Victor Scott – Imaginary Brick Wall

Posted on March 30, 2025March 30, 2025 by Michael Halpern

Sunday Morning Dynasty Baseball Rundown (3/30/25)

I usually do these Rundowns on the Brick Wall on Monday, but sometimes I feel it on Sunday, and this is one of those times. The rest of the week you can find these Rundowns on the Patreon. I do them all season. Here is the Sunday Morning Dynasty Baseball Rundown (3/30/25):

CLICK HERE TO JOIN MY PATREON FOR TONS OF EXCLUSIVE CONTENT ALL SEASON, INCLUDING:
-DYNASTY RUNDOWNS AND MONTHLY DYNASTY & PROSPECTS RANKINGS UPDATES ALL SEASON
-TOP 1,000 2025 DYNASTY BASEBALL RANKS
-TOP 500 2025 DYNASTY BASEBALL PROSPECT RANKS
-TOP 146 2025 FYPD RANKS
-2025 FYPD Target & Strategy Guide
-POSITION BY POSITION TARGETS
-OBP TOP 400 2025 DYNASTY BASEBALL RANKS
-PREDICTING THE TOP 50 2026 PROSPECTS RANKS
–ALL IN ONE RANKINGS SPREADSHEET
–TOP 10 2026 FYPD RANKINGS
-HALP’S DYNASTY BASEBALL PODCAST

Kristian Campbell – BOS, 2B/OF, 22.3 – And this is why I fought every urge in my body to not overreact to spring. I felt the pull too. The questions were coming left and right. And my answer remained the same. I’m not going to rejuggle my entire rankings based on who was having the best spring. The Sox weren’t fazed by the bad spring either, putting Campbell on the Opening Day roster. And it didn’t take long for our patience to pay off. Campbell had his coming out party yesterday. utterly obliterating his first MLB homer at 112.2 MPH with an 80.4 MPH swing. He tacked on a 106.3 MPH double too, finishing the day 2 for 3 with a walk. He currently has a 75.3 MPH bat speed on 16 swings, which would put him into the elite range. He’s the real deal.

Matt Shaw – CHC, 3B/2B/SS, 23.4/Gage Workman – CHC, SS/3B, 25.5 – Workman stole a start at 3B after Shaw’s slow start to the season hah, which was my concern, but he went 0 for 2 with 2 K’s, and then Shaw replaced him and leg kicked his way into his first big league homer with a 76.6 MPH swing. That leg kick though. My goodness. I mean, I love me the little men leg kick, but maybe a little too much man ha. Either way, what a fun weekend of baseball so far.

Jesus Luzardo – PHI, LHP, 27.6 – The first weekend of baseball has been nothing short of a Brick Wall Target Festival. Luzardo was my #1 bounce back target call, and boy did he bounce back in his first start, going 5 IP with 5 hits, 2 ER, and a 11/2 K/BB vs. WAS. The fastball velocity is all the way back up to a fully healthy 96.9 MPH, and the slider and sweeper were absolutely devastating with a 78% and 71% whiff% respectively. The changeup dominated too with a 33% whiff% and 85.7 MPH EV. Everything straight dominated. Also off to a damn good start on that long shot bet lead the league in strikeouts. We’re off and running baby …

Jordan Westburg – BAL, 2B/3B, 26.1 – Even targets from Christmas Past are working double time. Westburg wasn’t done after the 2024 breakout, he’s coming for the next level 2025 breakout now, cranking two homers at 109.7 MPH off Max Scherzer and 105.7 MPH off Chad Green. That’s 3 homers in 3 games. Everything’s coming up Brick on Opening Weekend. What’s next, you’re going to tell me this is the year Zac Veen breaks out too?

Jose Soriano – LAA, RHP, 26.6 – Don’t kill the messenger! I don’t want to victory lap this much after 3 games either! hah … what am I supposed to do though? Target Soriano opened his season with a shutout, going 7 IP with 2 hits, 0 ER, and a 5/2 K/BB vs. CHW. Granted, I could probably shutout the White Sox, but still. The sinker sat 96.6 MPH and while he didn’t get a ton of whiffs with a 16% whiff% overall, he was a weak contact machine with a 83.7 MPH EV against. Again, was he really a weak contact machine, or were the White Sox hitters a weak contact machine? I’m not victory lapping this. This feels more like the White Sox than anything Soriano did. Montgomery and Teel (who homered for the 2nd straight game yesterday at Triple-A) can’t get here fast enough.

Bo Bichette – TOR, SS, 27.1 – We need a Target palate cleanser. Non Target Bichette is showing signs the big spring was legit after going 4 for 4 yesterday with a 110.5 MPH double 104.7 MPH double, 102.4 MPH single and 86.6 MPH single. But the most important thing is that the bat speed is up in the early going with an above average 72.1 MPH swing speed on 22 swings. It sat a 70.1 in 2023 and 70.4 in 2024. All signs point to a legit bounce for Bichette.

