.0 – Much improved secondaries and control combined with his electric mid 90’s fastball made Cabrera one of the biggest pitching breakouts in the minors, posting a pitching line of 2.23/0.99/116/31 in 96.2 IP split between High-A and Double-A. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 13/3.76/1.23/191 in 182 IP

76) Brusdar Graterol MIN, RHP, 21.7 – 99 MPH fastball with a plus slider and developing change. 2020 Projection: June-7/4.09/1.32/91 in 88 IP Prime Projection: 13/3.78/1.23/176 in 170 IP

77) Robert Puason OAK, SS, 17.5 – Signed for $5.1 million, Pauson is a projectable 6’3”, 165 pounds with plus speed, a good feel to hit and developing power. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 88/23/82/.275/.346/.462/26

78) Matthew Liberatore STL, LHP, 20.5 – Strong full season debut with a 3.10 ERA, 1.29 WHIP, and 76/31 K/BB in 78.1 IP. Advanced for his age with a 4 pitch mix and plus command. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 13/3.72/1.21/182 in 175 IP

79) Brent Honeywell TB, RHP, 25.0 – Had surgery in June to repair a fractured right elbow which he suffered while rehabbing from 2017 Tommy John surgery. It’s a reminder not to just assume a pitcher will return seamlessly from Tommy John. 2020 Projection: August-2/4.31/1.34/46 in 40 IP Prime Projection: 11/3.71/1.22/175 in 163 IP

80) Deivi Garcia NYY, RHP, 20.10 – Added a slider this year to give him a chance at 4 plus pitches at peak. At 5’9”, 163 pounds, how much you buy into Garcia might depend on how much you buy into the prejudice against small righties. 2020 Projection: August-3/4.15/1.33/57 in 51 IP Prime Projection: 13/3.78/1.27/193 in 177 IP

81) Ke’Bryan Hayes PIT, 3B, 23.2 – Hasn’t made any attempts to unlock more power, but has maintained his strong plate approach, good feel to hit, and ability to use the entire field at every minor league level. Plus glove at 3B will buy him time until the power ticks up. 2020 Projection: July-39/9/32/.253/.317/.406/6 Prime Projection: 88/22/79/.276/.348/.460/13

82) Daniel Lynch KC, LHP, 23.4 – 6’6”, 190 pounds with a 4 pitch mix headlined by a plus fastball/slider combo and good control. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 12/3.81/1.24/179 in 171 IP

83) DL Hall BALT, LHP, 21.6 – Plus fastball/curve combo with a developing slider and changeup. Control needs to take a step forward with a 6.0 BB/9 at High-A. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 12/3.76/1.32/187 in 174 IP

84) Jesus Sanchez MIA, OF, 22.6 – Two straight years of modest production has dimmed Sanchez’ prospect hype a bit, but his plus raw power and good feel to hit haven’t gone anywhere. 2020 Projection: September-7/2/8/.254/.308/.410/1 Prime Projection: 77/24/86/.275/.339/.470/7

85) Erick Pena KC, OF, 17.1 – Signed for $3.8 million, Pena is 6’3” with a smooth and powerful left handed swing. ETA: 2024 Prime Projection: 86/28/93/.274/.355/.491/5

86) Hunter Greene CIN, RHP, 20.8 – Underwent Tommy John surgery on April 9th. When healthy, fastball sits in the upper 90’s and has stirkeout stuff with 89 K’s in 68.1 IP in 2018. Secondaries are still raw. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 14/3.58/1.19/191 in 177 IP

87) Ronny Mauricio NYM, SS, 19.0 – Mediocre full-season debut as an 18 year old (.665 OPS), but still possess all the tools that made him one of the top international signings in 2017. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 78/26/88/.277/.335/.471/5

88) Geraldo Perdomo ARI, SS, 20.5 – Elite plate approach transferred to full season ball with a 67/70 K/BB in 116 games split between Full-A and High-A. Power hasn’t shown up yet, but at 6’3”, 184 pounds there is certainly more to come. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 91/18/73/.289/372/.448/16

89) Daulton Varsho ARI, C, 23.9 – With Carson Kelly establishing himself in 2019, Varsho might have to find playing time at positions other than catcher. He has an above average power/speed combo and a good feel to hit, so it might be better off for his fantasy value anyway. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 84/23/77/.275/.340/.460/14

90) Tyler Freeman CLE, SS, 20.10 – Elite contact rates transferred to full season ball with a 10.3% K% at Full-A and 9.1% at High-A. He doesn’t have an overly high ground ball rate, so when he inevitably gains strength as he matures, the home runs will come. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 88/15/52/.291/.338/.431/17

91) Luis Campusano SD, C, 21.6 – Everything took a step forward at High-A. As long as he can keep his launch angle up, Campusano’s plus hitting ability and hard contact ensures a true impact fantasy catcher. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 68/22/79/.281/.343/.457/0

92) Brayan Rocchio CLE, SS, 19.4 – Plus contact rates (13.6% K% at Short-A) with plus speed (14 steals in 69 games) and developing power (5 homers). ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 85/16/69/.283/.338/.435/23

93) Liover Peguero ARI, SS, 19.3 – Advanced feel to hit with above average speed and power. Slashed .364/.410/.559 with 5 homers, 8 steals and a 21.8% K% in 38 games in the Pioneer League. Will need to start lifting the ball more to reach full potential. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 84/20/72/.278/.332/.448/20

94) Luis Matos SF, OF, 18.2 – Signed for $725,000 in 2018, Matos immediately raised his stock in the DSL, showing more power than expected (7 homers in 55 games) to go along with speed (20 steals) and a good feel to hit (11.1% K%). ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 86/22/81/.278/.335/.455/14

95) Daniel Espino CLE, RHP, 19.3 – Drafted 24th overall, Espino has a four pitch mix headlined by an explosive upper 90’s fastball and potentially plus slider. Improvements in control/command and changeup will dictate how good he can become. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 13/3.75/1.26/190 in 178 IP

96) Austin Hays BAL, OF, 24.9 – Strong September in the majors (.947 OPS in 75 PA), although his minor league numbers weren’t as strong (.758 OPS at Triple-A). Inside track to win the Orioles opening day starting CF job. 2020 Projection: 78/24/75/.265/.312/.456/10

97) Seth Beer ARI, 1B, 23.7 – Trade to the NL hurts considering he is a poor defensive player, but the production continues to be strong with 26 homers and a 21% K% at High-A and Double-A. 2020 Projection: August-14/8/22/.248/.312/.468/0 Prime Projection: 68/30/81/.268/.342/.491/1

98) Ryan Mountcastle BAL, 1B/OF, 23.1 – Hit every year of his career and power started to really blossom this season. Poor defense is the biggest hurdle to playing time, but Baltimore isn’t exactly overflowing with talent right now. 2020 Projection: July-36/12/41/.262/.301/.441/1 Prime Projection: 77/26/85/.274/.318/.472/3

99) Bobby Dalbec BOS, 3B, 24.9 – Improved strikeout rate to a respectable 24.7% but infield fly ball rate spiked to 24.8% at Double-A and 30.3% at Triple-A. The huge power will certainly translate with 32 homers in 2018 and 27 homers in 2019. 2020 Projection: August-15/8/21/.233/.315/.446/1 Prime Projection: 78/33/87/.248/.342/.488/4

100) Jose Urquidy HOU, RHP, 24.11 – There are a bunch of higher upside prospects I could have went with here, but that is the reason why I chose the more unique Urquidy with the final spot. Unique in the sense that he already has a rotation spot, has some MLB success under his belt (including a great 10 IP in the playoffs), and is in an organization known for their excellent development of pitchers. He throws a 4 pitch mix with a 93.2 MPH fastball and an 84.3 MPH changeup as his best/most used secondary with plus control. 2020 Projection: 10/4.02/1.23/169 in 172 IP

By Michael Halpern (@MichaelCHalpern)
Email: michaelhalpern@imaginarybrickwall.com
Twitter: Imaginary Brick Wall (@DynastyHalp)

Posted on December 16, 2019January 14, 2020 by Michael Halpern

A Top 100 Sneak Peek of the 2020 Top 1,000 Dynasty Baseball Rankings

The 2020 Top 1,000 Dynasty Baseball Rankings Sneak Peek Series continues with the Top 100:

1) Ronald Acuna ATL, OF, 22.3 – Combination of age and stolen base upside is what separates Acuna from the pack, but a 26.3% K% presents a risk that other candidates for the top spot don’t have. In anything other than a 5×5 league (points, OBP), I would look elsewhere with the top pick. 2020 Projection: 111/37/98/.285/.367/.524/31

2) Mike Trout LAA, OF, 28.8 – Turning 29 during the 2020 season, career low 13 steal attempts, and a much younger crop of generational talent establishing themselves in 2019 are why Trout is no longer the obvious #1 pick in dynasty. I still have him #1 in redrafts. 2020 Projection: 113/46/107/.299/.442/.631/15

3) Juan Soto WASH, OF, 21.5 – Flipped hitting profile from rookie season, upping FB% to 37.2% (from 28.8%) and lowering GB% to 41.6% (from 53.7%). 97 MPH FB/LD exit velocity is 2.1 MPH higher than Trout and 1.4 MPH higher than Acuna. Soto is my #1 pick in non 5×5 dynasty leagues. 2020 Projection: 108/36/105/.296/.404/.553/10

4) Cody Bellinger LAD, 1B/OF, 24.9 – Career bests in BB% (14.4%), K% (16.4%), average exit velocity (90.7 MPH), and launch angle (17.6 degree launch). On the flip side, OPS declined every month of the season (1.397, .998, .967, .952, .918, .891, playoffs-.549). 2020 Projection: 110/43/110/.288/.383/.598/14

5) Christian Yelich MIL, OF, 28.4 – Here is what I wrote about Yelich in my 2019 Top 1,000: “… posted the lowest GB% of his career by a good margin in August and September (46% and 44%, respectively). If he can carry those gains over a full season, the power breakout may not be a complete outlier.” That is exactly what happened, with Yelich posting a 43.2% GB% and hitting a career high 44 homers. The fractured knee cap that ended his season supposedly won’t have any long term effects. 2020 Projection: 111/37/104/.309/.410/.605/20

6) Mookie Betts BOS, OF, 27.6 – As a Yankees fan, I pray to the baseball gods every night that Boston trades Mookie Betts for “can’t miss” pitching prospects. 2020 Projection: 119/33/86/.310/.402/.552/22

7) Trea Turner WASH, SS, 26.9 – Power took a big step forward, raising average exit velocity 2.5 MPH to 90.3 MPH. Remains a speedster with the 2nd fastest sprint speed in baseball, behind only Tim Locastro (Buxton is a close 3rd). 2020 Projection: 104/24/77/.293/.350/.488/41

8) Fernando Tatis Jr. SD, SS, 21.3 – With a 29.6% K% and a 6.9 degree launch angle, you can look at Tatis’ 2019 in one of two ways. Either you think he got lucky and there is serious regression coming, or you are scared at the thought of what his stats might look like when he inevitably improves on those underlying numbers. I’m in camp #2. 2020 Projection: 101/35/99/.274/.348/.531/26

9) Francisco Lindor CLE, SS, 26.4 – Small step back in K%, BB%, GB% and sprint speed, but I’m willing to write that off to his early season calf injury considering overall production remained strong. 2020 Projection: 104/32/87/.285/.349/.520/20

10) Trevor Story COL, SS, 27.4 – Carried over the major improvements he made in K% and stolen bases in 2018 into 2019. One of the premier power/speed combos in the game. 2020 Projection: 100/36/100/.283/.354/.546/22

11) Wander Franco TB, SS, 19.1 – Acuna and Soto might be old news in 2 years if Franco reaches his upside of plus to double plus all category production. He very well may be the true heir to Trout’s throne. 2020 Projection: September-13/4/9/.277/.341/.445/4 Prime Projection: 114/32/113/.316/.405/.595/19

12) Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR, 3B, 21.0 – Modest rookie season, but make no mistake, the thunder is coming. 2020 Projection: 95/32/106/.298/.373/.538/2

13) Rafael Devers BOS, 3B, 23.5 – Ranked 16th overall in average exit velocity (92.1 MPH) and cut K% by 7.7% to 17%. 2020 Projection: 98/33/104/.302/.360/.549/7

14) Alex Bregman HOU, 3B, 26.0 – Gets dinged in the rankings because of the possibility of a suspension and the unknown of how much cheating improved his stats. Relatively low 92.3 MPH FB/LD exit velocity is another red flag. 2020 Projection: 103/30/101/.291/.403/.538/9