Victor Scott – STL, OF, 24.2 – Non Target Victor Scott went 2 for 4 with 2 steals. Nice to see him get on the board after his hot spring too. He has potential to lead the majors in steals.

Ryan Bliss – SEA, 2B/SS, 25.4/Otto Lopez – MIA, 2B, 26.4 – – But Scott isn’t the only contender off and running, Target (! ha) Bliss got on his horse again too for his 2nd steal of the season, finishing the day 1 for 4. And Target Otto might be gunning for a full blown breakout at this point. He nabbed his first bag of the season after homering on Friday. But more impressively, he clocked in with another big day at the dish, going 3 for 5, highlighted by a 109.9 MPH single. That’s a new career high.

New York Yankees Bats – Like, literally the bats. One of the most interesting stories of the early season is the MIT physicist who reshaped the Yankees bats to put more wood in the barrel. And after hitting 9 homers yesterday as a team, the story is blowing up. Seems wild that it took 150 years for somebody to figure this out. I mean, I just assumed this would have been tried before. Or that it was illegal. But I guess not. At least not yet. This is just fun to follow. Would have been nice if Dominguez got one too though. He had no homers. Did he not get the bat?

Nick Kurtz – OAK, 1B, 22.1 – Cam Smith damn near sucked the hype away from every other FYPD player after his insane spring. But Kurtz is now out to put some respect back on his name at Triple-A after decimating his first spring homer at 108.8 MPH. He’s now 4 for 9 with 0 K’s, 2 BB, 2 doubles, and a homer. I would say he’s ready.

Spencer Arrighetti – HOU, RHP, 25.2 – 6 IP, 1 hit, 1 ER, 5/2 K/BB vs. NYM. The fastball sat 94.3 MPH and put up a 21% whiff%. But it was the secondaries that really impressed with the curve, cutter, sweeper and changeup putting up a 50%, 44%, 60% and 33% whiff% respectively. It led to an elite 35% whiff%. This is exactly what we wanted to see out of Arrighetti. He’s about to go full breakout in 2025.

Zack Littell – TBR, RHP, 29.6 – The Rodney Dangerfield of pitchers, Littell just can’t get no respect no matter how well he pitches. Coming off a strong 2024, absolutely nobody cared about him again in 2025, but he made them notice yesterday, going 6 IP with 4 hits, 1 ER, and a 7/1 K/BB. Granted it came against road Rockies, but still. The splitter absolutely dominated with 6 of 12 whiffs, and the heavily used slider was awesome too with a 86.7 MPH EV against and 28% whiff%. He’s not flashy, but he gets the job done, and he’s not going anywhere. Just a really solid pitcher.

Walker Buehler – BOS, RHP, 30.8 – Buehler was one of my top pitcher fades this off-season, not buying into the name value, and his first outing doesn’t make me like him any more than I did, going 4.1 IP with 7 hits, 4 ER, and a 3/0 K/BB vs. TEX. The velocity is all the way down to 93 MPH on the fastball, and while the sweeper, changeup and curve missed bats, it still resulted in a below average 21% whiff% overall. I closed out his Top 1,000 blurb by writing, “His stuff really isn’t all that standout anymore, and is arguably below average. He’s an aging, banged up pitcher with decent stuff and continually declining whiff rates. I’m out at his current price.” It was just more of the same yesterday.

Matt McLain – CIN, 2B/SS, 25.8 – Little Matty McLain got himself a repaired shoulder, and it looked just fine yesterday, blasting off for his first homer off Justin Verlander at 99.8 MPH. Not exactly a statement shot, but it would have been a homer in 29 of 30 ballparks, so it’s not just a Cincy cheapie. He currently has a 98.5 MPH EV in 6 batted balls. I would say he’s healthy.

Christian Encarnacion-Strand – CIN, 1B, 25.4 – Speaking of healthy Reds, Strand is so back, getting ahold of his first homer of the season as well with a 103.5 MPH shot. He also tacked on a 102.7 MPH single. The bat speed is up to 74.4 MPH on the season, which is double plus range. I was lukewarm on him this off-season, and that was clearly a mistake. Thankfully I still have him on a rookie contract in my 12 team league back when I did believe in him. Dynasty is weird like that. So I’ll take it ha.

Keibert Ruiz – WAS, C, 26.8 – It sure feels like Ruiz is about the have his breakout season. He lifted off again for his 2nd homer of the season on a 101.6 MPH shot off Jesus Luzardo. The 67.4 MPH bat speed is still slow, giving me some pause on how real it is, but at the least, a bounce back season is in order after a down 2024. And he has an 18 homer season under his belt already in 2023.