15) Jose Ramirez CLE, 3B, 27.6 – Armageddon 1st half (.218/.308/.344) followed by a beastly 2nd half (.327/.365/.739) that was interrupted and ultimately cut short by a fractured hamate bone. Like Bregman, low FB/LD exit velocity (91.8 MPH) indicates some power downside. 2020 Projection: 98/30/93/.279/.358/.518/25

16) Nolan Arenado COL, 3B, 29.0 – Steady as they come. 40 homers with a high average. 2020 Projection: 103/39/116/.298/.375/.568/2

17) Austin Meadows TB, OF, 24.11 – When I ranked Meadows 54th overall in last year’s ranking, someone asked me what I was smoking. Apparently I was toking on salvia divinorum, aka, sage of the diviners, aka it’s a plant you smoke and then you hallucinate, because Meadows broke out with a .291 BA, 33 homers, and 12 steals. He hits it very hard, hits it in the air, has speed, and has a strong plate approach. 2020 Projection: 93/32/96/.282/.351/.531/15

18) Bryce Harper PHI, OF, 27.6 – Strikeout rate going in the wrong direction (26.1%), but power, speed, and walks are all in peak form. 2020 Projection: 100/36/103/.265/.381/.533/14

19) Yordan Alvarez HOU, OF, 22.9 – Hitting profile looks mighty similar to Bryce Harper without the speed. 2020 Projection: 93/35/104/.273/.369/.542/4

20) Aaron Judge NYY, OF, 27.11 – Led the league in average exit velocity every year since getting called up in 2016. Smashed 15 homers in final 33 games to salvage what was shaping up to be a mediocre season. 2020 Projection: 107/42/101/.263/.370/.545/7

21) Bo Bichette TOR, SS, 22.1 – Like Tatis, the impressive triple slash (.311/..358/.571) is considerably better than the underlying numbers, but I’m betting on the underlying numbers mostly catching up to the slash line, rather than the other way around. 2020 Projection: 93/24/79/.282/.340/.481/18 Prime Projection: 118/34/95/.296/.373/.542/15

22) Ozzie Albies ATL, 2B, 23.3 – Average exit velocity jumped 2.5 MPH to 88.8 MPH, although exit velocity on fly balls actually decreased by 0.3 MPH. It’s still a good sign that there is another level of power in here as he matures. 2020 Projection: 107/26/84/.288/.356/.490/17

23) Gerrit Cole NYY, RHP, 29.7 – I don’t factor in age with pitchers quite as much as with hitters because every pitcher is one injury away from a career altering injury. Young pitchers also haven’t proven their arm can withstand season after season of 200+ innings which makes them more risky than an older pitcher with more miles on their arm. 2020 Projection: 18/2.92/0.98/295 in 205 IP

24) Walker Buehler LAD, RHP, 25.8 – Throws the fastest cutter by a starter at 92.8 MPH (1.8 MPH ahead of 2nd, Marcus Stroman). Final hurdle to cross is how his arm responds after a career high 195 IP (including the postseason), which is a 34 IP increase from 2018. 2020 Projection: 17/3.23/1.01/230 in 191 IP

25) Jacob deGrom NYM, RHP, 31.9 – Career high velocity on all of his pitches. Upped slider and fastball usage while ditching his sinker and minimizing the curve. 2020 Projection: 14/2.86/0.99/260 in 208 IP

26) Gleyber Torres NYY, 2B, 23.4 – Exit velocities and K/BB are solid but don’t jump out at you. 17.4 degree launch angle ensures healthy power production, and I’m expecting continued improvement in all aspects of his game. 2020 Projection: 97/32/106/.283/.352/.521/4

27) Xander Bogaerts BOS, SS, 27.6 – Maintained exit velocity gains from 2018 and notched a career high 10.9% BB%. With only 6 steal attempts in 155 games, you can no longer count on him in the speed department as you build your roster. 2020 Projection: 99/28/108/.296/.369/.529/7

28) Javier Baez CHC, SS, 27.4 – Getting by with pure exit velocity and speed. 2020 Projection: 98/33/103/.278/.319/.520/13

29) Anthony Rendon LAA, 3B, 29.10 – From my 2019 Top 1,000: “With a 13.7% K% and 17.7 degree launch angle, there is potential for a monster career season lurking in here.” … The monster was unleashed and it landed him a $245 million contract. 2020 Projection: 104/32/108/.306/.382/.560/4

30) Keston Hiura MIL, 2B, 23.8 – Underlying stats profile as a low average, power hitting beast with a handful of steals. Ultimately should develop into more of a 20% strikeout hitter than the 30% he put up in 2019. 2020 Projection: 88/34/96/.268/.333/.507/11

31) Jack Flaherty STL, RHP, 24.6 – Velocity up about 1 MPH on every pitch and BB% was down 2.5%. Third year in a row posting well below average exit velocities against (86.1 MPH) gives hope the low BABIP’s (.242) is a skill. 2020 Projection: 16/3.38/1.11/229 in 194 IP

32) Shane Bieber CLE, RHP, 24.10 – Not a flamethrower but has advanced command over a 4 pitch mix. Batters were able to make some good contact against him with a 90.4 MPH average exit velocity against. Cole and Verlander both sat at 87.3 MPH for comparison. 2020 Projection: 15/3.41/1.09/220 in 195 IP

33) Yoan Moncada CHW, 3B, 24.10 – Not quite the speedster we all thought he was, but power showed up in a big way, upping exit velocity 2.3 MPH to 92.8 MPH. .315 batting average (.406 BABIP) is coming down. 2020 Projection: 96/30/89/.273/.360/.513/13

34) Pete Alonso NYM, 1B, 25.4 – Alonso is going to mash no matter how much Manfred loosens up those seams. 2020 Projection: 91/43/109/.263/.360/.557/1

35) Manny Machado SD, 3B/SS, 27.9 – Career worst 19.4% K% and low BABIP led to a career low .254 BA. The lack of steals was easy to predict, but now you have to worry about a mediocre average too. 2020 Projection: 92/34/102/.278/.351/.515/8

36) Eloy Jimenez CHW, OF, 23.4 – Elite exit velocity and 31 homers in 122 games proves the power wasn’t over-hyped. Has the ability to hit for both power and average when his K% comes down, and his minor league numbers suggest it will. 2020 Projection: 88/33/99/.283/.335/.530/1

37) Luis Robert CHW, OF, 22.8 – Sox have mentioned they view Robert like Eloy and we should expect an early season call up. He’s still raw at the plate, but has a power/speed combo that rivals Acuna. 2020 Projection: 63/26/68/.259/.308/.471/18 Prime Projection: 94/34/101/.277/.339/.521/25

38) Freddie Freeman ATL, 1B, 30.7 – Underlying numbers are very similar to his past two seasons when he put up 28 and 23 homers, respectively, but this season he managed to knock 38 homers. For reference, he hit 34 homers in 2016, but his exit velocity was about 2 MPH higher than 2017-2019. Freeman might be the clearest example of the impact of the juiced ball. 2020 Projection: 95/31/105/.298/.391/.543/5

39) Blake Snell TB, LHP, 27.4 – Missed two months after undergoing arthroscopic elbow surgery in July to remove loose bodies. Velocity was down on all of his pitches, but still among the hardest throwers in baseball. Bloated 4.29 ERA was at least partly due to a .343 BABIP. 2020 Projection: 13/3.37/1.18/223 in 178 IP

40) Ketel Marte ARI, 2B/OF, 26.6 – From my 2019 Top 1,000: “13.7% K%, 9.3% BB%, 88.6 MPH average exit velocity, 92 MPH on FB/LD, and 28.7 ft/sec sprint speed. If he can start lifting the ball more and add some strength as he enters his mid to late 20’s, there is a 5-category stud lurking in here.” … Marte added 1.3 MPH to his exit velocity and 5.8 degrees to his launch angle en route to a beastly 5-category season. 2020 Projection: 93/26/88/.293/.352/.512/9

41) Carlos Correa HOU, SS, 25.6 – In the midst of a power breakout but rib and back injuries limited him to only 25 games after May. A back injury tanked his 2018 season as well, so it’s a legitimate concern. 2020 Projection: 90/32/105/.283/.362/.527/3

42) Adalberto Mondesi KC, SS, 24.8 – Underwent labrum surgery on October 3rd, with a 5-6 month recovery. Major surgeries that ruin your normal off-season routine is not a recipe for a breakout season. 2020 Projection: 78/16/74/.255/.299/.422/41 Prime Projection: 93/23/86/.274/.329/.446/49

43) Shohei Ohtani LAA, RHP/OF, 25.9 – Power and strikeouts … and strikeouts. The plan is for 1 start and 3-4 DH days per week. In weekly lineup leagues drop him down 100 spots because he can likely be viewed only as a 130 IP starter at peak. 2020 Projection: Hitting-46/17/52/.277/.349/.511/9 — Pitching-7/3.55/1.20/123 in 100 IP

44) Kris Bryant CHC, 3B/OF, 28.3 – Exit velocity is just not what it was in 2015 and 2016 when Bryant looked to be on the verge of becoming a perennial top 5 pick. I guess we’ll have to settle for merely very, very good. 2020 Projection: 110/32/80/.283/.381/.509/5

45) Matt Chapman OAK, 3B, 26.11 – Career low 21.9% K%, but a 3.6% jump in infield fly ball rate negated any possible batting average gains (.249 BA with a .270 BABIP). 2020 Projection: 105/38/96/.268/.355/.529/2

46) Mike Clevinger CLE, RHP, 29.3 – Upper back strain and sprained ankle caused Clevinger to miss almost the entire first half. Notched a career high 95.6 MPH fastball velocity, but that was on a steady decline as the season wore on. 2020 Projection: 15/3.31/1.14/222 in 190 IP

47) Stephen Strasburg WASH, RHP, 31.8 – Dominant, as usual, but he did it in a different way by upping his groundball percentage with increased sinker and curveball usage. Staying healthy all season is probably the most notable thing of all. 2020 Projection: 15/3.43/1.10/220 in 185 IP

48) Jo Adell LAA, OF, 21.0 – Elite athlete with double plus power. 32.6% K% and 0 homers in 27 games at Triple-A likely ensures at least a couple months of development time there in 2020. 2020 Projection: July-39/13/45/.250/.301/.459/6 Prime Projection: 101/37/108/.271/.353/.538/13

49) Justin Verlander HOU, RHP, 37.1 – Even at 37 years old Verlander is such a difference maker that he is worth a true elite prospect back in a trade. The cliff often doesn’t come with advanced warning, though, that is why they call it the cliff, and not the ramp. 2020 Projection: 17/3.08/1.01/270 in 208 IP

50) Max Scherzer WASH, RHP, 35.8 – Back issues held Scherzer to his lowest innings pitched total since his rookie year in 2009. He also didn’t pitch as well when he returned from the injury (4.81 ERA in 43 IP). 2020 Projection: 16/3.09/1.04/261 in 203 IP

51) Jose Altuve HOU, 2B, 29.11 – Career high K% (15%), career low stolen base total (6), and while Altuve hit a career high 31 homers, there wasn’t any significant improvements in exit velocity or flyball percentage to truly back up the power surge. 2020 Projection: 99/26/82/.292/.351/.490/13

52) JD Martinez BOS, OF, 32.7 – Best case scenario he’s Nelson Cruz and there is 7+ years of production left. Worst case scenario he’s Albert Pujols and this 32 year old season is the beginning of the end. 2020 Projection: 101/38/112/.308/.380/.570/3

53) Chris Paddack SD, RHP, 24.3 – Plus fastball/changeup combo is good enough, but continued development of the curveball can take him to the next level. 2020 Projection: 13/3.58/1.09/190 in 170 IP

54) Starling Marte PIT, OF, 31.6 – Career low 16% K%. Sprint speed is as good as ever but relying on speed as players get deeper into their 30’s is risky. 2020 Projection: 94/20/77/.289/.339/.462/28

55) Kyle Tucker HOU, OF, 22.4 – Sprint speed improved from below average in 2018 to above average in 2019. The power was never in question, but now there is hope the steals might transfer too. 2020 Projection: 71/24/77/.251/.325/.476/11 Prime Projection: 94/33/101/.265/.348/.513/15

56) Victor Robles WASH, OF, 22.10 – 81 MPH average exit velocity is cover your eyes bad. Even Stephen Strasburg managed to put up a 82.5. Jose Altuve has proven there is a path to strong power numbers with below average exit velocity (86.1 MPH), but Robles has to improve to reach even that level. 2020 Projection: 91/20/73/.272/.334/.439/27