Maikel Garcia – KCR, 3B/2B, 25.1 – Talk about Ghosts of Target past. I’m not going to fall for this one again. Garcia is off to another hot start after cracking his first homer of the year at 103.8 MPH. He also tacked on a 107.3 MPH single. Those were the two hardest hit balls of the day. I thought the breakout was coming last year after his hot start, but it wasn’t to be, so forgive me for waiting a bit longer on this one this year. I still like the profile a lot (speed, hard hit, contact), but he still has a negative 12.2 degree launch, and he needs to raise that launch for a true sustained homer breakout.

Spencer Schwellenbach – ATL, RHP, 24.10 – Last year in these here Dynasty Rundowns I was pumping Schwellenbach as a 5 alarm target when his ERA was over 5. This year, I’m not sure there is much left to say other than he is an ace, and he went out and kept proving it yesterday, going 6 IP with 1 hit, 0 ER, and a 4/1 K/BB vs. SDP. The fastball sat 96.5 MPH, and he went to his excellent splitter even more than last year, making it his most used pitch with a 30% whiff%. He used a 6 pitch mix to notch an above average 26% whiff% and 87.2 MPH EV against. Last year was the time to pounce. It’s too late now.

Gavin Williams – CLE, RHP, 25.8 – 5 IP, 4 hits, 2 ER, 2/1 K/BB vs. KCR … solid outing. The fastball sat 97.5 MPH, which is good. But it only resulted in a 17% whiff% overall. We’re going to need to see much better than that before thinking a true explosion is coming.

Griffin Canning – NYM, RHP, 28.11 – 5.2 IP, 4 hits, 2 ER, 4/2 K/BB vs. HOU. The fastball sat 93.7 MPH and got zero whiffs. The heavily used slider got hit hard with a 91.5 MPH EV and didn’t miss a ton of bats (25% whiff%). The change also got hit hard with a 91.1 MPH EV. It resulted in a 91.1 MPH EV against with a 24% whiff%. All together, you have to say it was a solid outing, but I’m still treading carefully here.

Jeremy Pena – HOU, SS, 27.6 – Pena is coming for those power gains after he jacked out his 1st homer of the year with a literal laser beam at 106.7 MPH off Griffin Canning. His launch is up to 20.8 degrees in the early going. Still early, but that is a big jump from 7.5 degrees. If he can even maintain some of that, it won’t be hard to take advantage of those Crawford boxes.

Kameron Misner – TBR, OF, 27.3 – Last off-season, I named Misner a deep league target as the next Luke Raley-like Rays late career breakout. He didn’t make my Top 1,000 this year because I just didn’t see the path to playing time, but with Lowe out, he has one now, and he’s taking advantage. He homered on Friday as a pinch hitter, and then he got the start yesterday and went 2 for 4 with a 103.7 MPH single and 99 MPH single. This a 6’4”, 218 pound uber athlete who jacked 17 homers with 30 steals at Triple-A in 2024. This is the exact type of late career breakout that the Rays love. Like Raley, it’s going to come with a lot of strikeouts and a likely platoon role, but he’s really interesting to me. You know I love my huge human beings who are also great athletes.

Junior Caminero – TBR, 3B, 21.9 – 84.8 MPH. 83.3 MPH. 81.5 MPH. 81.2 MPH. Those were the 4 fastest swings of the game. This guy just swings different. It resulted in a 3 for 5 day. He’s just impressive.

Oneil Cruz – PIT, OF/SS, 26.6 – 4 walks and another 2 for 2 day on the bases, giving him 1 homer and 4 steals in 3 games. Oh no, what is this man about to do this year

Roki Sasaki – LAD, RHP, 23.5 – Oh boy. Sasaki deserves to have the Bottom of the Rundown all to himself. He got blown up, going 1.2 IP with 3 hits, 2 ER, and a 2/4 K/BB vs. DET. The fastball was down 1 MPH from his first shaky outing in Japan at 96.1 MPH, and that’s way down from where he was sitting in his prime. The splitter and slider still missed a ton of bats, which is definitely good news (50% and 40%, respectively), but what the hell happened to his control? This man had a career 5.6% BB% in Japan. I don’t think I want to answer that question. It’s the answer I didn’t want to give when I predicted Sasaki would be back on the 2026 Top 50 Prospects Rankings. Let’s just hope it’s nerves/jitters/adjustment period. That’s all we can do.