57) George Springer HOU, OF, 30.6 – While his 2019 is likely a juiced ball aided career year, the strong underlying numbers don’t rule out the possibility of a repeat. 2020 Projection: 104/33/95/.280/.369/.525/7

58) Matt Olson OAK, 1B, 26.0 – Elite exit velocity power hitting beast. 2020 Projection: 93/38/105/.256/.345/.537/1

59) Giancarlo Stanton NYY, OF, 30.5 – Limited to 18 games due to a variety of injuries, but performed like himself in those games with a 100.3 MPH FB/LD exit velocity. 2020 Projection: 95/43/109/.261/.352/.546/3

60) Josh Bell PIT, 1B, 27.8 – Career high 37.3% FB% and 92.3 MPH exit velocity is evidence the power breakout is for real. 2020 Projection: 90/32/106/.273/.361/.528/1

61) Ramon Laureano OAK, OF, 25.9 – Plus power/speed combo but a 25.6% K% and 5.6% BB% shows he is not without risk. 2020 Projection: 89/27/84/.265/.334/.486/16

62) Tim Anderson CHW, SS, 26.9 – Career low 21% K% and career high 88.3 MPH exit velocity, along with a little BABIP luck, led to a breakout season, slashing .335/.357/.508 with 18 homers and 17 steals in 123 games. 2020 Projection: 90/23/72/.282/.321/.468/21

63) Patrick Corbin WASH, LHP, 30.8 – Backed up 2018’s breakout with another strong year on the back of his elite slider. Velocity up about 1 MPH on each pitch. 2020 Projection: 14/3.50/1.19/231 in 197 IP

64) Luis Severino NYY, RHP, 26.1 – Missed almost entire season with an inflamed rotator cuff and lat strain. Velocity wasn’t quite what it was in 2018, but at 96.1 MPH, that is more than enough. 2020 Projection: 13/3.55/1.18/200 in 175 IP

65) Gavin Lux LAD, 2B/SS, 22.4 – Another guy I was high on last year, ranking him 181st overall and writing, “Me thinks Lux is still being a bit underrated right now.” He isn’t underrated anymore. 2020 Projection: July-42/11/39/.272/.334/.451/7 Prime Projection: 98/28/93/.283/.356/.495/14

66) Chris Sale BOS, LHP, 31.0 – Inflammation in pitching elbow ended Sale’s season in August. Fastball was down 2 MPH and put up a career worst 4.40 ERA, but he still managed to strikeout 218 batters in 147.1 IP. 2020 Projection: 13/3.29/1.02/234 in 165 IP

67) Julio Rodriguez SEA, OF, 19.3 – Advanced beyond his years feel to hit which he displayed at Full-A (.293 BA), High-A (.462 BA), and the Fall League (.288 BA). Add to that at least plus raw power and you have one of the most coveted prospects in baseball. ETA: Late 2021 Prime Projection: 96/35/109/.290/.368/.550/8

68) Charlie Blackmon COL, OF, 33.9 – Career low 26.7 ft/sec sprint speed doesn’t leave much hope for a stolen base bounce back (2 steals in 2019), but he has never hit the ball harder with a career high 88.5 MPH exit velocity. 2020 Projection: 106/33/84/.307/.362/.539/6

69) Luis Castillo CIN, RHP, 27.4 – Fireballing groundball pitcher with the most valuable changeup in baseball. 2020 Projection: 13/3.63/1.19/214 in 188 IP

70) Lucas Giolito CHW, RHP, 25.9 – Fastball velocity jumped 1.8 MPH to 94.6 MPH and changeup became an elite pitch. Grandal and his plus pitch framing should counteract any regression concerns. 2020 Projection: 13/3.69/1.17/226 in 185 IP

71) MacKenzie Gore SD, LHP, 21.1 – Potential for 4 plus pitches with plus control. Destroyed Hi-A with a silly pitching line of 1.02/0.71/110/20/ in 79.1 IP. 2020 Projection: July-6/3.82/1.26/83 in 78 IP Prime Projection: 17/3.22/1.03/240 in 200 IP

72) Anthony Rizzo CHC, 1B, 30.8 – As consistent as they come. 2020 Projection: 91/30/97/.288/.381/.513/5

73) Marcus Semien OAK, SS, 29.6 – Major breakout in basically every underlying stat and surface stat you look at. Some regression is likely, but the breakout was real. 2020 Projection: 107/29/76/.279/.360/.499/11

74) Eugenio Suarez CIN, 3B, 27.7 – Online IQ test question: What is the next number in this sequence – 4, 13, 21, 26, 34, 49, _? That is Suarez’ season home run totals since entering the league. My fake online IQ of 144 tells me Barry Bonds home run record might be in jeopardy next season. 2020 Projection: 84/32/98/.266/.352/.523/3

75) Joey Gallo TEX, OF, 26.4 – Has 281 hits in his career and 110 of them are homers. 38.4% K% still makes Gallo a huge average risk, but he also led the league in exit velocity on FB/LD at 101.2 MPH. 2020 Projection: 94/45/96/.234/.356/.549/4

76) Michael Conforto NYM, OF, 27.1 – Struggles vs. lefties is only true blemish (.701 OPS). 2020 Projection: 93/30/92/.263/.370/.502/5

77) Max Kepler MIN, OF, 27.2 – From my 2019 Top 1,000: “Posted career bests in K% (15.7%), BB% (11.6%), FB% (46.2%), and exit velo (89.5 MPH/93.9 MPH FB/LD). Kepler already broke out but it didn’t show up in his surface stats last year.” … It showed up this year, cranking 36 homers in 134 games while maintaining most of the underlying gains he made in 2018. 2020 Projection: 93/31/89/.266/.349/.502/3

78) Max Muncy LAD, 1B/2B/3B, 29.7 – Put any playing time concerns to rest with 589 PA, although the logjam isn’t breaking up anytime soon with Gavin Lux now trying to force his way into the lineup. 2020 Projection: 97/34/96/.254/.370/.513/3

79) Jorge Soler KC, OF, 28.1 – Huge power breakout, upping exit velocity 3.1 MPH and ripping 48 homers in 162 games. 2020 Projection: 85/33/98/.261/.350/.520/2

80) Eddie Rosario MIN, OF, 28.6 – Continued his free swinging ways (3.7% BB%) with power (32 homers) and a good feel to hit (14.6% K%). 2020 Projection: 84/28/92/.283/.316/.489/6