By Michael Halpern (@MichaelCHalpern)
Email: michaelhalpern@imaginarybrickwall.com
Twitter: Imaginary Brick Wall (@DynastyHalp)
Blue Sky: Dynasty Halp (@ImaginaryBrickWall)

Posted on September 11, 2023September 11, 2023 by Michael Halpern

Monday Morning Dynasty Baseball Rundown (9/11/23)

I’ll be running down everything that caught my eye in the Dynasty Baseball world on most Mondays throughout the season here on the Brick Wall. The rest of the week you can catch my Rundowns on the Patreon. Here is the Monday Morning Dynasty Baseball Rundown (9/11/23):

CLICK HERE TO JOIN MY PATREON FOR TONS OF EXCLUSIVE CONTENT ALL SEASON & OFF-SEASON, INCLUDING:
-SEPTEMBER TOP 476 DYNASTY RANKINGS
-AUGUST TOP 379 DYNASTY PROSPECTS RANKINGS
-7 END OF SEASON STRATEGIES AND THOUGHTS
-TOP 50 2024 FYPD RANKINGS
-HALP’S DYNASTY BASEBALL PODCAST: AUGUST MAILBAG! (8/25/23)
-TOP 38 PROSPECTS TO STASH FOR 2023 IMPACT ONLY (8/15/23)
-TOP 17 DYNASTY BASEBALL TARGETS (8/3/23)
-Off-Season content includes team prospect lists, deep positional rankings, strategy articles, and very early releases of my Top 100 FYPD Ranks, Top 500 Prospects Ranks, and Top 1,000 Dynasty Ranks

Jasson Dominguez NYY, OF, 20.7 – It turns out even Martians have UCL’s, and they apparently aren’t that sturdy as the The Martian tore his UCL and will require Tommy John surgery that could keep him out through the first half of 2024 as well. Tommy John surgery isn’t as big a deal for hitters as it is for pitchers, but it feels like it came at the worst possible time with him in the midst of a historic MLB debut with 4 homers in his first 8 games. He checked in at #97 on the September Top 476 Dynasty Baseball Rankings that dropped on the Patreon last week, but with the injury, I might drop him more towards the 120 range.

Noelvi Marte CIN, SS, 21.10 – These rookies are dropping like flies. Marte broke his nose after getting hit in the face playing catch with Elly De La Cruz. I always hated getting paired up with the kid who threw a 90 MPH tailing fastball in warmups, but unlike Marte, I always managed to actually catch the ball. Score one for Halp. On the other hand, I did break my nose while playing basketball my freshman year of college, and the ER doctor just said, “yup, it’s broken,” and sent me back out there with nothing they could do for it. I sat out a few days of my volleyball class before getting bored and deciding to play through it. I’m assuming Marte will do the same. He was in the midst of shoving it in all the scouts faces who called him fat and slow this off-season with 6 steals and a 28.8 ft/sec sprint speed, which is in the top 14 percent of the league. I feel like speed grades are by far the least reliable from scouts. He was also crushing the ball with a 92.4 MPH EV. All signs point towards him being a fantasy beast.

Dylan Crews WAS, OF, 21.5/Wyatt Langford TEX, OF, 21.8 – In my 7 End of Season Strategies and Thoughts (Patreon) article, I wrote that your focus should be on 2023 draftees, because that is where the largest swings in value will occur this late in the season, and right now, the first swing in value could be happening at the very top of the FYPD rankings. Crews continues to surprisingly struggle hard at Double-A with a measly 39 wRC+ in 16 games, while Langford recently got the call to the level and keeps on rolling with a 142 wRC+ in 6 games. They were already 1A and 1B for me in the rankings, and their Double-A performance could be tipping the scales to Langford for that top spot. It’s still obviously a small sample, and I would be very happy with either, but if I were picking today, I’m going Langford.

Jackson Holliday BAL, SS, 19.9 – Holliday finally met a level he couldn’t just dominate right from the jump with a 64 wRC+, 0 homers and 0 steals in 6 games at Triple-A, but I’m sure the hot streak is coming as he went 2 for 3 with a double and 2 walks last night, and he has an elite 10%/16.7% K%/BB%. I mentioned in the August Top 379 Prospects Rankings that the one blemish (I wouldn’t even really call it a blemish, more of a smudge) on his profile is that the power/speed combo has slowed down in the upper minors with only 3 homers and 3 steals in his last 42 games. He has only 10 homers in 113 games on the season. He’s only 19, and the season he just had is ridiculous for his age, so it seems silly to even mention, but when there is another uber 19 year old in Jackson Chourio right behind him, it’s at least something to think about if you are choosing between the 2 in startup dynasty drafts this off-season.

Jackson Chourio MIL, OF, 19.6 – Speaking of Chourio, he hits dingers in his sleep, and he smacked his 22nd of the season at Double-A going the opposite way. It also comes with 41 steals. We got a couple of really fun debates coming up this off-season at both the top of first year player drafts (Crews vs. Langford) and at the top of prospect drafts (Holliday vs. Chourio).