81) Jonathan Villar MIA, 2B/SS, 28.11 – Played in all 162 games, compiling 24 homers, 111 runs and 40 steals. Miami moving their fences in will cushion the blow a little bit from leaving Camden. 2020 Projection: 85/16/61/.263/.331/.430/34

82) Tyler Glasnow TB, RHP, 26.7 – Forearm strain knocked out most of Glasnow’s breakout season, but his velocity was fully back when he returned in September. His newfound control did not return, with 8 walks in 19.1 IP (including postseason). 2020 Projection: 10/3.58/1.19/185 in 150 IP

83) Aaron Nola PHI, RHP, 26.10 – Career best K/9 (10.19) and career worst BB/9 (3.56). Exit velocity against jumped to 88.5 MPH after being in the 85’s from 2016-2018. 2020 Projection: 14/3.66/1.21/221 in 205 IP

84) Rhys Hoskins PHI, 1B, 27.0 – Down-ish year when everyone else was experiencing a career year, but the homer/walk profile remains the same. 2020 Projection: 96/35/92/.250/.371/.512/3

85) Lourdes Gurriel Jr. TOR, OF, 26.6 – Took power to another level with 20 homers in 84 games by raising launch angle 3.7 degrees and increasing FB/LD exit velocity 3.2 MPH. 2020 Projection: 86/30/94/.270/.323/.492/8

86) Corey Seager LAD, SS, 25.11 – Career high 39.2% FB% didn’t result in a power breakout this season, but it portends good things for the future considering he was able to maintain strong exit velocity and plate approach numbers. 2020 Projection: 94/27/92/.281/.343/.496/1

87) Andrew Benintendi BOS, OF, 25.9 – 6.8% K% increase led to a down year across the board. Also has been getting slower every year. I feel more comfortable about a power rebound than I do a stolen base rebound. 2020 Projection: 93/21/86/.279/.357/.446/11

88) Nick Senzel CIN, OF, 24.8 – Underwent surgery to repair a torn labrum in late September which puts his availability for opening day in question. Speed is his best asset right now, but still profiles as an above average all category contributor at peak. 2020 Projection: 74/16/66/.268/.333/.440/19 Prime Projection: 94/24/83/.278/.346/.462/23

89) Jarred Kelenic SEA, OF, 20.8 – Performed well across 3 levels of the minors in his first full season of pro ball, culminating with a 133 wRC+ at Double-A. Above average to plus potential in every category. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 96/25/87/.283/.351/.485/16

90) Clayton Kershaw LAD, LHP, 32.0 – Fastball velocity did not rebound to pre-2018 levels and actually lost another 0.9 MPH, but the slider is as good as ever. 2020 Projection: 14/3.38/1.09/188 in 180 IP

91) Noah Syndergaard NYM, RHP, 27.7 – Much improved changeup became his best secondary pitch but his slider took a step back, losing 2.2 MPH. 2020 Projection: 3.73/1.22/196 in 190 IP

92) Brandon Woodruff MIL, RHP, 27.2 – Third most valuable fastball in baseball behind only Cole and Flaherty. 2020 Projection: 11/3.74/1.20/190 in 165 IP

93) Jesus Luzardo OAK, LHP, 22.6 – Shoulder injury limited Luzardo to just 58 IP at a variety of levels (Rk, Hi-A, Triple-A, MLB playoffs), but he dominated at each stop with 3 plus pitches (mid 90’s fastball, curve, and change). He has a chance to be special, but with a career high of 109 IP, it remains to be seen if he can stay healthy and produce for 180+ IP. 2020 Projection: 10/3.68/1.19/160 in 142 IP Prime Projection: 15/3.39/1.11/213 in 183 IP

94) Julio Urias LAD, LHP, 23.8 – Announced that he will likely join the rotation in 2020. Ranked first overall in average exit velocity against at 83.2 MPH and fastball jumped 2.1 MPH to 95.2 MPH, including during the starts he made early in the season. 2020 Projection: 11/3.68/1.21/139 in 135 IP Prime Projection: 15/3.39/1.11/198 in 182 IP

95) Frankie Montas OAK, RHP, 27.0 – Found that legitimate third pitch by adding a splitter that he threw 18.2% of the time. With a plus fastball/slider combo already in tow, Montas broke out with a pitching line of 2.63/1.12/103/23 in 96 IP. 80-game PED suspension cut his season short, but he did return for 1 start in September with no noticeable performance decline. 2020 Projection: 13/3.64/1.21/185 in 170 IP

96) Gary Sanchez NYY, C, 27.4 – Elite power hitter and does it from the scarce catcher position. On the downside, catchers are always more banged up and at risk of shortened careers. It’s a give and take. 2020 Projection: 69/32/83/.252/.333/.520/0

97) Marcell Ozuna FA, OF, 29.5 – Low BABIP (.259) spoiled what could have been a huge season as Ozuna reached a career high 12 steals and 11.3% BB%. If he can repeat those gains in 2020, the upside is there for him to blow up. 2020 Projection: 82/31/93/.268/.332/.500/6

98) David Dahl COL, OF, 26.0 – Another season shortened by injury, this time by a high ankle sprain that ended his year in early August. .386 BABIP covered up a weak 110/28 K/BB in 100 games, but he displayed an above average power/speed combo and has the raw tools to take his game to the next level. 2020 Projection: 86/23/83/.271/.329/.480/9

99) Amed Rosario NYM, SS, 24.4 – Continues to get stronger, raising his exit velocity 1.9 MPH to a well above average 89.2 MPH, while maintaining his plus speed and good feel to hit. 91.2 MPH FB/LD exit velocity will have to improve in order to take the next step. 2020 Projection: 87/18/79/.283/.322/.446/22

100) Byron Buxton MIN, OF, 26.3 – In the midst of a mini breakout before a shoulder injury ended his season, which required labrum surgery in September with a 5-6 month timetable. The underlying skills (95 MPH FB/LD exit velo, 19.5 degree launch angle, and 30.3 foot per second sprint speed) are there to become a power/speed beast, even if it takes him into his late 20’s to truly put it all together. 2020 Projection: 83/23/76/.267/.321/.475/26

By Michael Halpern (@MichaelCHalpern)
Email: michaelhalpern@imaginarybrickwall.com
Twitter: Imaginary Brick Wall (@DynastyHalp)

Posted on March 6, 2019March 25, 2019 by Michael Halpern

26-50: March 2019 Top 100 Dynasty Baseball Prospects Ranking (w/ new blurbs, updated rankings, and slightly updated projections)