Paul Skenes PIT, RHP, 21.2/Yoshinobu Yamamoto FA, RHP, 25.1 – The fun debates don’t end with the hitters, because we have one brewing with who should be the first pitcher off the board in First Year Player Drafts as well. While everyone is slicing and dicing Skenes fastball shape, Yamamoto is out there pitching no hitters in Japan on Friday. He’s having a spotless season with a 1.20 ERA and 152/24 K/BB in 150 IP. He has the filthy stuff, plus control, plus durability, diverse pitch mix, plus strikeout rates, athletic delivery … there is nothing he doesn’t have, and I think he will make it very tough to pass him up in favor of Skenes. Right now, I have Yamamoto as the top dog.

Druw Jones ARI, OF, 19.8 – Look who finally decided to join us for the 2023 season. Jones is showing up fashionably late, or maybe at this point he’s just rudely late, but he finally showed up nonetheless. He went 3 for 5 with a stolen base yesterday and is now slashing .339/.438/.500 with 2 homers, 6 steals, and a 15/11 K/BB in his last 16 games at Single-A. It brings his season wRC+ at the level to an above average 104 in 29 games, which takes his season from a total disaster to just disappointing. Coming off the shoulder surgery and the myriad of injuries he suffered this year, it’s fair to write this season off as a lost year, and with him showing signs of life here, he might make for a good buy low this off-season.

Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC, OF, 21.5 – With every top prospect and their mother getting called up to the majors, Petey Crow must be feeling pretty lonely still at Triple-A, and he’s taking his frustration out on the baseball. He went 4 for 5 yesterday with a double and a grand salami. It’s his second grand slam in 6 games, and there is really nothing left for him to prove in the minors. His path to the majors isn’t exactly wide open, but he’s not really blocked either. I’m expecting a callup before the end of the season, but who knows really. Update: Literally minutes after publishing this article it was announced PCA will be called up to the bigs. Perfect timing ha

Jackson Jobe DET, RHP, 20.10 – Jobe got a late start to the season coming off a serious back injury, so you are forgiven if it slipped by you that he very well might have a legitimate case to be the best pitching prospect in baseball. He threw another gem yesterday, going 5 IP with 5 hits, 1 ER, and a 7/0 K/BB at High-A. Here is a highlight reel of the filth. He now has a 3.10 ERA with a 78/6 K/BB in 58 IP. He throws 3 at least plus pitches in his fastball, slider, and changeup. If his hype doesn’t explode this off-season like it should, he will be a major target.

Barrett Kent LAA, RHP, 18.11 – The 6’4”, 215 pound Kent was an 8th round pick in this year’s draft, but he signed for almost $1 million, so you know how much LA liked him. He’s now turning heads in pro ball after making his full season debut at Single-A yesterday, going 4 IP with 2 hit, 0 ER, and a 5/1 K/BB. The fastball sat low to mid 90’s and he broke off some nasty changeups. He’s shaping up to be a nice later round target if you stock up on hitters early.

Michael King NYY, RHP, 28.3 – The Yankees rotation is crumbling piece by piece, but one man has risen from the ashes, and we call that man King (because that’s his name). Michael King is becoming a very enticing target this off-season after being transitioned to the rotation, and he had another great outing on Saturday, going 5 IP with 4 hits, 1 ER, and a 9/1 K/BB vs. MIL. The sinker sat 94.8 MPH, the changeup notched a 71% whiff% and the sweeper notched a 43% whiff%. It’s his 3rd straight excellent start in a row, and as you can see, he most certainly has the stuff to back it up. He was a starter in the minors, and a damn good one at that with a 2.96 ERA in 392.2 career MiLB IP, so none of this is foreign to him. He could be legit.

Kevin Alcantara CHC, OF, 21.2 – Alcantara closed out his season with a bang, going 4 for 4 with a double, homer, and a play at the plate which showed off his flair for the dramatic. He got off to a slow start on the season, but he’s been a man possessed over his last 62 games, slashing .330/.401/.540 with 9 homers, 5 steals, and a 57/27 K/BB at High-A. He has an excellent 124 wRC+ in 95 games on the season. Don’t sleep on this 6”6”, 188 pound unicorn athlete, because the hype could explode when he takes on the upper minors in 2024.

Myles Naylor OAK, SS, 18.5 – Naylor 3.0 was drafted 39th overall in this year’s draft, and he’s off to an extreme start, both good and bad, in his pro debut. He went deep for his 6th homer in 34 games at mostly Single-A yesterday, but it comes with a brutal 39.6% K%. That is in Elijah Green cover your eyes territory. You have to love the bloodlines (Josh and Bo are his older brothers) and the power, but that K% has to scare you off at least a little.

Victor Scott STL, OF, 22.6 – Scott is an absolute machine on the bases as he once again nabbed 3 bags in a game. It’s the 8th time he’s done that this year. His contact/speed profile has had no issues at Double-A with a 14.3% K%, 43 steals, 6 homers and a .328 BA in 60 games at the level. Make no mistake, Scott is one of the top speed prospects in all of baseball. Easy Top 100 prospect.

AJ Vukovich ARI, 3B, 22.1 – Vukovich has very quietly put together a strong season at Double-A, and it got stronger yesterday with him cracking a dinger. It’s his 2nd homer in 3 games, 3rd homer in 6 games, 4th homer in 10 games, 5th homer in 19 games, 6th homer in 29 games, 7th homer in 37 games, 8th homer in 39 games, 9th homer in 40 games … you get the point, he has a lot of homers (24 homers in 110 games at Double-A to be exact) ;). He’s a big dude at 6’2”, 210 pounds, and he’s also an excellent athlete, evidenced by 17 steals. The plate approach is rough with a 28.3%/8.8% K%/BB%, so there is risk, but he’s a legitimately exciting prospect. He checked in at #234 on the August Top 379 Prospects Rankings (Patreon).

By Michael Halpern (@MichaelCHalpern)
Email: michaelhalpern@imaginarybrickwall.com
Twitter: Imaginary Brick Wall (@DynastyHalp)

Posted on July 19, 2023July 28, 2023 by Michael Halpern

The Wednesday Monday Morning Dynasty Baseball Rundown (7/19/23)

I’ll be running down everything that caught my eye in the Dynasty Baseball world on most Mondays (and I guess Wednesdays sometimes when I get jammed up, ha) throughout the season here on the Brick Wall. The rest of the week you can catch my Rundowns on the Patreon. Here is the Wednesday Monday Morning Dynasty Baseball Rundown (7/19/23):

CLICK HERE TO JOIN MY PATREON FOR TONS OF EXCLUSIVE CONTENT ALL SEASON, INCLUDING:
-UPDATED TOP 473 JULY DYNASTY BASEBALL RANKINGS
-UPDATED TOP 331 JUNE DYNASTY PROSPECTS RANKINGS
-TOP 50 2024 FYPD RANKINGS
-TOP 25 PROSPECTS TO STASH FOR 2023 IMPACT ONLY (7/14/23)
-TOP DYNASTY BASEBALL TARGETS (6/29/23)
-HALP’S DYNASTY BASEBALL PODCAST: JUNE MAILBAG! (6/27/23)
–TONS OF DYNASTY RUNDOWNS

*I was on an extended weekend family trip on Monday and Tuesday that I thought I was going to be able to write during but it turned out I couldn’t. My bad.

Francisco Alvarez NYM, C, 21.7 – When I ranked Alvarez 92nd overall on the Updated July Top 473 Dynasty Baseball Rankings (Patreon), he was in the midst of slumping, but I didn’t let it scare me off him, and he’s been molten hot since. He went 2 for 3 with a 108.6 MPH homer off Lucas Gioltio and a 106.5 MPH homer of Tanner Banks. It was his 18th and 19th homers of the year in 69 games, and he now has a 7 homers with a 1.363 OPS in 11 July games. He leads all catchers in the homer category and he’s done it in far less at bats. This is just the beginning.

Christian Encarnacion-Strand CIN, 1B/3B, 23.6 – That unsurprisingly didn’t take long. Strand walloped his first MLB homer in his 2nd game with a 426 foot, 105.8 MPH bomb. How could anyone have guessed a guy who hit 20 homers with a .331 BA in 67 games at Triple-A would be good? Maybe it was that extra month or two at Triple-A that really put the finishing touches on him

Bryce Elder ATL, RHP, 24.0 – In the easiest regression call of all time, Elder had his 2nd clunker in a row, going 6 IP with 12 ER and a 4/5 K/BB (5 ER in 2.2 IP last night). This is why I just never really bought into him, and while he can still be a decent fantasy starter, his 4.12 xERA has always been more indicative of his true talent level.

Lazaro Montes SEA, OF, 18.8 – Montes is officially going full breakout after cracking 2 homers yesterday and 3 homers in his last 2 games at stateside rookie ball. He’s improved on his danger zone K% of 33.2% in 2022, bringing it down to a not horrific 27.9% this year, and he’s still walking a ton with a 23.1% BB%. It’s all added up to a 145 wRC+ in 26 games. He’s right on track to become an elite power hitting prospect.