Things change fast in the prospect world. Even during the off-season these lists can be fluid. Now that we’ve actually laid eyes on many of the 2019 versions of these prospects, and have the first indication of how their parent clubs view them fitting in on the future roster, I decided to update the first 100 of my 2019 Top 472 Dynasty Baseball Prospects Ranking. Here is the March 2019 Top 100 Dynasty Baseball Prospects Ranking: 26-50 (w/ new blurbs, updated rankings, and slightly updated projections):

CLICK HERE FOR 1-25
CLICK HERE FOR 51-75
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Click the below links for my previous off-season content:
2019 Top 1,000 Dynasty Baseball Rankings
2019 Top 472 Dynasty Baseball Prospect Rankings
11 Dynasty Baseball Rules to Live By
2020 Top 90 Dynasty Baseball First Year Player Draft Rankings (1st Edition)
The Dynasty Baseball Rundown (2/24/2019)

+5 (26) Christin Stewart DET, OF, 25.4 – One of my favorite underrated prospects, Stewart is performing well this spring, going 5 for 18 with 2 homers and a .944 OPS, but more importantly he proved he is fully recovered from the core muscle surgery which ended his 2018 season. Take advantage of the fact he gets no respect on traditional lists because of his poor defense, and draft him in every league he is available (redraft, shallow keeper, etc …). I want to say he will provide similar value to Matt Olson and Matt Chapman, but while Stewart’s launch angle and strikeout rate should be similar, his exit velocity readings weren’t as beastly as those two. 2019 Projection: 73/26/85/.249/.336/.470/1 Prime Projection: 77/31/93/.254/.345/.489/1

27) Luis Robert CHW, OF, 21.8 – The injured thumb that tanked Robert’s 2018 season is jammed again after a headfirst slide into 2nd base. It’s supposedly not that serious and should sideline him only a few days, but it’s not a good sign how easily it got re-injured. Also, maybe we shouldn’t be sliding headfirst in spring training games, although are spring training games any less meaningful for prospects than minor league games? ETA: 2020 Prime Projection: 86/27/88/.265/.338/.481/18

28) Jonathan India CIN, 3B, 22.3 – Nothing new to say on India and Gorman. They are still my top 2 picks in a first year player draft. ETA: Mid 2020 Prime Projection: 91/24/85/.268/.346/.463/14

29) Nolan Gorman STL, 3B, 18.11 – Look up one inch. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 88/36/105/.265/.355/.520/2

30) Yusei Kikuchi SEA, LHP, 27.9 – Hasn’t looked all that hot this spring, but he did look better in his latest outing. I think Kikuchi couldn’t care less about feeding the hype machine, and is slowly adjusting to a new routine and getting himself ready for when it counts. I wouldn’t expect to truly see him at his best and open up his full bag of tricks until the regular season begins. 2019 Projection: 12/3.69/1.21/163 in 170 IP

31) MacKenzie Gore SD, LHP, 20.1 – This is a lofty ranking for a young pitching prospect who hasn’t really proven anything yet, and if this thing goes sideways, I’m blaming that flashy, Rockettes-style leg kick. I even mentioned we all might be getting taken in by that leg kick back in my 2017 MLB Draft Ranking, where I ranked Gore 5th and said, “I am a sucker for a big lefty with a funky delivery, and Gore not only checks those boxes, but he also has elite control of a low 90’s fastball, along with three different secondary pitches (slider, curveball, changeup) that flash plus and project as above average or better. Nothing about him screams ace, and maybe we are all being pulled in by that leg kick (something I am seriously considering, ha) but all together, there doesn’t seem to be many weaknesses, either.” The very same thing could still be said about him today. ETA: 2021/22 Prime Projection: 15/3.21/1.07/215 in 200 IP

32) Casey Mize DET, RHP, 21.11 – Mize looked great in his spring debut (and spring finale), striking out 2 in 2 IP and reaching 98 MPH on the stadium gun. He was reassigned to minor league camp yesterday. I think he could more than hold his own in the major league rotation right now, but MLB loves to hide their most exciting young players in the minors for years, just to make sure they lose as much of their marketability as possible before debuting in some meaningless game in August/September after over half their teams fan base has already checked out on the season. ETA: 2020 Prime Projection: 16/3.49/1.15/215 in 190 IP

33) Andrew Vaughn 1B, California, 21.0 – What the hell, I’m adding 2020 First Year Player Draft guys into this ranking too. Vaughn ranked 4th on my 2020 Top 90 First Year Player Draft Rankings, but I wrote I wouldn’t blame you if you took him #1. And now I’m not blaming myself and would take him #1. He is wrecking college ball right now, slashing .529/.680/1.176 with 7 homers and a 5/15 K/BB in 10 games, although Cal doesn’t really get into the meat of their conference schedule until this weekend.. Plus hit, plus power, and plus proximity. Prime Projection: 82/30/94/.285/.361/.514/2 ETA: 2021

+43 (34) Yusniel Diaz BAL, OF, 22.6 – Count me all-in on Yusniel Diaz. He has a good feel to hit with average speed and if spring training is any indication, his power is about to take the next step. Mitch Haniger is the ceiling comp. ETA: Mid 2019 Prime Projection: 87/26/88/.276/.345/.481/10

35) Kristian Robinson ARI, OF, 18.4 – I drafted Robinson in the 2nd round of my 12 team, hometown dynasty league, passing up on players I had previously ranked higher than him in Gavin Lux and Luis Garcia. Some of it had to do with preferring upside based on my roster construction and league set-up, but when the pressure was on, I wanted Robinson. It either goes to show you shouldn’t be a slave to anyone’s rankings, even your own, or conversely, when the pressure is on and emotions come into play, you make stupid decisions. We’ll figure out which one a few years from now, but until then, I like to put my money where my mouth is, so I bumped Robinson up over those guys. Actions speak louder than words. ETA: 2023 Prime Projection: 86/28/95/.268/.355/.498/14

36) Bobby Witt Jr. SS, High School, 18.10 – Witt certainly doesn’t lack for confidence, saying last year, “My goal in baseball is to be the best that’s ever played. I want to set my goals high and keep going after them until I eventually can’t do it anymore.” He is old for his high school class and the hit tool needs improvement, but the plus power-speed combo is worth chasing after. Prime Projection: 88/26/92/.257/.339/.479/21 ETA: 2024

37) Jasson Dominguez OF, NYY, 16?? – An international man of mystery. There is still not very much information out there on Dominguez other than a few “The Scout” style Youtube videos of him on the backfields. I just can’t resist the upside. Prime Projection: 96/28/94/.281/.357/.511/19 ETA: 2025

38) Gavin Lux LAD, SS, 21.4 – One of my Twitter followers, @ReedDeSalvo, caught a few Lux at-bats this spring and came away impressed, saying, “Got to see Gavin Lux’s at-bats yesterday. Roping a Thyago Viera fastball for a hit. Didn’t realize how big Lux is — 6’2, 190 legit — his stance is a slightly more upright KBryant (not comparing just saying). You’re definitely high on him, but man I REALLY liked his physique.” You heard the man, don’t sleep on Lux’s physique, and considering he is the same age as the juniors in the 2019 MLB draft, there just might be another level of power to be unlocked. ETA: Late 2020 Prime Projection: 93/20/69/.275/.352/.450/17

39) Danny Jansen TOR, C, 24.0 – Going only 3 for 15 this spring has kept the hype train in check and also kept his price reasonable in redraft leagues. Jansen would be my top late round catcher to target. 2019 Projection: 51/15/59/.257/.345/.429/2 Prime Projection: 64/21/73/.273/.351/.463/6

40) Vidal Brujan TB, 2B, 21.2 – Joey Wendle, Daniel Robertson, Brandon Lowe, and Nick Solak are all currently ahead of Brujan on Tampa’s 2B depth chart. The competition might be even tougher in the OF, plus Brujan has never played a single inning in the OF during his minor league career. Tampa loves to platoon, and while Brujan is a switch hitter, he hits righties much better than lefties. I’m not dinging his value for any of this, but it is something I would keep in mind, and it might make me a little more willing to trade him if the right deal came along. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 91/13/56/.283/.348/.419/33

41) Andres Gimenez NYM, SS, 20.7 – Like Bichette, Gimenez is another player I would love to get sprint speed data on, because I have seen his speed grades all over the place. Maybe one day I’ll get my ass out from behind the computer and start timing these guys on my own. Like my grandfather used to say, “if you want something done right, you gotta do it yourself.” ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 92/17/66/.288/.343/.421/20

42) Sixto Sanchez MIA, RHP, 20.8 – Trade to Miami puts him in a better ballpark, and while Miami is a Quad-A team right now, they can’t be this bad forever. Although they seemed to target a whole bunch of high risk/high reward prospects in their rebuild (Brinson, Harrison, Alfaro), so maybe their chances are actually pretty high of being this bad for a long time. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 14/3.42/1.07/188 in 182 IP

43) Dylan Cease CHW, RHP, 23.3 – Made his spring debut yesterday, pitching a scoreless inning and consistently hitting 98 MPH with his fastball. Control was shaky, throwing only 8 of 14 pitches for strikes, but that can be expected for his first outing. ETA: 2020 Prime Projection: 13/3.78/1.29/196 in 174 IP

44) Luis Urias SD, SS/2B, 21.10 – 6 for 18 with a 6/1 K/BB, 1 homer, and 1 steal. Strikeout rate was also considerably higher in 2018 than it had been in previous years, and although it came with a small spike in power, his 3.4 degree launch angle in his small MLB sample isn’t a great sign. DJ LeMahieu without Coors would be my best comp, albeit with higher upside because he has been much younger than his competition every step of the way. 2019 Projection: 69/10/50/.262/.328/.392/6 Prime Projection: 96/18/63/.293/.371/.469/12

45) Francisco Mejia SD, C/OF, 23.5 – Cracked his first spring homer yesterday against Mike Leake. He’s now 8 for 16 this spring with a 3/2 K/BB. There really isn’t any room for him in the starting lineup other than at catcher, so much of his value will be tied to beating out Hedges as the starting catcher over the course of the year. Work on that defense! 2019 Projection: 31/9/27/.252/.300/.401/2 Prime Projection: 69/22/82/.278/.331/.456/4

46) Adley Rutschman C, Oregon State, 21.2 – Slashing .343/.540/.800 with 5 homers and a 8/15 K/BB in 11 games. I mentioned in my original write-up that safe college bats are bound to rise as we get closer to the draft, and that is exactly what is happening with my rankings. Why didn’t I just rank them higher in the first place, you might ask? Good question. Prime Projection: 78/26/87/.278/.366/.483/3 ETA: 2021

47) Daz Cameron DET, OF, 22.2 – Another one of my favorite underrated prospects. Cameron has plus speed, a clear path to the future starting CF job, and a batted ball distribution that makes a power outbreak almost inevitable as he matures. I’m also a sucker for bloodlines. ETA: Late 2019 Prime Projection: 88/19/69/.262/.340/.442/23

-11 – (48) Luis Garcia WASH, SS, 18.10 – A prospect evaluator I really respect, John Calvagno, voiced some concerns on Twitter in late January about the hype Garcia was getting, saying, “I’m a little lower than most on Luis Garcia (Nats) I saw him for 2 games in April pre-breakout. I liked the hands and the bat speed was evident but the linear swing and minimal load has me ? the future power and not sure the speed ages well. Likely a 2B-3B long term.” This could be a Leody Taveras, getting hype a little too early situation, which I didn’t properly factor in on my original ranking. ETA: 2021 Prime Projection: 88/22/82/.287/.346/.469/14

49) Jeter Downs LAD, SS, 20.8 – There is a reason one of the smartest teams in baseball stole Downs out from under Cincinnati. He might not have blazing speed or huge raw power, but he excels in the skills that make for a great modern day baseball player. He hit the ball in the air over 50% of the time, had a strikeout rate under 20%, a 9.9% walk rate, and stole 37 bases. I drool over insane tools as much as the next guy, but Downs has insane baseball skills and is being criminally underrated by the prospect community right now. ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 88/23/77/.271/.355/.468/18

50) Jarred Kelenic SEA, OF, 19.8 – Practices something called goat yoga, where goats literally walk on your back as you’re lying down. Why am I wasting my time blogging when I can come up with a snake oil scheme to scam gullible young millionaire athletes out of their money? ETA: 2022 Prime Projection: 89/24/81/.278/.352/.477/16

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By Michael Halpern (@MichaelCHalpern)
Email: michaelhalpern@imaginarybrickwall.com
Twitter: Imaginary Brick Wall (@DynastyHalp)