Sebastian Walcott TEX, SS, 17.3 – 3 for 4 with a double, and most importantly, he didn’t strike out once. The strikeouts are the only blemish on his profile with a 29%/4.3% K%/BB% in 15 games in stateside rookie ball, but considering he’s still only 17 years old, and his otherwise insane production (6 homers, 6 steals, and a 181 wRC+) it is very easy to overlook. He was my #1 international prospect target, hyping him hard (with a side of Joendry Vargas who is also killing it in the DSL right now) in my First Year Player Draft Target and Strategy Guide (Patreon) all the way back on January 5th, writing, “Sebastian Walcott TEX, SS, 17.1/ Joendry Vargas LAD, SS, 17.5 – I love searching for that relatively underrated international prospect. The guy who isn’t getting hyped up at the very top of the class but I think should be. It was Alexander Ramirez for me in 2020 (big hit), Maikol Hernandez in 2021 (oof), Lazaro Montes in 2022 (looking good), and in 2023, it’s Sabastian Walcott. This dude looks like a next level athlete in the sparse Youtube videos out there. It’s what made me fall in love so much with Ramirez and Montes, and that was worked out for me. Walcott even stands out relative to the other elite athletes in his class. Vargas is getting some more rankings love than Walcott, but still isn’t really talked about like the very top guys yet. He’s also a good international target.” Walcott started to get a lot more love later in the off-season, but you were already all over him early if you read my stuff.

Xavier Isaac TBR, 1B, 19.6 – Isaac has continued to quietly establish himself as a future elite hitting prospect. He demolished a 440 foot no doubter yesterday for his 3rd in 4 games and his 9th in 64 games. The GB% continues to come down to a reasonable 46.4%, and he has an excellent plate approach with a 19.9%/14.7% K%/BB%. It’s all led to a 141 wRC+. He rose to 68th overall on the June Top Top 331 Prospects Rankings (Patreon), and he’ll take another big jump in the Updated July Prospects Rankings coming next week.

Jackson Chourio MIL, OF, 19.4 – The Southern League is in the post pre-tacked ball era, and Chourio is loving every minute of it, smoking an opposite field homer yesterday and is now 10 for 18 with 2 doubles, 2 homers and a 1/1 K/BB in 4 games with the normal ball. He’s basically picked right up from the destruction he laid last year. I wouldn’t say we should completely throw out the first half stats of all players in the Southern League, but it’s going to be mighty interesting to see the difference from the 1st half to the 2nd half. I didn’t budge off Chourio with his good, but not explosive 1st half, and now he’s exploding all over again.

Jasson Dominguez NYY, OF, 20.6 – Dominguez is getting hot again. He went deep for the 2nd time in 3 games and now has a .934 OPS with 7 steals and a 14/8 K/BB in 13 July games. It think the backlash against Dominguez’ ridiuclous hype as a 17 year old has made him underrated over the past couple years. He’s a 20 year old at Double-A with a 108 wRC+ and a nasty power/speed combo (12 homers and 25 steals in 80 games).

Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC, OF, 21.3 – My #6 ranked prospect on the June Top 331 Rankings, Armstrong has been an extra base machine since returning from the break. He smushed his 11th homer in 64 games at Double-A yesterday and now has 3 doubles, 1 triple, and 1 homer in his last 14 AB. The power explosion is exciting considering his speed (23 steals) and defense, and while the 24%/7.7% K%/BB% isn’t great, it’s not bad either. I’m all in on Armstrong and have been since his draft year.

Evan Carter TEX, OF, 20.10 – What lack of power? Carter deposited his 10th homer of the season right in the lazy river. He’s been on fire since returning from injury, slashing .354/.426/.622 with 5 homers, 2 steals (in 6 attempts) and a 18/10 K/BB in 21 games. The only real blemish on his season is a terrible stolen base success rate (11 for 18), but I think we can overlook that with the power uptick and great plate approach.

Emmanuel Rodriguez MIN, OF, 20.4 – It’s been an up and down season for Baby Bonds, and we’re now back on the upswing with his first homer since June 23rd. He has a .914 OPS in his last 6 games after going 0 for 22 in the 8 games before that. That is a microcosm of his entire season, but a 131 wRC+ with 11 homers and 11 steals in 60 games at High-A ain’t too shabby at all. The 31.8% K% and .214 BA prevents a true explosion to elite prospect status, but his value has at least held steady this year.

Ceddanne Rafaela BOS, OF, 22.3 – All Rafaela has done at Triple-A is hit dingers, and I mean that in both a good and bad way. He smoked his 5th homer in 15 games at the level, but it comes with a 25%/1.5% K%/BB%. The extremely low walk rates are a bit concerning, but he makes up for it with plus speed and plus defense. The profile isn’t that far off from Pete Crow, and he’s now knocking on the door of the bigs.

Jett Williams NYM, SS, 19.8 – Jett may be only 5’6”, but he’s starting to look pretty thick (in a good way), and he’s proving he has enough juice in his bat to make a legit impact. He launched his 5th homer in 70 games at Single-A yesterday and it comes with 29 steals and a 20.6%/19.6% K%/BB%. He only has a .243 BA because the GB% is probably a little too low for his type of profile with a 35.2% GB%, but that is a much easier fix than trying to learn how to lift the ball more. It’s a damn exciting fantasy profile and he is very easily a top 100 fantasy prospect.

Spencer Jones NYY, OF, 22.1 – Jones crushed his 11th homer in 72 games off a pretty nice looking curve that caught too much of the plate. We already know about the power and speed, and his plate approach has looked much better of late with a 24.3%/14.8% K%/BB% in his last 31 games. I would say he’s conquered High-A at this point and is just waiting for his next challenge in the upper minors.

Tyler Black MIL, 2B, 22.11 – Black was one of my first buy calls of the season, and he’s went on to just continue crushing the upper minors all year. He went 4 for 6 with a frozen rope homer yesterday and is now slashing .282/.427/.524 with 13 homers, 42 steals, and a 20.3%/16.8% K%/BB% in 70 games at Double-A. Call me crazy, but I think he’s ready for Triple-A.

Coby Mayo BAL, 3B, 21.6/Orelvis Martinez TOR, SS, 21.6 – Another day, another dinger. Mayo and Orelvis both went deep again, and it was both of their 18th homers. It was also both of their first homers at Triple-A after recently getting called up to the level. I prefer Mayo, but they are both elite power hitting prospects.

Christian Scott NYM, RHP, 24.1 – 7 IP, 6 hits, 2 ER, 8/0 K/BB at Double-A. Scott transitioned into a full time starter role after being mostly used out of the pen in his career, and he’s taken to it well with a 3.22 ERA and 28.8%/5% K%/BB% in 36.1 IP at Double-A. He’s a big dude at 6’4”, 215 pounds and the stuff is very good with a mid 90’s fastball and plus slider. He might still end up in the pen when it’s all said and done, but there is definitely mid rotation upside and he’s definitely an exciting pop up pitching prospect.

Ty Madden DET, RHP, 23.4 – 4.2 IP, 2 hits, 0 ER, 8/2 K/BB at Double-A. Madden has always felt a bit underrated to me. He has the size (6’3”, 215), velocity (mid 90’s heat), diverse pitch mix (fastball, slider, curve, change), and production (3.68 ERA with a 27.1%/9.5% K%/BB%) to make a legit fantasy impact. He’s not a bad low key target if you are struggling to acquire pitching as he’s also close to the bigs.

Logan Allen CLE, LHP, 24.11 – Allen is back in the majors and it didn’t take long for him to re-establish himself, going 5 IP with 1 hit, 0 ER, and a 8/1 K/BB vs. Pitt. The changeup was a whiff machine with a 50% whiff% and it led to a 29% whiff% on the day. The stuff isn’t huge with a 90.4 MPH fastball in this one, and he’s not an elite control guy, which limits his upside, but the guy knows how to pitch and can miss bats. It’s a #4-ish starter profile.

Jordan Beck COL, OF, 22.2 – Beck got the call to Double-A post break and he had his first big day at the level, going 2 for 4 with a triple and a homer. He has a 115 wRC+ in 4 games but it comes with a 46.2%/0.0% K%/BB%. It’s still obviously too small of a sample to say anything in either direction, but the one thing to watch is that K%, because we know about the big talent at 6’3”, 225 pounds with a plus power/speed combo. He was one of my targets in my Top 9 Dynasty Baseball Targets (Patreon) from a few weeks ago.

Victor Scott STL, OF, 22.3 – Double-A hasn’t slowed Scott down at all. He lined his 2nd homer in 13 games and is now slashing .333/.377/.491 with 2 homers, 6 steals, and a 12.9%/4.8% K%/BB% in 13 games at the level. He rose to 233rd overall on the latest prospect rankings, and that is set to take another big jump next week. He’s legitimately exciting with a plus contact/speed profile.

Jud Fabian BAL, OF, 22.7 – Fabian smacked his 5th homer at 20 games since getting called up to Double-A, but unfortunately his hit tool has basically been a worst case scenario with a .171 BA and 37.6% K%. That is exactly what we didn’t want to see, but he’s made adjustments in the past, and we have to give him some time to make adjustments again against upper minors pitchers.

Ivan Melendez ARI, 1B, 23.7 – Melendez got the call to Double-A, and literally all he’s done is rip dingers. He cracked 2 homers yesterday and he now has 4 homers in 3 games at the level. He wasn’t too bad at High-A either with 18 homers in 58 games. He’s certainly made up for his lackluster debut in 2022, but he still isn’t without his warts with a 33.6%/8.2% K%/BB% (30.8%/7.7% K%/BB% at Double-A). It is a bit of a Quad-A type slugger profile, and he’s also hit lefties much better than righties. A low BA, part time power bat might be the most likely outcome, but he’s left little doubt that he will be able to mash homers at any level.

Alek Manoah TOR, RHP, 25.6 – 3 IP, 3 hits, 4 ER. 0/5 K/BB vs. SDP … oof, still brutal

By Michael Halpern (@MichaelCHalpern)
Email: michaelhalpern@imaginarybrickwall.com
Twitter: Imaginary Brick Wall (@DynastyHalp)